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Pan Am Flight 103 CIA Files.pdf - Paperless Archives

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ruN. 16f'HI e L NorDpN<br />

CENTRAL INTElL(GENCE AGENCY<br />

DIRECTORATE or INTELLIGENCE<br />

ZZ Oecember 1988<br />

0930 EST<br />

SPOT COMMENTARY: PAN AM <strong>103</strong>: Analysts of Cla1ms<br />

We have received no forensic evidence to confIrm the cause of the crash<br />

of <strong>Pan</strong> <strong>Am</strong>erican AIrlines Fltght <strong>103</strong> yesterday; we do not rule out the<br />

posslb'l,ty that a bomb was behind the crash.<br />

Several groups have clatmed responsib'llty for the fneldent In telephone<br />

calls In the UnIted States and Europe:<br />

•<br />

•<br />

--A male caller cla'med that l group called the Guardfans of the IslamIc<br />

RevolutIon had destroyed the pl~ne In retallat'on for the US shootdown of an<br />

Iran'an a'rllner last July.<br />

--A caller cla'ming to represent the Islam'c JIhad organizatIon told ABC<br />

News In New York that the group had planted the bomb to commemorate Christmas.<br />

--The Ulster Defense league allegedly Issued a telephonIc claim.<br />

--Another anonymous caller claimed the plane had been downed by Massad,<br />

the Israeli Intelligence servIce.<br />

Me consIder the claIm from the GuardIans of the Islamic RevolutIon as the<br />

.ast credible one rece1ved so far; previous attar.ks claimed by this group<br />

suggest It Is pro-IranIan:<br />

--Persons usIng thIs name have taken cred't for the h'jacking of an Air<br />

Franc@ fl'ght from Frankfurt. West Germany In 1984~ 'n that Incident, an<br />

anonymous caller demanded that France rel@ase f1v@ persons 1mpr1soned for<br />

attempting to kill former Iran'an PrIme "'n'ster Bakht'ar 1n 1980. The group<br />

had taken credIt for the assassination attempt as well.<br />

-~The GuardIans of the IslaM'c Revolut'on cla'med r@sponsib'l'ty for an<br />

assass'natton attempt aga1nst a former Cab1net M'n'ster of the Shah tn london<br />

on 18 July 1987.<br />

--In AprIl 1988, the Guardians of Islam took cred't for the bombing of a<br />

veh1cle belongIng to a German bustnessfi, ..... eillployed with a f\rm Involved In.<br />

transfer of M'ss'le technology. The anonymous caller accused the busInessman<br />

of prov1dlng m'sslles to Iraq, thtn at war w1th Iran.<br />

. An anonymous caller told a US dIplomatIc fac1llty tn Europe on 5 December<br />

that a bomb'ng attempt would be _Ide agaInst a <strong>Pan</strong> <strong>Am</strong>erican aircraft flying<br />

from frankfurt, West Germany to the United States. The Federal Av'at'on<br />

Admlntstratlon was notlfled of the threat and security for <strong>Pan</strong> <strong>Am</strong> fl'9 h ts out<br />

of frankfurt was enhanced.<br />

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