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The Pfandbrief 2011 | 2012

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<strong>The</strong> German Property Market – Guaranteeing the Sustained Value of Mortgage <strong>Pfandbrief</strong>e<br />

Low Structural Risk by International Comparison<br />

Germany belongs to a small group of markets worldwide which exhibit very low risk potential<br />

for medium to long-term property investments. This is borne out by the annually updated<br />

Eurohypo Real Estate Appraisal & Consulting (RAC) property market ranking* which, based on<br />

a dataset containing macroeconomic and property-related determinants, identifies long-term<br />

structural risks and condenses them into a risk ratio (country score).<br />

Structural Risks of National Property Markets: a Global Comparison<br />

66<br />

Country score<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

9<br />

10<br />

Country score 1 = property market with very low structural risk; 10 = property market with very high structural risk<br />

Source: Eurohypo RAC Research<br />

Since the ranking was first compiled in 2005, Germany has held one of the top places, with a<br />

country score of 2 (meaning the structural risk is particularly low). Besides the appeal of the<br />

market (market size, wealth, etc.) the main points in Germany’s favor are political, legal and<br />

fiscal stability. <strong>The</strong> freedom offered in a market economy, legal certainty and market transparency<br />

ensure that cross-border investments are characterized by investor-friendly market entry<br />

conditions and costs in every market phase. Efficient market mechanisms and a diversified<br />

economic structure guarantee that, after phases of cyclical downswing, economic expansionary<br />

forces again become broad based. Moreover, the financial crisis showed that Germany has<br />

efficient public institutions in place which are able to identify systemic risk both quickly and<br />

purposefully, and to curb systemic risk by way of concerted crisis management (e.g. bank res-<br />

* In terms of the information it provides, methodological procedure as well as the selection and weighting of relevant criteria,<br />

the Eurohypo RAC property market ranking is heavily modeled on the Property and Market Rating concept of the European Group<br />

of Valuers’ Associations TEGoVA.

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