Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...
Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...
Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...
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166 CHAPTER 5. APPLICATIONS OF LEVY COPULAS<br />
Lévy copula of a Lévy process is not linked to any giv<strong>en</strong> time scale; it <strong>de</strong>scribes the <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce<br />
structure of the <strong>en</strong>tire process.<br />
One example of a financial mo<strong>de</strong>lling problem where Lévy copulas naturally appear is the<br />
pricing of multi-ass<strong>et</strong> options on un<strong>de</strong>rlyings, <strong>de</strong>scribed by expon<strong>en</strong>tial Lévy mo<strong>de</strong>ls. In this<br />
s<strong>et</strong>ting the param<strong>et</strong>ers of the marginal Lévy processes can be calibrated from the prices of European<br />
options, quoted at the mark<strong>et</strong>, and the <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce structure will typically be estimated<br />
from the historical time series of r<strong>et</strong>urns. Since the sampling rate of r<strong>et</strong>urns is differ<strong>en</strong>t from<br />
the maturity of tra<strong>de</strong>d options as well as from the maturity of the bask<strong>et</strong> option that one wants<br />
to price, ordinary copulas are not well suited for this problem. Pricing of bask<strong>et</strong> options in a<br />
Lévy copula mo<strong>de</strong>l is discussed in more <strong>de</strong>tail in Section 5.3.<br />
Lévy copulas can also be useful outsi<strong>de</strong> the realm of financial mo<strong>de</strong>lling. Other contexts<br />
where mo<strong>de</strong>lling <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce in jumps is required are portfolios of insurance claims and mo<strong>de</strong>ls<br />
of operational risk.<br />
Consi<strong>de</strong>r an insurance company with two subsidiaries, in France and in Germany. The<br />
aggregate loss process of the Fr<strong>en</strong>ch subsidiary is mo<strong>de</strong>lled by the subordinator {X t } t≥0 and<br />
the loss process of the German one is {Y t } t≥0 . The nature of processes X and Y may be<br />
differ<strong>en</strong>t because the subsidiaries may not be working in the same sector and many risks that<br />
cause losses are local. However, common risks like floods and pan-European windstorms will<br />
lead to a certain <strong>de</strong>gree of <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce b<strong>et</strong>we<strong>en</strong> the claims. In this s<strong>et</strong>ting it is conv<strong>en</strong>i<strong>en</strong>t<br />
to mo<strong>de</strong>l the <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce b<strong>et</strong>we<strong>en</strong> X and Y using a Lévy copula on [0, ∞] 2 . In this mo<strong>de</strong>lling<br />
approach, the two-dim<strong>en</strong>sional Lévy measure of (X, Y ) is known and the overall loss distribution<br />
and ruin probability can be computed.<br />
Another example where jump processes naturally appear is giv<strong>en</strong> by mo<strong>de</strong>ls of operational<br />
risk. The 2001 Basel agreem<strong>en</strong>t <strong>de</strong>fines the operational risk as “the risk of direct and indirect<br />
loss resulting from ina<strong>de</strong>quate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external<br />
ev<strong>en</strong>ts” and allows banks to use internal loss data to compute regulatory capital requirem<strong>en</strong>ts.<br />
Taking into account the <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce b<strong>et</strong>we<strong>en</strong> differ<strong>en</strong>t business lines in this computation, due to<br />
a diversification effect, may lead to substantial reduction of regulatory capital [14]. Aggregate<br />
loss processes from differ<strong>en</strong>t business lines can be dynamically mo<strong>de</strong>lled by subordinators and<br />
the <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce b<strong>et</strong>we<strong>en</strong> them can be accounted for using a Lévy copula on [0, ∞] 2 .