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Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

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186<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>essional<br />

(0.60) (0.83) (0.78) (1.11)<br />

Not employed 0.08 -0.00 0.03 -0.10<br />

(0.46) (0.03) (0.13) (0.45)<br />

Mo<strong>the</strong>r post-school qualification 0.21 0.19 0.25 0.24<br />

when resp 14<br />

Religion brought up in (1.64) (1.45) (1.55) (1.40)<br />

Catholic 0.16 0.12 0.05 -0.02<br />

(1.27) (0.97) (0.32) (0.11)<br />

Presbyterian 0.28 0.21 0.32 0.25<br />

(1.46) (1.05) (1.31) (1.05)<br />

Methodist 0.12 0.24 0.11 0.23<br />

(0.60) (1.11) (0.44) (0.96)<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r Christian -0.06 -0.11 0.09 0.10<br />

(0.26) (0.52) (0.34) (0.36)<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r religion 0.16 0.22 0.14 0.13<br />

(0.94) (1.16) (0.63) (0.54)<br />

No religion 0.14 0.17 0.17 0.16<br />

(0.94) (1.08) (0.84) (0.83)<br />

missing fa<strong>the</strong>rs qualifications -0.49 -0.55<br />

(1.60) (1.69)<br />

missing Mo<strong>the</strong>rs qualifications 0.01 0.10<br />

(0.02) (0.42)<br />

missing proportion <strong>of</strong> time spent -0.07 -0.08<br />

unemployed<br />

(0.12) (0.16)<br />

missing number <strong>of</strong> siblings 0.20 0.17<br />

(0.79) (0.68)<br />

Constant -0.01 -0.33 0.66 0.39<br />

(0.03) (0.60) (0.86) (0.59)<br />

Observations 2368 2368 1283 1283<br />

Log likelihood -503.74 -500.54 -307.52 -307.63<br />

LR chi 2 (59) 134 137.31 150.58 106.91 126.23<br />

Mcfadden’s Pseudo R 2 135<br />

0.1199 0.1284 0.1481 0.1553<br />

Akaike Information Criterion 0.48 0.48 0.57 0.57<br />

Coefficient with t statistic in brackets. Absolute value <strong>of</strong> z statistics in paren<strong>the</strong>ses * significant at 5%, **<br />

significant at 1%. Base categories: European ethnic origin, state interviewed in 1984 NSW/ACT,<br />

government school, highest qualification in 1984 year 10 at school, longest job by 1984 is 1 year, lived<br />

mostly in state capital city until respondent aged 14, English is first language, fa<strong>the</strong>r clerical worker when<br />

respondent aged 14, mo<strong>the</strong>r clerical worker when respondent aged 14, religion brought up in is Anglican.<br />

Notes: Variables miss 1 (mo<strong>the</strong>rs occupation missing) and miss 2 (fa<strong>the</strong>rs occupation missing) predict<br />

failure perfectly, and cannot be added to <strong>the</strong> regression.<br />

134 This is <strong>the</strong> likelihood ratio test <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>sis that all coefficients except <strong>the</strong> intercept are equal to<br />

zero. It is defined as LR = 2 (log likelihood M full – 2 log likelihood M intercept ). The degrees <strong>of</strong> freedom <strong>of</strong> this<br />

chi squared distributed statistic are equal to <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> constrained parameters i.e. <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong><br />

coefficients being tested.<br />

135 This measure <strong>of</strong> fit is also known as <strong>the</strong> likelihood ratio index. It compares <strong>the</strong> full model <strong>of</strong> parameters<br />

(M full ) to a model with just <strong>the</strong> intercept (M intercept ). It is defined as R 2 = 1 – (log likelihood M full / log<br />

likelihood M intercept ) . The value <strong>of</strong> Mcfadden’s Pseudo R 2 increases as new variables are added.

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