Adaptation Tipping Points and Resilience
Adaptation Tipping Points and Resilience Adaptation Tipping Points and Resilience
Assessment of adaptation tipping points Translate tipping points to timescale: Use existing scenario (eg IPCC, or from national agencies) to assess when tipping points are likely to occur. Methods: use climate scenario’s, extreme/moderate (depends on sector); interpolate between projection year and now; express uncertainty earliest date/ latest date that climate change will have reached a certain value Nature goals not reached Inlet fresh water too often too salt (Gouda) Design criteria storm surge barrier exceeded Storm surge barrier closed too frequent for port Sand suppletion fails to meet coastal erosion Energy supply fails due to limits cooling capacity Norms for flood levees not met
Assessment of adaptation tipping points Determine decision tree & adaptation pathways: Repeat 4 & 5 for these alternatives + assess how easy it is to switch in time (flexibility/‘no regret’)
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Assessment of adaptation tipping points<br />
Determine decision tree & adaptation pathways: Repeat 4 & 5 for these<br />
alternatives + assess how easy it is to switch in time (flexibility/‘no regret’)
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