The Impact of Wind Power Projects on Residential Property Values ...

The Impact of Wind Power Projects on Residential Property Values ... The Impact of Wind Power Projects on Residential Property Values ...

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ong>Theong> coefficients for the variables ong>ofong> interest ( 6 ) do not meet the a priori expectations. ong>Theong> estimated effect for SIDE ORIENTATION, instead ong>ofong> being close to zero, is -3% (p value 0.36), while BACK and FRONT, instead ong>ofong> being negative and larger, are estimated at 3% (p value 0.37) and -1% (p value 0.72), respectively. None ong>ofong> these variables are found to be even marginally statistically significant, however, and based on these results, it is concluded that there is no evidence that a home’s orientation to a wind facility affects property values in a measurable way. Further, as with previous models, no statistical evidence ong>ofong> a Scenic Vista Stigma is found among this sample ong>ofong> sales transactions. Table 23: Results from Orientation Model Base Model Orientation Model Variables ong>ofong> Interest Coef SE p Value n Coef SE p Value n No View Omitted Omitted Omitted 4207 Omitted Omitted Omitted 4207 Minor View -0.01 0.01 0.39 561 -0.01 0.06 0.88 561 Moderate View 0.02 0.03 0.57 106 0.00 0.06 0.96 106 Substantial View -0.01 0.07 0.92 35 -0.01 0.09 0.85 35 Extreme View 0.02 0.09 0.77 28 0.02 0.17 0.84 28 Inside 3000 Feet -0.05 0.06 0.31 67 -0.04 0.07 0.46 67 Between 3000 Feet and 1 Mile -0.05 0.05 0.20 58 -0.05 0.05 0.26 58 Between 1 and 3 Miles 0.00 0.02 0.80 2019 0.00 0.02 0.83 2019 Between 3 and 5 Miles 0.02 0.01 0.26 1923 0.02 0.01 0.26 1923 Outside 5 Miles Omitted Omitted Omitted 870 Omitted Omitted Omitted 870 Front Orientation -0.01 0.06 0.72 294 Back Orientation 0.03 0.06 0.37 280 Side Orientation -0.03 0.06 0.36 253 "Omitted" = reference category for fixed effects variables. "n" = number ong>ofong> cases in category when category = "1" Model Information Model Equation Number 1 8 Dependent Variable LN_SalePrice96 LN_SalePrice96 Number ong>ofong> Cases 4937 4937 Number ong>ofong> Predictors (k) 37 40 F Statistic 442.8 410.0 Adjusted R Squared 0.77 0.77 5.6. Overlap Model ong>Theong> Orientation Model, presented above, investigated, to some degree, how the potential effects ong>ofong> wind turbines might be impacted by how a home is oriented to the surrounding environment. In so doing, this model began to peel back the relationship between VIEW and VISTA, but stopped short ong>ofong> looking at the relationship directly. It would be quite useful, though, to understand the explicit relationship between the VISTA and VIEW variables. In particular, one might expect that views ong>ofong> wind turbines would have a particularly significant impact on residential property values when those views strongly overlap (“OVERLAP”) the prominent scenic vista from a home. To investigate this possibility directly, and, in general, the relationship between VIEW and VISTA, a parameter for OVERLAP is included in the model. 50

5.6.1. Dataset and Model Form Data on the degree to which the view ong>ofong> wind turbines overlaps with the prominent scenic vista from the home (OVERLAP) were collected in the course ong>ofong> the field visits to each home. 87 ong>Theong> categories for OVERLAP included NONE, BARELY, SOMEWHAT, and STRONGLY, and are described in Table 24: 88 Table 24: Definition ong>ofong> OVERLAP Categories OVERLAP - NONE OVERLAP - BARELY OVERLAP - SOMEWHAT OVERLAP - STRONGLY ong>Theong> scenic vista does not contain any view ong>ofong> the turbines. A small portion (~ 0 - 20%) ong>ofong> the scenic vista is overlapped by the view ong>ofong> turbines, and might contain a view ong>ofong> a few turbines, only a few ong>ofong> which can be seen entirely. A moderate portion (~20-50%) ong>ofong> the scenic vista contains turbines, and likely contains a view ong>ofong> more than one turbine, some ong>ofong> which are likely to be seen entirely. A large portion (~50-100%) ong>ofong> the scenic vista contains a view ong>ofong> turbines, many ong>ofong> which likely can be seen entirely. A crosstab describing the OVERLAP designations and the VIEW categories is shown in Table 25. As would be expected, the more dramatic views ong>ofong> wind turbines, where the turbines occupy more ong>ofong> the panorama, are coincident with the OVERLAP categories ong>ofong> SOMEWHAT or STRONGLY. Nonetheless, STRONGLY are common for all VIEW categories. Similarly, SOMEWHAT is well distributed across the MINOR and MODERATE rated views, while BARELY is concentrated in the MINOR rated views. ong>Theong> same dataset is used as in the Base Model, focusing on post-construction transactions (n = 4,937). To investigate whether the overlap ong>ofong> VIEW and VISTA has a marginal impact on residential property values, over and above that ong>ofong> the VIEW and VISTA impacts alone, the following hedonic model is estimated: 89 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ln P N S X VIEW DISTANCE VISTA p 7 s k v d t OVERLAP where VIEW is a vector ong>ofong> v categorical view variables (e.g., MINOR, MODERATE, etc.), VISTA is a vector ong>ofong> t categorical scenic vista variables (e.g., POOR, BELOW-AVERAGE, etc.), OVERLAP is a vector ong>ofong> p categorical overlap variables (e.g., BARELY, SOMEWHAT, etc.), 87 Scenic vista was rated while taking into account the entire panorama surrounding a home. But, for each home, there usually was a prominent direction that ong>ofong>fered a preferred scenic vista. Often, but not always, the home was orientated to enjoy that prominent scenic vista. Overlap is defined as the degree to which the view ong>ofong> the wind facility overlaps with this prominent scenic vista. 88 “…can be seen entirely” refers to being able to see a turbine from the top ong>ofong> the sweep ong>ofong> its blade tips to below the nacelle ong>ofong> the turbine where the sweep ong>ofong> the tips intersects the tower. 89 Although VISTA appears in all models, and is usually included in the vector ong>ofong> home and site characteristics represented by X, it is shown separately here so that it can be discussed directly in the text that follows. (9) 51

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> coefficients for the variables <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> interest ( 6 ) do not meet the a priori expectati<strong>on</strong>s. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

estimated effect for SIDE ORIENTATION, instead <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> being close to zero, is -3% (p value 0.36),<br />

while BACK and FRONT, instead <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> being negative and larger, are estimated at 3% (p value<br />

0.37) and -1% (p value 0.72), respectively. N<strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these variables are found to be even<br />

marginally statistically significant, however, and based <strong>on</strong> these results, it is c<strong>on</strong>cluded that there<br />

is no evidence that a home’s orientati<strong>on</strong> to a wind facility affects property values in a measurable<br />

way. Further, as with previous models, no statistical evidence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a Scenic Vista Stigma is found<br />

am<strong>on</strong>g this sample <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sales transacti<strong>on</strong>s.<br />

Table 23: Results from Orientati<strong>on</strong> Model<br />

Base Model<br />

Orientati<strong>on</strong> Model<br />

Variables <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Interest Coef SE p Value n Coef SE p Value n<br />

No View Omitted Omitted Omitted 4207 Omitted Omitted Omitted 4207<br />

Minor View -0.01 0.01 0.39 561 -0.01 0.06 0.88 561<br />

Moderate View 0.02 0.03 0.57 106 0.00 0.06 0.96 106<br />

Substantial View -0.01 0.07 0.92 35 -0.01 0.09 0.85 35<br />

Extreme View 0.02 0.09 0.77 28 0.02 0.17 0.84 28<br />

Inside 3000 Feet -0.05 0.06 0.31 67 -0.04 0.07 0.46 67<br />

Between 3000 Feet and 1 Mile -0.05 0.05 0.20 58 -0.05 0.05 0.26 58<br />

Between 1 and 3 Miles 0.00 0.02 0.80 2019 0.00 0.02 0.83 2019<br />

Between 3 and 5 Miles 0.02 0.01 0.26 1923 0.02 0.01 0.26 1923<br />

Outside 5 Miles Omitted Omitted Omitted 870 Omitted Omitted Omitted 870<br />

Fr<strong>on</strong>t Orientati<strong>on</strong> -0.01 0.06 0.72 294<br />

Back Orientati<strong>on</strong> 0.03 0.06 0.37 280<br />

Side Orientati<strong>on</strong> -0.03 0.06 0.36 253<br />

"Omitted" = reference category for fixed effects variables. "n" = number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> cases in category when category = "1"<br />

Model Informati<strong>on</strong><br />

Model Equati<strong>on</strong> Number 1 8<br />

Dependent Variable<br />

LN_SalePrice96<br />

LN_SalePrice96<br />

Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Cases 4937 4937<br />

Number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Predictors (k) 37 40<br />

F Statistic 442.8 410.0<br />

Adjusted R Squared 0.77 0.77<br />

5.6. Overlap Model<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> Orientati<strong>on</strong> Model, presented above, investigated, to some degree, how the potential effects<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> wind turbines might be impacted by how a home is oriented to the surrounding envir<strong>on</strong>ment.<br />

In so doing, this model began to peel back the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between VIEW and VISTA, but<br />

stopped short <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> looking at the relati<strong>on</strong>ship directly. It would be quite useful, though, to<br />

understand the explicit relati<strong>on</strong>ship between the VISTA and VIEW variables. In particular, <strong>on</strong>e<br />

might expect that views <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> wind turbines would have a particularly significant impact <strong>on</strong><br />

residential property values when those views str<strong>on</strong>gly overlap (“OVERLAP”) the prominent<br />

scenic vista from a home. To investigate this possibility directly, and, in general, the relati<strong>on</strong>ship<br />

between VIEW and VISTA, a parameter for OVERLAP is included in the model.<br />

50

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