Adaptation Tipping Points and Resilience

Assessment of adaptation tipping points
Translate tipping points to timescale: Use existing scenario (eg IPCC, or from
national agencies) to assess when tipping points are likely to occur.
Methods: use climate scenario’s, extreme/moderate (depends on sector);
interpolate between projection year and now; express uncertainty earliest
date/ latest date that climate change will have reached a certain value
Nature goals not reached
Inlet fresh water too often too salt (Gouda)
Design criteria storm surge barrier exceeded
Storm surge barrier closed too frequent for port
Sand suppletion fails to meet coastal erosion
Energy supply fails due to limits cooling capacity
Norms for flood levees not met