The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012
The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012
The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012
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<strong>The</strong> German Property Market – Guaranteeing the Sustained Value of Mortgage <strong>Pfandbrief</strong>e<br />
In the eyes of risk-averse property investors or investors in Mortgage <strong>Pfandbrief</strong>e, Germany<br />
benefits from a number of positive factors:<br />
Aggregated for Germany as a whole, losses in the value of commercial properties have<br />
consistently stayed well below 40%. Indeed, in the current crisis, valuation corrections<br />
amounted to less than 20%, which is by far the lowest figure compared with peer markets.<br />
Based on the conservative rule which applies to the determination of the MLV (market<br />
value = upper limit of the MLV), cover for <strong>Pfandbrief</strong>e in the form of mortgages was not at<br />
risk at any time (for more about the relationship between market value and MLV, see the<br />
box below). In terms of the sustainability of value, then, the market must be regarded as<br />
very safe.<br />
Unlike the other four established property markets (above), in Germany all three downturns<br />
are very similar with regard to the need for write-downs and the course of events<br />
– irrespective of what caused the individual downturns (i.e. whether they were driven by<br />
events on the property market, or not).<br />
From the investor’s viewpoint the German market has, moreover, shown itself to possess a<br />
high level of predictability. Above all, this is attributable to the low volatility of the German<br />
rental markets and the sustained action by market players. This is confirmed, yet again, by<br />
latest developments in individual commercial property segments.<br />
68<br />
Mortgage Lending Value Creates Security<br />
Whereas the market value on a given date usually serves as the basis for an investment decision,<br />
the mortgage lending value (MLV) of a property – which takes its bearings from the<br />
entire life of the loan – is the basis for the refinancing of loans by issuing Mortgage <strong>Pfandbrief</strong>e.<br />
Thus, the MLV is a stable value in the long term: market fluctuations, particularly downswings,<br />
should already be factored into the MLV. <strong>The</strong> general rule is that the MLV must not<br />
exceed the market value.<br />
<strong>The</strong> market value and the MLV are calculated using the same method, but differ greatly in<br />
terms of the underlying assumptions. German law prescribes certain restrictions when determining<br />
the MLV which are intended to take into account the safety aspect of the <strong>Pfandbrief</strong> as<br />
an investment eligible for trusts. In the case of income properties, for instance, only a rental<br />
income that any property owner would be able to generate on a lasting basis may be taken<br />
into consideration. Furthermore, regulatory limits apply to certain valuation parameters, e.g.<br />
minimum amounts for operating expenses, bands for the useful life of a building and lower<br />
limits for capitalization rates; moreover, haircuts have to be complied with when using the<br />
asset value method or the comparable method of valuation.<br />
Through the concept of the MLV, which is based on permanent features of the property, it<br />
is possible in principle to cushion even fluctuations such as those seen in the last crisis without<br />
affecting the calculation of cover. Even in exceptional cases in highly volatile markets, a<br />
50% loss in the market value would not affect the senior tranches of mortgages that serve as<br />
collateral for <strong>Pfandbrief</strong>e. If, however, a severe slump in prices were to raise the possibility of<br />
losses, the MLV must be adjusted accordingly for cover calculation purposes.<br />
Mortgage lending values are calculated by valuers who are required to furnish proof that<br />
they are specially qualified to carry out the determination of the MLV. In this way, it is assured<br />
that the high demands placed on the valuation, and therefore on the quality of the <strong>Pfandbrief</strong>,<br />
are met at all times when the MLV is determined.