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Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

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26<br />

environments. As <strong>the</strong> former section showed, <strong>the</strong> ambiguity in <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory arises from<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r within a given economic context, labour demand and supply elasticities,<br />

reservation wages and subsidy amount, a gain to employment eventuates. In this sense,<br />

every program needs to be assessed, and reassessed over time, in order to discover under<br />

what environment a gain can be found. This takes into account <strong>the</strong> dynamic aspects <strong>of</strong><br />

programs, as microeconomic evaluation can hinder <strong>the</strong> appreciation <strong>of</strong> this characteristic.<br />

This is because <strong>the</strong> static evaluation process loses <strong>the</strong> sense <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> variation in conditions<br />

that is naturally part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> macroeconomic setting.<br />

In conclusion, two strong <strong>the</strong>mes are identified. Firstly, <strong>the</strong> non-experimental evidence is<br />

not sufficiently thorough in methodology. The key suggestion seems to be that <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

insufficient testing <strong>of</strong> alternative methods, assumptions and model specifications.<br />

Secondly, <strong>the</strong>re remains empirical ambiguity as to whe<strong>the</strong>r wage subsidies provide<br />

employment gains. Some <strong>of</strong> this uncertainty stems from <strong>the</strong> inadequate non-experimental<br />

evaluation evidence, so that <strong>the</strong> employment outcomes attributed to <strong>the</strong> wage subsidy<br />

cannot be deemed well established. As well, not all evaluations have found positive gains<br />

to employment following wage subsidies, although this to some extent is again due to <strong>the</strong><br />

caveats pertinent to <strong>the</strong> quality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> non-experimental evaluation methods.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> following analysis, <strong>the</strong>se <strong>the</strong>mes are addressed via re-analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Australian</strong><br />

wage subsidy <strong>Special</strong> <strong>Youth</strong> Employment and Training Program (SYETP). The chief<br />

goal is to submit a fur<strong>the</strong>r contribution as to whe<strong>the</strong>r this wage subsidy gave employment<br />

gains. Alongside this, by exploring alternative specifications and methods, <strong>the</strong> subsidiary<br />

aim is to more rigorously extend <strong>the</strong> non-experimental evaluation <strong>of</strong> SYETP.

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