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Simple analytical models of glacier-climate interactions - by Prof. J ...

Simple analytical models of glacier-climate interactions - by Prof. J ...

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Note that values <strong>of</strong> L for which N < 0 are spurious and should not be considered.<br />

An example is shown in Fig. 6.1. Parameter values are: µ = 9 m, ν = 20, s = 0.06 .<br />

Because L = 0 is a stable solution for E ' > 0 (equilibrium line above the bed<br />

everywhere), there are two stable branches and one unstable branch (dotted). In terms <strong>of</strong><br />

catastrophe theory this model represents a fold, but because we add the condition that L<br />

should be positive it appears as a distorted cusp. The branching <strong>of</strong> the steady-state<br />

solutions that shows up here was in fact found numerically a long time ago (Oerlemans,<br />

1981). It should also be mentioned that the dynamics <strong>of</strong> the present <strong>glacier</strong> model are<br />

similar to those <strong>of</strong> a perfectly plastic ice sheet on a flat bed with a sloping equilibrium line<br />

Weertman (1961).<br />

The range <strong>of</strong> E '-values for which two stable solutions exist is<br />

0 ≤ E ' < E ' crit , (6.7)<br />

where the critical point E' crit is found <strong>by</strong> setting Det = 0:<br />

E ' crit =<br />

µ<br />

2 s (1 + ν s)<br />

. (6.8)<br />

Therefore, for increasing slope <strong>of</strong> the bed, the HMB-feedback becomes weaker and the<br />

critical point approaches the origin. The result for the linear <strong>analytical</strong> model is also<br />

shown. In this caseτ 0 /ρg was set to 9 m, because this is consistent with eq. (6.1) for<br />

s = 0. The squares in Fig. 6.1 shows the dependence <strong>of</strong> <strong>glacier</strong> length on E' as found <strong>by</strong><br />

a numerical plane-shear model for a <strong>glacier</strong> <strong>of</strong> constant width. Clearly, the nonlinear<br />

<strong>analytical</strong> model matches the numerical result very well.<br />

Fig. 6.1.<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

L (km)<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

linear model<br />

2<br />

0<br />

nonlinear model<br />

•<br />

•<br />

-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50<br />

E' (m)<br />

21

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