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Australia's Gambling Industries - Productivity Commission

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expenditures shares are shown in table P.9. These data suggest that our inference<br />

that problem gamblers account for an economically significant share of overall<br />

gambling expenditure is not affected by the sampling and design effects in our<br />

survey. 9<br />

Results for individual gambling modes are less reliable, particularly where the<br />

survey has relatively small samples for those playing that mode (such as table<br />

games), or where there is considerable variability in player amounts (such as race<br />

betting). For example, the 95 per cent confidence interval for the share of<br />

expenditure accounted for by problem gamblers in race betting is from 10 per cent<br />

to 64 per cent, while it is 2.1 per cent to 23.3 per cent for table games. On the other<br />

hand, the confidence interval for gaming machines is relatively narrow.<br />

Table P.9<br />

Threshold<br />

Confidence intervals on shares of player losses by problem<br />

gamblers by mode<br />

Bootstrap estimates a<br />

Gaming<br />

machines<br />

Wagering Scratchies Lottery Table<br />

games<br />

Other<br />

Total<br />

% % % % % % %<br />

2.5%<br />

32.6 9.8 4.9 1.0 2.1 12.1 25.2<br />

lower tail<br />

5% lower 34.1 13.4 6.6 1.8 3.2 13.8 26.7<br />

tail<br />

10% lower 36.0 17.0 8.7 2.6 4.5 15.9 28.0<br />

tail<br />

10% upper 48.5 49.8 30.8 8.9 17.8 34.5 38.1<br />

tail<br />

5% upper 50.3 56.3 35.1 10.1 20.5 37.1 39.5<br />

tail<br />

2.5%<br />

51.8 63.6 39.6 11.5 23.3 39.6 40.8<br />

upper tail<br />

Mean 42.3 33.1 19.1 5.7 10.7 25.0 33.0<br />

a Based on 5 000 replications. The estimate for the confidence intervals for total gambling expenditure is<br />

based on calculating the weighted average of the expenditure shares and then sorting these from low to high,<br />

and selecting the values corresponding to the appropriate confidence thresholds. The confidence intervals for<br />

each of the other modes are calculated with a separate sort for each mode.<br />

Source: <strong>Commission</strong> estimates and PC National <strong>Gambling</strong> Survey.<br />

9 Although these calculations cannot take account of any other effects, such as non-response error<br />

and other non-sampling errors.<br />

SPENDING BY<br />

PROBLEM GAMBLERS<br />

P.17

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