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Evaluation of the Australian Wage Subsidy Special Youth ...

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173<br />

work in later sections, this supplied weight does not take account <strong>of</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r non-response<br />

beyond <strong>the</strong> 1984 survey, and so additional weights will be developed to adjust for <strong>the</strong><br />

non-response to <strong>the</strong> 1985 and 1986 surveys.<br />

Mcrae et al. (1985) examine <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> each <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> available variables 119 to <strong>the</strong><br />

response rate in 1984. In univariate analysis <strong>of</strong> response rates, <strong>the</strong>y found that 15-19 year<br />

olds were more likely to have been interviewed in 1984. Amongst this age group females<br />

had a higher response than males, but for 20-24 year olds <strong>the</strong>re was no gender difference<br />

in response. The response rate was higher for those who had been unemployed longer.<br />

Movers had a much lower response rate than non-movers, because <strong>the</strong>y could be located<br />

to interview less <strong>of</strong>ten. Certain states, Queensland and <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Territory, had lower<br />

response rates. Logistic regression analysis fur<strong>the</strong>r examined <strong>the</strong> response, removing <strong>the</strong><br />

correlation between <strong>the</strong>se variables and showing <strong>the</strong> direct association with <strong>the</strong> response<br />

rate. This analysis identified mobility to be <strong>the</strong> chief variable related to non-response, but<br />

age, gender, duration <strong>of</strong> registration and state <strong>of</strong> registration had independent effects as<br />

well. Fur<strong>the</strong>r analysis found that <strong>the</strong> strong differential response effect for movers and<br />

non-movers affected labour force variables measured in <strong>the</strong> 1984 survey. A final analysis<br />

compared ALS estimates to corresponding published data from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Australian</strong> Bureau <strong>of</strong><br />

Statistics, which gave similar results or showed readily explainable differences. These<br />

results were interpreted as giving fur<strong>the</strong>r confidence to <strong>the</strong> validity <strong>of</strong> ALS estimates.<br />

Comparison <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> adjusted and unadjusted pr<strong>of</strong>iles gives an indication <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> specific<br />

features that are most strongly affected by survey design, selection and non-response.<br />

Table 5.6 shows <strong>the</strong> effect on <strong>the</strong> data pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> adjusting for selection and response for<br />

<strong>the</strong> 1984 survey respondents. In <strong>the</strong> first column is shown <strong>the</strong> unadjusted pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

data for certain key characteristics, while <strong>the</strong> second column shows how <strong>the</strong> weighted<br />

sample pr<strong>of</strong>ile appears. It can be seen that <strong>the</strong>re is only a very slight effect on <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>ile.<br />

119 Mcrae et al. (1985) p10: CES records held information on <strong>the</strong> age group (15-19 or 20-24), gender,<br />

duration <strong>of</strong> unemployment (measured by <strong>the</strong> time from <strong>the</strong> date <strong>of</strong> registration with <strong>the</strong> Commonwealth<br />

Employment Service [CES] to <strong>the</strong> date <strong>of</strong> sample selection, 30 June 1984; categories <strong>of</strong> less than 3 months,<br />

between 3-9 months, more than 9 months CES registration), State or Territory <strong>of</strong> CES registration, country<br />

<strong>of</strong> birth (Australia or overseas), marital status (married/defacto or unmarried), whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> address <strong>the</strong><br />

person lived at when interviewed was <strong>the</strong> same as <strong>the</strong> address <strong>of</strong> CES registration.

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