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for the organization of a large scale spy network for the English secret service. The reverse of the medal lay in the fact that the Polish Government in London talked too much out of school in its exchange of telegrams. The cryptographic systems of the Polish Government in Exile for the most part had been solved in Germany. Consequently, insight was obtained into the thinking and the plans of influential English offices. It could be seen that the British took the invasion seriously for only a short time. In any case, they were ready to accept it and were resolved, in case it succeeded, to continue the struggle from overseas. The fleet was to go to America and the struggle would be organized anew from there. Africa was to constitute the starting point for the attack on the Axis Powers. There were similar revelations in the intercepted traffic of diplomats representing other nations. The German plan aimed, by threatening British possessions in the Far East, to force Britain to change her military dispositions. The idea appeared very clever and in those days Ribbentrop was considered in Germany a very competent and clever diplomat. However, he had neglected one important factor: should Japan try to disturb the balance of power in the Far East, this would inevitably arouse opposition in the U. S. A., and relations between the two countries were already tense due to the conflict in China. When the Japanese raised 'this objection, Ribbentrop assured UNCLASSIFIED them that the U. S. A would not be in a position to employ its whole strength against Japan because Germany would, in case of conflict, declare war on the U. S. A.; this would mean for both the U. S. A. and Great Britain a splitting up of forces, and the Americans would be too weak to threaten Japan seriously. At that moment, what Ribbentrop said was valid, but one factor was omitted: in September 1940 we had from intercepted traffic a fair picture of war production in the U. S. A. with production estimates for the two ensuing years. Compared with German production these figures were enormous. Hitler and Ribbentrop said these figures were pure pipe dreams. What induced them to take such an attitude is not known to me. The figures were not based on propaganda speeches but were carefully compiled from authentic sources. On this occasion Hitler displayed a characteristic trait; he would believe only what accorded with his ideas, everything else he rejected abruptly. Wilhelm Flicke worked in German cryptologic organizations, as an analyst and administrator, from World War I through World War II. The rights to his Kriegsgeheimnisse in Aetber, which covers both wars, was purchased by the U.S. Government shortly after World War II. UNCLASSIFIED 29
NSA Cryptologic Spectrum Article: Critical Analysis of German Operational Intelligence Part II Winter 1980 - Vol. 10, No. 1
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Page 39 and 40: Doenitz went even further, ~a\·jnl
Page 41 and 42: UNCLASSIFIED David Kahn The German
Page 43 and 44: UNCLASSIFIED delivered the most val
Page 45 and 46: UNCLASSIFIED a division. At the hig
Page 47 and 48: UNCLASSIFIED But communications int
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Page 51 and 52: UNCLASSIFIED Germany would not fail
Page 53: UNCLASSIFIED that England had no th
Page 57 and 58: UNCLASSIFIED the loss of air reconn
Page 59 and 60: UNCLASSIFIED or at least far behind
Page 61 and 62: UNCLASSIFIED in the eyes of the res
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