Simple analytical models of glacier-climate interactions - by Prof. J ...
Simple analytical models of glacier-climate interactions - by Prof. J ...
Simple analytical models of glacier-climate interactions - by Prof. J ...
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=<br />
ρ i h<br />
ρ i - ρ m<br />
= -δ h . (2.7)<br />
The parameter δ is <strong>of</strong> the order <strong>of</strong> 1/3. The ice thickness is (1+δ)h and we can substitute<br />
this in eq. (2.2):<br />
ρ g (1+δ) h d h<br />
d x = τ 0 . (2.8)<br />
Therefore the solution now becomes<br />
h(x) =<br />
2 τ 0<br />
ρ g (1+δ) x , (2.9)<br />
and we conclude that the pr<strong>of</strong>ile remains parabolic with a slightly modified 'plasticity<br />
parameter' µ isos<br />
µ isos =<br />
2 τ 0<br />
ρ g (1+δ)<br />
. (2.10)<br />
The perfectly plastic ice-sheet model can be used to demonstrate how the HMB-feedback<br />
leads to hysteresis when we consider the response <strong>of</strong> a bounded ice-sheet to <strong>climate</strong><br />
change. Suppose that the specific balance rate is a linear function <strong>of</strong> height:<br />
b n = β (h - E) , (2.11)<br />
where E is the equilibrium-line altitude and β the balance gradient (assumed to be<br />
constant). Now the total mass budget <strong>of</strong> an ice cap will be positive when<br />
h > E (2.12)<br />
So for h < E an ice sheet cannot exist. However, in the case that h > E > 0 a situation<br />
without an ice sheet also represenst an equilibrium state. For E < 0 there has to be an ice<br />
sheet.<br />
Altogether this can be visualised in a solution diagram (Fig. 2.2), showing the<br />
equilibrium states as a function <strong>of</strong> the climatic conditions. In this simple model the ice<br />
sheet can have only two states (for given L). Climate change is represented <strong>by</strong> a shift <strong>of</strong><br />
the equilibrium line. The critical points are shown <strong>by</strong> black dots.<br />
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