Adaptation Tipping Points and Resilience

Adaptation Tipping Points and Resilience Adaptation Tipping Points and Resilience

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Central research questions Can adaptation tipping points be defined in such a way that they are an appropriate concept for assessing and communicating the implication of climate change & prioritise adaptation strategies? If so, how do these adaptation tipping points emerge? And (how) have the actions of agents contributed to adaptation tipping points? How to identify adaptation tipping points? What are possible responses to adaptation tipping points? What are consequences of working with adaptation tipping points for decision support? When do adaptation tipping points become decision tipping points, where management of socio-ecological systems shifts?

Conclusions / Experience Question: Can adaptation tipping points be defined in such a way that they are appropriate concept for assessing and communicating the implication of climate change & prioritise adaptation strategies? • Closer to the question of policy maker/manager/ stakeholder • • • Allows for dialogue between scientific & policy community. Expressing uncertainty in time (when will a critical point be reached) is easier to understand than % change in a certain projection year Some times far from trivial (not the silver bullet) because……

Conclusions / Experience<br />

Question: Can adaptation tipping points be defined in such a way that<br />

they are appropriate concept for assessing <strong>and</strong> communicating the<br />

implication of climate change & prioritise adaptation strategies?<br />

• Closer to the question of policy maker/manager/ stakeholder<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

Allows for dialogue between scientific & policy community.<br />

Expressing uncertainty in time (when will a critical point be<br />

reached) is easier to underst<strong>and</strong> than % change in a certain<br />

projection year<br />

Some times far from trivial<br />

(not the silver bullet) because……

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