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.. Contents _____ Key Judgments Scope 1'\ole ------- ------5ho·rt:1-crm'ConscQucnces o( th~ Accident Pagr iii - .. ----.---------- ----- ------ ilt ._----- ----.- The Accid~nl: Prcscription for Disa~lcr I ----------Ekctridl;·-Losscs-and Inerc::scd fucllJsc -------------2---- --------_.. - ' Relurning the Chcrnobyl" PI~nl i~ Sen'iec 2 Short-Term Economic Costs 3 Background C'h-oi~~ -~f 'R~ilclo'r "T):pcs ----.- ------------.:---- --------- ________ 7 __ _ 7 ____________ 9. __ --~!ainlaining -the 'RBlI'!K -Rcaet~r Orlio~ 10 O'~ilook-for A~hicv~ll1~nt of Nuclcar-Induw)'-Goals fOr 1990 12 -----------A~suring·thc-Fulurc: VVE'R and ~\ST Rcaci~rs 14 ImpaCl on S~'ict !'iuclcar Ene'rg)' Polic), ---------- 16 - --- .. . - -- An Underlying Commitmcnt to Nuclcar Powcr -----------17 T~ 'I~n~cnc~ ~f NuekJ~.fn·d~slr)' ·lnfras'i;.-u_C_l·U-_(_C________ 20 -----A-nlinucfca·;V~iccs-in lhc-USSR 20 ---_._-_._-_._----_ ..- ---- ... Impact on Resource Allocation and Trade 21 Soviet Purchases From thc West --------. 22 --- --------- ------ --------. ---- Soviet Nuclear Salel_lI_br_o_J_d ______:--___ 22 vii -&",eftre>l!-__
Scop~ Nolc For 5e\'cral decades the Soviets ha\'c \'icwcd nuclear energy as the ke\' to growth in the c!eetridty supply-and recently i~ thc hcat suppIY-in·tl~e European USSR. Thc Chernobyl' accident on 26 April 1986. however. has robbed the commerci:ll nuclear power program of 50me momentum and challen2cd many SO\'iet concepts regarding its safety. reliability. and low costs. The special August 1986 meeting of the International Atomie Energy Agenc), showed that the SO\'iets were beginning to make changes based on their analysis of the accident. This meeting also revealed that the So\'iets expect to study their nuclear program a good deal more. which means we arc now gelling only a first look at the possible changes' This report explores how the Chernobyl' disaster will probably influence the USSR's plans for nuclear power and heat supply and evaluates the implications for total primary energy production. L ix S,err!
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CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR ACCIDENT DOCUMENT
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CHERNOBYL NUCLEAR ACCIDENT DOCUMENT
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days, so they left nearly everythin
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The 1986 Report of the U.S. Departm
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.. Soviet Nu
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"FOP SECRET NIE 11-2-71 SOVIET NUCL
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T-OPSECRa Page IV. ADVANCED NUCLEAR
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2 rop SECRET services to others and
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4 TOP SECREf-'- for 1977 is about 1
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6 TOP SECRET DISCUSSION I J I '" i
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8 TOP SECRET L ~L J TOP SECRET
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10 TOP SECRET 16.C D. Other Weapon
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12 fOP SECRET II. PRODUCTION OF NUC
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14 'fOP SECRET ium. Ten percent of
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: i. 16 TOP SECRET L J TOP SECRET
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18 fOP SECRa cumulated over the pas
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20 lOP SECRET TABLE V SOVIET NUCLEA
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22 TOP SEC-RETradioisotopes as a po
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24 TOP SECRET ing and the supply of
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Blank Paqe 26
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28 TOP SECRET Power Utilization Ind
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,~v' -:~. '.' .~.~. ~,.'*-J ... Bla
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32 'fOP SECRET ANNEX A (Continued)
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I~;~ - ~'.: .. "; e. iA~sjstantChie
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Soviet PWR in the near future. The
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I , ... i • UNCLASSIFIED , , i ~
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.' 1 \ ~ il' . ..... .1 I. 'f I'} 1
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213 29 Oktemberyan 1 Oktemberyan 2
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10.. National Forei!:n Ass('Ssmen I
Page 65 and 66: .c'- Sc @' -. USSR: Nuclear Acciden
Page 67 and 68: ("oatents Overview Introduction Ind
Page 69 and 70: '. USSR: Nuclear Accidcnl Near I
Page 71 and 72: • I·.~"I,~;" .. ':'It tllf': ...
Page 73 and 74: .:. }-~;:. ~- .,- ~ -"
Page 75: .( .. 3~~;. ° t···:"":· ,)~ o
Page 79 and 80: '\ ;" I , ," I. .1 t
Page 81 and 82: i I:: II!"." - -----_._---- -"..:,
Page 83 and 84: eing created by fallout from high-y
Page 85 and 86: ,~ Intelligence Ji.~ or Me!b,pdS''i
Page 88 and 89: .~ Contellts Key Judgments Introduc
Page 90 and 91: stations. There is no single docume
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Page 94 and 95: Figure 3 Separative Work Requiremen
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Page 98 and 99: ~ec(O' .\' OVl:r the long run, nucl
Page 101 and 102: Appendix A Existing and Planned Nuc
Page 103 and 104: Table 3 (conlinuc
Page 105 and 106: Appendix B Summary of Separative Wo
Page 107 and 108: Summary of Separative Work Units, b
Page 109 and 110: Seclcl .J The Soviet Nuclear Power
Page 111 and 112: UireC:Corace of Intelligence Secret
Page 113 and 114: Longstanding problems in manufactur
Page 115: BLANKPA.GE · .. ....
Page 119 and 120: steam that disrupicd la·rge ponio:
Page 121 and 122: [ ] .. [ . 4. . " ... "" ]
Page 123 and 124: A Chronology 01 the Recorery FJforl
Page 125 and 126: .~ ;:,o\"lcl I\"uclcar I'O\\W Planl
Page 127 and 128: ,-umlrUClIon of So\icl Commercial N
Page 129 and 130: SUI'il:! NUell'lIC l'UII'Cr: Pcrfoc
Page 131 and 132: I\CI\' YI'Kclly :11 SII\'i~1 Nudr:a
Page 133 and 134: prograllJ· The larger number of sm
Page 135 and 136: ~(Ci (( Ajta slIIt!."ing till: ,,'s
Page 137 and 138: Tht Man/ifaclurins: lrr!raSlrUClllr
Page 139 and 140: . .- : .. c.··.-;·· . Ct:\ c'[r
Page 141 and 142: 1/1 public testimonials, :1 /lumber
Page 143 and 144: Warning Page Deleted B-3 : .~. ,. -
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Page 147 and 148: 3 ? 55 757" 77 nqm r 7: T? r .1- ,
Page 149 and 150: NlCARAGUA: Government Crackdown Con
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" Wandna Notice Intelligence Source
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The Chernobyl' Accident: Social and
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The Chernobyl' Accident: Social and
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'. ..,j The new consciousness about
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Contents Scope Note Summary ... _ .
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lAxity and Poor Design of tire Clre
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Secn~1 The official figure on the n
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Figure I Evacuated and Repopulated
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MeliCi 1 Fi~.n 2. a} Mill/ary r~urv
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Tire CMI Ddense Role in Clrernobyl'
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Sir ,; 1"._" lilt: MQY tylSO ISSUt:
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"tice'€t Political FaUout From Ch
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SeCi€'---- officials who had more
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,SQQ!Fct ...) • Citizens as far a
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Protecting Water Supplies The marsh
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BCCiCi . c _ ;J workers went on str
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,it tet Chernobyl' has even been in
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Incidents in Soviet Nuclear Power P
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Relocation Moscow announced Ihe eva
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.-Seeret - Criticism of official su
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• Finally, the Gorbachev regime w
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- • • '" t •• '=. f. 0... '
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- . . .. . . ,--, -, '-" -,. ......
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" ,-, -=t -=t:,' . . " .. '' ' . .
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· . ~ %"l. • .' • ,i' .' ... .
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~L in dealing with the incident, ra
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~~~IAL ter at the AES to manage the
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Ukrainians would prefer to seek tec
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Appendix A Players in the Aftermath
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