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ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 74 en los bosques. Cuadernos de la Sociedad Española de Ciencias Forestales. In press. Schröter, D. and S. Dekker 2004. Stability and interaction strength within soil food webs of a European forest transect: the impact of N deposition. A contribution to the book series prepared by the decadal Food Web Symposium: Dynamic Food Webs: Multispecies assemblages, ecosystem development, and environmental change, edited by Peter C. De Ruiter and Volkmar Wolters, John Moore, Academic Press. Accepted for publication. Schröter D., L. Brussaard, G. De Deyn, K. Poveda, V.K. Brown, M.P. Berg, D.A. Wardle, J. Moore, D.H. Wall 2004.Trophic interactions in a changing world: modelling aboveground-belowground interactions. Special issue on Above- and Belowground Interactions, edited by W. Van Der Putten, P.C. De Ruiter, M. Bezemer and J. Harvey. Basic and Applied Ecology, 5 (6), 515-528. Schröter, D., C. Polsky, and A. G. Patt. 2004. Assessing vulnerabilities to the effects of global change: an eight step approach. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. In press. Schröter D., M.J. Metzger, W. Cramer, R. Leemans 2004. Vulnerability assessment – analysing the human-environment system in the face of global environmental change. Environmental Science Section Bulletin, Kalmar University, Sweden. In press. Segurado, P. & Araújo, M.B. 2004. An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions. Journal of Biogeography, 31: 15551568. Strengers, B., R. Leemans, B. J. Eickhout, H. J. M. de Vries, and A. F. Bouwman. 2004. The land use projections in the IPCC SRES scenarios as simulated by the IMAGE 2.2 model. GeoJournal (in press). Taylor, A.R., D. Schröter, A. Pflug and V. Wolters. 2004. Responses of different decomposer communities to the manipulation of moisture availability: potential effects of changing precipitation patterns. Global Change Biology, 10, 1–12 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2004.00801.x Thonicke and Cramer 2004. Long-term trends in vegetation dynamics and forest fire in Brandenburg (Germany) under a changing climate. Natural Hazards. In press. Thuiller, W. 2004. Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change. Global Change Biology in press. Thuiller, W., L. Brotons, M. B. Araújo, and S. Lavorel. 2004. Effects of restricting environmental range of data to project current and future species distributions. Ecography 27:165-172. Thuiller, W., M. B. Araújo, and S. Lavorel. 2004. Do we need land-cover data to model species distributions in Europe? Journal of Biogeography 31: 353-361. Thuiller, W., M. B. Araújo, R. G. Pearson, R. J. Whittaker, L. Brotons, and S. Lavorel. 2004. Uncertainty in predictions of extinction risk. Nature 430: 34-35. Thuiller, W., S. Lavorel, G. F. Midgley, S. Lavergne, and A. G. Rebelo. 2004. Relating plant traits and species distributions along bioclimatic gradients for 88 Leucadendron species in the Cape Floristic Region. Ecology 85:1688-1699. Williams, P.H., Hannah, L., Andelman, S., Midgley, G., Araújo, M.B., Hughes, G., Manne, L.L., Martinez- Meyer, E. & Pearson, R. 2004. Planning for climate change: identifying minimum dispersal corridors for the Cape Proteaceae. Conservation Biology. In press. 2.1.3 2004 peer-reviewed journal articles submitted and in preparation Araújo, M.B., Cabeza, M., Thuiller, W., Hannah, L., Williams, P.H. 2004. Would climate change drive species out of reserves? An assessment of existing reserve-selection methods. Submitted. Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W. & Lavorel, S. Assessing vulnerability of biodiversity to global change in Europe. In preparation.
ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 75 Bakker, M., Govers, G., Ewert, F., Rounsevell, M.D.A. and Jones, R. 2004. Variability in regional wheat yields based as a function of climate, soil and economic variables: assessing the risk of confounding. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. Submitted. Eggers, T., Palosuo, T. and Liski J. Comparison of forest carbon budgets based on an inventory-based method to eddy covariance measurements. House, J., G. Tuck and P. Smith 2004. Estimating the potential for biofuel production in a future Europe. To be submitted to Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. In preparation. Jongman, R.H.G., Bunce, R.G.H., Metzger, M.J., Mücher, C.A. and Howard, D.C. 2004. A statistical Environmental Classification of Europe: objectives and applications. Submitted to Landscape Ecology. Klein, R.J.T., L. Acosta-Michlik, P. Reidsma, M.J. Metzger, M.D.A. Rounsevell, R. Leemans and D. Schröter 2004. A scenario-driven spatially explicit model of adaptive capacity to global change in Europe. To be submitted to Global Environmental Change. In preparation. Knorr, W., I.C. Prentice, J.I. House and E.A. Holland, 2004. Temperature sensitivity of soil carbon loss. In preparation for Nature. Liski, J., T. Palosuo, M. Peltoniemi and R. Sievänen 2004. Simple dynamic carbon model for forest soils. To be submitted to Ecological Modelling August 2004. Metzger, M. and D. Schröter 2004. Concept for a spatially explicit and quantitative vulnerability assessment of Europe. Regional Environmental Change. Submitted. Metzger, M., R. Leemans and D. Schröter 2004. A multidisciplinary multi-scale framework for assessing vulnerability to global change. Special Issue of International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation. Submitted. Planned for publication in 2005. Metzger, M. J., R. G. H. Bunce, R. H. G. Jongman, C. A. Mücher, and J. W. Watkins 2004. A statistical stratification of the environment of Europe. Global Ecology and Biogeography. Submitted. Meyer, J., M. Lindner, S. Zudin, J. Liski, A. Pussinen, S. Zaehle 2004.Forestry in Europe under changing climate and land use. To be submitted to Global Change Biology in autumn 2004. Morales, P., Smith, P., Sykes, M.T., Smith, B., Prentice, I.C., Friedlingstein, P., Zierl, B., Sánchez, A., and Sabaté, S. Comparing ecosystem model predictions of carbon and water fluxes in major European forest biomes. To be submitted to Global Change Biology. Palosuo T, J. Liski, J.A. Trofymow, and B. Titus 2004. Testing the soil carbon model Yasso against litterbag data from the Canadian Intersite Decomposition Experiment. To be submitted to Ecological Modelling August 2004. Pearson, R., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B., Martinez-Meyer, E., Midgley, G., Brotons, L., McClean, C., Miles, L., Segurado, P., Dawson, T. & Lees, D. 2004. Uncertainty in species range prediction under climate change. Submitted. Reginster, I. and Rounsevell, M.D.A. 2004. Future scenarios of urban land use in Europe. For submission to Environment and Planning B. In preparation. Reginster, I. and Rounsevell, M.D.A. Future scenarios of urban land use in Europe. Submitted to Environment and Planning B, July 2004 Reginster, I., M. Araujo et al. 2004. Protected area change scenarios. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. In preparation. Reginster, I. et al. 2004. Synthesis paper: Land use change scenarios for the future of Europe, Part II: application and analysis. In preparation. Rounsevell, M.D.A., Ewert, F.,Reginster, I., Metzger, M. and Leemans, R. 2004. Future scenarios of
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