ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
ateam - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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ATEAM final report Section 5 and 6 (2001-2004) 102<br />
Total SOC (Pg)<br />
7<br />
6.5<br />
6<br />
5.5<br />
5<br />
4.5<br />
4<br />
3.5<br />
3<br />
2.5<br />
2<br />
Scenario differences among arable soil C change<br />
1990<br />
1996<br />
2002<br />
2008<br />
2014<br />
2020<br />
2026<br />
2032<br />
2038<br />
2044<br />
2050<br />
2056<br />
2062<br />
2068<br />
2074<br />
2080<br />
2086<br />
2092<br />
2098<br />
Year<br />
A1FI-HadCM3-with-NPP-with-LU-C stock (Pg)<br />
B1-HadCM3-with-NPP-with-LU-C stock (Pg)<br />
A2-HadCM3-with-NPP-with-LU-C stock (Pg)<br />
B2-HadCM3-with-NPP-with-LU-C stock (Pg)<br />
Figure 10. Example of the influence of land-use change. Land use causes the scenarios to diverge<br />
further than does climate alone. SOC = soil organic carbon content.<br />
25<br />
20<br />
Pg C<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
1990<br />
1997<br />
2004<br />
2011<br />
2018<br />
2025<br />
2032<br />
2039<br />
2046<br />
Year<br />
2053<br />
2060<br />
2067<br />
2074<br />
2081<br />
2088<br />
2095<br />
EU15-Arable only EU15-Grass only EU15-Forest only<br />
EU15-Liquid biofuels EU15-Non-woody biofuels EU15-Woody Biofuels<br />
EU15-Surplus<br />
Total C stock (with NPP, with LUC)<br />
Figure 11. Components of total soil carbon stock change 1990-2100. Total carbon stock (in red)<br />
declines, but not as quickly as would be the case if low soil carbon land-uses (e.g. croplands) were not<br />
converted to higher soil carbon land uses (e.g. <strong>for</strong>est, woody bioenergy crops, non-woody, perennial