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ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

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ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 108<br />

NBE [PgC yr -1 ]<br />

0.08<br />

0.06<br />

0.04<br />

0.02<br />

0<br />

-0.02<br />

-0.04<br />

-0.06<br />

-0.08<br />

-0.1<br />

1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075<br />

A<br />

HadCM3<br />

CSIRO2<br />

pre-industrial natural variability<br />

CGCM2<br />

PCM2<br />

B<br />

Figure 18. Variations in estimates of net biome exchange (NBE) over climate scenarios derived from<br />

four different climate models using the same emission scenarios (A2). A. Projections of total net biome<br />

exchange of the terrestrial biosphere over time in ATEAM-Europe, 1900-2100. Negative values denote<br />

fluxes into the terrestrial system, positive values denote fluxes out of the terrestrial system into the<br />

atmosphere. B. Changes in net biome exchange. Mean (left map) and standard deviation (right map)<br />

over four scenarios (A2 with four climate models) in ATEAM-Europe, 2071-2100 compared to 1971-<br />

2000. Negative values (green) indicates that flux of carbon to the terrestrial system in a grid cell is<br />

greater in 2071-2100 than in 1971-2000, positive values (red) indicate that this flux has decreased.<br />

NBE due to landuse change [PgC yr -1 ]<br />

NBE due to landuse change<br />

0.06<br />

0.05<br />

0.04<br />

0.03<br />

0.02<br />

0.01<br />

0<br />

-0.01<br />

-0.02<br />

-0.03<br />

-0.04<br />

-0.05<br />

1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075<br />

A1f A2 B1 B2<br />

Figure 19. Total net biome exchange (NBE) of the terrestrial biosphere over time in ATEAM-Europe,<br />

accounting <strong>for</strong> land use change only. The estimates result from model runs driven by climate and land

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