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Simple analytical models of glacier-climate interactions - by Prof. J ...

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5. A volume time scale for valley <strong>glacier</strong>s<br />

A time scale for the adjustment <strong>of</strong> <strong>glacier</strong>s to <strong>climate</strong> change can be derived from the<br />

requirement <strong>of</strong> mass continuity (Jóhanesson et al, 1989; Haeberli and Hoelzle, 1995).<br />

We perform a linear perturbation analysis. Conservation <strong>of</strong> ice volume V can be<br />

expressed as<br />

d V<br />

d t<br />

= d A H m<br />

d t<br />

= H m d A<br />

d t<br />

+ A dH m<br />

d t<br />

. (5.1)<br />

Here A is the <strong>glacier</strong> area and H m the mean ice thickness. Now we write<br />

V = V 0 + V', A = A 0 +A' and H m = H m,0 + H m ', where the reference state is defined<br />

as (V 0 , A 0 , H m,0 ). By substitution in eq. (5.1) and <strong>by</strong> neglecting higher-order terms we<br />

then obtain the perturbation equation<br />

d V'<br />

d t<br />

= H m,0 d A'<br />

d t<br />

+ A 0 dH m '<br />

d t<br />

. (5.2)<br />

Next we assume (see Fig. 7.1):<br />

A' = w f L' , (5.3)<br />

Here w f is the characteristic width <strong>of</strong> the <strong>glacier</strong> tongue.<br />

Fig. 6.1.<br />

L'<br />

total <strong>glacier</strong><br />

area A<br />

w f<br />

flowline<br />

If the mean thickness <strong>of</strong> the <strong>glacier</strong> does not change we have for the change <strong>of</strong> ice volume<br />

with time<br />

17

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