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Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

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180<br />

The first group <strong>of</strong> cases dropped for analysis, were dropped as a treatment for missing<br />

information on any <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> variables in analysis. The following variables have missing<br />

information once attrition is accounted for: parental occupation, parental qualifications,<br />

and unemployment spell prior to 3 June 1984. Of <strong>the</strong>se, <strong>the</strong> unemployment spell<br />

information is generally considered <strong>the</strong> most important for evaluation analysis. However<br />

<strong>the</strong> parental background variables have <strong>the</strong> greatest extent <strong>of</strong> missing information. 127<br />

Alternatives to dropping <strong>the</strong>se cases include not using those variables where <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

missing information, and inference or imputation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> missing values. This is briefly<br />

considered in <strong>the</strong> next section. With regard to dropping <strong>the</strong>se variables from <strong>the</strong> analysis:<br />

chiefly <strong>the</strong> unemployment spell would be deemed critical to modelling <strong>of</strong> participation<br />

and employment, and so dropping this variable would introduce misspecification bias,<br />

while <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs may be potentially useful but could possibly be dropped. As dropping<br />

<strong>the</strong>se variables alters <strong>the</strong> specification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> model, this is considered later in Chapter 7.<br />

The second group <strong>of</strong> cases dropped for analysis described <strong>the</strong>mselves as those in fulltime<br />

education at <strong>the</strong> start <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> reference period for <strong>the</strong> evaluation. The central reason<br />

for selecting cases not in fulltime education arises when defining <strong>the</strong> eligible group for<br />

<strong>the</strong> evaluation. For this rationale, those who are in full-time education at <strong>the</strong> point <strong>of</strong><br />

eligibility must be excluded. 128 Retaining <strong>the</strong>se cases would contaminate <strong>the</strong> comparison<br />

group with cases incomparable to those in <strong>the</strong> SYETP treatment group, since <strong>the</strong>y would<br />

not have been eligible to participate in SYETP. In <strong>the</strong> context <strong>of</strong> propensity score<br />

matching, individuals enrolled in fulltime education have a known probability <strong>of</strong> SYETP<br />

participation equal to zero, and could not make good matches for any SYETP treatment<br />

group members, who necessarily have non-zero probabilities <strong>of</strong> SYETP participation. As<br />

this is survey data, and <strong>the</strong> records are based on recall <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>the</strong> potential that some part<br />

<strong>of</strong> this may be subject to recall error, but it is not possible to fur<strong>the</strong>r account for this.<br />

127 It should also be noted that it is quite plausible that respondents did not know or could not recall <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

parents’ occupation or qualification at <strong>the</strong> time <strong>the</strong> respondent was 14.<br />

128 The data here has eligibility set at 3 months unemployment due to <strong>the</strong> sample selection at June 1984,<br />

and also <strong>the</strong> reference period for <strong>the</strong> SYETP treatment variable starts on 3 June 1984. Those dropped<br />

indicated <strong>the</strong>y were in full-time education in <strong>the</strong> period prior to June 1984, and not unemployment, which<br />

makes <strong>the</strong>m ineligible for SYETP.

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