Today's Top Story In This Issue - Oil and Gas Investor
Today's Top Story In This Issue - Oil and Gas Investor
Today's Top Story In This Issue - Oil and Gas Investor
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Volume: 1, <strong>Issue</strong>: 75 May 31, 2006<br />
<strong>In</strong> <strong>This</strong> <strong>Issue</strong><br />
Today’s <strong>Top</strong> <strong>Story</strong><br />
• New Refineries Planned<br />
for China, Iran, Oman,<br />
Lebanon<br />
• Senate Approves<br />
Kempthorne for Cabinet<br />
Post<br />
• Lithuanian Government<br />
Approves Refinery Sale<br />
• Flint Hills Opens New<br />
Jet Fuel Terminal<br />
• Rompetrol to <strong>In</strong>vest $140<br />
Million in Romanian<br />
Refinery<br />
• Kinder Morgan May Go<br />
Private<br />
• Energy Futures Prices<br />
Up Slightly After<br />
Holiday<br />
• Sky-High Ethanol Prices<br />
Further Assert Split<br />
from Crude<br />
Valero: <strong>In</strong>dustry’s Octane Needs <strong>In</strong>crease with Sulfur Phase-Down,<br />
MTBE Phase-Out<br />
<strong>Gas</strong>oline sulfur is lower in 2006 than in previous years <strong>and</strong><br />
MTBE is now out of the gasoline pool. As a result, highoctane,<br />
clean components are fetching a premium in the market,<br />
according to Valero’s chief executive. Speaking to the UBS<br />
Global <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> Conference, Bill Kleese said that despite<br />
high pump prices, gasoline dem<strong>and</strong> has been good.<br />
The 2006 forward curve for Gulf Coast gasoline is around<br />
$11/bbl, about the same level for distillate. Sour crude<br />
discounts remain very wide, <strong>and</strong> the outlook for the summer is<br />
very positive.<br />
Gulf of Mexico producers are bringing production back<br />
online, <strong>and</strong> residual fuel is widely available as a result of<br />
high crude processing rates around the world. Heavy Canadian<br />
crude production is increasing <strong>and</strong> “some has made it to the<br />
Gulf Coast,” the Valero CEO noted.<br />
“We just have excellent margins,” Kleese told attendees.<br />
Part of that is due to the elimination of MTBE, which has<br />
reduced U.S. gasoline production by about 140,000 b/d.<br />
“You can actually see the effect in the high price of<br />
ethanol, the high price of alkylate <strong>and</strong> any high-octane<br />
component, as people are trying to get octane into the motor<br />
gasoline pool. We view this as an excellent stage set for the<br />
summer.<br />
“Imports have been very high, but the market clearly has<br />
needed the imports because the fundamentals here continue to<br />
be strong. A lot of those imports have been blendstocks, which<br />
are consuming that octane.”<br />
Some of the imports are higher sulfur, <strong>and</strong> “that’s why<br />
you see alkylate 50 ¢ over gasoline <strong>and</strong> ethanol way more than<br />
gasoline. It’s because of this octane need <strong>and</strong> this clean<br />
component need,” he continued.<br />
Clean fuels are exp<strong>and</strong>ing around the world. Canada,<br />
Mexico, South America “even China” all are trying to get clean<br />
fuels, <strong>and</strong> that impacts refinery operations. “If you<br />
desulfurize gasoline, you lose octane, depending on your<br />
process, how much.”<br />
To compensate, refiners have the option of building<br />
another reformer or alkylation unit to get some octane back<br />
into the gasoline pool, he said.<br />
While Valero has some Tier 2 <strong>and</strong> regulatory spending<br />
ahead, economic projects will add about $150 million to the<br />
Copyright 2006. Hart Energy Publishing, LP.
May 31, 2006 World Refining & Fuels Today Page 2<br />
bottom line. Capitol spending will be around $3.5 billion in 2006, Kleese said. While<br />
some projects have been delayed <strong>and</strong> will slide into 2007, Valero will hold next<br />
year’s capitol program at $3 billion, $1.2 billion of which are economic projects.<br />
-- Carol Cole<br />
Back to contents<br />
New Refineries Planned for China, Iran, Oman, Lebanon<br />
Kuwait Petroleum may be joined by Dow Chemical <strong>and</strong> either BP or Shell in setting up a<br />
$5 billion Chinese joint-venture refinery with PetroChina, Reuters reported.<br />
The refinery will likely have a capacity of 200,000-300,000 b/d.<br />
China’s National Development <strong>and</strong> Reform Commission approved the plan to build<br />
the refinery in China’s Guangdong province in April (see WRFT 04/11/06).<br />
The joint venture between China <strong>and</strong> Kuwait was announced last December (see<br />
WRFT 12/06/05).<br />
The refinery will process crude oil from Kuwait.<br />
Meanwhile, Iran plans to build a 120,000 b/d refinery by 2009 at the latest.<br />
Construction of the fully private refinery is expected to begin in six months or<br />
less, Reuters said.<br />
Oman is also planning to build a new 200,000 b/d refinery in Duqm, according to<br />
the Times of Oman. It would be the country’s third refinery.<br />
The Oman Refinery Company is also planning to exp<strong>and</strong> its output from 85,000<br />
b/d, to 106,000 b/d, the report said.<br />
Lastly, Qatar is studying the possibility of building an export refinery in<br />
Lebanon, Qatar News Agency reported. The countries recently signed an agreement for a<br />
150,000-200,000 b/d refinery.<br />
Most of the refinery’s output would be exported to Europe.<br />
Back to contents<br />
Policy Update<br />
Senate Approves Kempthorne for Cabinet Post<br />
The U.S. Senate last week approved former senator <strong>and</strong> current Idaho Gov. Dirk<br />
Kempthorne (R) to be the new Secretary of the <strong>In</strong>terior. Kempthorne will replace Gale<br />
Norton who announced her resignation in March (see WRFT 03/13/06).<br />
Kempthorne was approved by a voice vote after the Senate voted 85-8 to invoke<br />
cloture on his nomination.<br />
Meanwhile, the Senate also confirmed Dr. Raymond Orbach to be the Department of<br />
Energy’s (DOE) first-ever Under Secretary of Science. Orbach had been the director of<br />
DOE’s Office of Science.<br />
It also confirmed Thomas Barrett to be the first-ever administrator for the<br />
Department of Transportation’s Pipeline <strong>and</strong> Hazardous Materials Safety<br />
Administration.<br />
Back to contents<br />
Lithuanian Government Approves Refinery Sale<br />
The Lithuanian government yesterday approved the sale of part its stake in the<br />
country’s only oil refinery to Polish oil company PKN Orlen, Prime-Tass reported.<br />
Troubled Russian oil company Yukos sold its stake in the refinery to PKN Orlen last<br />
week (see WRFT 05/30/06).<br />
Copyright 2006. Hart Energy Publishing, LP.
May 31, 2006 World Refining & Fuels Today Page 3<br />
The door to complete the sale opened Thursday after a U.S. bankruptcy court<br />
judge declined to extend a temporary order blocking the deal (see WRFT 05/26/06).<br />
PKN will purchase Yukos’ 53.7% stake for $1.5 billion <strong>and</strong> will pay $852 million<br />
for the additional 30.7% stake that currently belongs to the Lithuanian government.<br />
The Lithuanian government will retain a 10% stake <strong>and</strong> will have the option of<br />
selling it to PKN during the next five years for $284 million, decreasing to $278<br />
million after three years.<br />
Back to contents<br />
News From Around The World<br />
Flint Hills Opens New Jet Fuel Terminal<br />
Flint Hills Resources announced yesterday it has started operations at a new fuel<br />
terminal in Bastrop County, Texas, which will supply jet fuel to Austin-Bergstrom<br />
<strong>In</strong>ternational Airport.<br />
Now that the terminal is operational, the company said it will convert the jet<br />
fuel tanks at its east Austin terminal to store gasoline <strong>and</strong> diesel fuel, <strong>and</strong> may<br />
exp<strong>and</strong> the terminal’s rack capacity.<br />
The company previously announced plans to increase the fuel storage capacity at<br />
its Waco, Texas, terminal by 40% this year (see WRFT 12/05/05). It also plans to<br />
exp<strong>and</strong> by 30,000 b/d its pipeline capacity serving Central Texas.<br />
Flint Hills also plans to increase its refining capacity by 50,000 b/d at its<br />
280,000 b/d refinery in Rosemount, Minn.<br />
Back to contents<br />
Rompetrol to <strong>In</strong>vest $140 Million in Romanian Refinery<br />
Romanian oil company Rompetrol will invest more than $140 million in its Petromidia<br />
refinery during the next two years, Greek news service Reporter.gr said.<br />
The investment will increase refinery capacity 38% <strong>and</strong> enable meeting European<br />
fuel quality st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> environmental regulations, the report said. The refinery<br />
currently has a capacity of about 100,000 b/d.<br />
Rompetrol will finance 70% of investment.<br />
Back to contents<br />
Kinder Morgan May Go Private<br />
Kinder Morgan announced over the weekend that a group of investors led by the<br />
company’s chairman <strong>and</strong> CEO Richard Kinder have submitted a proposal to acquire all<br />
outst<strong>and</strong>ing shares of the company’s stock for $100 in cash per share.<br />
The company’s board of directors has formed a special committee of independent<br />
directors to consider the group’s proposal.<br />
Meantime, Kinder Morgan has some $670 million in capital expansion projects<br />
targeted for 2006, including:<br />
• A $15 million expansion of its Calnev pipeline system, which transports<br />
gasoline, diesel <strong>and</strong> jet fuel from Colton, Calif., to Barstow, Calif., <strong>and</strong> Las Vegas<br />
(see WRFT 04/10/06).<br />
The expansion will increase gasoline, jet fuel <strong>and</strong> diesel capacity to about<br />
156,000 b/d by the fourth quarter 2007.<br />
Copyright 2006. Hart Energy Publishing, LP.
May 31, 2006 World Refining & Fuels Today Page 4<br />
The project will include installing new, upgraded pumping equipment at the<br />
terminal in Colton, Calif., a new booster station with two pumps at Cajon, Calif.,<br />
<strong>and</strong> piping upgrades at the Las Vegas terminal.<br />
• Another $10 million for new construction <strong>and</strong> upgrades at two of its terminals<br />
on its Calnev system (see WRFT 02/06/06).<br />
The project includes constructing two, 80,000 bbl gasoline <strong>and</strong> diesel storage<br />
tanks at the Las Vegas terminal. The tanks are expected to be operational in the<br />
first quarter of next year. Existing storage tanks will be realigned to provide<br />
additional storage for ethanol <strong>and</strong> transmix, the company said.<br />
• Replacement of a six-inch delivery line with 12-inch pipe at its Barstow<br />
terminal, increasing the delivery capacity to Las Vegas by 3,000 b/d, to 113,000 b/d.<br />
That expansion is expected to be completed in the third quarter of this year.<br />
Back to contents<br />
Fuel Economics<br />
Energy Futures Prices Up Slightly After Holiday<br />
The price of the July crude oil futures contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange<br />
(NYMEX) increased Tuesday, the first day the market was open this week after a<br />
holiday weekend in the U.S.<br />
The price climbed 1%, to $72.03/bbl.<br />
NYMEX gasoline went up very slightly to $2.15/gal. during the day. Heating oil<br />
gained 1%, to move back up to $2/gal.<br />
Brent crude oil picked up less than 1%, to $71.10/bbl.<br />
Back to contents<br />
Sky-High Ethanol Prices Further Assert Split from Crude<br />
Ethanol prices across the country sailed last week, climbing well above the previous<br />
week’s already stratospheric ceiling, with some market players citing the paucity of<br />
Brazilian exports as a factor.<br />
Experienced traders foundered for explanations for the strength of ethanol’s<br />
independent increase. Spot prices shot up by more than 30 ¢/gal in some markets, with<br />
New York, Illinois, Iowa <strong>and</strong> California posting the brawniest gains.<br />
“Some of the new plants may be coming online late,” one West Coast dealer<br />
offered, who could otherwise point to no overriding force behind the difficulties<br />
buyers bore last week.<br />
U.S. ethanol averaged $3.25/gal. as of May 25. That average was up 0.8% from<br />
the $3/gal. it was May 18 <strong>and</strong> is more than double the $1.28/gal. price from one year<br />
ago. It was the eighth straight weekly gain.<br />
A break may be around the corner. With the price support apparent to even<br />
producers subjected to the ad valorem tariff, U.S. markets are expected to begin<br />
accepting Brazilian shipments in earnest this week, while domestically, 32 ethanol<br />
refineries <strong>and</strong> eight expansions are presently under construction with a combined<br />
annual capacity of more than 2 billion gallons.<br />
Currently, 101 ethanol biorefineries nationwide have the capacity to produce<br />
more than 4.7 billion gal/year, according to data compiled by Hart Energy’s<br />
<strong>In</strong>ternational Fuel Quality Center.<br />
Copyright 2006. Hart Energy Publishing, LP.
May 31, 2006 World Refining & Fuels Today Page 5<br />
Meanwhile, the U.S. ethanol industry is doing its best to keep pace, producing<br />
301,000 b/d in February as well as March, the latest month for which data compiled by<br />
the Energy <strong>In</strong>formation Administration is available.<br />
More importantly, ethanol stocks across the U.S. were up more than 1.3 million<br />
barrels, according to EIA, equating to nearly 29 days of ethanol supply. <strong>This</strong> is the<br />
third straight month ethanol stocks have risen, up more than 56% from the beginning<br />
of the year.<br />
But futures trades expect that buyers will continue assailing supply for at<br />
least the next couple of months. Ethanol futures for June delivery on the Chicago<br />
Board of Trade on Friday reached an all-time high of $3.51 a gallon -- a gain of 37<br />
¢/gal, or 10%, for the week.<br />
The unusually high differential of 53 ¢/gal between July <strong>and</strong> August suggests<br />
that futures traders anticipate significant new capacity coming online during July.<br />
- Peter Ngo<br />
Back to contents<br />
<strong>In</strong> Other Sectors…<br />
·NYMEX crude closed at $72.03/bbl, up $0.66 on the day.<br />
·IPE Brent crude finished the day up $0.54 at $71.10/bbl.<br />
·OPEC crude went up $0.02, to $65.12/bbl.<br />
·NYMEX heating oil closed at $2.00/gal, up 2 cents on the day.<br />
·Unleaded gasoline closed at $2.15/gal on the NYMEX, up 1 cent.<br />
·Ethanol on the Chicago Board of Trade closed at $3.51/gal, up 9 cents.<br />
Copyright 2006. Hart Energy Publishing, LP.
May 31, 2006 World Refining & Fuels Today Page 6<br />
Copyright 2006. Hart Energy Publishing, LP.