DnB Markets Oil, Offshore and Shipping Conference - PGS
DnB Markets Oil, Offshore and Shipping Conference - PGS
DnB Markets Oil, Offshore and Shipping Conference - PGS
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<strong>DnB</strong> <strong>Markets</strong> <strong>Oil</strong>, <strong>Offshore</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Shipping</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />
Jon Erik Reinhardsen, President & CEO<br />
Oslo, March 8, 2012
Cautionary Statement<br />
• This presentation contains forward looking information<br />
• Forward looking information is based on management<br />
assumptions <strong>and</strong> analyses<br />
• Actual experience may differ, <strong>and</strong> those differences may<br />
be material<br />
• Forward looking information is subject to uncertainties<br />
<strong>and</strong> risks which are disclosed in <strong>PGS</strong>’ Annual Report<br />
2010<br />
• This presentation must be read in conjunction with the<br />
Company’s financial statements<br />
-2-
Leading Marine Geophysical Company<br />
Marine<br />
Contract<br />
MultiClient<br />
Operations<br />
Data Processing<br />
& Technology<br />
Marine market<br />
leadership<br />
Diverse<br />
MultiClient library<br />
Productivity<br />
leadership<br />
Technology<br />
differentiation<br />
Ca 50% of 2011<br />
Revenues<br />
Ca 40% of 2011 Revenue<br />
Ca 10% of 2011 Revenue<br />
Marine Contract acquires<br />
seismic data exclusively for oil<br />
<strong>and</strong> gas exploration <strong>and</strong><br />
production companies<br />
MultiClient initiates <strong>and</strong><br />
manages seismic data <strong>PGS</strong><br />
acquires, markets <strong>and</strong> sells to<br />
multiple customers on a nonexclusive<br />
basis<br />
Operations supports Marine<br />
Contract <strong>and</strong> MultiClient with<br />
vessel resources <strong>and</strong><br />
manages fleet renewal<br />
strategies<br />
DP&T processes seismic data<br />
acquired by <strong>PGS</strong> for its<br />
MultiClient library <strong>and</strong> for<br />
external clients on contract<br />
<strong>and</strong> manages research <strong>and</strong><br />
development activities<br />
Client focus ● Global presence ● Innovation leadership<br />
-3-
Financial Summary<br />
Revenues<br />
EBITDA<br />
USD million<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
259<br />
215<br />
296<br />
364<br />
242<br />
327<br />
340 345<br />
USD million<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
99<br />
76<br />
136<br />
163<br />
73<br />
164<br />
153<br />
145<br />
-<br />
Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />
-<br />
Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />
USD million<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
29<br />
6<br />
53<br />
EBIT*<br />
42<br />
2<br />
49<br />
44 45<br />
USD million<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
116<br />
Cash Flow from Operations<br />
105<br />
99<br />
81<br />
69 66<br />
150 150<br />
0<br />
Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />
0<br />
Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />
Graphs show numbers for <strong>PGS</strong> continuing business. Figures for prior periods have been restated due to change in accounting policy<br />
*Excluding reversal of impairment of USD 1.3 million in Q4 2010 <strong>and</strong> excluding impairments of USD 2.6 million in Q4 2011, USD 79.9 million in Q3 2010 <strong>and</strong><br />
USD 0.5 million in Q1 2010.<br />
EBITDA, when used by the Company, means income (loss) before income tax expense less, currency exchange gain (loss), other financial expense, other<br />
financial income, interest expense, income (loss) from associated companies, other operating income, impairment of long-lived assets <strong>and</strong> depreciation <strong>and</strong><br />
amortization.<br />
-4-
Robust Future Dem<strong>and</strong> for <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> Gas<br />
100<br />
mb/d<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035<br />
Crude oil: currently producing fields Crude oil: fields yet to be developed<br />
Crude oil: Fields yet to be found Natural gas liquids<br />
Unconventional oil<br />
Source: IEA, oil production in the New Policies Scenario.<br />
-5-<br />
• <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> gas will<br />
continue to be an<br />
important source of<br />
energy<br />
• <strong>Oil</strong> production gap<br />
will increase<br />
dramatically –<br />
seismic will be<br />
important to find<br />
<strong>and</strong> develop new<br />
fields
Exploration <strong>and</strong> Production Spending Continues to Grow<br />
Capital spending in USD million<br />
900 000<br />
800 000<br />
700 000<br />
600 000<br />
500 000<br />
400 000<br />
300 000<br />
200 000<br />
100 000<br />
Actual<br />
Estimates<br />
• Global E&P spending is<br />
expected to approach USD<br />
600 billion in 2012, a 10%<br />
increase vs. 2011<br />
Percentage of oil Companies in survey<br />
increaseing/decreasing spending at<br />
differnt WTI levels<br />
100 %<br />
80 %<br />
60 %<br />
40 %<br />
20 %<br />
0 %<br />
-20 %<br />
-40 %<br />
-60 %<br />
-80 %<br />
-100 %<br />
0<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />
United States Canada Outside North America<br />
WTI price as<br />
of February<br />
17, 2012<br />
• E&P spending, including<br />
seismic spending,<br />
correlates with oil price<br />
development<br />
Source: All graphs <strong>and</strong> data points from Barclays Capital Global 2012 E&P Spending Outlook<br />
-6-
Sharp Increase in Market Activity<br />
3 500<br />
3 000<br />
• Current tender activity<br />
similar to early 2007 level<br />
USD million<br />
2 500<br />
2 000<br />
1 500<br />
• Increase driven by<br />
contract work in Baffin<br />
Bay, Greenl<strong>and</strong>, North<br />
Sea <strong>and</strong> Barents Sea<br />
1 000<br />
500<br />
• Current bid volumes<br />
indicate a tighter marine<br />
contract market in 2012<br />
-<br />
Active Tenders<br />
All Sales Leads (Including Active Tenders)<br />
• Strong GeoStreamer<br />
interest<br />
Source: <strong>PGS</strong> internal estimate as of end January 2012. Value of active tenders <strong>and</strong> sales leads are the sum of active tenders <strong>and</strong> sales<br />
leads with a probability weight <strong>and</strong> represents Marine 3D contract seismic only.<br />
-7-
-8-<br />
Comfortable Visibility<br />
700<br />
USD million<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
• Order book of USD 678<br />
million, fuelled by the large<br />
MultiClient project offshore<br />
Angola<br />
• North Sea season firming<br />
up with expectations of a<br />
tight marine contract market<br />
100<br />
0<br />
• Strong GeoStreamer<br />
momentum continues<br />
Marine order book (including DP)<br />
OptoSeis<br />
Market activity has increased significantly
Healthy Growth in Dem<strong>and</strong> for Seismic<br />
Number of streamers<br />
Total 3D volume in '000 sq.km.<br />
450<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 E<br />
• From 2006 to end 2011 dem<strong>and</strong><br />
for seismic has grown by more<br />
than 70% measured in sq.km.<br />
– HD3D is growing quicker than the<br />
general market<br />
• Growth in ‘12 is expected to be in<br />
excess of 10%<br />
• Expected capacity increases<br />
– 6% increase in 2012<br />
– 6% increase in 2013<br />
0<br />
Q1 06 Q1 07 Q1 08 Q1 09 Q1 10 Q1 11 Q1 12 Q1 13<br />
-9-
Four Basins Driving 2012 Dem<strong>and</strong> Growth<br />
• The North Sea: Major discoveries in 2011<br />
positive for the 2012 season<br />
– Higher prices being achieved<br />
• Angola: Production Sharing Contracts (“PSC”)<br />
signed<br />
– Significant seismic activity in pre-salt regions<br />
• Gulf of Mexico: All major seismic companies<br />
have been awarded seismic permits<br />
– Central Lease sale scheduled for June 20, 2012<br />
• Brazil: Currently good activity<br />
– Launch of license round 11 expected to increase<br />
interest further<br />
-10-
Return on Capital Employed<br />
60 %<br />
55 %<br />
50 %<br />
45 %<br />
• Historically strong returns<br />
over the cycle<br />
40 %<br />
35 %<br />
30 %<br />
25 %<br />
• Returns below cost of<br />
capital in 2010 <strong>and</strong> 2011<br />
– Expected to improve in<br />
2012<br />
20 %<br />
15 %<br />
10 %<br />
5 %<br />
• Weighted average cost of<br />
capital is estimated to 9-<br />
10% (after tax)<br />
0 %<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 FC 2012 E<br />
Return on Cap empl<br />
Post tax return<br />
Return on capital employed is calculated as EBIT (excluding impairments <strong>and</strong> other operating income/expense) as a percentage of average net capital<br />
employed (sum of shareholder’s equity <strong>and</strong> net interest bearing debt adjusted for net assets on discontinued operations). Post tax return is calculated by<br />
deducting the reported tax expense from EBIT. Adjustments have been made to exclude Onshore <strong>and</strong> Production which have been discontinued in the<br />
period. 2005 is N GAAP all other years are IFRS based.<br />
-11-
-12-<br />
<strong>PGS</strong> - Proactive Allocation to MultiClient <strong>and</strong> Contract<br />
MC 3D GeoStreamer data<br />
MC 3D data<br />
MegaSurveys<br />
2D GeoStreamer lines<br />
• MultiClient margin is less volatile<br />
over the cycle compared to<br />
contract work<br />
• <strong>PGS</strong> seeks to optimize profitability<br />
– More Marine Contract in a strong<br />
market<br />
– More MultiClient in a weak market<br />
– MultiClient pre-funding target is<br />
80-120 %<br />
16/2-8 Aldous Major South<br />
16/2-6 Avaldsnes<br />
16/1-8 Luno<br />
• Internal pull for capacity where<br />
margin <strong>and</strong> cash flow get priority
An Industrialized Player in a Growing <strong>and</strong> Maturing Market<br />
• Conservative balance sheet with ability<br />
to h<strong>and</strong>le all market conditions<br />
– Ability to invest in technology, library<br />
<strong>and</strong> capacity through the cycle<br />
– Ability to pay dividend<br />
• A cost efficient <strong>and</strong> modern fleet that<br />
attracts customers <strong>and</strong> delivers<br />
profitability<br />
• Differentiation through technology<br />
Competitively Positioned – Performance Through the Cycle<br />
-13-
Continuously Ahead of Competition<br />
1992 - 1996<br />
1998 - 1999 2007 - 2009<br />
2012 - 2014<br />
Competition<br />
4 – 6 streamers<br />
6 – 8 streamers 8 - 12 streamers<br />
10 10 - - 14 14 streamers<br />
<strong>PGS</strong><br />
8 - 12 streamers<br />
12 - 18 streamers<br />
12 – 22 streamers<br />
14 - 24 streamers<br />
Improved safety <strong>and</strong> cost efficiency<br />
More streamers, longer streamers <strong>and</strong> wider & denser streamer spreads<br />
HD3D market growth <strong>and</strong> GeoStreamer dem<strong>and</strong><br />
-14-
Favorably Positioned on the Industry Cost Curve<br />
Relative cash cost efficiency per streamer per day<br />
<strong>PGS</strong> Ramform vessels<br />
Other <strong>PGS</strong> vessels<br />
Competitors’ vessels<br />
<strong>PGS</strong> fleet is positioned to generate the industry’s best margins<br />
Source: The cash cost curve is based on <strong>PGS</strong>’ internal estimates <strong>and</strong> typical number of streamer towed, <strong>and</strong> excludes GeoStreamer productivity effect. The<br />
graph shows all seismic vessels operating in the market <strong>and</strong> announced new-builds. The Ramform 9&10 are incorporated with 15 streamers, S-class with 14<br />
streamers <strong>and</strong> the V-class with 12 streamers.<br />
-15-
<strong>PGS</strong>’ Fleet Overview<br />
Ramforms<br />
Conventional<br />
5 th Gen<br />
2 ordered & option on 2 more <strong>PGS</strong> Apollo<br />
S-class<br />
Ramform Sterling<br />
Ramform Sovereign<br />
Atlantic Explorer<br />
V-class<br />
Ramform Valiant Ramform Viking Ramform Vanguard<br />
Pacific Explorer<br />
2D<br />
Nordic Explorer<br />
Ramform Challenger<br />
Ramform Explorer<br />
-16-<br />
Sanco Spirit
GeoStreamer GS<br />
A Second Layer of Differentiation<br />
Source Receiver Source Receiver Source Receiver<br />
• GeoStreamer GS removes both source <strong>and</strong> receiver ghosts – the only<br />
ghost free acquisition solution<br />
• A step change in bringing higher resolution <strong>and</strong> better seismic images at<br />
deeper targets<br />
• Deeper streamer tow significantly increases weather window for seismic<br />
acquisition<br />
End 2012 all GeoStreamer vessels will be equipped with GeoSource (GS)<br />
-17-
Next Innovation: Imaging with Primaries <strong>and</strong> Multiples<br />
– A New World for processing<br />
• Using Up <strong>and</strong> Down going<br />
wavefields will lead to radical<br />
improvements in<br />
– sub-surface imaging<br />
– quality <strong>and</strong> accuracy improvements<br />
for modeling reservoir parameters<br />
15 km<br />
SEG salt model - One Source Location<br />
Illumination by Primaries<br />
Illumination by Multiples
Summary Outlook for 2012<br />
• Q1 2012 will be challenging due to<br />
steaming, idle time for low-end vessel<br />
<strong>and</strong> weak pricing<br />
• Bidding activity has increased sharply<br />
• Comfortable backlog established<br />
• Higher prices achieved in the North Sea<br />
– Spill over to other markets expected<br />
• Differentiation increasingly important<br />
– Data quality<br />
– Productivity<br />
• Strong GeoStreamer dem<strong>and</strong><br />
-19-
<strong>PGS</strong> – A Focused Marine Seismic Company<br />
• Productivity & scale<br />
– Building new 5 th generation Ramform<br />
vessels<br />
– Leading 3D MultiClient library return<br />
• Leading edge Data Processing capabilities<br />
• Strong operational capabilities<br />
• Technology differentiaton<br />
– GeoStreamer GS<br />
– Fiber optic monitoring<br />
– Electromagnetics<br />
• Proactive financial management<br />
Strong underlying dem<strong>and</strong> fundamentals – Unique position to<br />
benefit from dem<strong>and</strong> for advanced seismic<br />
Competitively Positioned – Performance Through the Cycle<br />
-20-