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Simple analytical models of glacier-climate interactions - by Prof. J ...

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Fig. 7.2<br />

3500<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

h (m)<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

perfectly plastic<br />

plane shear 1<br />

plane shear 2<br />

0<br />

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600<br />

r (km)<br />

A few interesting conclusions can be draw from the plane-shear solution. For n=3 eq.<br />

(7.10) reads<br />

H 0 = 2<br />

1/8<br />

b<br />

2 A*<br />

R 1/2 (7.13)<br />

This shows that the dependence <strong>of</strong> the ice thickness on the accumulation rate is quite<br />

weak. Halving the accumulation rate reduces the ice thickness <strong>by</strong> only 8%. The same<br />

applies to the relation between ice thickness and flow parameter. On the other hand, the<br />

dependence on ice-sheet radius is larger. Halving the radius reduces the ice thickness <strong>by</strong><br />

30%.<br />

It is hard to judge which model performs best. It is clear that the perfectly plastic model<br />

is not very accurate in the central part <strong>of</strong> an ice sheet. However, in many applications this<br />

does not matter at all. One can try to check the validity <strong>of</strong> the pr<strong>of</strong>iles <strong>by</strong> comparison with<br />

observations. This does not give definite answers as to which pr<strong>of</strong>ile performs best (Van<br />

der Veen, 1999). The less steep slope <strong>of</strong> the parabolic pr<strong>of</strong>ile closer to the ice edge seems<br />

more realistic in many cases, albeit for the wrong reason (in reality s<strong>of</strong>ter ice and sliding<br />

over deformable beds leads to reduced ice thickness).<br />

It is noteworthy that the dependence <strong>of</strong> ice thickness on the radius is the same for the<br />

plane-shear and perfectly-plastic <strong>models</strong>. Altogether, when interest is in the large-scale<br />

response <strong>of</strong> ice sheets to environmental change, and when changes in ice volume are<br />

expected to be mainly the result <strong>of</strong> changes in R, then the perfectly plastic model is not a<br />

bad choice.<br />

25

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