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The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012

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Latest Developments on the Rental Markets<br />

Office Markets in Germany<br />

<strong>The</strong> German office centers are increasingly benefiting from the economic upturn, and in turn<br />

are helping to rekindle the interest of international investors. Whereas in 2010, rental income<br />

already rose perceptibly compared with the previous year (albeit from a low level), vacancy levels,<br />

too, appeared to have reached a turning point at the beginning of <strong>2011</strong>. Among Germany’s<br />

major office markets, Frankfurt continues to report by far the highest vacancy rate. However,<br />

vacancies should be gradually reduced as a result of the ongoing rise in turnover of floor space<br />

combined with low new construction volumes.<br />

Despite Germany’s strong economic growth, given the slump suffered and the uncertainty<br />

which still persists in the wake of the financial and economic crisis, only a subdued improvement<br />

is to be expected on the rental markets. A broad-based upturn on the German office markets<br />

is not anticipated until the second half of <strong>2012</strong> at the earliest.<br />

Office Market Situation and 12-month Trend<br />

Berlin<br />

Düsseldorf<br />

Frankfurt<br />

Hamburg<br />

Cologne<br />

Leipzig<br />

Munich<br />

Stuttgart<br />

69<br />

Landlords’<br />

market<br />

Tenants’ market<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Source: Eurohypo RAC Research<br />

Thus, office markets will on the whole remain tenants’ markets in the current year. A broadbased<br />

increase in rents cannot yet be expected, as supply is still high. Letting activity will<br />

probably continue to be strongly driven by office space optimization. This means that it will be<br />

very difficult to market older, inefficient properties which no longer meet modern standards.<br />

By contrast, modern office premises will remain in demand. Because supply shortages arise<br />

most quickly in prime properties in A1 locations, peak rents will rise slightly in some places.<br />

On balance, the current year is likely to see a trend of polarization in the market, with modern<br />

properties in prime locations on the one hand and suboptimal properties in secondary submarkets<br />

on the other.

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