ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 104<br />
Table 7. Percentage of total land area in different latitudes of Europe potentially suitable, in terms of climate, <strong>for</strong> growing biomass energy crops in 1990. Change in<br />
potential area due to climate change in 2020s, 2050s and 2080s. <strong>Climate</strong> scenario A2-HadCM3. Increase(↑) or decrease (↓) in % land area: ↑ or ↓ = 3-10% of land<br />
area; ↑↑or ↓↓ = 11-20%; ↑↑↑ or ↓↓↓ =21-30%; ↑↑↑↑ or ↓↓↓↓ = 31-40% etc. See Figure 12 <strong>for</strong> an illustration of the latitudinal bands.<br />
Latitude (degrees) 35-44<br />
45-54 55-64 65-71<br />
Timeslice 1990 2020 2050 2080 1990 2020 2050 2080 1990 2020 2050 2080 1990 2020 2050 2080<br />
Potential biomass<br />
energy crop<br />
%<br />
area<br />
Change in area<br />
relative to 1990<br />
%<br />
area<br />
Change in area<br />
relative to 1990<br />
%<br />
area<br />
Change in area<br />
relative to 1990<br />
%<br />
area<br />
Change in area<br />
relative to 1990<br />
Sunflower 66 ↑ ↓ 55 ↓ ↑↑ ↑↑ 0 ↑ 0<br />
Safflower 16 ↑ ↑↑ 0<br />
↑ 0 0<br />
Rape 63<br />
89 71 ↑ 0 ↑↑↑<br />
Linseed 51 ↑ ↓↓ ↓↓↓ 89<br />
↓↓ 84 ↓ 11 ↑↑ ↑↑↑↑↑<br />
Field Mustard 9 ↓<br />
48 ↑ ↓↓ ↓↓↓ 19 ↑↑↑↑ ↑ ↑ 0 ↑<br />
Castor 44 ↓ ↑<br />
11 ↓ ↑ ↑↑↑ 0 0<br />
Olives 71 ↑↑ ↑<br />
9 ↑↑↑↑↑↑ ↑ ↑↑ 0 ↑ ↑↑ 0<br />
Soybean 75 ↓ ↓<br />
25 ↑↑↑↑↑ ↑ 0 ↑↑ ↑↑ ↑ 0<br />
Groundnut 27 ↑ ↑↑ 3 ↑ ↑ 0<br />
0<br />
Barley 72 ↓ ↓↓↓ 92<br />
↓ 85 ↑ 19 ↑↑↑↑ ↑↑ ↑↑↑<br />
Wheat 58 ↓↓↓ ↓↓↓ 91<br />
↓↓ 71 ↑↑ ↑ 0 ↑↑↑ ↑↑ ↑↑↑↑<br />
Oats 4<br />
66 ↓ ↓↓↓ ↓↓ 69 ↓ ↓↓ 0 ↑↑<br />
Rye 10 ↓ ↓<br />
77 ↓ ↓↓↓ ↓↓↓ 72 ↑ ↓ 0 ↑↑↑<br />
Potato 5 ↓<br />
61 ↓ ↓↓↓ ↓↓ 73 ↑ ↓↓ 0 ↑ ↑↑↑↑↑<br />
Sugarbeet 62 ↓ ↓↓↓ 76 ↑<br />
69 ↑ ↑ 0 ↑ ↑↑↑↑↑<br />
Sugarcane 6 ↓<br />
0 0 0<br />
Maize whole 70 ↓ ↓<br />
87 ↑ 77 ↑ ↑ 12 ↑↑↑ ↑↑↑ ↑↑↑<br />
Hemp 19 ↓ ↓ ↓ 53 ↑↑ ↓ ↓↓↓ 12 ↑↑↑↑↑ ↑↑ ↑ 0 ↑↑<br />
Jerusalem Artichoke 3<br />
46 ↓ ↓↓↓ ↓ 48 ↓ 12 ↑↑↑↑ ↑ ↑↑↑<br />
Cardoon 12 ↑↑<br />
4 ↑ ↑ ↑ 0 0<br />
Kenaf 33 ↑ ↓ ↓↓ 29 ↑ ↑↑ ↑ 0<br />
↑ 0<br />
Prickly Pear 11 ↑ 0<br />
0 0<br />
Sorghum 25 ↑↑↑ ↑ ↓ 22 ↓ ↑ ↑↑ 0<br />
0<br />
Reed Canary Grass 66 ↓↓ ↓<br />
58 ↑↑ 33 ↑↑↑↑ ↑ 18 ↑ ↑ ↑↑↑<br />
Miscanthus 56 ↓↓ ↓<br />
54 ↑↑ 7 ↑↑ ↑ ↑↑ 0<br />
SRC 4 42 ↑ ↓↓ ↓↓↓ 28 ↑↑↑↑ ↑ ↓ 7 ↑ ↑ ↑↑<br />
Eucalyptus 92 ↓ ↓ ↓↓↓ 89 ↑<br />
39 ↑↑ ↑ ↑↑ 0
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