ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

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ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 106 1990 2080 climate model 1 2080 climate model 2 Figure 14. Climate suitability maps for short rotation coppice (SRC), using baseline (1990) climate data and simulated 2080 climate produced by two different climate models (climate model 1 = HadCM3, climate model 2 = CSIRO2), with the A2 emission scenario. 600 600 NAI, million m 3 per year 550 500 450 400 350 300 a1 NAI, million m 3 per year 550 500 450 400 350 300 a2 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 600 600 NAI, million m 3 per year 550 500 450 400 350 300 b1 NAI, million m 3 per year 550 500 450 400 350 300 b2 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 Figure 15. Development of the net annual increment (NAI) for the four SRES scenarios for current climate (long dashes), climate change (short dashes) and combined climate and land use change (grey solid line); sum for the 15 investigated countries.
ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 107 Increase (%) in growing stock 200 150 100 50 0 a1 a2 b1 b2 land-use change climate change management Figure 16. Relative increase in growing stock between 2000 and 2100, for the four SRES scenarios, and for the model runs with current climate, climate change, and climate change plus land use change; as a total for the 15 investigated countries. 12 HadCM3 Pinus sylvestris (Mediterranean) mean ± (sd/10), n = 407 12 HadCM3 Pinus halepensis (Mediterranean) mean ± (sd/10), n = 650 Wood production (m³/ha/yr) 10 8 6 4 2 Wood production (m³/ha/yr) 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Time (yr) HadCM3 Pinus pinaster (Mediterranean) 12 mean ± (sd/10), n = 270 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Time (yr) Wood production (m³/ha/yr) 10 8 6 4 2 Baseline (1901-2000) B1 (2001-2100) B2 (2001-2100) A2 (2001-2100) A1Fi (2001-2100) 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Time (yr) Figure 17. One hundred year series of mean values of wood production (m³ha -1 yr -1 ) under climate change (scenarios A1f, A2, B1 and B2 with climate model HadCM3) for the pine species Pinus sylvestris 39 , P. halepensis 40 and P. pinaster 41 in the Mediterranean region. Bars represent standard deviation (standard deviation/10). 39 Pinus sylvestris, common name: Scots pine. 40 Pinus halepensis, common name: Aleppo pine 41 Pinus pinaster, common name: Maritime pine
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ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

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