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Multiple benefits of renovation in buildings - PU Europe

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<strong>Multiple</strong> <strong>benefits</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> energy<br />

efficient <strong>renovation</strong> <strong>of</strong> build<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

Secondly, much evidence has shown that renovat<strong>in</strong>g the exist<strong>in</strong>g build<strong>in</strong>g stock is one <strong>of</strong><br />

the most attractive and low cost options to reduce CO 2 emissions, and potentially improve<br />

energy security by reduc<strong>in</strong>g imports <strong>of</strong> fossil fuels. A number <strong>of</strong> studies have suggested<br />

that the net cost <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> renovat<strong>in</strong>g the exist<strong>in</strong>g build<strong>in</strong>g stock is not only low, but<br />

is <strong>in</strong> fact negative. 28 This means, that through the <strong>in</strong>duced energy sav<strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong><br />

energy efficient <strong>renovation</strong> <strong>of</strong> build<strong>in</strong>gs will pay for themselves at current energy prices.<br />

In addition to Marg<strong>in</strong>al Abatement Cost curves (MAC-curves) prom<strong>in</strong>ent <strong>in</strong> several macro<br />

studies, several studies f<strong>in</strong>d that energy efficiency improvements <strong>in</strong> build<strong>in</strong>gs are pr<strong>of</strong>itable<br />

even with very high f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g cost. One assessment from 2011 found that the <strong>in</strong>ternal<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> return (IRR) on typical energy efficiency <strong>in</strong>vestments to be nearly 30 per cent on<br />

average for an <strong>in</strong>dividual firm (even higher <strong>benefits</strong> to society). 29 This implies that an <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

will be pr<strong>of</strong>itable to undertake even when the real <strong>in</strong>terest rate (the f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

cost) is 30 per cent or less. The IRR varies across different types <strong>of</strong> projects, and can be as<br />

high as 49 per cent for an average <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> e.g. improv<strong>in</strong>g light<strong>in</strong>g. The largest absolute<br />

sav<strong>in</strong>g potential is typically found <strong>in</strong> the heat<strong>in</strong>g and cool<strong>in</strong>g category, as its share <strong>of</strong><br />

energy consumption is relatively larger.<br />

Some criticism has been raised aga<strong>in</strong>st the MAC and IRR approach <strong>in</strong> general and specifically<br />

on the McK<strong>in</strong>sey approach on several accounts, <strong>in</strong>ter alia: 30 1) that ex ante studies<br />

dom<strong>in</strong>ate much <strong>of</strong> the estimates, and that ex post assessments <strong>of</strong>ten show a lower than<br />

expected potential, 2) that “free riders” are not always properly accounted for, so that the<br />

overall potential <strong>in</strong>cludes behaviour that would have taken place even without policy, 3)<br />

most assessments ignore the rebound effects, which implies that as the price <strong>of</strong> energy is<br />

reduced <strong>in</strong> response to <strong>in</strong>creased energy efficiency, demand for energy (consumption)<br />

<strong>in</strong>creases, and 4) transaction cost, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g e.g. scarce management time and resources<br />

are typically not <strong>in</strong>cluded. In sum, this implies that such f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs tend to value the potential<br />

too optimistically.<br />

However, even with a reduction <strong>in</strong> the pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> energy efficiency projects, there is<br />

strong reason to believe that such projects are highly pr<strong>of</strong>itable. As the real <strong>in</strong>terest rate <strong>in</strong><br />

most <strong>Europe</strong>an countries is currently very low – and even negative <strong>in</strong> several countries –,<br />

cf. Figure 18, projects will be pr<strong>of</strong>itable even with very low IRRs.<br />

28 A large number <strong>of</strong> studies construct MAC-curves that makes this po<strong>in</strong>t. The MAC curve has been popularised by e.g. McK<strong>in</strong>sey<br />

& Company (2010).<br />

29 United Technologies Corporation (2011)<br />

30 See e.g. NBER (2009)<br />

27

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