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ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 78 Sabaté S., Gracia C. A., Pla E., Sánchez, A., Vayreda J. 2003. Aplicación del modelo Gotilwa+ a la previsión de los efectos del Cambio Climático en los bosques europeos. En: Proceedings of the VII Congreso Nacional de la Asociación Española de Ecología Terrestre; España ante los compromisos del Protocolo de Kyoto: Sistemas Naturales y Cambio Climático. Schröter, D., S. Zaehle, S. Schaphoff, W. Lucht, and W. Cramer. 2003. Modelling global change effects on vegetation and exploring our vulnerability. In R. E. Green, M. Harley, L. Miles, J. Scharlemann, A. Watkinson, and O. Watts (eds.); Global Climate Change and Biodiversity Conference Report, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, April 8-10, 2003, Norwich, UK, pp. 4-6. Sitch, S., Smith, B., Prentice, I.C., Arneth, A., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Kaplan, J.O., Levis, S., Lucht, W., Sykes, M.T., Thonicke, K. & Venevsky, S. 2003. Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. Global Change Biology 9:161-185. Smith P, Ambus P, Amézquita MC, … Ewert, F et al. 2003. Greenhouse gas emissions from European croplands. CarboEurope GHG Specific Study Number 2. Clermont-Ferrand, France, 80 pp. Thuiller, W., J. Vaydera, J. Pino, S. Sabaté, S. Lavorel, and C. Gracia. 2003. Large-scale environmental correlates of forest tree distributions in Catalonia (NE Spain). Global Ecology and Biogeography 12:313-325. Thuiller, W. 2003 BIOMOD: Optimising predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biology 9, 1353-1362 Thuiller, W., Araújo, M. B. & Lavorel, S. 2003 Generalized Models versus Classification Tree Analysis: a comparative study for predicting spatial distributions of plant species at different scales. Journal of Vegetation Science 14, 669-680. Thuiller, W., Vaydera, J., Pino, J., Sabaté, S., Lavorel, S. & Gracia, C. 2003 Large-scale environmental correlates of forest tree distributions in Catalonia (NE Spain). Global Ecology & Biogeography 12, 313-325. Van Ittersum MK, Donatelli M, Rowe EC, Jetten TH, Ewert F. 2003. Towards an integrated system for ecological and agro-economic modelling (SEAMLESS) in Europe. Abstract for the Annual Meetings of the American Society of Agronomy. 2-6 November 2003, Denver, Colorado, U.S.A.. Wang, H., A. J. Pitman, M. Zhao, and R. Leemans. 2003. The impact of land cover modification on the June meteorology of China since 1700, simulated using a regional climate model. International Journal of Climatology 23:511-527. 2.1.5 2002 peer-reviewed journal articles Araújo, M.B. & Densham, P.J. Environmental diversity as a surrogate for species diversity: good idea but poor empirical support. Ecography. In press. Araújo, M.B. & Williams, P.H. 2001. The bias of complementary hotspots toward marginal populations. Conservation Biology 15: 1710-1720. Araújo, M.B. 2002. Biodiversity hotspots and zones of ecological transition. Conservation Biology 6: 1662-1663. Araújo, M.B., Densham, P.J., Lampinen, R., Hagemeijer, W.J.M., Mitchell-Jones, A.J., Gasc, J.P. & Humphries, C.J. 2001. Would environmental diversity be a good surrogate for species diversity? Ecography 24: 103-110. Araújo, M.B., Williams, P.H. & Fuller, R. 2002. Dynamics of extinction and the selection of nature reserves. Proceedings of the Royal Society London B269: 1971-1980 (editors choice, Science, Vol. 298, No 5592, Issue of 11 October 2002).
ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 79 Araújo, M.B., Williams, P.H. & Turner, A. 2002. A sequential approach to minimize threats within selected conservation areas. Biodiversity and Conservation 11: 1011-1024. Bakkenes, M., J. R. M. Alkemade, F. Ihle, R. Leemans, and J. B. Latour. 2002. Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050. Global Change Biology 8:390-407. Cramer, W. 2002. Biome models. in H. Mooney and J. Canadell, editors. The Earth System: Biological and Ecological Dimensions of Global Environmental Change. Encyclopaedia of Global Environmental Change Vol 2:166-171. Wiley International, Chichester. Eickhout, B., and R. Leemans. 2002. Integrated global-change modelling with IMAGE 2 for the period 1970-2100. Pages (in press) in P. Kabat, M. Claussen, P. A. Dirmeyer, J. H. C. Gash, L. B. de Guenni, M. Meybeck, R. A. Pielke, Sr., C. J. Vörösmarty, R. W. A. Hutjes, and S. Lütkemeier, editors. Vegetation, Water, Humans and the Climate. A New Perspective on an Interactive System. Springer Verlag, Berlin. Gracia C., Sabaté S., Sánchez A. 2002. El cambio climático y la reducción de la reserva de agua en el bosque Mediterráneo. Ecosistemas, 2.. (http://www.aeet.org/ecosistemas/portada.htm) Kramer, K., I Leinonen, HH Bartelink, P Berbigier, M Borghetti, Ch Bernhofer, E Cienciala, AJ Dolman, O Froer, CA Gracia, A Granier, T Grünwald, P Hari, W Jans, S Kellomäki, D Loustau, F Magnani, G Matteucci, GMJ Mohren, E Moors, A Nissinen, H Peltola, S Sabaté, A Sanchez, M. Sontag, R Valentini, T Vesala 2002. Evaluation of six process-based forest growth models using on eddycovariance measurements of CO2 and H2O fluxes at six forest sites in Europe. Global Change Biology 8, 213-230. Lambin, E. F., P. S. Chasek, T. E. Downing, C. Kerven, A. Kleidon, R. Leemans, M. Lüdeke, S. D. Prince, and Y. Xue. 2002. What Are the Key Dimensions at the International Scale? In: Stafford Smith, D. M. and J. F. Reynolds, editors. Integrated Assessment and Desertification. Dahlem University Press, Berlin. In press. Leemans, R. 2002. Biomass fuel power development. Pages 216-217 in I. Douglas, editor. Encyclopaedia of Global Environmental Change. Volume 3, Causes and consequences of global environmental change. Deerpark Publishing, Shannon. Leemans, R. and A. Kleidon. 2002. What are the key biophysical dimensions at the international scale? In: D. M. Stafford Smith and J. F. Reynolds, editors. Integrated Assessment and Desertification. Dahlem University Press, Berlin. In press. Leemans, R., B. J. Eickhout, B. Strengers, A. F. Bouwman, and M. Schaeffer. 2002. The consequences for the terrestrial carbon cycle of uncertainties in land use, climate and vegetation responses in the IPCC SRES scenarios. China Science. In press. Lindner, M. & Cramer, W. 2002. German forest sector under global change: an interdisciplinary impact assessment. Forstwiss. Cbl., 121 (Suppl. 1):3-17. Lucht, W., Prentice, I.C., Myneni, R. B., Sitch, S., Friedlingstein, P., Cramer, W., Bousquet, P., Buermann, W. & Smith, B. 2002. Climatic control of the high-latitude vegetation greening trend and Pinatubo effect. Science 296:1687-1689 (19) Pla, E. 2002. Modelització de la dinàmica del combustible en ecosistemes arbustius mediterranis. Tesis doctoral. Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. http://www.tdx.cesca.es/TDX-0507103-181536/ Sabaté S., Gracia C y Sánchez A. 2002. Effects of Climate Change on growth of Quercus ilex, Pinus halepensis, Pinus pinaster, Pinus sylvestris and Fagus sylvatica forests in the Mediterranean Region. Forest Ecology and Management, 162, 23-37. Strengers, B., R. Leemans, B. J. Eickhout, H. J. M. de Vries, and A. F. Bouwman. 2002. The land use
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