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Chernobyl Nuclear Accident Congressional Hearings Transcript

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151<br />

One other feature which is extremely important in these evaluations<br />

is operator action. For the most part these methods assumes<br />

the operator does not take effective action in responding to the<br />

emergency condition.<br />

We know that is in effect in doing these risk assessments and<br />

have launched a program which now is being done cooperatively<br />

with the major national utility in France, to measure the response<br />

time of operators under full-scale simulation of accident condition.<br />

We are not finished with that, but what we have so far is an indication<br />

that if we apply the data, we will find that the probabilities<br />

of getting into a truly severe core melt condition are 10 times lower<br />

than our present methods would indicate.<br />

I would like now to discuss— my paper points out the many other<br />

areas of work we have undertaken and reliability, particularly to<br />

address the lessons from TMI-2, and I will not repeat those.<br />

Many of these actions that we took were done at the request of<br />

the Utility <strong>Nuclear</strong> Power Oversight Committee of the utility. A<br />

steering group of chief executive officers of the nuclear utility.<br />

Shortly after <strong>Chernobyl</strong>, this group supported an industry technical<br />

review group, functioning with AIF staff support, to evaluate<br />

the causes, postaccident response, and recovery experience of the<br />

<strong>Chernobyl</strong> accident, identify whatever lessons there may be for<br />

U.S. commercial nuclear powerplants and responding to the legitimate<br />

questions raised by the accident.<br />

That group met on May 29, and finalized the industry efforts on<br />

<strong>Chernobyl</strong>, and EPRI has been asked by UNPOC to provide technical<br />

support for that evaluation. So our staff has been working to<br />

understand the events of <strong>Chernobyl</strong> and to develop an understanding<br />

of what lessons from that event can be applied to our U.S. commercigd<br />

nuclear power industry.<br />

A thorough understanding of the sequence of events and a thorough<br />

understanding of the performance of all the safety systems<br />

and operator actions during the event is crucial to developing<br />

sound conclusions and recommendations.<br />

We are concerned that pressures on the NRC and on our industry<br />

to produce quick answers and quick fixes in response to <strong>Chernobyl</strong><br />

may preclude doing the thorough job of analysis that is so<br />

importgmt to rational decision-making. We must avoid the temptation<br />

to shoot from the hip.<br />

I would like to make a comment on some discussions earlier<br />

today which I believe are of the nature of shooting from the hip.<br />

EPA was challenged on why it did not consider seriously a report<br />

of a measurement in Europe of 1.5 millirem per hour, or 1,500<br />

roentgens; 1,500 roentgens will kill a person in 1 to 2 hours, so on<br />

the very face of it that information is inappropriate.<br />

There is also great discussion of the possibility of several hundred<br />

thousand people getting cancer as a result of the <strong>Chernobyl</strong><br />

accident. Now, I agree with the statement made by EPA that they<br />

do not want to make guesses without the information on what the<br />

exposure of those people would be.<br />

But we do have information from the tragedy of the bombings in<br />

Japan. There were 285,000 survivors of that bombing, which as you<br />

well know killed tens of thousands of people, who had excess radiation<br />

dose.

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