Pan Am Flight 103 CIA Files.pdf - Paperless Archives

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Concerning Central America, Tripoli-llf>bably believes
there is an excellent opportunity to undermine
US influence at liuJe cost and to force Washington to
focus its resources closer to home. Because Africa
offers Tripoli a number of operational advan(agesincluding
numerous soft targets, porous borders, an
existing infrastructure, and a wealth of potential
surrogates-it has been the site of increased Libyan
terrorist interest over the last 18 months-activity
characterized by weapons smuggling, contacts with
subversives, and establishment of front companies .
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Qadhafi almost certainly will continue to use client
groups to attack US targets and in the ncar term will
probably continue to provide support such as money,
. training, documentation, and cO',nv'entio,nal
a wide range of terrorist
Qadhafi almost certainly will approach the ne\',' US
administration in an effort to improve relations. He
may privately offer to stop 'Libyan Support for terrorism
against US tareets in return for a cessation of US
political, economic, and military pressure. Nevertheless,
Qadh~ent strength and activities, his past
practice of dishonoring agreements, and his recent
public statements all suggest that he is unlikely to
alter his general anti-US policy or permanently cease
supporting terrorism . .,.
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