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The Impact of Wind Power Projects on Residential Property Values ...

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sold for a price <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> more than $10,000, 29 which occurred after January 1, 1996, 30 and which had<br />

fully populated “core” home characteristics. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se core characteristics are: number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> square<br />

feet <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the living area (not including finished basement), acres <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> land, bathrooms, and fireplaces,<br />

the year the home was built, 31 if the home had exterior wallsthatwere st<strong>on</strong>e, a central air<br />

c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>ing unit, and/or a finished basement, and the exterior c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the home. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> 7,459<br />

residential transacti<strong>on</strong>s in the sample c<strong>on</strong>sist <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 6,194 homes (a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the homes in the<br />

sample sold more than <strong>on</strong>ce in the selected study period). Because each transacti<strong>on</strong> had a<br />

corresp<strong>on</strong>ding set <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the core home characteristic data, they could all be pooled into a single<br />

model. In additi<strong>on</strong> to the home characteristic data, each county provided, at a minimum, the<br />

home’s physical address and sales price. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> counties <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ten also provided data <strong>on</strong> homes in the<br />

study area that did not sell in the study period. 32 Finally, market-specific quarterly housing<br />

inflati<strong>on</strong> indexes were obtained from Freddie Mac, which allowed nominal sales prices to be<br />

adjusted to 1996 dollars. 33<br />

sample originally c<strong>on</strong>tained 7,498 sales, 34 homes sold twice in a 6 m<strong>on</strong>th period and, after discussi<strong>on</strong>s with local<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ficials, these transacti<strong>on</strong>s were c<strong>on</strong>sidered likely to have been “invalid” despite the county coding them to the<br />

c<strong>on</strong>trary. Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, five transacti<strong>on</strong>s produced standardized residuals that were more than six standard<br />

deviati<strong>on</strong>s away from the mean, indicating that these sales were abnormal and likely not valid. Both <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these sets <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

transacti<strong>on</strong>s, totaling 39, were removed from the final dataset. Of the 39 sales, 32 sold following c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>, 10<br />

were c<strong>on</strong>centrated in IABV and nine in TXHC with the others spread between seven <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the remaining eight study<br />

areas. One <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the homes was inside <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong>e mile from the turbines at the time <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> sale, and two had views <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

turbines (both <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> which were MINOR). <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> home that was located within <strong>on</strong>e mile was surrounded by a number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

other homes – at similar distances from the turbines - that transacted both before and after the wind facilities were<br />

built and were included in the sample. A more thorough discussi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the screening techniques used to ensure the<br />

appropriateness <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the final data set are presented in detail in Appendix G under “Outliers/Influencers.” Finally, it<br />

should be noted that the authors are aware <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> four instances in the study areas when homes were sold to wind<br />

developers. In two cases the developer did not resell the home; in the other two, the developer resold the home at a<br />

lower price than which it was purchased. But, because the sales were to a related party, these transacti<strong>on</strong>s were not<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidered “valid’ and are therefore not included here. One might, however, reas<strong>on</strong>ably expect that the property<br />

values <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> these homes were impacted by the presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the wind turbines.<br />

28 Single family residences <strong>on</strong> more than 25 acres were c<strong>on</strong>sidered to be likely candidates for alternative uses, such<br />

as agricultural and recreati<strong>on</strong>al, which could have an influence <strong>on</strong> sales price that was outside <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the capabilities <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

the model to estimate. Because all records were for parcels that c<strong>on</strong>tained a residence, the model did not c<strong>on</strong>tain<br />

any “land-<strong>on</strong>ly” transacti<strong>on</strong>s. Further, n<strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the transacti<strong>on</strong>s provided for this research were for parcels <strong>on</strong> which<br />

a turbine was located.<br />

29 A sales price <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> $10,000 was c<strong>on</strong>sidered the absolute minimum amount an improved parcel (<strong>on</strong>e c<strong>on</strong>taining a<br />

residential structure) would sell for in any <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the study areas and study periods. This provided an additi<strong>on</strong>al screen<br />

over and above the “valid” screen that the counties performed.<br />

30 This provided a maximum <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 12 years <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> data. Some counties did not have accessible data back to 1996 but in all<br />

cases these countries had data <strong>on</strong> transacti<strong>on</strong>s that occurred before the wind facilities were erected.<br />

31 “Year Built” was used to c<strong>on</strong>struct a variable for the age <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the home at the time <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the sale.<br />

32 <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se data were used to calculate the “Sales Volume” percentages referred to in Secti<strong>on</strong> 7.<br />

33 Freddie Mac C<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al Mortgage Home Price Index: municipal statistical area (MSA) series data are available<br />

from the following site: http://www.freddiemac.com/finance/cmhpi/. Because most <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the study areas do not fall<br />

within the MSAs, a collecti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> local experts was relied up<strong>on</strong>, including real estate agents, assessors, and<br />

appraisers, to decide which MSA most-closely matched that <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the local market. In all cases the experts had<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sensus as to the best MSA to use. In <strong>on</strong>e case (NYMCOC) the sample was split between two MSAs. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>se<br />

indexes are adjusted quarterly, and span the entire sample period. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g>refore, during the housing boom, ins<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>ar as a<br />

boom occurred in the sample areas, the indexes increased in value. Subsequently when the market began falling, the<br />

index retracted.<br />

14

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