Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ... Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

02.06.2014 Views

298 Father Plant operative 0.16 0.70 0.483 Father Sales 0.05 0.20 0.844 Father Tradesperson -0.15 -0.66 0.507 Father Manager/professional/paraprofessional 0.24 1.14 0.254 Father Not employed 0.10 0.38 0.704 Father holds post-school qualification when resp 14 0.10 0.81 0.418 Mother not present when resp 14 -0.18 -0.68 0.497 Mother Labourer -0.15 -0.59 0.556 Mother Plant operative -0.53 -1.85 0.064 Mother Sales -0.40 -1.77 0.077 Mother Tradesperson -0.33 -0.99 0.320 Mother Manager/professional/paraprofessional 0.08 0.32 0.745 Mother Not employed -0.06 -0.35 0.730 Mother post-school qualification when resp 14 -0.03 -0.18 0.856 Catholic 0.43 3.09 0.002 Presbyterian 0.48 1.95 0.051 Methodist 0.24 1.05 0.292 Other Christian -0.10 -0.49 0.622 Other religion 0.00 0.03 0.979 No religion 0.40 2.07 0.038 0.89 0.96 0.338 rho -0.36 Wald test of Rho=0 (chi2 0.14 (1) statistic) Observations 1283 Log likelihood -858.55 Base categories: European ethnic origin, state interviewed in 1984 NSW/ACT, government school, highest qualification year 10 at school, Longest job by 1984 is 1 year, lived mostly in state capital city until respondent aged 14, English is first language, father clerical worker when respondent aged 14, mother clerical worker when respondent aged 14, religion brought up in is Anglican. Absolute value of z statistics in parentheses * significant at 5%, ** significant at 1%.

299 Table A2.8 Part B Selection/participation equation of the bivariate probit where CEP referrals and age included in employment model, attrition weights Model of SYETP participation, 1986 survey data coefficient t statistic probability of t Gender=female 0.07 0.53 0.598 Age at 1984 survey -0.08 -2.91 0.004 Married 1984 -0.98 -2.99 0.003 Children 1984 0.35 0.87 0.386 Children*female -0.11 -0.18 0.856 Spouse employed 1984 0.66 1.62 0.105 Aboriginal/Torres Strait Islander -0.38 -0.80 0.426 Other ethnic minority 0.02 0.07 0.946 Victoria 0.09 0.56 0.576 Queensland -0.15 -0.68 0.494 South Australia/Northern Territory -0.12 -0.63 0.526 Western Australia/Tasmania 0.38 2.19 0.029 Education school overseas 0.34 0.81 0.416 Roman Catholic school -0.26 -1.10 0.270 Private school -0.89 -2.08 0.038 Degree/diploma 0.02 0.09 0.932 Apprenticeship -0.11 -0.37 0.708 Other Post-School qualification 0.00 0.00 0.999 Year 12 of school 0.41 2.21 0.027 Year 11 of school 0.18 0.87 0.383 Year 9 of school or less 0.03 0.14 0.892 Longest job by 1984 none -0.27 -0.95 0.340 < 1 year -0.06 -0.29 0.770 2 years 0.07 0.32 0.749 3 years + -0.48 -1.86 0.062 CEP referrals 1984 0.13 1.76 0.078 Proportion of time Pre-June 1984 spent in unemployment 0.34 2.38 0.017 Work limited by health -0.68 -2.96 0.003 Other city before aged 14 -0.39 -2.31 0.021 Country town before aged 14 -0.53 -3.20 0.001 Rural area before aged 14 -0.41 -1.56 0.118 Overseas before aged 14 -0.61 -1.26 0.207 Number of siblings -0.01 -0.89 0.373 English good -0.18 -0.65 0.515 English poor -0.69 -1.11 0.267 Sexist 0.39 1.25 0.211 Sexist*female -0.92 -1.62 0.106 Father not present when respondent aged 14 -0.26 -0.85 0.394 Father Labourer -0.11 -0.32 0.751

299<br />

Table A2.8 Part B Selection/participation equation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> bivariate probit where CEP<br />

referrals and age included in employment model, attrition weights<br />

Model <strong>of</strong><br />

SYETP<br />

participation,<br />

1986 survey<br />

data<br />

coefficient t statistic probability <strong>of</strong> t<br />

Gender=female 0.07 0.53 0.598<br />

Age at 1984 survey -0.08 -2.91 0.004<br />

Married 1984 -0.98 -2.99 0.003<br />

Children 1984 0.35 0.87 0.386<br />

Children*female -0.11 -0.18 0.856<br />

Spouse employed 1984 0.66 1.62 0.105<br />

Aboriginal/Torres Strait<br />

Islander -0.38 -0.80 0.426<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r ethnic minority 0.02 0.07 0.946<br />

Victoria 0.09 0.56 0.576<br />

Queensland -0.15 -0.68 0.494<br />

South Australia/Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

Territory -0.12 -0.63 0.526<br />

Western<br />

Australia/Tasmania 0.38 2.19 0.029<br />

Education school overseas 0.34 0.81 0.416<br />

Roman Catholic school -0.26 -1.10 0.270<br />

Private school -0.89 -2.08 0.038<br />

Degree/diploma 0.02 0.09 0.932<br />

Apprenticeship -0.11 -0.37 0.708<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Post-School<br />

qualification 0.00 0.00 0.999<br />

Year 12 <strong>of</strong> school 0.41 2.21 0.027<br />

Year 11 <strong>of</strong> school 0.18 0.87 0.383<br />

Year 9 <strong>of</strong> school or less 0.03 0.14 0.892<br />

Longest job by 1984 none -0.27 -0.95 0.340<br />

< 1 year -0.06 -0.29 0.770<br />

2 years 0.07 0.32 0.749<br />

3 years + -0.48 -1.86 0.062<br />

CEP referrals 1984 0.13 1.76 0.078<br />

Proportion <strong>of</strong> time Pre-June<br />

1984 spent in<br />

unemployment 0.34 2.38 0.017<br />

Work limited by health -0.68 -2.96 0.003<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r city before aged 14 -0.39 -2.31 0.021<br />

Country town before aged<br />

14 -0.53 -3.20 0.001<br />

Rural area before aged 14 -0.41 -1.56 0.118<br />

Overseas before aged 14 -0.61 -1.26 0.207<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> siblings -0.01 -0.89 0.373<br />

English good -0.18 -0.65 0.515<br />

English poor -0.69 -1.11 0.267<br />

Sexist 0.39 1.25 0.211<br />

Sexist*female -0.92 -1.62 0.106<br />

Fa<strong>the</strong>r not present when<br />

respondent aged 14 -0.26 -0.85 0.394<br />

Fa<strong>the</strong>r Labourer -0.11 -0.32 0.751

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