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ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

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ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 96<br />

Temperature Change (Anomalies to 1961-1990)<br />

7<br />

temperature change (°C)<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0123456789101 1213141516171819202122232425262728293031323 343536<br />

Jan<br />

Mar<br />

May<br />

July<br />

Sep<br />

Nov<br />

Jan<br />

Mar<br />

May<br />

July<br />

Sep<br />

Nov<br />

Jan<br />

Mar<br />

May<br />

July<br />

Sep<br />

Nov<br />

a1-min<br />

a1-max<br />

a2-min<br />

a2-max<br />

b1-min<br />

b1-max<br />

b2-min<br />

b2-max<br />

A<br />

2020 2050 2080<br />

30 year time slices<br />

Change in Precipitation (Anomalies to 1961-1990)<br />

precipitation change (mm)<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

-15<br />

0123456789101 12131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536<br />

Jan<br />

Mar<br />

May<br />

July<br />

Sep<br />

Nov<br />

Jan<br />

Mar<br />

May<br />

July<br />

Sep<br />

Nov<br />

Jan<br />

Mar<br />

May<br />

July<br />

Sep<br />

Nov<br />

a1-min<br />

a1-max<br />

a2-min<br />

a2-max<br />

b1-min<br />

b1-max<br />

b2-min<br />

b2-max<br />

B<br />

2020 2050 2080<br />

30 years time slices<br />

Figure 3 Change in monthly temperature (A) and precipitation (B) over the year in the time slices<br />

compared to mean monthly values of the baseline 1990 (time slices are 30 year averages: time slice<br />

1990 is an average over period 1961 – 1990, time slices 2020 is an average over period 1991 - 2020,<br />

time slice 2050 over period 2021 – 2050, and time slice 2080 over period 2051 – 2080). The curves<br />

represent the range of results in four climate models <strong>for</strong> each of the 4 SRES emission scenarios (A1f<br />

red, A2 yellow, B1 blue , B2 green). The range is depicted by the minimum and maximum value from<br />

projections with the four general circulation models per SRES scenario (Data from Mitchell et al. 2004).

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