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Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

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71<br />

employer survey estimates were <strong>the</strong> shares observed for questions asking about what<br />

hiring choices employers would have made if <strong>the</strong> subsidy placements had not been<br />

available. A useful conclusion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> analysis <strong>of</strong> SYETP was that <strong>the</strong> following extreme<br />

macro-outcomes for <strong>the</strong> subsidy could be considered excluded: a total windfall gain or<br />

complete substitution <strong>of</strong> employees for SYETP placements; that all SYETP placements<br />

took place without substitution <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r workers; a 100 percent gain in employment per<br />

subsidy to <strong>the</strong> target group or <strong>the</strong> economy.<br />

Table 2.13 Smith (1984b) summary <strong>of</strong> estimates <strong>of</strong> SYETP<br />

Immediate impact <strong>of</strong> 100 subsidised jobs on Employment<br />

Period <strong>of</strong> data Target group O<strong>the</strong>rs Aggregate<br />

Smith (1984) 1978-83 64 -16 49<br />

DEIR (1984) 42 1983 42 -30 12<br />

Hoy and Ryan 1981 43 -24 19<br />

(1984)<br />

DEYA (1980) 43 1979 94 -61 33<br />

Source: Smith (1984) p 8a Table 1<br />

2.2.6.2 Job characteristics<br />

SYETP jobs were mostly low-paid, had a high job turnover, and private SYETP<br />

placements were more commonly for 15-17 year old girls. 44 Over <strong>the</strong> period 1976-1982,<br />

approximately 90 percent <strong>of</strong> placements were for 15 to 19 year olds, although <strong>the</strong> eligible<br />

age group was 18-24 years (Hoy and Lampe (1982): 24). Over this same period, <strong>the</strong> share<br />

<strong>of</strong> females always outnumbered males in placements relative to <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> 15-19 year<br />

olds employed full-time (Hoy and Lampe (1982) p24 and Figure 1). In August 1978, <strong>the</strong><br />

number <strong>of</strong> young women in SYETP peaked at 9 per cent <strong>of</strong> those in full time<br />

employment, but after this fluctuated between 2-4 per cent with males slightly lower at 1<br />

to 3 per cent. 45 Hoy and Lampe (1982) pointed out that 49 per cent <strong>of</strong> teenage females<br />

assisted under SYETP were employed in Manufacturing and Retail occupations. It was<br />

42 DEIR “Telephone survey <strong>of</strong> wage subsidy employers conducted in November 1983” as Cited p8a Smith<br />

(1984), and as referenced p55 Smith (1984). This reference is unpublished.<br />

43 DEYA (1980) “SYETP in <strong>the</strong> private sector: follow-up survey <strong>of</strong> April 1979 placements” Melbourne,<br />

unpublished. Cited Smith (1984) p8a. This reference is unpublished.<br />

44 Cited p128 BLMR (1984) and see also Hoy and Lampe (1982) p22.<br />

45 Hoy and Lampe (1982). Calculations based on placement numbers relative to <strong>the</strong> ABS Labour Force<br />

Survey estimates <strong>of</strong> Labour Force in employment for 15-19 year olds.

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