ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 76
European agricultural land use. I: Estimating changes in crop productivity. For submission to
Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. Submitted.
Rounsevell, M.D.A. Ewert, F. Reginster, I., Leemans, R. and Carter, T. 2004. Future scenarios of
European agricultural land use. II: estimating changes in land use and regional allocation. For
submission to Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. Submitted.
Rounsevell et al. 2004. Synthesis paper: Land use change scenarios for the future of Europe, Part I:
methodology. In preparation.
Schröter D. and W. Cramer 2004. Environmental impacts of global change in Europe. A contribution to
the British Ecological Society/European Ecological Federation Annual Symposium Book Ecology
without frontiers: Environmental challenges across Europe, edited by James Bullock and Alan
Watts. Submitted.
Smith, Jo, Pete Smith, Martin Wattenbach, Jeannette Meyer, Marcus Lindner, Sönke Zaehle, Roland
Hiederer, Bob Jones, Luca Montanarella, Tim Mitchell, Mike Hulme, Mark Rounsevell and Isabelle
Reginster, 2004. Soil carbon fluxes in Europe under climate and land-use change 2000-2100. To
be submitted to Global Change Biology or Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2004. In preparation.
Smith, Jo, Pete Smith, Martin Wattenbach, Sönke Zaehle, Roland Hiederer, Bob Jones, Luca
Montanarella, Tim Mitchell, Mike Hulme, 2004. Cropland CO2 fluxes during the 20th Century. To be
submitted to Global Change Biology or Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 2004. In preparation.
Smith, P., Jo Smith, Martin Wattenbach, Jeannette Meyer, Marcus Lindner, Sönke Zaehle, Roland
Hiederer, Bob Jones, Luca Montanarella, Tim Mitchell, Mike Hulme, Mark Rounsevell and Isabelle
Reginster, 2004. Projected changes in mineral soil carbon in European forests, 1990-2100. To be
submitted to the Canadian Journal of Soil Science, 2004. In preparation.
Thuiller, W., Araújo, M. B., Pearson, R.G., Whittaker, R.J., Brotons, L. & Lavorel, S. Extinction risk from
climate change: the need to account for modelling uncertainty. Submitted.
Thuiller, W., Howell, C. A., Midgley, G. F. & Rouget, M. 2004. Evaluating species distribution models:
methodologies and conservation implications of prevalence and probability thresholds. Submitted.
Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S. & Araújo, M.B. 2004. Niche properties as predictors of species sensitivity to
climate change. Submitted.
Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S. & Sykes, M. Predicting future species distributions using static equilibrium
models: an appraisal. In preparation.
Tuck, Gill, Margaret J. Glendining, Pete Smith and Jo House 2004. Effect of climate change on the
potential distribution of bioenergy crops in Europe. To be submitted to Global Change Biology,
2004. In preparation.
Zaehle, S. 2004. Effect of height incompletely compensated by xylem tapering. Functional Ecology.
Submitted.
Zaehle, S. and the ATEAM carbon sector group 2004. Europe’s terrestrial carbon balance: Net Carbon
uptake may decline after 2050. In preparation.
Zaehle, S., Sitch, S., Prentice, C., Hickler T. 2004 Hydraulic limitation as determinant of age related
decline in forest growth: results of a study with the LPJ-model. In preparation.
Zaehle, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Hattermann, F. 2004. Effects of parameter uncertainties on the
modeling of terrestrial biosphere dynamics. In preparation.
Zierl B, Bugmann H. 2004. Global Change Impact on hydrological processes in Alpine catchments.
Water Resources Research. Submitted.
Zierl B, Bugmann H, Tague, C. 2004. Evaluation of water and carbon fluxes in the ecohydrological