The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012
The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012
The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012
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Latest Developments on the Rental Markets<br />
Office Markets in Germany<br />
<strong>The</strong> German office centers are increasingly benefiting from the economic upturn, and in turn<br />
are helping to rekindle the interest of international investors. Whereas in 2010, rental income<br />
already rose perceptibly compared with the previous year (albeit from a low level), vacancy levels,<br />
too, appeared to have reached a turning point at the beginning of <strong>2011</strong>. Among Germany’s<br />
major office markets, Frankfurt continues to report by far the highest vacancy rate. However,<br />
vacancies should be gradually reduced as a result of the ongoing rise in turnover of floor space<br />
combined with low new construction volumes.<br />
Despite Germany’s strong economic growth, given the slump suffered and the uncertainty<br />
which still persists in the wake of the financial and economic crisis, only a subdued improvement<br />
is to be expected on the rental markets. A broad-based upturn on the German office markets<br />
is not anticipated until the second half of <strong>2012</strong> at the earliest.<br />
Office Market Situation and 12-month Trend<br />
Berlin<br />
Düsseldorf<br />
Frankfurt<br />
Hamburg<br />
Cologne<br />
Leipzig<br />
Munich<br />
Stuttgart<br />
69<br />
Landlords’<br />
market<br />
Tenants’ market<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Source: Eurohypo RAC Research<br />
Thus, office markets will on the whole remain tenants’ markets in the current year. A broadbased<br />
increase in rents cannot yet be expected, as supply is still high. Letting activity will<br />
probably continue to be strongly driven by office space optimization. This means that it will be<br />
very difficult to market older, inefficient properties which no longer meet modern standards.<br />
By contrast, modern office premises will remain in demand. Because supply shortages arise<br />
most quickly in prime properties in A1 locations, peak rents will rise slightly in some places.<br />
On balance, the current year is likely to see a trend of polarization in the market, with modern<br />
properties in prime locations on the one hand and suboptimal properties in secondary submarkets<br />
on the other.