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effects. The number of factors was<br />

set between 2 and 6. The validation<br />

option was set to Full Cross<br />

Validation (see later), and the Expert<br />

Assist (see later) was selected for the<br />

calibration. The first method was built<br />

using the full range (20 – 270 OH<br />

number) of samples. However, the<br />

second method was built covering a<br />

much smaller range of OH number<br />

(25 – 60). The second method was<br />

able to predict <strong>more</strong> accurately<br />

values within its low OH range. The<br />

first method however, was able to<br />

predict values better for the samples<br />

lying higher in the range, but was not<br />

as accurate for the mid-range values.<br />

Results and discussion<br />

The absorbance spectra for the<br />

polyol standards and the unknowns<br />

were collected and two examples,<br />

representing extremes of OH number,<br />

are shown in Figure 1. The spectral<br />

variations at approximately 7200 –<br />

6670 and 5300 – 4760 cm -1 (1389 –<br />

1499 and 1887 – 2100 nm) clearly<br />

show differing OH number, and<br />

correspond to polymeric O-H first<br />

overtone and O-H combination bands<br />

respectively. Temperature variation is<br />

important to consider in the analysis<br />

of polyols and other NIR applications.<br />

This application did not require<br />

temperature control, and heating<br />

was not necessary as all the samples<br />

were liquid at room temperature.<br />

However, care was taken to ensure<br />

that the sample temperatures were<br />

allowed to equilibrate and the<br />

samples were left in the beam for the<br />

same length of time before each<br />

measurement was made.<br />

The QUANT+ software is capable<br />

of modeling the concentrations in<br />

terms of the spectral contributions<br />

relevant to OH determination. This<br />

algorithm can extract the factors in<br />

the calibration that are not responsible<br />

for the specific OH value (the<br />

chemical constituent of interest)<br />

by eliminating the corresponding<br />

dimensions (spectral absorptions)<br />

from the model.<br />

The error present in an OH<br />

evaluation due to hydroxyl band of<br />

moisture absorbed in the sample can<br />

then therefore be minimized by<br />

Factors Standard Error of Prediction % Variance<br />

Limited Range 2 0.91 99.86<br />

Figure 2: Estimated vs. Specified – limited range method.<br />

digitally separating the different OH<br />

bands using this feature of the<br />

software. The calibration equation is<br />

modeled to exclude irrelevant bands<br />

from the analysis, and minimize the<br />

error in the prediction results.<br />

The Full Cross Validation feature<br />

used in this application further<br />

improves the reliability of results.<br />

The software drops one sample from<br />

the calibration set and performs an<br />

entire calibration with the remaining<br />

samples, then makes a prediction for<br />

the sample left. In normal<br />

applications the sample being<br />

predicted is not present in the<br />

calibration set, this gives a <strong>more</strong><br />

realistic if less accurate result. The<br />

Expert Assist option in the software<br />

makes intelligent decisions<br />

regarding the spectra in the<br />

calibration set. The Expert will<br />

decide whether to reject any spectra<br />

or specific regions of spectra in the<br />

calibration set, or disregard any<br />

property values on the basis of a set<br />

of rules developed for IR quantitative<br />

analysis. It will also identify any<br />

outliers in the set. Once these<br />

decisions have been made to exclude<br />

some data in the set, the software<br />

will decide whether or not the<br />

calibration needs to be repeated.<br />

The procedure continues iteratively<br />

until all the rules are satisfied.<br />

The method built over the narrow<br />

range of OH number was used to<br />

predict the samples of OH value<br />

ranging from 20 to 50. The error<br />

estimates are considerably better<br />

than the results obtained using the<br />

full calibration set. By looking at the<br />

results tabulated in the table in Figure<br />

2, 99.86 % of the data can be<br />

explained using 2 factors with a<br />

standard estimate of prediction (SEP)<br />

of 0.91 OH number. Figure 2 illustrates<br />

the accuracy of the method in the<br />

form of an Estimated value versus<br />

Specified value plot. Prediction of<br />

OH number on the 8 independent<br />

samples using this calibrated method<br />

gave OH numbers that were found to<br />

lie within ca. +/– 1 OH number of<br />

the value obtained from the<br />

reference method (titration).<br />

The full range method uses a larger<br />

calibration set to predict OH number<br />

over a much wider range (20 – 275).<br />

The values recorded in the table in<br />

Figure 3 show that in this method,<br />

99.98% of the data can be explained<br />

using three factors in this analysis.<br />

The SEP is much larger in this<br />

method (4.60 OH number) and was<br />

found to be better at predicting<br />

OH number of the higher valued<br />

unknowns.

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