2006;56;106-130 CA Cancer J Clin Smigal and Michael J. Thun ...

CA Cancer J Clin 2006;56:106–130
FIGURE 3 Annual Age-adjusted Cancer Incidence Rates* Among Males and Females for Selected Cancers, US, 1975 to 2002.
*Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population and adjusted for delays in reporting with the exception of melanoma. Source:
Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program, nine oldest registries, 1975 to 2002, Division of Cancer Control and Population
Sciences, National Cancer Institute, 2005.
Estimated Cancer Deaths
We used the state-space prediction method 12
to estimate the number of cancer deaths expected
to occur in the United States and in each state in
the year 2006. Projections arebased on underlying
cause-of-death from death certificates as reported
to the NCHS. 1 This model projects the
number of cancer deaths expected to occur in
2006 based on the number that occurred each
year from 1969 to 2003 in the United States and
in each state separately.
Other Statistics
We provide mortality statistics for the
leading causes of death as well as deaths from
cancer in the year 2003. Causes of death for
2003 were coded and classified according to
ICD-10. 7 This report also provides updated
statistics on trends in cancer incidence and
mortality rates, the probability of developing
cancer, and 5-year relative survival rates for
selected cancer sites based on data from 1974
through 2002. 3 All age-adjusted incidence
and death rates are standardized to the 2000
US standard population and expressed per
100,000 population.
The long-term incidence rates and trends
(1975 to 2002) are adjusted for delays in reporting
where possible. Delayed reporting affects
the most recent 1 to 3 years of incidence
data (in this case, 2000 to 2002), especially for
cancers such as melanoma and prostate that are
frequently diagnosed in outpatient settings.
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