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The Impact of Wind Power Projects on Residential Property Values ...

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Nuisance Stigma, it is assumed that Nuisance effects are c<strong>on</strong>centrated within <strong>on</strong>e mile <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

nearest wind turbine, while Area effects will be c<strong>on</strong>sidered for those transacti<strong>on</strong>s outside <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>e<br />

mile. Any property value effects discovered outside <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>e mile and based <strong>on</strong> the DISTANCE<br />

variables are therefore assumed to indicate the presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Area Stigma, while impacts within a<br />

mile may reflect the combinati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> Nuisance and Area Stigma.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> sec<strong>on</strong>d set <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables in the Base Model - spatial adjustments - correct for the assumed<br />

presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> spatial autocorrelati<strong>on</strong> in the error term (). It is well known that the sales price <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> a<br />

home can be systematically influenced by the sales prices <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> those homes that have sold nearby.<br />

Both the seller and the buyer use informati<strong>on</strong> from comparable surrounding sales to inform them<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the appropriate transacti<strong>on</strong> price, and nearby homes <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten experience similar amenities and<br />

disamenities. This lack <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> independence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> home sale prices could bias hed<strong>on</strong>ic regressi<strong>on</strong><br />

results and, to help correct for this bias, a spatially (i.e., distance) weighted neighbors’ sales price<br />

(N) is included in the model. Empirically, the neighbors’ price has been found to be a str<strong>on</strong>g<br />

(and sometimes even the str<strong>on</strong>gest) predictor <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> home values (Le<strong>on</strong>ard and Murdoch,<br />

forthcoming), and the coefficient 1 is expected to be positive, indicating a positive correlati<strong>on</strong><br />

between the neighbors’ and subject home’s sales price. A more-detailed discussi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

importance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this variable, and how it was created, is c<strong>on</strong>tained in Appendix G.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> third group <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables in the Base Model - study area fixed effects - c<strong>on</strong>trol for study area<br />

influences and the differences between them. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> vector’s parameters 2 represent the marginal<br />

impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> being in any <strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the study areas, as compared to a reference category. In this case,<br />

the reference category is the Washingt<strong>on</strong>/Oreg<strong>on</strong> (WAOR) study area. 54 <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> estimated<br />

coefficients for this group <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables represent the combined effects <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> school districts, tax<br />

rates, crime, and other locati<strong>on</strong>al influences across an entire study area. Although this approach<br />

greatly simplifies the estimati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the model, because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the myriad <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> influences captured by<br />

these study-area fixed effects variables, interpreting the coefficient can be difficult. In general,<br />

though, the coefficients simply represent the mean difference in sales prices between the study<br />

areas and the reference study area (WAOR). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se coefficients are expected to be str<strong>on</strong>gly<br />

influential, indicating significant differences in sales prices across study areas.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> fourth group <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> variables in the Base Model are the core home and site characteristics (X),<br />

and include a range <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<strong>on</strong>tinuous (“C”), 55 discrete (“D”), 56 binary (“B”), 57 and ordered<br />

categorical (“OC”) variables. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> specific home and site variables included in the Base Model<br />

are listed in Table 9 al<strong>on</strong>g with the directi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> expected influence. 58 Variables included are age<br />

54 Because there is no intent to focus <strong>on</strong> the coefficients <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the study area fixed effect variables, the reference case is<br />

arbitrary. Further, the results for the other variables in the model are completely independent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> this choice.<br />

55 See discussi<strong>on</strong> in footnote 52 <strong>on</strong> previous page.<br />

56 Discrete variables, similar to c<strong>on</strong>tinuous variables, are ordered and the distance between the values, such as X 1<br />

and X 2 , have meaning, but for these variables, there are <strong>on</strong>ly a relatively small number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> discrete values that the<br />

variable can take, for example, the number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> bathrooms in a home (BATHROOMS).<br />

57 Binary variables have <strong>on</strong>ly two c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s: "<strong>on</strong>" or "<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f" (i.e., "1" or "0" respectively). Examples are whether the<br />

home has central air c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>ing ("CENTRAL_AC") or if the home is situated <strong>on</strong> a cul-de-sac ("CUL_DE_SAC").<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> coefficients for these variables are interpreted in relati<strong>on</strong> to when the c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> is "<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>f."<br />

58 For those variables with a "+" sign it is expected that as the variable increases in value (or is valued at "1" as<br />

would be the case for fixed effects variables) the price <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the home will increase, and the c<strong>on</strong>verse is true for the<br />

variables with a "-" sign. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> expected signs <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the variables all follow c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al wisdom (as discussed in<br />

26

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