REGINE Regularisations in Europe Final Report - European ...

REGINE Regularisations in Europe Final Report - European ... REGINE Regularisations in Europe Final Report - European ...

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9.2 Regularisation practices in Switzerland and the USA As part of this study, we have examined two federal governance systems external to the EU – namely, Switzerland and the USA. 367 Both have extensive experience with irregular immigrant residence, albeit with very different immigration structures and histories. Switzerland is now considered to be a country with not only high immigrant stocks, but also high irregular immigrant stocks (>2% of total population); the USA for some time has had declining legal immigrant stocks whilst illegal stocks have risen continuously, currently constituting over 4% of total population. By most estimations, these stocks are high enough to be considered serious policy failures – certainly, they are higher proportions than exist in all but two EU Member States. It only remains for us to pose the question: ‘Does the EU have anything to learn from those experiences’? Taking first the case of Switzerland, the most pronounced aspect of its policy approach is a disjuncture between the federal and canton levels. The federal government pursues an extremely conservative approach to the issue of regularisation, emphasising the negative consequences that (allegedly) arise from large-scale programmes and choosing to restrict its activities to case-by-case humanitarian regularisations. (In this, it follows a policy approach very similar to that of Germany.) Some of the cantons, on the other hand, are less concerned with ‘high policy’ and instead emphasise the twin issues of economic and social integration of the irregular migrants. What follows is a structural conflict between the policy competences of the federal government and the cantons – with relatively small numbers of irregular migrants being regularised. Superimposed on this, is a more usual Left-Right political debate, with the Left (and trade unions) canvassing for regularisation programmes, while the centre-right opposes them. In the case of the USA, the federal structure appears not to have played an important role in the deficit of policy. The last ‘proper’ large-scale regularisation 368 was in 1986, and although it was a general amnesty it set a long period of residence (5 years) in order to qualify. Thus, it failed to address about half of the estimated irregular population. Since 1986, primarily owing to the unwillingness (or inability) of the federal government to permit either temporary or permanent unskilled labour immigration, the labour market needs of the US economy have been filled by mass illegal immigration, primarily from Mexico. Unlike European labour markets, the weakly-regulated US labour market readily employs illegal migrants within the formal economy: thus, the informal economy is not a significant factor and most illegal immigrants in the USA are working in a documented capacity. 369 Since 2003, there have been eleven attempts to legislate on immigration reform – all have failed. The primary cause is ideological dispute over what the immigration policy of the USA should actually be, and how regularisations or other specific policies would fit into that framework. There are some potential lessons for the EU from these two cases. First, the issue of governance: if a common immigration policy were to be established at the European level, it is likely that some of the problems of Switzerland would become evident. The appropriate policy instruments for the 367 See Boxes 3 and 4 368 Since 1986, the US has implemented various small-scale programmes. In 2000, some 400,000 irregular migrants benefited from a “late” regularisation under IRCA’s general provisions. 369 For clarification of this, see Table 1. The relevant category is row 4 of the table. 130

management of irregular migration should be chosen, and used, by the MS in order to avoid such conflicts. Secondly, where there are issues of principle, or ideology, such as the ‘known’ consequences of regularisation programmes, we insist on relying on evidence as opposed to formulating policy positions on the bases of unsubstantiated beliefs. The existing literature, and our own research, provides no evidence of the ‘pull factor’ for regularisation programmes: the situation is far more complex, and involves many more variables which are typically not under political control. Thirdly, the policy impasse of the USA – accompanied by massive increases in irregular stocks – is not such a catastrophe within the US system. Indeed, we might even argue that it supports a particular form of capitalism that relies upon a plentiful supply of low-cost flexible labour. Such a policy impasse within the EU would create much more trouble: we thus advise against setting out ideological political positions on this difficult topic. Evidence-based policy is more likely to engender cross-party (and cross-national) political support, and it is this approach that we have followed in our study. In particular, we want to emphasise that any policy debate on regularisation needs to be based on a thorough understanding of different rationales for undertaking regularisation measures as well as an understanding of the forms, volume and frequency of such measures. 9.3 Policy positions of Member States and social actors 370 9.3.1 Views on national policies for regularisation There is no consensus within the EU(27) concerning the need for regularisation policies. Nine Member States express extreme reservation about the policy instrument – mostly in the belief that it constitutes a pull-factor for future illegal migration flows. Three newly-acceded MS believe that a case-by-case mechanism is sufficient. MS generally posit a variety of policy objectives associated with regularisation – including managing informal employment, immigration management, humanitarian issues, dealing with non-deportable aliens, inter alia. On the whole, government positions correspond closely with past practices. Trade unions tend to see regularisation as an employment-based issue, and in some countries (France, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Greece and the UK) have been important driving forces for regularisation campaigns. Current campaigns in Belgium, France, Ireland and the UK are strongly supported by unions; in general, trade unions are cautious supporters of regularisation policies. Employers organisations currently seem to be largely indifferent to the issue of regularisation, in contrast to their position in previous decades; exceptions lie with current campaigns in France and the UK, where business groups belong to broad coalitions of social partners demanding regularisation programmes. NGOs are the most active actors concerning mobilisation and campaigns for regularisation programmes – most notably in Belgium, France, Portugal, Spain, the UK, Ireland and Germany. However, the sheer diversity of NGO activities is reflected in their differing objectives and target groups, making it difficult to characterise a ‘typical’ NGO position. Nevertheless, all are agreed that regularisation is an appropriate policy instrument – whether to manage the extent of illegal residents, 370 The detailed sources for identification of these positions are given in §4 (for Member States) and §5 for trade unions, employers associations and NGOs. 131

9.2 Regularisation practices <strong>in</strong> Switzerland and the USA<br />

As part of this study, we have exam<strong>in</strong>ed two federal governance systems external to the EU – namely,<br />

Switzerland and the USA. 367 Both have extensive experience with irregular immigrant residence,<br />

albeit with very different immigration structures and histories. Switzerland is now considered to be a<br />

country with not only high immigrant stocks, but also high irregular immigrant stocks (>2% of total<br />

population); the USA for some time has had decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g legal immigrant stocks whilst illegal stocks<br />

have risen cont<strong>in</strong>uously, currently constitut<strong>in</strong>g over 4% of total population. By most estimations,<br />

these stocks are high enough to be considered serious policy failures – certa<strong>in</strong>ly, they are higher<br />

proportions than exist <strong>in</strong> all but two EU Member States. It only rema<strong>in</strong>s for us to pose the question:<br />

‘Does the EU have anyth<strong>in</strong>g to learn from those experiences’?<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g first the case of Switzerland, the most pronounced aspect of its policy approach is a<br />

disjuncture between the federal and canton levels. The federal government pursues an extremely<br />

conservative approach to the issue of regularisation, emphasis<strong>in</strong>g the negative consequences that<br />

(allegedly) arise from large-scale programmes and choos<strong>in</strong>g to restrict its activities to case-by-case<br />

humanitarian regularisations. (In this, it follows a policy approach very similar to that of Germany.)<br />

Some of the cantons, on the other hand, are less concerned with ‘high policy’ and <strong>in</strong>stead emphasise<br />

the tw<strong>in</strong> issues of economic and social <strong>in</strong>tegration of the irregular migrants. What follows is a<br />

structural conflict between the policy competences of the federal government and the cantons – with<br />

relatively small numbers of irregular migrants be<strong>in</strong>g regularised. Superimposed on this, is a more<br />

usual Left-Right political debate, with the Left (and trade unions) canvass<strong>in</strong>g for regularisation<br />

programmes, while the centre-right opposes them.<br />

In the case of the USA, the federal structure appears not to have played an important role <strong>in</strong> the deficit<br />

of policy. The last ‘proper’ large-scale regularisation 368 was <strong>in</strong> 1986, and although it was a general<br />

amnesty it set a long period of residence (5 years) <strong>in</strong> order to qualify. Thus, it failed to address about<br />

half of the estimated irregular population. S<strong>in</strong>ce 1986, primarily ow<strong>in</strong>g to the unwill<strong>in</strong>gness (or<br />

<strong>in</strong>ability) of the federal government to permit either temporary or permanent unskilled labour<br />

immigration, the labour market needs of the US economy have been filled by mass illegal<br />

immigration, primarily from Mexico. Unlike <strong>Europe</strong>an labour markets, the weakly-regulated US<br />

labour market readily employs illegal migrants with<strong>in</strong> the formal economy: thus, the <strong>in</strong>formal<br />

economy is not a significant factor and most illegal immigrants <strong>in</strong> the USA are work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a<br />

documented capacity. 369 S<strong>in</strong>ce 2003, there have been eleven attempts to legislate on immigration<br />

reform – all have failed. The primary cause is ideological dispute over what the immigration policy of<br />

the USA should actually be, and how regularisations or other specific policies would fit <strong>in</strong>to that<br />

framework.<br />

There are some potential lessons for the EU from these two cases. First, the issue of governance: if a<br />

common immigration policy were to be established at the <strong>Europe</strong>an level, it is likely that some of the<br />

problems of Switzerland would become evident. The appropriate policy <strong>in</strong>struments for the<br />

367 See Boxes 3 and 4<br />

368 S<strong>in</strong>ce 1986, the US has implemented various small-scale programmes. In 2000, some 400,000 irregular<br />

migrants benefited from a “late” regularisation under IRCA’s general provisions.<br />

369 For clarification of this, see Table 1. The relevant category is row 4 of the table.<br />

130

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