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Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

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176<br />

5.6.1 Survey design and non-response effects on modelling<br />

Mcrae et al. (1985) found that <strong>the</strong> strong differential response effect for movers and nonmovers<br />

affected labour force variables measured in <strong>the</strong> 1984 survey. They pointed out<br />

that models and estimates <strong>of</strong> such variables might be biased by <strong>the</strong> non-response, unless<br />

<strong>the</strong> weights were applied. Movers, who had much lower chance <strong>of</strong> interview, were more<br />

likely than non-movers to be older than 20, married and in employment 121 , and had<br />

briefer CES registration. The definition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> SYETP treatment group relies on 1984<br />

survey data. The eligibility criteria for SYETP, and <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r evidence 122 that <strong>the</strong>y were<br />

more likely to be teenagers, hints that SYETP participants would more commonly have<br />

been non-movers, and have had a higher response rate. In light <strong>of</strong> this, <strong>the</strong> SYETP<br />

participation model is first examined, by exploring <strong>the</strong> effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> survey weights. The<br />

aim is to study <strong>the</strong> influence <strong>of</strong> non-response, and so check whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> mobility, age,<br />

gender, duration <strong>of</strong> registration and state <strong>of</strong> registration were related to <strong>the</strong> variable <strong>of</strong><br />

interest here, SYETP participation.<br />

5.6.1.1 Analytical selection<br />

Before continuing, <strong>the</strong> analytical selection from <strong>the</strong> full data is examined. Recall <strong>the</strong><br />

limits <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> sample: <strong>the</strong> exclusion from those interviewed in 1984 <strong>of</strong> those who were<br />

over 25 years at <strong>the</strong> interview date, those in full-time education, or for whom responses<br />

were missing in 1984, 1985 or 1986 (Richardson (1998): 5). For <strong>the</strong> purposes <strong>of</strong><br />

evaluation analysis <strong>of</strong> SYETP, only those who were aged less than 25 and not in fulltime<br />

education in <strong>the</strong> 1984 survey interview can be <strong>of</strong> interest due to <strong>the</strong> eligibility restrictions<br />

for SYETP.<br />

These are discarded at different stages <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> analysis however. Age was observed in <strong>the</strong><br />

administrative data, and is accounted for in <strong>the</strong> non-response weight and so it is<br />

121 Movers were also less likely to be unemployed, but had <strong>the</strong> same proportions not in <strong>the</strong> labour force as<br />

non-movers.<br />

122 See Chapter 2, for example <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> Hoy and Lampe (1982) covered in Section 2.2.6.2.

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