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Multiple benefits of renovation in buildings - PU Europe

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<strong>Multiple</strong> <strong>benefits</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> energy<br />

efficient <strong>renovation</strong> <strong>of</strong> build<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

Table A.28 Accumulated impact on GDP, low EE scenario<br />

Pct. <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

GDP as <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

<strong>in</strong> public spend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Increase <strong>in</strong><br />

"permanent"<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

(€ billion)<br />

Derived <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

<strong>in</strong> public spend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

(per cent)<br />

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />

28.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8<br />

0.23 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02<br />

2012 0.23 0.23<br />

2013 0.28 0.02 0.30<br />

2014 0.21 0.03 0.02 0.25<br />

2015 0.11 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.18<br />

2016 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.12<br />

2017 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.10<br />

Total 1.19<br />

Note:<br />

The s<strong>in</strong>gle elements do not always equal the total impact due to round<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Source: Copenhagen Economics based on OECD (2001).<br />

Total<br />

impact on<br />

GDP<br />

(<strong>in</strong> percent<br />

per year )<br />

Effects on public f<strong>in</strong>ances<br />

When economic activity is stimulated <strong>in</strong> a period <strong>of</strong> economic downturn it creates jobs for<br />

people who were formerly unemployed. This improves public f<strong>in</strong>ances by reduc<strong>in</strong>g expenses<br />

to unemployment <strong>benefits</strong>, and <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g tax revenues e.g. through <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

VAT revenue from <strong>in</strong>creased economic activity. In order to assess the size <strong>of</strong> this effect,<br />

we use so called fiscal multipliers which <strong>in</strong>dicate how much public budgets are improved/deteriorated<br />

when GDP is <strong>in</strong>creased/decreased. The primary driver <strong>of</strong> these multipliers<br />

is the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> tax revenue and avoided unemployment <strong>benefits</strong>, but the multipliers<br />

essentially captures any improvements <strong>in</strong> public budgets from <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g GDP. The<br />

average fiscal multiplier for EU27 is 0.44, cf. Table A.29, which means that every time<br />

GDP is <strong>in</strong>creased by €1 million, public budgets are improved by €0.44 million.<br />

74

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