16.05.2014 Views

RIVM report xxxxxx xxx

RIVM report xxxxxx xxx

RIVM report xxxxxx xxx

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

<strong>RIVM</strong> <strong>report</strong> 773301 001 / NRP <strong>report</strong> 410200 051 page 127 of 142<br />

- ([WHQVLRQZLWKRWKHUFRPSRXQGV (or NMVOC compound groups), e.g. ammonia and aerosols:<br />

- A global inventory of DPPRQLD (NH 3 ) will enable improved estimates of atmospheric N2O<br />

formation from NH3 and of deposition of NH3 and effects on N 2 O formation in soils. This is<br />

related to and will affect the break-down of the global N 2 O budget.<br />

<br />

$WPRVSKHULFDHURVROV are considered important players in the atmospheric radiative balance:<br />

they may counterbalance greenhouse warming. Climate change models should, therefore,<br />

include estimates for aerosols. So far no comprehensive inventories have been made for<br />

aerosols and WKHLUSUHFXUVRUV (e.g. DMS) with a global coverage.<br />

- Estimates for NM-VOC may be complemented with PRUHGHWDLOHG 92&SURILOHV, separating<br />

out most of the highly reactive species. Most atmospheric models require estimates of the<br />

composition of NM-VOC for proper modelling of the chemistry of the PL[ of compounds.<br />

- ,PSURYH GDWD RQ VSHFLILF VRXUFHV such as biofuel use, biomass burning, oceans, volcanoes.<br />

Currenty emissions estimates for these sources are either very weak or absent. The quality of<br />

assessments of anthropogenic emissions will increase substantially when these estimates are<br />

improved.<br />

- 6RIWZDUHPRGLILFDWLRQV to improve the performance of update facilities and data retrieval options,<br />

e.g. for VOC profiles and comparisons of emission results of different datasets.<br />

Finally, by a soft-link of EDGAR files with the User Support System of the IMAGE model,<br />

consistent emission scenarios on grid can be provided using gridded emissions files from EDGAR to<br />

put regional emission projections created by the IMAGE 2 model on a 1 o x1 o grid (NRP project<br />

"IMAGE Model Contributions to International Climate Policy and Science", User Support System).<br />

These topics are not yet covered in the GEIA programme. Partially, the results will be Dutch<br />

contributions to GEIA.<br />

% 2EMHFWLYHVDQGH[SHFWHGUHVXOWVSURGXFWV<br />

%9DOLGDWLRQDQGXQFHUWDLQW\DQDO\VLV<br />

The objectives of this topic are:<br />

(1) to KDUPRQLVH the emissions of European countries with those recently published as<br />

CORINAIR'90;<br />

(2) to HQKDQFHWKHTXDOLW\ of the EDGAR inventories by incorporating results from the validation in<br />

future updates described under B.2;<br />

(3) to provide policy makers with NH\ LQIRUPDWLRQ needed for developing the most effective and<br />

robust policies (regions/sectors);<br />

(4) to give UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV to IPCC on improved national calculation methodologies, e.g. default<br />

aggregated emission factors;<br />

(5) to improve our understanding of the XQFHUWDLQW\ involved in global extrapolations such as those<br />

made for CH 4 and N 2 O. The latter objectives are preconditions to meet the first one.<br />

Comparison of EDGAR data with independently developed GEIA inventories will highlight<br />

differences in specific sectors or regions of the world, and may lead to corrections in either the<br />

EDGAR approach or the GEIA inventories, or to revisions of uncertainty estimates. Target of the<br />

comparison of EDGAR data and national GHG inventories is an evaluation of the independently<br />

selected data sources and calculation methodology, resulting in UHFRPPHQGDWLRQV WR WKH 'XWFK<br />

JRYHUQPHQWDQGWRWKH)&&&VHFUHWDULDW for improving default methods and default emission factors<br />

for estimation of national GHG emissions. Compilation of an indication of the uncertainty in<br />

emissions, both by source and by region, will identify the areas in which additional policy or<br />

additional research may be more or less effective. The conclusions of these activities will be<br />

summarised in <strong>report</strong>s for policy makers and the scientific community.<br />

%0RQLWRULQJDQGLQWHJUDWLRQ<br />

Based on new data, in particular on activities, in the context of the annual Environmental Balance coordinated<br />

by <strong>RIVM</strong>, DQQXDOO\DVVHVVPHQWVof recent emission trends of direct greenhouse gases will<br />

be made on a regional basis. These will include a brief description of developments in key sectors

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!