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DnB Markets Oil, Offshore and Shipping Conference - PGS

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<strong>DnB</strong> <strong>Markets</strong> <strong>Oil</strong>, <strong>Offshore</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Shipping</strong> <strong>Conference</strong><br />

Jon Erik Reinhardsen, President & CEO<br />

Oslo, March 8, 2012


Cautionary Statement<br />

• This presentation contains forward looking information<br />

• Forward looking information is based on management<br />

assumptions <strong>and</strong> analyses<br />

• Actual experience may differ, <strong>and</strong> those differences may<br />

be material<br />

• Forward looking information is subject to uncertainties<br />

<strong>and</strong> risks which are disclosed in <strong>PGS</strong>’ Annual Report<br />

2010<br />

• This presentation must be read in conjunction with the<br />

Company’s financial statements<br />

-2-


Leading Marine Geophysical Company<br />

Marine<br />

Contract<br />

MultiClient<br />

Operations<br />

Data Processing<br />

& Technology<br />

Marine market<br />

leadership<br />

Diverse<br />

MultiClient library<br />

Productivity<br />

leadership<br />

Technology<br />

differentiation<br />

Ca 50% of 2011<br />

Revenues<br />

Ca 40% of 2011 Revenue<br />

Ca 10% of 2011 Revenue<br />

Marine Contract acquires<br />

seismic data exclusively for oil<br />

<strong>and</strong> gas exploration <strong>and</strong><br />

production companies<br />

MultiClient initiates <strong>and</strong><br />

manages seismic data <strong>PGS</strong><br />

acquires, markets <strong>and</strong> sells to<br />

multiple customers on a nonexclusive<br />

basis<br />

Operations supports Marine<br />

Contract <strong>and</strong> MultiClient with<br />

vessel resources <strong>and</strong><br />

manages fleet renewal<br />

strategies<br />

DP&T processes seismic data<br />

acquired by <strong>PGS</strong> for its<br />

MultiClient library <strong>and</strong> for<br />

external clients on contract<br />

<strong>and</strong> manages research <strong>and</strong><br />

development activities<br />

Client focus ● Global presence ● Innovation leadership<br />

-3-


Financial Summary<br />

Revenues<br />

EBITDA<br />

USD million<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

259<br />

215<br />

296<br />

364<br />

242<br />

327<br />

340 345<br />

USD million<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

99<br />

76<br />

136<br />

163<br />

73<br />

164<br />

153<br />

145<br />

-<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />

-<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />

USD million<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

29<br />

6<br />

53<br />

EBIT*<br />

42<br />

2<br />

49<br />

44 45<br />

USD million<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

116<br />

Cash Flow from Operations<br />

105<br />

99<br />

81<br />

69 66<br />

150 150<br />

0<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />

0<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11<br />

Graphs show numbers for <strong>PGS</strong> continuing business. Figures for prior periods have been restated due to change in accounting policy<br />

*Excluding reversal of impairment of USD 1.3 million in Q4 2010 <strong>and</strong> excluding impairments of USD 2.6 million in Q4 2011, USD 79.9 million in Q3 2010 <strong>and</strong><br />

USD 0.5 million in Q1 2010.<br />

EBITDA, when used by the Company, means income (loss) before income tax expense less, currency exchange gain (loss), other financial expense, other<br />

financial income, interest expense, income (loss) from associated companies, other operating income, impairment of long-lived assets <strong>and</strong> depreciation <strong>and</strong><br />

amortization.<br />

-4-


Robust Future Dem<strong>and</strong> for <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> Gas<br />

100<br />

mb/d<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035<br />

Crude oil: currently producing fields Crude oil: fields yet to be developed<br />

Crude oil: Fields yet to be found Natural gas liquids<br />

Unconventional oil<br />

Source: IEA, oil production in the New Policies Scenario.<br />

-5-<br />

• <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> gas will<br />

continue to be an<br />

important source of<br />

energy<br />

• <strong>Oil</strong> production gap<br />

will increase<br />

dramatically –<br />

seismic will be<br />

important to find<br />

<strong>and</strong> develop new<br />

fields


Exploration <strong>and</strong> Production Spending Continues to Grow<br />

Capital spending in USD million<br />

900 000<br />

800 000<br />

700 000<br />

600 000<br />

500 000<br />

400 000<br />

300 000<br />

200 000<br />

100 000<br />

Actual<br />

Estimates<br />

• Global E&P spending is<br />

expected to approach USD<br />

600 billion in 2012, a 10%<br />

increase vs. 2011<br />

Percentage of oil Companies in survey<br />

increaseing/decreasing spending at<br />

differnt WTI levels<br />

100 %<br />

80 %<br />

60 %<br />

40 %<br />

20 %<br />

0 %<br />

-20 %<br />

-40 %<br />

-60 %<br />

-80 %<br />

-100 %<br />

0<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />

United States Canada Outside North America<br />

WTI price as<br />

of February<br />

17, 2012<br />

• E&P spending, including<br />

seismic spending,<br />

correlates with oil price<br />

development<br />

Source: All graphs <strong>and</strong> data points from Barclays Capital Global 2012 E&P Spending Outlook<br />

-6-


Sharp Increase in Market Activity<br />

3 500<br />

3 000<br />

• Current tender activity<br />

similar to early 2007 level<br />

USD million<br />

2 500<br />

2 000<br />

1 500<br />

• Increase driven by<br />

contract work in Baffin<br />

Bay, Greenl<strong>and</strong>, North<br />

Sea <strong>and</strong> Barents Sea<br />

1 000<br />

500<br />

• Current bid volumes<br />

indicate a tighter marine<br />

contract market in 2012<br />

-<br />

Active Tenders<br />

All Sales Leads (Including Active Tenders)<br />

• Strong GeoStreamer<br />

interest<br />

Source: <strong>PGS</strong> internal estimate as of end January 2012. Value of active tenders <strong>and</strong> sales leads are the sum of active tenders <strong>and</strong> sales<br />

leads with a probability weight <strong>and</strong> represents Marine 3D contract seismic only.<br />

-7-


-8-<br />

Comfortable Visibility<br />

700<br />

USD million<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

• Order book of USD 678<br />

million, fuelled by the large<br />

MultiClient project offshore<br />

Angola<br />

• North Sea season firming<br />

up with expectations of a<br />

tight marine contract market<br />

100<br />

0<br />

• Strong GeoStreamer<br />

momentum continues<br />

Marine order book (including DP)<br />

OptoSeis<br />

Market activity has increased significantly


Healthy Growth in Dem<strong>and</strong> for Seismic<br />

Number of streamers<br />

Total 3D volume in '000 sq.km.<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 E<br />

• From 2006 to end 2011 dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for seismic has grown by more<br />

than 70% measured in sq.km.<br />

– HD3D is growing quicker than the<br />

general market<br />

• Growth in ‘12 is expected to be in<br />

excess of 10%<br />

• Expected capacity increases<br />

– 6% increase in 2012<br />

– 6% increase in 2013<br />

0<br />

Q1 06 Q1 07 Q1 08 Q1 09 Q1 10 Q1 11 Q1 12 Q1 13<br />

-9-


Four Basins Driving 2012 Dem<strong>and</strong> Growth<br />

• The North Sea: Major discoveries in 2011<br />

positive for the 2012 season<br />

– Higher prices being achieved<br />

• Angola: Production Sharing Contracts (“PSC”)<br />

signed<br />

– Significant seismic activity in pre-salt regions<br />

• Gulf of Mexico: All major seismic companies<br />

have been awarded seismic permits<br />

– Central Lease sale scheduled for June 20, 2012<br />

• Brazil: Currently good activity<br />

– Launch of license round 11 expected to increase<br />

interest further<br />

-10-


Return on Capital Employed<br />

60 %<br />

55 %<br />

50 %<br />

45 %<br />

• Historically strong returns<br />

over the cycle<br />

40 %<br />

35 %<br />

30 %<br />

25 %<br />

• Returns below cost of<br />

capital in 2010 <strong>and</strong> 2011<br />

– Expected to improve in<br />

2012<br />

20 %<br />

15 %<br />

10 %<br />

5 %<br />

• Weighted average cost of<br />

capital is estimated to 9-<br />

10% (after tax)<br />

0 %<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 FC 2012 E<br />

Return on Cap empl<br />

Post tax return<br />

Return on capital employed is calculated as EBIT (excluding impairments <strong>and</strong> other operating income/expense) as a percentage of average net capital<br />

employed (sum of shareholder’s equity <strong>and</strong> net interest bearing debt adjusted for net assets on discontinued operations). Post tax return is calculated by<br />

deducting the reported tax expense from EBIT. Adjustments have been made to exclude Onshore <strong>and</strong> Production which have been discontinued in the<br />

period. 2005 is N GAAP all other years are IFRS based.<br />

-11-


-12-<br />

<strong>PGS</strong> - Proactive Allocation to MultiClient <strong>and</strong> Contract<br />

MC 3D GeoStreamer data<br />

MC 3D data<br />

MegaSurveys<br />

2D GeoStreamer lines<br />

• MultiClient margin is less volatile<br />

over the cycle compared to<br />

contract work<br />

• <strong>PGS</strong> seeks to optimize profitability<br />

– More Marine Contract in a strong<br />

market<br />

– More MultiClient in a weak market<br />

– MultiClient pre-funding target is<br />

80-120 %<br />

16/2-8 Aldous Major South<br />

16/2-6 Avaldsnes<br />

16/1-8 Luno<br />

• Internal pull for capacity where<br />

margin <strong>and</strong> cash flow get priority


An Industrialized Player in a Growing <strong>and</strong> Maturing Market<br />

• Conservative balance sheet with ability<br />

to h<strong>and</strong>le all market conditions<br />

– Ability to invest in technology, library<br />

<strong>and</strong> capacity through the cycle<br />

– Ability to pay dividend<br />

• A cost efficient <strong>and</strong> modern fleet that<br />

attracts customers <strong>and</strong> delivers<br />

profitability<br />

• Differentiation through technology<br />

Competitively Positioned – Performance Through the Cycle<br />

-13-


Continuously Ahead of Competition<br />

1992 - 1996<br />

1998 - 1999 2007 - 2009<br />

2012 - 2014<br />

Competition<br />

4 – 6 streamers<br />

6 – 8 streamers 8 - 12 streamers<br />

10 10 - - 14 14 streamers<br />

<strong>PGS</strong><br />

8 - 12 streamers<br />

12 - 18 streamers<br />

12 – 22 streamers<br />

14 - 24 streamers<br />

Improved safety <strong>and</strong> cost efficiency<br />

More streamers, longer streamers <strong>and</strong> wider & denser streamer spreads<br />

HD3D market growth <strong>and</strong> GeoStreamer dem<strong>and</strong><br />

-14-


Favorably Positioned on the Industry Cost Curve<br />

Relative cash cost efficiency per streamer per day<br />

<strong>PGS</strong> Ramform vessels<br />

Other <strong>PGS</strong> vessels<br />

Competitors’ vessels<br />

<strong>PGS</strong> fleet is positioned to generate the industry’s best margins<br />

Source: The cash cost curve is based on <strong>PGS</strong>’ internal estimates <strong>and</strong> typical number of streamer towed, <strong>and</strong> excludes GeoStreamer productivity effect. The<br />

graph shows all seismic vessels operating in the market <strong>and</strong> announced new-builds. The Ramform 9&10 are incorporated with 15 streamers, S-class with 14<br />

streamers <strong>and</strong> the V-class with 12 streamers.<br />

-15-


<strong>PGS</strong>’ Fleet Overview<br />

Ramforms<br />

Conventional<br />

5 th Gen<br />

2 ordered & option on 2 more <strong>PGS</strong> Apollo<br />

S-class<br />

Ramform Sterling<br />

Ramform Sovereign<br />

Atlantic Explorer<br />

V-class<br />

Ramform Valiant Ramform Viking Ramform Vanguard<br />

Pacific Explorer<br />

2D<br />

Nordic Explorer<br />

Ramform Challenger<br />

Ramform Explorer<br />

-16-<br />

Sanco Spirit


GeoStreamer GS<br />

A Second Layer of Differentiation<br />

Source Receiver Source Receiver Source Receiver<br />

• GeoStreamer GS removes both source <strong>and</strong> receiver ghosts – the only<br />

ghost free acquisition solution<br />

• A step change in bringing higher resolution <strong>and</strong> better seismic images at<br />

deeper targets<br />

• Deeper streamer tow significantly increases weather window for seismic<br />

acquisition<br />

End 2012 all GeoStreamer vessels will be equipped with GeoSource (GS)<br />

-17-


Next Innovation: Imaging with Primaries <strong>and</strong> Multiples<br />

– A New World for processing<br />

• Using Up <strong>and</strong> Down going<br />

wavefields will lead to radical<br />

improvements in<br />

– sub-surface imaging<br />

– quality <strong>and</strong> accuracy improvements<br />

for modeling reservoir parameters<br />

15 km<br />

SEG salt model - One Source Location<br />

Illumination by Primaries<br />

Illumination by Multiples


Summary Outlook for 2012<br />

• Q1 2012 will be challenging due to<br />

steaming, idle time for low-end vessel<br />

<strong>and</strong> weak pricing<br />

• Bidding activity has increased sharply<br />

• Comfortable backlog established<br />

• Higher prices achieved in the North Sea<br />

– Spill over to other markets expected<br />

• Differentiation increasingly important<br />

– Data quality<br />

– Productivity<br />

• Strong GeoStreamer dem<strong>and</strong><br />

-19-


<strong>PGS</strong> – A Focused Marine Seismic Company<br />

• Productivity & scale<br />

– Building new 5 th generation Ramform<br />

vessels<br />

– Leading 3D MultiClient library return<br />

• Leading edge Data Processing capabilities<br />

• Strong operational capabilities<br />

• Technology differentiaton<br />

– GeoStreamer GS<br />

– Fiber optic monitoring<br />

– Electromagnetics<br />

• Proactive financial management<br />

Strong underlying dem<strong>and</strong> fundamentals – Unique position to<br />

benefit from dem<strong>and</strong> for advanced seismic<br />

Competitively Positioned – Performance Through the Cycle<br />

-20-

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