Investor Briefing on ERGO International - Munich Re
Investor Briefing on ERGO International - Munich Re
Investor Briefing on ERGO International - Munich Re
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
INVESTOR BRIEFING<br />
ON <strong>ERGO</strong> INTERNATIONAL<br />
10 July 2013
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Agenda<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al Jochen Messemer CEO of <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al 2<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland Piotr Sliwicki CEO of <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland 17<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey Theodoros Kokkalas CEO of <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey 29<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong> CFO of DAS UK 46<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia Andreas Kleiner Member of the <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al Board 57<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> India Ritesh Kumar CEO of HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in India 67<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
2<br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – Integral part of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group …<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group – Premium split 1<br />
€bn<br />
Primary insurance – Premium split 1<br />
€bn<br />
Primary insurance<br />
17.1 (33%)<br />
<strong>Re</strong>insurance<br />
28.2 (54%)<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
3.7 (22%)<br />
Germany<br />
13.2 (77%)<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> Health<br />
6.7 (13%)<br />
TOTAL<br />
€52bn<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al improving risk profile of<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> through geographical and product<br />
diversificati<strong>on</strong> in primary insurance business<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al Health<br />
0.2 (1%)<br />
TOTAL<br />
€17.1bn<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – Premium split 1<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
2.3 (61%)<br />
TOTAL<br />
€3.7bn<br />
€bn<br />
Life<br />
1.4 (39%)<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al growth strategy c<strong>on</strong>centrating <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life business – focus area of this<br />
presentati<strong>on</strong><br />
1 As at 31.12.2012.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
3
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
… with increasing importance in terms of top- and<br />
bottom-line growth<br />
Gross written premiums 1,2<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Int. Health<br />
Germany<br />
17.0 17.1<br />
3.2 3.7<br />
0.8 0.2<br />
13.0 13.2<br />
€bn<br />
CAGR<br />
+3.7%<br />
+0.4%<br />
Gross written premiums n<strong>on</strong>-life 1 €m<br />
5,105<br />
5,554<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
39%<br />
41%<br />
Germany<br />
61% 59%<br />
2008 2012<br />
• Mature German market …<br />
• … complemented by expansi<strong>on</strong> of<br />
internati<strong>on</strong>al business largely driven by<br />
organic growth, in particular in Poland …<br />
• … partly offset by divestments in Portugal and<br />
South Korea as well as stringent bottom-line<br />
focus influencing growth<br />
• In 2012 more than 50% of <strong>ERGO</strong>‘s n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
new business generated by internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
2008 2012<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
2,288<br />
2,003<br />
413<br />
483<br />
626<br />
482<br />
429<br />
438<br />
600<br />
820<br />
2008 2012<br />
€m<br />
Other<br />
Legal<br />
Turkey/Greece<br />
Poland<br />
1 As at 31.12.2012. 2 Internati<strong>on</strong>al health business 2008 including DKV business sold to <strong>Munich</strong> Health in<br />
2011, 2012 including Europäische <strong>Re</strong>iseversicherung.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
4<br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Benefitting from being part of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group<br />
Synergies between <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> and <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Know-how exchange<br />
• Exchange of market knowledge<br />
• Product development<br />
(e.g. life product China)<br />
• Support when entering new<br />
markets (e.g. India)<br />
<strong>Re</strong>insurance/fr<strong>on</strong>ting<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>insurance soluti<strong>on</strong>s for<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
• Utilisati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al companies for<br />
fr<strong>on</strong>ting business<br />
Joint organisati<strong>on</strong><br />
• Integrated risk management<br />
• Group human resources<br />
• Joint asset management<br />
(MEAG)<br />
• CFO organisati<strong>on</strong><br />
• Centres of competence<br />
(e.g. M&A)<br />
Examples of cooperati<strong>on</strong><br />
China<br />
Actuarial support, product development, support for reinsurance c<strong>on</strong>tracts<br />
India Life Support of market entry of <strong>ERGO</strong> India Life, including company set-up plans, product pricing, etc.<br />
Italy<br />
Optimisati<strong>on</strong> of processes in managing large losses<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
5
Mature Market High growth<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Business portfolio – Further improving geographic<br />
diversificati<strong>on</strong> …<br />
China<br />
ILLUSTRATIVE<br />
India<br />
Turkey<br />
SEA<br />
Vietnam<br />
Baltics<br />
Poland<br />
DAS<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Greece<br />
DAS Netherlands<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> writing business in 2012<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> not writing business in 2012<br />
Austria<br />
Italy<br />
Belgium<br />
Low Profitability of <strong>ERGO</strong> unit High<br />
Striking the balance between well-established profitable units and business<br />
expansi<strong>on</strong> in markets with above-average growth rates<br />
Profitability referring to IFRS profit in 2012, market growth reflecting real growth rate (CAGR 2012-2020).<br />
Bubble size reflecting gross written premiums as at 31.12.2012.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
6<br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
… with clear focus <strong>on</strong> organic growth<br />
Strategic building block 1 –<br />
Organic growth – Clear focus<br />
• Expand large companies<br />
• Broadening sales approach<br />
• Transfer successful products/de-risking<br />
c<strong>on</strong>cepts and technical skills<br />
• Develop smaller and medium-sized<br />
companies by expanding lines of business<br />
• Expanding legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance to “Legal<br />
Powerhouse” by extending existing product<br />
range and services<br />
Strategic building block 2 –<br />
Greenfield and selective M&A<br />
• Broadening India with set-up of life company<br />
• Market entry in China via greenfield in life<br />
• Increasing shares in existing joint ventures<br />
• Screening well-performing medium-sized<br />
companies in South East Asia (SEA)<br />
• Clear focus <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
• Hub approach to screening markets in SEA<br />
• Ultimate goal is to achieve a top 5 – 10<br />
positi<strong>on</strong> within the markets of SEA<br />
• Expanding legal protecti<strong>on</strong> with greenfield and<br />
M&A approach in selected markets<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
7
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Geographic focus <strong>on</strong> CEE and Asia – <strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>s with the<br />
highest expected primary insurance premium growth<br />
Strategic focus regi<strong>on</strong>s – Why CEE and Asia?<br />
CEE<br />
• Markets with high growth<br />
path and low insurance<br />
penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g base with entities in<br />
Poland and Baltic States,<br />
footprints in SEE through<br />
hub in Austria<br />
Market positi<strong>on</strong> am<strong>on</strong>g top 5 in either life or n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
Asia<br />
Market presence<br />
• Underdeveloped<br />
insurance markets and<br />
high growth expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Hub in Singapore for<br />
further expansi<strong>on</strong> in<br />
South East Asia<br />
• General focus <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-life: <strong>Re</strong>al CAGR 2013 – 2020 1 % Life: <strong>Re</strong>al CAGR 2013 – 2020 1<br />
%<br />
Emerging Asia<br />
CEE<br />
Latin America<br />
MENA<br />
Mature Asia/Pacific<br />
North America<br />
Western Europe<br />
6.3<br />
5.7<br />
4.7<br />
2.8<br />
2.6<br />
1.3<br />
10.2<br />
Emerging Asia<br />
Latin America<br />
CEE<br />
MENA<br />
Mature Asia/Pacific<br />
North America<br />
Western Europe<br />
2.2<br />
2.0<br />
1.8<br />
8.6<br />
7.5<br />
13.9<br />
11.9<br />
1 Expectati<strong>on</strong>. Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
8<br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Structured built up of the group’s expertise as basis for<br />
profitable growth strategy<br />
Property-casualty Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> Life<br />
Examples<br />
• Expertise in pricing with fullfledged<br />
GLM tariffs 1 based <strong>on</strong><br />
predictive modelling (rolled out<br />
e.g. Turkey, Greece)<br />
• Advanced central actuarial<br />
reserving methodologies<br />
• Exchange of best practice in<br />
claims management and roll<br />
out of special fraud tool<br />
• Distinct profile as legal<br />
protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance (LPI)<br />
specialist<br />
• Expert know-how offering legal<br />
services bey<strong>on</strong>d LPI (e.g. debt<br />
collecti<strong>on</strong> in the Netherlands)<br />
• Greenfield expertise<br />
(e.g. Austria, Canada) and joint<br />
venture experience (e.g. Italy)<br />
• Central profitability steering for<br />
new business<br />
• Systematic knowledge<br />
exchange <strong>on</strong> life products<br />
through Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Competence Centre Life<br />
• Central development of new<br />
product types, taking account<br />
of special local requirements<br />
Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
• High know-how in agency distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g bancassurance player and experienced in building l<strong>on</strong>g-term partnerships<br />
Strengthen skills (incl. integrated risk management) and support units – Central<br />
units support internati<strong>on</strong>al entities while centres of competence bundling knowledge<br />
1 GLM: Generalised linear model. Statistical toolbox to design predictive models used for insurance tariffs.<br />
GLM-based pricing processes aim to improve risk selecti<strong>on</strong>, design more effective portfolio segmentati<strong>on</strong>,<br />
optimise pricing against market benchmarks, and utilise predictive models for customer behaviour.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
9
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al life<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al life – affected by low-yield envir<strong>on</strong>ment but<br />
still solid ec<strong>on</strong>omic financials<br />
Total premiums<br />
CAGR 8.4%<br />
1,832<br />
381<br />
1,326<br />
316<br />
281<br />
440 528<br />
279<br />
607<br />
326<br />
2008 2012<br />
€m MCEV<br />
Others<br />
Italy<br />
Belgium<br />
Austria<br />
1,483 1,365<br />
1,082<br />
761<br />
€m<br />
1,229<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
VNB<br />
€m<br />
63<br />
58 59<br />
51<br />
26<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of Bank Austria<br />
Insurance in 2009 fostering<br />
growth, currently tax benefit<br />
related challenges in Austria<br />
• Belgium with str<strong>on</strong>g growth as a<br />
niche player<br />
• Life business in China and India<br />
in build-up phase<br />
• Improved MCEV despite still<br />
difficult capital market situati<strong>on</strong><br />
• 2012: Positive c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> from<br />
narrowing credit spreads<br />
• Positive impact due to profit<br />
sharing mechanism<br />
• VNB <strong>on</strong> a c<strong>on</strong>stantly high<br />
level and leading to high new<br />
business margin 1 of 4.5% in<br />
2012<br />
• Belgium and Austria are drivers<br />
of positive VNB<br />
• Development of new products<br />
with focus <strong>on</strong> reduced capital<br />
market risk<br />
1 New business margin = VNB / present value of new business premiums.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
10<br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al life<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al life with significant differences to German<br />
life business<br />
Products Profit sharing Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
• High share of unit-linked, hybrid<br />
and risk products<br />
• Flexibility in adjusting<br />
guarantee levels (e.g. Belgium)<br />
• Technical profits remain with<br />
shareholder due to favourable<br />
profit sharing regulati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• High profit margins of new<br />
business<br />
Example Belgium<br />
• Belgium: No profit sharing<br />
regulati<strong>on</strong>s exist – profit sharing<br />
arrangements due to market<br />
forces<br />
• Austria: 85% of profit to be<br />
distributed, but positive and<br />
negative sources of profit can<br />
be balanced out<br />
• Italy: Profit sharing <strong>on</strong>ly relates<br />
to profit from investment<br />
income<br />
• High share of hybrid products with significant unit-linked part (~40%)<br />
driving value of new business (VNB)<br />
• Increasing share of very flexible "universal life" products offering eightyear<br />
guarantees and allowing m<strong>on</strong>thly reviews of guarantee levels<br />
• Current new business guarantees for universal life products between<br />
1.4 – 2.25% (depending <strong>on</strong> sales channel)<br />
• Universal life products with low risk capital c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong><br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g bancassurance<br />
partnerships for life business<br />
with potential for further growth<br />
• <strong>ERGO</strong> as preferred partner for<br />
bancassurance with successful<br />
cooperati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Belgium growing faster than<br />
total life market due to niche<br />
approach in sales (brokers and<br />
structured networks)<br />
• Agency approach in China and<br />
India<br />
€m<br />
VNB Belgium<br />
16<br />
31 28<br />
39 38<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
11
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
Technical improvements in recent years as a result of<br />
portfolio management measures<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life – Combined ratio 1<br />
%<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life – GWP per line of business 2<br />
96.7<br />
102.5<br />
107.8<br />
104.5<br />
99.8<br />
Other<br />
382 (17%)<br />
Pers<strong>on</strong>al<br />
accident<br />
79 (3%)<br />
TOTAL<br />
€2,288m<br />
Motor<br />
1,027 (45%)<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Portfolio management measures<br />
Fire/Property<br />
174 (8%)<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong><br />
626 (27%)<br />
Divestment<br />
Turnaround<br />
Good<br />
performance<br />
• Portugal: No core market, subcritical company size and unstable ec<strong>on</strong>omic situati<strong>on</strong><br />
• South Korea: Highly competitive motor market with strict regulati<strong>on</strong><br />
• Turkey: Good progress after significant reducti<strong>on</strong> of MTPL portfolio and improved pricing<br />
• United Kingdom: Quick recovery of the legal protecti<strong>on</strong> business after increasing labour<br />
law claims caused by the financial crisis<br />
• Poland: Delivering sustainably good results – 2010 excepti<strong>on</strong>ally high nat cat losses<br />
• Greece: Technically sound despite ec<strong>on</strong>omic crisis<br />
1 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012 c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of all<br />
Intra-Group business. 2 As at 31.12.2012.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
12<br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
Less<strong>on</strong>s learned from mistakes made in the past<br />
Leverage<br />
Group’s skills/<br />
technical issues<br />
Shortcomings<br />
• Only limited leveraging of existing skills<br />
• Limited exchange of internati<strong>on</strong>al knowledge<br />
• Insufficient use of actuarial expertise within<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group regarding tariff calculati<strong>on</strong><br />
and reserving<br />
Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />
• Systematic use of existing skills in the Group<br />
(e.g. pricing, reserving, risk management)<br />
• Instituti<strong>on</strong>alised internati<strong>on</strong>al knowledge<br />
exchange with centres of competence for<br />
crucial areas (e.g. claims, underwriting)<br />
Post-merger<br />
integrati<strong>on</strong><br />
(PMI)<br />
Support local<br />
operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Insufficient PMI especially in Turkey and<br />
partly Austria<br />
• Inadequate support of internati<strong>on</strong>al entities<br />
in the development of a competitive positi<strong>on</strong><br />
in their local markets<br />
• Improved PMI process implementing group<br />
know-how/standards quickly (e.g. Vietnam)<br />
• Improved processes for critical issues and<br />
close PMI m<strong>on</strong>itoring<br />
• Driving and supporting new product<br />
initiatives through central units<br />
• Providing know-how for developing new and<br />
improving existing sales channels driven by<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong>’s internati<strong>on</strong>al centres of competence<br />
Goodwill<br />
impairment and<br />
management<br />
talent<br />
• Investments with from today‘s perspective, rather high purchase prices made before the financial<br />
crisis (mainly Turkey, Austria) – High goodwill depreciati<strong>on</strong>s as a result affected <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al’s profits in the years 2006 to 2011<br />
• Lack of management talent had to be addressed and resolved in important markets<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
13
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al total – Capital management<br />
Capital and asset-liability management at <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al ensuring efficient allocati<strong>on</strong> of capital<br />
Capital management<br />
• Central liquidity steering at <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> and<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> to ensure efficient capital allocati<strong>on</strong> while<br />
c<strong>on</strong>sidering sufficient regulatory capitalisati<strong>on</strong><br />
(Solvency I and II)<br />
• Measures always coordinated and discussed<br />
with local supervisi<strong>on</strong> to ensure compliance with<br />
local regulati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Usage of trigger system to ensure and manage<br />
sufficient capital endowment of subsidiaries<br />
Local solvency ratio 1 :<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
Buffer 20%<br />
Threshold 20%<br />
Limit = 100%<br />
ILLUSTRATIVE<br />
1 Green = green trigger, yellow = yellow trigger.<br />
2 Fair values as at 31.3.2013. Split fixed income portfolio: Government b<strong>on</strong>ds 53%, covered b<strong>on</strong>ds 26%,<br />
corporate b<strong>on</strong>ds 4%, bank b<strong>on</strong>ds 7%, Cash/other 10%.<br />
Asset-liability management<br />
• <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>’s Group-wide ALM guidelines<br />
require investments to be aligned to the liability<br />
structure …<br />
• … with strictly limited risk budget with minimum<br />
deviati<strong>on</strong>s as regards currency and durati<strong>on</strong><br />
mismatch as well as market and credit risk<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al investment portfolio 2 %<br />
<strong>Re</strong>al estate<br />
and other<br />
1.3<br />
Equity and<br />
participati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
3.1<br />
TOTAL<br />
€16.8bn<br />
Investments by major currencies (€bn)<br />
Fixed income<br />
95.6<br />
EUR: 14.8 PLN: 1.0 TRY: 0.3 GBP: 0.2<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
14<br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
After challenging years financial results point in the<br />
right directi<strong>on</strong><br />
Net income <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al total 1<br />
150<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-life 16<br />
Life<br />
134<br />
10<br />
–38<br />
–50<br />
–139<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• 2010: In additi<strong>on</strong> to an unfavourable underlying<br />
development, net result reflecting goodwill write-down<br />
<strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey and flood claims in Poland<br />
• 2011: Improved operating performance, positive<br />
impact of swapti<strong>on</strong>s in life business significantly<br />
overcompensated by goodwill write-down <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Daum and depreciati<strong>on</strong> of Greek government b<strong>on</strong>ds<br />
• 2012: High net result affected by n<strong>on</strong>-recurrent items<br />
distorting the normalised financial performance in<br />
both lines of business<br />
• Life: Earnings benefit from extraordinarily high<br />
investment income (swapti<strong>on</strong> effect, disposal gains)<br />
• N<strong>on</strong>-life: <strong>Re</strong>sult mainly burdened by negative<br />
earnings of <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey and dec<strong>on</strong>solidati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />
€m<br />
Turnaround of <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al gaining momentum<br />
1 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012 c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
all intra-Group business.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
15
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Outlook: C<strong>on</strong>tributing reliable earnings to <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Group’s financial results<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al financial targets<br />
Gross written premiums<br />
€bn Combined ratio<br />
%<br />
Net result<br />
€m<br />
3.7<br />
~4.3<br />
99.8
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
Poland – Ec<strong>on</strong>omically healthy country with a welldeveloped<br />
insurance market<br />
<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1<br />
%<br />
Inflati<strong>on</strong> 1 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 2<br />
%<br />
5.1<br />
4.5<br />
3.9<br />
1.6<br />
1.9<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
5.4<br />
4.3<br />
3.8<br />
10-Y yield<br />
Inflati<strong>on</strong><br />
6.3 6.1 5.9<br />
2.7<br />
4.2<br />
3.7<br />
3.7<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> in p-c market (2012) 1,3 % Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 4 %<br />
Poland<br />
Czech <strong>Re</strong>public<br />
1.9<br />
1.8<br />
Debt<br />
Unemployment<br />
9.7 9.7<br />
10.1<br />
Slovakia<br />
Hungary<br />
Russia<br />
1.2<br />
1.1<br />
1.5<br />
7.1<br />
47.1<br />
8.1<br />
50.9<br />
54.8 56.2 55.6<br />
Turkey<br />
1.0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
1 Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search, IHS Global Insight. 2 Bloomberg.<br />
3 Premiums in % of GDP. 4 Source: Eurostat.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
18<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
Property-casualty market – Highly c<strong>on</strong>centrated and<br />
dominated by motor business<br />
P-C insurance market – Premiums<br />
Other<br />
16.1<br />
Liability<br />
6.9<br />
Property<br />
20.7<br />
4.9 5.0<br />
CAGR +6.6%<br />
Split by line of business<br />
5.4<br />
TOTAL<br />
€6.3bn<br />
6.0<br />
6.3<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
€bn<br />
%<br />
Motor liability<br />
34.7<br />
Motor damage<br />
21.6<br />
P-C insurance market – Market shares<br />
PZU<br />
Talanx<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
VIG<br />
Allianz<br />
15<br />
16<br />
13<br />
11<br />
10<br />
8<br />
7<br />
8<br />
32<br />
40<br />
• Property-casualty market with 49 players,<br />
dominated by PZU which lost some market<br />
share in the recent years<br />
2012<br />
2008<br />
• High market c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> – Market share of top<br />
5 insurers: 76% (83% in 2008)<br />
• M&A activity – Takeover of Warta and Europa by<br />
Talanx and PTU by Gothaer<br />
%<br />
Property-casualty market dominated by five key players<br />
Source: Polish Financial Supervisi<strong>on</strong> Authority.<br />
Local GAAP. Currency exchange ratio as at the end of 2012<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
19
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
Property-casualty market – Short-term outlook rather<br />
cloudy while l<strong>on</strong>g-term prospects remain attractive<br />
Macro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
<strong>Re</strong>gulati<strong>on</strong><br />
Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />
Society<br />
Technology<br />
• High activity in terms of c<strong>on</strong>sumer<br />
protecti<strong>on</strong><br />
• Increasing unemployment rate, but<br />
optimistic GDP forecast<br />
• Decreasing car registrati<strong>on</strong>s and lower<br />
demand for mortgages<br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>ger need for customised products<br />
• Smart shopping – price comparis<strong>on</strong> is<br />
a “must have”<br />
• Increasing “research <strong>on</strong>line, purchase<br />
offline” trend (ROPO)<br />
• C<strong>on</strong>tinued increase of mobile<br />
penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />
Envir<strong>on</strong>ment • 2012: Benign year as regards nat cat<br />
2013: Flood, str<strong>on</strong>g hailstorms and<br />
windstorms in June<br />
Fierce competiti<strong>on</strong><br />
• <strong>Re</strong>gular price wars and increasing cost of acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />
• Weaker margins and as a result MTPL price increase<br />
• Insurers with agile business models will succeed<br />
Micro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
Competiti<strong>on</strong> 61% of insurers disclosed negative<br />
technical results, despite a very<br />
good 2012 for the top 3 market<br />
players – Larger players focus <strong>on</strong><br />
profitability while smaller players<br />
care for market share<br />
Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
Customer<br />
Increasing multi-agent market<br />
share – Dominant positi<strong>on</strong> of large<br />
nati<strong>on</strong>al-agent structures<br />
• Less developed insurance<br />
culture with high potential<br />
• MTPL 1 : Pers<strong>on</strong>al claims share<br />
still very low compared to EU –<br />
Low penetrati<strong>on</strong> of insurance<br />
products apart from MTPL<br />
Changing customer behaviour<br />
• Transparency in products and processes<br />
• Modular product offering<br />
• Empowerment of the customer<br />
1 Motor third party liability.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
20<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Historical overview<br />
1991 1994 1997 2000 2002<br />
2009 2010<br />
Licence for<br />
STU Hestia<br />
Insurance<br />
Alte<br />
Leipziger-<br />
Shareholder<br />
of Hestia<br />
Insurance<br />
Hestia Life<br />
Insurance<br />
foundati<strong>on</strong><br />
Joined<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
MTU<br />
foundati<strong>on</strong><br />
Direct<br />
launch<br />
<strong>Re</strong>branding<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland today<br />
• 3,000 employees<br />
• Headquarters in Sopot, 37 retail and 8 corporate regi<strong>on</strong>al offices nati<strong>on</strong>wide<br />
• 3 milli<strong>on</strong> customers<br />
• In partnership with 4,000 agents, 500 dealers, almost 1,000 brokers and 20 banks<br />
• MTU brand offering mainly motor third party liability covers for price-sensitive customers<br />
• Direct brand (You Can Drive) focused <strong>on</strong> motor insurance for young people<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
21
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Key figures<br />
Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />
% Net result 1<br />
792 820<br />
36<br />
710<br />
107.7<br />
600 594<br />
21<br />
99.9<br />
97.3<br />
95.1<br />
91.4<br />
23<br />
44<br />
€m<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Growing faster than the market<br />
due to balanced portfolio and<br />
diversified distributi<strong>on</strong> mix as well<br />
as investment in technology<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
2010: Excepti<strong>on</strong>ally high large nat<br />
cat losses – Improvement in 2012<br />
due to disciplined underwriting and<br />
benign claims development<br />
Target combined ratio:
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Well-positi<strong>on</strong>ed to resp<strong>on</strong>d to short-term<br />
challenges and participate in attractive market l<strong>on</strong>g-term<br />
Business model – Main focus areas<br />
Product simplicity Sales effectiveness Premium quality at low expense<br />
1 Balanced product portfolio<br />
• Multi-brand strategy<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>tail and corporate business<br />
units<br />
• Modular product architecture<br />
and transparency<br />
• Dynamic market-based<br />
pricing<br />
2 Diversified distributi<strong>on</strong> mix<br />
• Cross-channel customer<br />
acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g agent and broker<br />
network<br />
• Direct channel for young<br />
customer segment<br />
• Own sales branch network<br />
across Poland<br />
3 Operati<strong>on</strong>al excellence<br />
• Organic growth<br />
• Best in class claims<br />
operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Above-market cost efficiency<br />
• High customer satisfacti<strong>on</strong><br />
• Good market standing<br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g, recognisable brand<br />
Well-diversified business model<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
24<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
Balanced product portfolio<br />
1<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – GWP per lines of business 1<br />
% <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Loss ratio 1<br />
%<br />
Other 2<br />
14.5<br />
Motor liability<br />
37.7<br />
85.5<br />
Liability<br />
5.9<br />
TOTAL<br />
€820m<br />
61.8<br />
53.4<br />
61.5<br />
Property/Fire<br />
22.0<br />
Motor damage<br />
19.8<br />
34.4<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Hestia<br />
48%<br />
52%<br />
MTU<br />
Motor<br />
94%<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />
6%<br />
• Highest proporti<strong>on</strong> of n<strong>on</strong>-motor in <strong>ERGO</strong> Hestia<br />
compared to key players, with high share of<br />
motor damage within motor insurance<br />
• MTU is niche, low-cost insurance company,<br />
specialising in motor insurance for retail clients<br />
Motor<br />
liability<br />
Motor<br />
damage<br />
Property<br />
and fire<br />
Liability<br />
Other<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>serve strengthening for pers<strong>on</strong>al injury in<br />
motor third party liability<br />
• Lower total loss ratio in <strong>ERGO</strong> than the average<br />
market<br />
2<br />
1 As at 31.12.2012 without legal protecti<strong>on</strong>. 2 Assistance, accident and health, financial, legal protecti<strong>on</strong> and<br />
damage (railway, aircraft, property, etc.).<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
25
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
2 Distributi<strong>on</strong> mix<br />
Market – Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels FY 2012 1 % <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels FY 2012 1<br />
Other<br />
2.7<br />
Insurance agents<br />
64.4<br />
Other<br />
8.8<br />
%<br />
Insurance agents<br />
60.2<br />
Direct sales<br />
15.9<br />
Direct sales<br />
7.1<br />
Brokers<br />
16.9<br />
• Dynamic growth of multi-agent share of the<br />
market – more than half of insurance agents in<br />
Poland work with Ergo Poland<br />
• Growth slowdown in bancassurance sector<br />
• Decreasing car sales impact significance of car<br />
dealers channel<br />
Brokers<br />
23.9<br />
• Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels in <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />
dominated by multi-agents and brokers<br />
• Currently less significant but already rapidly<br />
growing direct sales distributi<strong>on</strong> channel<br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g, loyal agent and broker network built up<br />
over 20 years<br />
Diversified distributi<strong>on</strong> channels with leading multi-agent structures<br />
1 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
26<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
3<br />
Operati<strong>on</strong>al excellence facilitating participati<strong>on</strong> in<br />
growing insurance market<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland well-positi<strong>on</strong>ed<br />
92<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
HESTIA<br />
70<br />
Peer 1 74<br />
Peer 2<br />
86<br />
Peer 3<br />
89<br />
Peer 4<br />
High customer satisfacti<strong>on</strong> 1<br />
Best in class claims handling –<br />
Lowest complaint ratio in Poland 1<br />
Above-market cost efficiency<br />
11.3 11.2<br />
10.0<br />
5.8 5.5 5.2 5.1<br />
9.3 9.3<br />
4.7<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
%<br />
Market<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Low administrati<strong>on</strong> expense ratio<br />
– driven by advanced technologies<br />
Innovati<strong>on</strong><br />
Ongoing product and technology<br />
innovati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
Example:<br />
Ergo 7<br />
• Promotes customers with<br />
higher premium – by buying<br />
more insurance cover<br />
customers enjoy price benefits<br />
• Seamless cross-selling<br />
platform – Ergo 7 has doubled<br />
average premium for retail<br />
products<br />
Achieved level of cost effectiveness and excellence in claims handling allowing<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> to focus <strong>on</strong> profitable growth<br />
1 Source: Quarterly Message of the Polish Chamber of Insurance and Financial Middlemen (after 2012).<br />
Complaint ratio: complaints related to the market share. Peers: Allianz, Compensa (VIG), Inter Risk, PZU.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
27
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />
Key takeaways and outlook<br />
Market<br />
Expectati<strong>on</strong> of two difficult years to come – a market challenge. However, in<br />
the l<strong>on</strong>g run, attractive market due to demographic and ec<strong>on</strong>omic prospects<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />
Well-positi<strong>on</strong>ed to benefit from attractive market prospects –<br />
Balanced business portfolio and distributi<strong>on</strong> mix in additi<strong>on</strong> to promising<br />
product and technology innovati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
Strategy<br />
Maintaining leadership in operati<strong>on</strong>al excellence – High customer<br />
satisfacti<strong>on</strong> and above-market cost efficiency<br />
Ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />
C<strong>on</strong>tinue organic growth path at a combined ratio < 96%<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
28<br />
Agenda<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Jochen Messemer<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />
Piotr Sliwicki<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />
Theodoros Kokkalas<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />
Andreas Kleiner<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />
Ritesh Kumar<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
29
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />
Turkish ec<strong>on</strong>omy heading for a soft landing despite euro<br />
crisis – Low insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> promises high growth<br />
<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1<br />
% Inflati<strong>on</strong> 1 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 2<br />
%<br />
10.4<br />
9.0 8.8<br />
9.8<br />
8.6<br />
9.0<br />
2.2<br />
0.7<br />
8.4<br />
6.3<br />
6.5 6.6<br />
10-Y yield<br />
–4.8<br />
Inflati<strong>on</strong><br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> p-c market (2012) 1,3 % Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 4 %<br />
Debt Unemployment<br />
Poland<br />
1.9<br />
12.5<br />
10.7<br />
9.7<br />
Czech <strong>Re</strong>public<br />
1.8<br />
8.8 8.1<br />
Slovakia<br />
1.5<br />
50.9<br />
Hungary<br />
1.2<br />
44.1<br />
36.6<br />
36.9<br />
39.9<br />
Russia<br />
1.1<br />
Turkey<br />
1.0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
1 Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search. 2 Source: Bloomberg. 3 Premiums in % of GDP. 4 Source: Eurostat.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
30<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – History<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Historic overview<br />
1988 1995 2006 2008<br />
2010<br />
2011–2012<br />
2013<br />
Foundati<strong>on</strong><br />
Isvicre<br />
Sigorta<br />
A.Ş.<br />
Foundati<strong>on</strong><br />
İsviçre Life<br />
A.Ş. to<br />
serve in<br />
health & life<br />
lines of<br />
businesses<br />
Acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />
of majority<br />
of shares<br />
by <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
• Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of<br />
remaining<br />
shares by<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
• Pensi<strong>on</strong><br />
licence<br />
granted<br />
Commencement<br />
of structured<br />
turnaround p-c<br />
programme<br />
Change of<br />
executive<br />
management<br />
and Group<br />
structure<br />
<strong>Re</strong>structuring<br />
and change<br />
in life &<br />
pensi<strong>on</strong><br />
strategy<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey today<br />
• Operates both n<strong>on</strong>-life and life and pensi<strong>on</strong><br />
with focus <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
• Head office in Istanbul<br />
• More than 500 employees<br />
• Demographics: 56.5% female, 43.5% male,<br />
average seniority 5.5 years<br />
• Over 1,500 agents and brokers<br />
• 8 regi<strong>on</strong>s and 3 sales offices<br />
• 93% of geographical coverage by cities in<br />
Turkey<br />
• Operates in 7 main business lines in n<strong>on</strong>-life:<br />
fire, motor, n<strong>on</strong>-motor, engineering, marine,<br />
agriculture and health<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
31
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-life market – Growth<br />
Market development (GWP) 1 €bn Market share 1<br />
%<br />
4.3 4.4<br />
+13.8%<br />
5.1<br />
6.1<br />
7.3<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• High growth rate: The n<strong>on</strong>-life insurance market<br />
in Turkey grew at low double digits over the last<br />
five years<br />
• Turkey is <strong>on</strong>e of the fastest growing n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
markets globally<br />
Axa<br />
Anadolu<br />
Allianz<br />
Ak<br />
Yapi Kredi<br />
Gunes<br />
Mapfre<br />
Groupama<br />
Eureko<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
8.4<br />
8.9<br />
7.6<br />
8.1<br />
7.2<br />
6.2<br />
5.4<br />
7.0<br />
5.2<br />
4.5<br />
4.8<br />
5.1<br />
4.0<br />
4.7<br />
4.0<br />
7.1<br />
• Market is still fairly c<strong>on</strong>centrated with five<br />
players comprising 50% of the market<br />
13.9<br />
12.6<br />
13.1<br />
11.4<br />
2012<br />
2008<br />
• <strong>ERGO</strong> deliberately gave up market share as a<br />
result of giving priority to restoring profitability<br />
over growth<br />
1 GWP = Gross written premium. Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey, Turkish GAAP.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
32<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />
Product mix<br />
Product mix<br />
%<br />
Market – FY 2012 1,2 <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – FY 2012 2<br />
Other<br />
27<br />
Motor own<br />
damage 26<br />
Other 3<br />
22 (15)<br />
Motor own damage<br />
35 (36)<br />
Health<br />
13<br />
Health<br />
9 (5)<br />
Fire<br />
11<br />
Motor third<br />
party liability 23<br />
Fire<br />
11 (13)<br />
Motor third<br />
party liability 23 (31)<br />
Outer ring = 2012 (inner ring = 2007)<br />
• <strong>ERGO</strong> has c<strong>on</strong>sciously reduced its motor third party liability exposure due to the l<strong>on</strong>g-tail character and<br />
adverse loss development of this line of business<br />
• Focus <strong>on</strong> short-tail motor own damage business with improving profitability<br />
Motor third party liability exposure in-line with market average<br />
1 Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey, 2 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />
3 Other including accident, sea and air vehicles, marine, engineering, compulsory earthquake, financial<br />
losses, legal protecti<strong>on</strong>, fidelity guarantee.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
33
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />
Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />
Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />
Market – FY 2012 1,2 <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – FY 2012 2<br />
Bancassurance<br />
14<br />
Agent<br />
68<br />
Broker<br />
16 (12)<br />
%<br />
Agent<br />
80 (86)<br />
Broker<br />
12<br />
Direct (HQ)<br />
4 (2)<br />
Direct (HQ)<br />
6<br />
Outer ring = 2012 (inner ring = 2007)<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> has no exclusive bankassurance partnership since all large and medium-sized banks in Turkey<br />
already either own insurance companies or have exclusive bancassurance agreements<br />
Agent dominated multi-channel market, <strong>ERGO</strong> with a str<strong>on</strong>g footprint am<strong>on</strong>g agents<br />
1 Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey.<br />
2 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
34<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-life market – Profitability<br />
Market combined ratio – Aggregate and by line of business 1 %<br />
104.3<br />
109.2 108.6<br />
106.9<br />
110.4<br />
Motor<br />
Motor third party liability<br />
Motor own damage<br />
128<br />
130<br />
120<br />
105<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
117<br />
121<br />
111 113<br />
141<br />
107<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />
2<br />
Health Fire<br />
117<br />
107<br />
109<br />
132<br />
106<br />
105<br />
97<br />
88 86<br />
78<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Profitability is still a problem – Mainly burdened by motor business<br />
1 Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey, Turkish GAAP<br />
2 Excluding compulsory earthquake<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
35
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-life market – Highly competitive and subject to<br />
dynamic changes<br />
Macro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
<strong>Re</strong>gulati<strong>on</strong><br />
Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />
Society<br />
Technology<br />
High activity in health, motor and<br />
reserving<br />
Making a soft landing despite euro<br />
crisis – Increasing trend in private<br />
c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong><br />
Low level of insurance awareness<br />
No indicati<strong>on</strong> of increase in <strong>on</strong>line<br />
purchasing, increasing focus <strong>on</strong> CRM<br />
and very high level of mobile penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />
Envir<strong>on</strong>ment No significant nat cat events in 2012<br />
Micro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
Competiti<strong>on</strong> Fragmented market and two<br />
market leaders disclosed negative<br />
technical results – Some of the<br />
larger players focus <strong>on</strong> market<br />
share while smaller players focus<br />
<strong>on</strong> profitability<br />
Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
Customer<br />
Dominant positi<strong>on</strong> of multi-agents<br />
– Increasing market share of<br />
bancassurance<br />
Low penetrati<strong>on</strong> of insurance<br />
products apart from compulsory<br />
insurance products (i.e. motor<br />
third party liability) – Low degree<br />
of cross-selling<br />
Fierce competiti<strong>on</strong><br />
• <strong>Re</strong>gular price wars and increasing cost of acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />
• Expected transiti<strong>on</strong> from cash-flow underwriting to<br />
risk-adequate pricing to take place in following years<br />
Changing customer behaviour<br />
• Increasing demand for better service<br />
• Growing clients’ need for pricing<br />
transparency<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
36<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />
After difficult years in a challenging market<br />
key performance driver being identified…<br />
Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />
Check data quality<br />
• Avoid over relying <strong>on</strong> quality<br />
of existing data to assess the<br />
state of or steer the business<br />
• C<strong>on</strong>sider the limited predictability<br />
of highly dynamic<br />
regulatory envir<strong>on</strong>ments <strong>on</strong><br />
l<strong>on</strong>g-tail business<br />
Have realistic expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Transformati<strong>on</strong> of ex-family<br />
owned businesses is a more<br />
challenging and l<strong>on</strong>ger-lasting<br />
process; need to invest early<strong>on</strong><br />
in changing the culture<br />
C<strong>on</strong>sider market dynamics<br />
• Markets’ resilience to shift<br />
from cash-flow underwriting to<br />
risk-adequate pricing can<br />
distort competiti<strong>on</strong> practices<br />
• War for talent is fierce in high<br />
growth markets; proactiveness<br />
makes a difference<br />
Less<strong>on</strong>s learned were incorporated by the new management team into a new strategy<br />
aiming at profitable growth to become a leading player in the Turkish insurance market<br />
Transformati<strong>on</strong> strategy – Focus <strong>on</strong> people, skills and effective processes<br />
Superior service level Sophisticated risk selecti<strong>on</strong> Efficiency and effectiveness<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
37
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy<br />
… while new management team defined strategic<br />
acti<strong>on</strong> plan<br />
A<br />
Phase 1<br />
Stop the remaining<br />
"bleeding"<br />
B<br />
C<strong>on</strong>sistent c<strong>on</strong>tinuati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
2010 turnaround<br />
programme - immediate<br />
acti<strong>on</strong>s to stop remaining<br />
under performance<br />
Phase 2<br />
<strong>Re</strong>build the organisati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
processes and<br />
infrastructure<br />
<strong>Re</strong>store<br />
profitability<br />
Profitable<br />
growth<br />
Phase 3<br />
<strong>Re</strong>claim market share<br />
Kick-start growth<br />
strategy by focusing <strong>on</strong><br />
sales and marketing<br />
based <strong>on</strong> clear<br />
competitive<br />
differentiators<br />
C<br />
<strong>Re</strong>visit and modify key<br />
processes<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 <strong>on</strong>wards …<br />
Current status<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
38<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 1<br />
A Take immediate acti<strong>on</strong> – Stringent implementati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
risk adequate pricing in motor business<br />
Average premium € Number of motor policies ths Ultimate loss ratio by AY 1 %<br />
MoD 3<br />
MTPL<br />
2<br />
422<br />
380 407 424<br />
2<br />
2<br />
MTPL<br />
MTPL<br />
MoD<br />
3<br />
MoD<br />
3<br />
519<br />
1,143<br />
122 117<br />
1,082 104<br />
107<br />
95<br />
695<br />
77 73 85 78 104<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Increase of average premium per<br />
customer in motor business by<br />
risk-adequate pricing (based <strong>on</strong><br />
full-fledged predictive modelling/<br />
GLM tariffs) and selective<br />
underwriting ...<br />
554<br />
449<br />
219 227 238 231 197<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
... as a c<strong>on</strong>sequence the number<br />
of policies decreased reducing<br />
the exposure ...<br />
78<br />
94 92 86<br />
... ultimately improving the<br />
accident-year loss ratios<br />
73<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Despite improving new business, adverse impact of l<strong>on</strong>g-tail legacy MTPL portfolio still obvious –<br />
~TL 200m reserve strengthening from 2010 to 2012 due to negative prior-year run-off<br />
1 AY: Accident year, gross IFRS. 2 MTPL: Motor third party liability. 3 MoD: Motor own damage.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
39
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – <strong>Re</strong>serve situati<strong>on</strong><br />
A<br />
Take immediate acti<strong>on</strong> – Improving reserve situati<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>Re</strong>serve/premium development 1<br />
Actual vs. expected of last year<br />
Actual payments<br />
53%<br />
63%<br />
72%<br />
Total<br />
Motor TPL<br />
Other LoBs<br />
Motor own damage<br />
2010 2011 2012<br />
<strong>Re</strong>cent developments<br />
General TPL<br />
Expected payments<br />
Green Actuals below expectati<strong>on</strong> Solid line Actuals equal expectati<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>Re</strong>d Actuals above expectati<strong>on</strong> Dotted line Actuals are 50% above / below expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• After reserve strengthening in the past the reserve situati<strong>on</strong> has improved, reflected in total actual<br />
payments being largely in line with the expectati<strong>on</strong> embedded in our current reserving levels<br />
• 2012: <strong>Re</strong>serve strengthening due to high uncertainty of future costs for court cases in motor and<br />
general TPL lines of business<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>serves are closely m<strong>on</strong>itored by local and central actuarial team with updated calculati<strong>on</strong>s every<br />
quarter in order to react to any (e.g. regulatory) changes immediately<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>serve/Premium ratio of <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey is higher compared to market (<strong>on</strong>ly local GAAP figures<br />
available for other market players)<br />
1 Held reserve divided by gross earned premium. 2 MTPL: Motor third party liability.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
40<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 2<br />
B <strong>Re</strong>build organisati<strong>on</strong> – General restructuring measures<br />
General restructuring measure<br />
Management organisati<strong>on</strong><br />
Descripti<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>Re</strong>ducing the complexity of the company’s organisati<strong>on</strong><br />
structure<br />
<strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>al structure<br />
Merging n<strong>on</strong>-life and life as well as pensi<strong>on</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>s – <strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
offices to fully focus <strong>on</strong> sales <strong>on</strong>ly<br />
Creati<strong>on</strong> of a service centre<br />
Centralisati<strong>on</strong> of all underwriting and policy administrati<strong>on</strong><br />
activities – Professi<strong>on</strong>alisati<strong>on</strong> of service to sales partners<br />
Staff<br />
Achieve sizing efficiency<br />
Implementati<strong>on</strong> of life and<br />
pensi<strong>on</strong> business case<br />
Implementati<strong>on</strong> of restructuring activities in line with the new life<br />
and pensi<strong>on</strong> strategy<br />
Impact: <strong>Re</strong>duced cost for employees and infrastructure since May 2013<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
41
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 2<br />
B<br />
<strong>Re</strong>build organisati<strong>on</strong> – <strong>Re</strong>visi<strong>on</strong> of life and pensi<strong>on</strong><br />
strategy<br />
New pensi<strong>on</strong> regulati<strong>on</strong><br />
• Direct government subsidies<br />
and incentives are expected to<br />
lead to significant growth<br />
• Adjusted caps to chargeable<br />
fees reduce the profitability of<br />
the pensi<strong>on</strong> business<br />
Market envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
• Top 10 players are either<br />
subsidiaries of banks or have<br />
exclusive bancassurance deals<br />
• Agent sales models with high<br />
current commissi<strong>on</strong> schemes<br />
(more than 20%)<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> life and pensi<strong>on</strong> operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• No exclusive bancassurance<br />
channel – Agent-dominated<br />
channel structure<br />
• Costly direct sales force<br />
Outcome<br />
Main success drivers in this<br />
envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
• Building a critical mass<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>as<strong>on</strong>able acquisiti<strong>on</strong> costs,<br />
e.g. in bancassurance channel<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>tenti<strong>on</strong> (protecti<strong>on</strong>) of the inforce<br />
portfolio<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong>’s new strategy<br />
Defer growth aspirati<strong>on</strong>s of the portfolio (hibernati<strong>on</strong>) …<br />
Dissolving direct sales force and limiting sales and operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
<strong>on</strong>ly to support the current customers and agents<br />
… while maintaining a keen watch <strong>on</strong> the pensi<strong>on</strong> market<br />
<strong>Re</strong>maining interested in its development and opportunities that<br />
may arise<br />
Changes in Turkish pensi<strong>on</strong> regulati<strong>on</strong>s – a paradigm shift for the entire pensi<strong>on</strong><br />
savings market necessitating a revisi<strong>on</strong> of <strong>ERGO</strong>’s life and pensi<strong>on</strong> strategy<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
42<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 2<br />
B Key figures – First signs of improvement, turnaround<br />
programme starting to bear fruit<br />
Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />
% Net result 1<br />
366<br />
347<br />
312 299<br />
16<br />
293<br />
130.2 131.5<br />
118.3<br />
122.3<br />
–34<br />
–64<br />
–27<br />
€m<br />
99.6<br />
–190<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Implementing turnaround<br />
measures since 2010 by<br />
increasing selectivity of<br />
underwriting risks at the expense<br />
of decreasing premium income<br />
over time ...<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
… while profitability has improved<br />
– Trend of lower combined ratio<br />
expected to c<strong>on</strong>tinue<br />
Target combined ratio:<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 3<br />
C Next steps – Further pursuing turnaround programme<br />
to reclaim market share<br />
Already d<strong>on</strong>e<br />
<strong>Re</strong>organisati<strong>on</strong> of group structure<br />
• Changing the management team<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>ducti<strong>on</strong> of labour and administrati<strong>on</strong> cost<br />
<strong>Re</strong>-underwriting of the portfolio after the<br />
introducti<strong>on</strong> of new underwriting guidelines and<br />
methods<br />
Introducti<strong>on</strong> of sophisticated GLM 1 pricing tools<br />
and methods instead of competiti<strong>on</strong>-based<br />
pricing<br />
<strong>Re</strong>design of health strategy<br />
Implementati<strong>on</strong> of urgent IT improvements<br />
Enhancing reserving and claims handling<br />
processes<br />
<strong>Re</strong>definiti<strong>on</strong> of life and pensi<strong>on</strong> strategy<br />
Upcoming acti<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>designing sales network management and<br />
upgrading effectiveness of sales operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Rollout of pricing methods improvements to<br />
other business lines<br />
• Further organisati<strong>on</strong>al restructuring<br />
• Centralisati<strong>on</strong> and service-excellence<br />
orientati<strong>on</strong><br />
• Streamlining<br />
• Process improvements<br />
• Rollout of further IT improvements <strong>on</strong> critical<br />
functi<strong>on</strong>s as well as user interfaces<br />
Achieving customer centricity, technical excellence and increasing effectiveness<br />
and efficiency<br />
1 GLM: Generalised linear model.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
44<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />
Key takeaways and outlook<br />
Profitability<br />
Top priority: <strong>Re</strong>storing sustainable profitability by way of reduced loss ratios<br />
and improved cost base through stringent focus <strong>on</strong> technical underwriting<br />
and enhancing all operati<strong>on</strong>al processes – Target combined ratio
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Agenda<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Jochen Messemer<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />
Piotr Sliwicki<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />
Theodoros Kokkalas<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />
Andreas Kleiner<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />
Ritesh Kumar<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
46<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS the worldwide market leader<br />
operating in 18 countries<br />
Global legal protecti<strong>on</strong> market<br />
€bn<br />
Premium split DAS Internati<strong>on</strong>al 2012<br />
€m<br />
6.9 7.1<br />
7.6 7.9<br />
Others<br />
88<br />
Netherlands<br />
210<br />
Austria<br />
60<br />
TOTAL<br />
€626m<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
Market shares 2011<br />
DAS <strong>ERGO</strong> 1<br />
14<br />
ARAG<br />
9<br />
Allianz<br />
8<br />
AXA 4<br />
Generali 4<br />
%<br />
Belgium<br />
70<br />
United Kingdom<br />
198<br />
• DAS has growing expertise in legal services,<br />
generating n<strong>on</strong>-premium income<br />
• Good track record in building up greenfields<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>liable partner for other p-c insurers<br />
(e.g. Generali, Zurich)<br />
Source: CEA, GDV, Annual <strong>Re</strong>ports, DI research<br />
Data: GWP 2011, no comprehensive data for 2012 available<br />
1 Gross written premium DAS Germany €421m, DAS Internati<strong>on</strong>al €587m.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
47
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – Organic growth delivering<br />
sustainable profits<br />
Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />
% Underwriting result 1,2<br />
€m<br />
482<br />
514<br />
548<br />
587<br />
626<br />
101.6<br />
97.4<br />
95.0<br />
19<br />
14<br />
31<br />
37<br />
96.8<br />
94.6<br />
–6<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• Organic growth and greenfields<br />
• Business model changes from<br />
pure insurer to legal service<br />
provider, especially in<br />
Netherlands and UK<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• 2009: Negative impact from<br />
significant increase in workrelated<br />
claims<br />
• Since 2009: Steadily<br />
decreasing combined ratio due<br />
to low loss ratio<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> delivering<br />
relatively stable results<br />
• 2009: Underwriting result<br />
burdened by ec<strong>on</strong>omic crisis<br />
• Sustained improvement in<br />
results in recent years<br />
1 IFRS figures without legal protecti<strong>on</strong>. 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012<br />
c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of all Intra-Group business. 2 Technical result without technical interest.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
48<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Proven skills in expansi<strong>on</strong> of legal services as basis for<br />
an internati<strong>on</strong>al legal powerhouse strategy<br />
Legal powerhouse<br />
Pillar 1:<br />
Extending product range<br />
into legal services<br />
Pillar 2:<br />
Developing new<br />
business lines<br />
Pillar 3:<br />
Cooperati<strong>on</strong> and<br />
partnering<br />
Pillar 4:<br />
Expansi<strong>on</strong> in new<br />
markets<br />
DAS Netherlands – Debt collecti<strong>on</strong> 1 €m<br />
• Successful change from "pure" insurer to legal service provider with debt<br />
collecti<strong>on</strong> now a highly profitable business field<br />
• Debt collecti<strong>on</strong> offers growth potential in a mature market envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
• Debt collecti<strong>on</strong> now produces almost 25% of DAS Netherland’s total<br />
revenues<br />
• C<strong>on</strong>stant product and legal service innovati<strong>on</strong>s e.g. high value after-theevent<br />
loss recovery insurance<br />
• Legal website offers legal advice and access to legal services<br />
• Own law firm allows DAS UK to participate in the whole value chain<br />
• Synergies between legal insurance and legal services creating positive profit<br />
development<br />
Debt collecti<strong>on</strong><br />
Original business<br />
65<br />
14<br />
172 210<br />
2008 2012<br />
DAS UK – Legal services 1 €m<br />
Other (technical) income<br />
Original business<br />
23<br />
13<br />
131<br />
198<br />
2008 2012<br />
1 Gross written premiums.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
49
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
UK ec<strong>on</strong>omy – Large and well-developed insurance<br />
market, but facing significant ec<strong>on</strong>omic headwinds<br />
<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1 % Inflati<strong>on</strong> 1 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 2<br />
%<br />
1.8<br />
4.2<br />
4.5<br />
1.0<br />
3.6<br />
3.6<br />
2.8<br />
–0.1<br />
–1.0<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
2.2<br />
2.1 1.9<br />
–4.0<br />
Inflati<strong>on</strong> 10-Y yield<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> p-c market (2011) 1,3 %<br />
United Kingdom<br />
4.0<br />
79.4<br />
85.5 90.0<br />
France<br />
2.8<br />
67.8<br />
Switzerland<br />
2.7<br />
52.7<br />
7.6 7.8 8.0 7.9<br />
Spain<br />
2.4<br />
Germany<br />
2.2<br />
5.6<br />
Debt Unemployment<br />
Italy<br />
2.2<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 4 51<br />
1 Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search, Eurostat, Bank of England.<br />
2 Bloomberg. 3 Premiums in % of GDP. 4 Source: Eurostat.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
50<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Development of DAS UK<br />
1975 2000 2011 2012 2013<br />
DAS UK<br />
established –<br />
Initial focus <strong>on</strong><br />
BTE insurance<br />
• Before-the-event<br />
("BTE") legal protecti<strong>on</strong><br />
insurance provides<br />
cover against potential<br />
legal costs arising from<br />
a future event<br />
• BTE is generally sold<br />
as part of a home,<br />
motor or commercial<br />
insurance package<br />
("add-<strong>on</strong> basis")<br />
Start to write<br />
ATE<br />
insurance<br />
• After-the-event ("ATE")<br />
legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance is<br />
taken out by a claimant who<br />
has a "no win, no fee"<br />
agreement with their lawyer<br />
in respect of a legal claim<br />
• It protects the claimant<br />
against costs not covered<br />
by the agreement if the<br />
case is lost<br />
Acquire<br />
Law <strong>on</strong><br />
the Web<br />
Apply for<br />
licence<br />
to own<br />
law firm<br />
ATE<br />
market<br />
changes<br />
• www.law<strong>on</strong>theweb.co.uk provides <strong>on</strong>line<br />
legal informati<strong>on</strong> and access to legal<br />
services<br />
• Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of a law firm by n<strong>on</strong>-lawyers<br />
permitted since 2012 – DAS UK<br />
acquired CW Law Solicitors (received<br />
licence in March 2013); now DAS Law<br />
• Legal Aid, Sentencing and Punishment<br />
of Offenders Act 2012 ("LASPO") and<br />
related changes implemented in April<br />
2013 – major impact <strong>on</strong> the ATE market<br />
Changes in the rules and operating methods of the legal system may threaten<br />
existing business models but create new opportunities<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
DAS UK – Market positi<strong>on</strong> and business profile<br />
UK legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance – Market shares 2011<br />
%<br />
DAS UK<br />
Direct Line<br />
AmTrust<br />
Brit<br />
Allianz<br />
9<br />
9<br />
10<br />
16<br />
16<br />
• DAS is market leader – expertise and reputati<strong>on</strong> as a<br />
specialist legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurer<br />
• DAS portfolio includes substantial proporti<strong>on</strong> of wholesale<br />
business<br />
• Different competitors in each market segment – few<br />
competitors operate in both BTE and ATE markets<br />
• Many market participants operate as MGAs or claims<br />
management companies<br />
DAS UK – Business Profile<br />
• 700 employees<br />
• Headquarters in Bristol, claims centre in Caerphilly, four sales offices in UK and ROI<br />
• 11.7 milli<strong>on</strong> policyholders<br />
• 2,500 business partners and agents, including banks, insurance companies, intermediaries and lawyers<br />
DAS UK market leader taking opportunities created by changes in the legal regime<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
52<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
DAS UK – Product portfolio<br />
DAS UK – Product portfolio<br />
Other<br />
4<br />
BTE<br />
54<br />
%<br />
Legal services<br />
4<br />
GWP<br />
€198m<br />
Insured assistance<br />
11<br />
ATE<br />
27<br />
BTE<br />
• Leading market positi<strong>on</strong>,<br />
working with major business<br />
partners including Lloyds<br />
Banking Group, Aviva, Zurich,<br />
esure, NFU Mutual, Nati<strong>on</strong>wide,<br />
Marsh, Towergate<br />
ATE<br />
• Business developed over last<br />
decade – now a substantial part<br />
of the portfolio<br />
• ATE market being reshaped<br />
post-LASPO – expected to<br />
become smaller, but still<br />
significant<br />
Legal services (and DAS Law)<br />
• Business currently small but<br />
growing rapidly – extensive<br />
growth opportunities<br />
• Margins much higher than<br />
insurance margins<br />
DAS UK operating in both BTE and ATE markets, with growing legal services<br />
business<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
53
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
DAS UK – Key figures<br />
Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />
% Net result 1<br />
€m<br />
131 129<br />
149<br />
170<br />
198<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Excellent premium growth,<br />
reflecting both volume and<br />
premium rate increases<br />
104.1<br />
123,4<br />
104,7<br />
100,4<br />
95,7<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Str<strong>on</strong>g recovery from technical<br />
losses in 2008 and 2009,<br />
caused by recessi<strong>on</strong><br />
Target combined ratio: 95%<br />
5<br />
0<br />
–8<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
9<br />
12<br />
Net result largely driven by<br />
technical performance – limited<br />
investment risk<br />
Substantial increase in claims volumes during the deep recessi<strong>on</strong> in 2008/2009 –<br />
decisive acti<strong>on</strong> taken to restore underwriting margins<br />
1 IFRS figures without legal protecti<strong>on</strong>. 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012<br />
c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of all Intra-Group business.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
54<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
DAS UK – Strategic directi<strong>on</strong><br />
Key elements of the strategy<br />
BTE market<br />
Maintain leading positi<strong>on</strong><br />
Business model<br />
Adjust for changes in the legal<br />
framework<br />
Legal services<br />
Develop legal services to become a<br />
significant part of the business<br />
New products<br />
Introduce new products that<br />
complement legal protecti<strong>on</strong><br />
insurance<br />
M&A<br />
Opportunistic acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />
strategy<br />
Objectives and benefits<br />
• Core portfolio of profitable business<br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g relati<strong>on</strong>ships with key market participants<br />
• Foundati<strong>on</strong> for development of new products and markets<br />
• Secure profits from ATE business written<br />
• Identify and exploit ATE and BTE market opportunities in the<br />
new legal envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
• Expand DAS Law as efficient provider of a growing volume and<br />
range of commoditised legal services<br />
• Develop legal services marketing through Law On The Web and<br />
from existing portfolio, building <strong>on</strong> legal services procurement skills<br />
• Examples of new products: high-value ATE, loss recovery<br />
insurance, pre-paid legal fees, c<strong>on</strong>sumer claims handling<br />
• C<strong>on</strong>sider acquisiti<strong>on</strong> opportunities that would expand or<br />
complement the Group’s business<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
55
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Key takeaways and outlook<br />
Growth L<strong>on</strong>g-term growth building <strong>on</strong> the core business of BTE –<br />
including a growing legal services business, innovative insurance products<br />
and expansi<strong>on</strong> in new markets<br />
Profit<br />
After return to profitability in 2011, further growth and sustainable profits<br />
based <strong>on</strong> good operating ratios; growth in higher margin legal services –<br />
Target combined ratio: 95%<br />
Processes<br />
Steady improvement of processes to secure operati<strong>on</strong>al efficiency, highest<br />
customer service quality embedded in a comprehensive risk management<br />
envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
Outlook<br />
Further development of DAS UK’s positi<strong>on</strong> as market leader in legal<br />
protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance and expanding to a "Legal Powerhouse" provider in<br />
various legal-protecti<strong>on</strong>-related business fields<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
56<br />
Agenda<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Jochen Messemer<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />
Piotr Sliwicki<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />
Theodoros Kokkalas<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />
Andreas Kleiner<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />
Ritesh Kumar<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
57
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
Strategic rati<strong>on</strong>ale – Increasing share of global GDP<br />
coming from Asia …<br />
Gross nati<strong>on</strong>al income per capita (`000 PPP 1 )<br />
Ranking by total size of GDP (PPP 1 )<br />
15.6<br />
7.6<br />
6.4 6.7 7.1<br />
4.2<br />
3.0 3.3 2.8<br />
1.2 1.31.9<br />
2.2<br />
Source: Munch <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search<br />
1990 2000 2010 2020e<br />
14.2<br />
10.9<br />
19.1<br />
8.2<br />
5.3 5.8 5.1<br />
4.0 4.2<br />
2.83.0<br />
3.1<br />
1.7<br />
1.0<br />
• History of fast income-per-capita growth in Asia<br />
• China is expected to more than double its per<br />
capita income between 2010 and 2020<br />
• Increasingly affluent middle-class populati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
with favourable demographics<br />
1 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) - A rate of exchange that accounts for price differences across countries<br />
allowing for internati<strong>on</strong>al comparis<strong>on</strong>s of income and prosperity levels. PPP US$ 1 has the same<br />
purchasing power in the domestic ec<strong>on</strong>omy as US$ 1 has in the United States.<br />
11.4<br />
China India Ind<strong>on</strong>esia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
5<br />
6<br />
...<br />
... ... ... ...<br />
1990 2005 2010 2015e 2020e<br />
Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search<br />
• Ec<strong>on</strong>omic forecast of “Emerging Asia” shows<br />
c<strong>on</strong>tinued str<strong>on</strong>g mid- to l<strong>on</strong>g-term ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />
growth despite worldwide financial crises …<br />
• … leading to a significant increase in the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omic importance of Asia in the world<br />
"The Asian Century" has already begun providing also str<strong>on</strong>g opportunities for<br />
insurance business<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
58<br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
… and Asian insurance markets have highest growth<br />
prospects but typical emerging market (regulatory) risks<br />
P-C: <strong>Re</strong>al GWP growth 2012 to 2020 % Life: <strong>Re</strong>al GWP growth 2012 to 2020<br />
India<br />
China<br />
Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />
Russia<br />
Turkey<br />
Brazil<br />
Chile<br />
Mexico<br />
Singapore<br />
Colombia<br />
Ukraine<br />
Malaysia<br />
Thailand<br />
Poland<br />
7.0<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.2<br />
6.1<br />
6.1<br />
5.7<br />
11.7<br />
10.5<br />
9.9<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> presence<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> p-c<br />
target market<br />
China<br />
Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />
Brazil<br />
UAE<br />
Thailand<br />
India<br />
Colombia<br />
Poland<br />
Czech <strong>Re</strong>p.<br />
Mexico<br />
Philippines<br />
Malaysia<br />
Chile<br />
Norway<br />
9.5<br />
7.7<br />
10.3<br />
%<br />
15.7<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> presence<br />
• P-C: Globally more than €680bn additi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
premiums expected by 2020<br />
• Of which more than 35% will come from Asia –<br />
then c<strong>on</strong>tributing 25% of global p-c insurance<br />
premiums (2012: 22%)<br />
• Life: Globally more than €1.4tn additi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
premiums expected by 2020<br />
• Of which more than 50% will come from Asia –<br />
then c<strong>on</strong>tributing 46% of global life insurance<br />
premiums (2012: 39%)<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> strives to participate in the "Asian Century" and intends to build a sizeable<br />
footprint in defined Asian target markets over the next 10 years<br />
Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search – Growth rates for the 40 largest markets globally.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
59
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong>'s Asia strategy – Value creati<strong>on</strong> in attractive<br />
target markets through rollout of global best practice<br />
Pillar 1 – P-C: <strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>al insurer<br />
• Technical hub Singapore<br />
• India • Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />
• Philippines • Singapore<br />
• Vietnam<br />
Pillar 2 – Life: Greenfield joint ventures<br />
• China<br />
• India<br />
• Malaysia<br />
• Thailand<br />
Strategic rati<strong>on</strong>ale<br />
• Growth markets with superior profitability<br />
• Very selective M&A – High price expectati<strong>on</strong>s (often<br />
brownfields and exclusive transacti<strong>on</strong>s via <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
network)<br />
• Hub c<strong>on</strong>cept to create ec<strong>on</strong>omic and competitive advantage<br />
Strategic rati<strong>on</strong>ale<br />
• No M&A – Poor alignment of many Asian life portfolios with<br />
Group risk management framework<br />
• Greenfields <strong>on</strong>ly – In young growth markets with low<br />
financial opti<strong>on</strong>s and guarantees exposure – build business<br />
models in line with Group risk appetite<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> value<br />
propositi<strong>on</strong><br />
• Actuarial (pricing/modeling, reserving), p-c underwriting, product development –<br />
compulsory "plug and play" rollout of Group standards and expertise<br />
• <strong>ERGO</strong> ICCs 1 (bancassurance, agency, direct sales, life, p-c claims)<br />
• Risk management<br />
• Superior market knowledge through <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> presence<br />
Value-creating portfolio of ~€2.0–2.5bn premium volume 2 by 2020<br />
1 ICC = Internati<strong>on</strong>al Centre of Competence.<br />
2 GWP (n<strong>on</strong>-life) and total premium (life) at 100% shareholding basis.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
60<br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
Executing strategy: Succeeding via life greenfields and<br />
selective n<strong>on</strong>-life M&As<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> presence in Asia – Operati<strong>on</strong>s at a glance<br />
South Korea<br />
P–C: Direct motor insurer<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum Direct –<br />
sold in 2012<br />
China<br />
Life: Greenfield joint venture<br />
with SSAIH – operating licence<br />
obtained in June 2013<br />
India<br />
P–C: Joint Venture HDFC<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> since 2008 – c<strong>on</strong>tinuous<br />
outperformance of the market<br />
Life: Greenfield joint venture<br />
with Avantha Group signed in<br />
2012 – operati<strong>on</strong>al in 2014<br />
Market<br />
presence<br />
Market positi<strong>on</strong><br />
am<strong>on</strong>g top 5 in either<br />
life or n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />
Vietnam<br />
P–C: Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of 25% stake<br />
in GIC in 2011 – profitable insurer<br />
Singapore<br />
Service company since 2008 –<br />
steering of existing entities and<br />
preparing entries into defined<br />
South East Asian target markets<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> has set the foundati<strong>on</strong>s to become a notable insurance company in the<br />
defined target markets<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
61
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
South Korea: Sale of <strong>ERGO</strong> Daum Direct a reacti<strong>on</strong> to<br />
adverse market developments<br />
Dec. 2007 Sep. 2008 Sep. 2009 2008 – 2010 Nov. 2010 May 2012<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> acquires<br />
Daum Direct –<br />
<strong>Re</strong>gulatory<br />
closing in March<br />
2008<br />
Global financial<br />
crisis affects<br />
Korea heavily –<br />
Motor growth<br />
collapsed from<br />
13% in 2007 to<br />
almost 0% in<br />
2008/2009<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />
Direct is granted<br />
six n<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />
licences to<br />
enable<br />
diversificati<strong>on</strong><br />
bey<strong>on</strong>d motor<br />
business<br />
Deteriorati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
market motor<br />
loss ratio >10%<br />
– Increasing<br />
regulatory<br />
interference by<br />
FSS 1 in motor<br />
pricing<br />
Decisi<strong>on</strong> to exit<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />
Direct –<br />
Initiati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
sales process<br />
Disposal of<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />
Direct –<br />
<strong>Re</strong>gulatory<br />
closing in<br />
September 2012<br />
Business model<br />
• Development of direct motor<br />
market share within five<br />
years from nil to 13% (2007)<br />
<strong>on</strong> the back of inefficient<br />
traditi<strong>on</strong>al sales channels<br />
• Investment in promising,<br />
young business field –<br />
implementing best-practice<br />
direct-sales c<strong>on</strong>cepts from<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Direkt (Germany)<br />
1 FSS: Financial Supervisory Service – Korean insurance regulator.<br />
2 CRM: Customer relati<strong>on</strong>ship management.<br />
3 GLM: Generalised linear models.<br />
Rati<strong>on</strong>ale for exit<br />
• Increasing motor pricing<br />
restricti<strong>on</strong>s – competitive<br />
advantage in CRM 2 and<br />
GLM 3 pricing curtailed<br />
• Expansi<strong>on</strong> bey<strong>on</strong>d motor<br />
with direct-sales model<br />
negligible<br />
• Poor performance, lacking<br />
critical mass and negative<br />
market outlook<br />
Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>gulatory interventi<strong>on</strong> – here: "<strong>on</strong><br />
paper" liberalised market became<br />
increasingly restrictive<br />
• Sustainability assessment of business<br />
model<br />
• Feasibility of best practice and group<br />
standards rollout<br />
• Scarce local management talent with<br />
multi-nati<strong>on</strong>al company working<br />
experience<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
62<br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
Seeking profitable growth through property-casualty hub<br />
approach in Singapore<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong>’s South East Asian target markets<br />
Malaysia<br />
Populati<strong>on</strong>: 29m<br />
P-C GWP: €2.9bn<br />
CR 1 : 94%<br />
Singapore<br />
Populati<strong>on</strong>: 5m<br />
P-C GWP: €3.4bn<br />
CR1: 92%<br />
Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />
Populati<strong>on</strong>: 242m<br />
P-C GWP: €2.8bn<br />
CR 1 : 94%<br />
Vietnam<br />
Populati<strong>on</strong>: 88m<br />
P-C GWP: €0.7bn<br />
LR 2 : 39%<br />
Thailand<br />
Populati<strong>on</strong>: 70m<br />
P-C GWP: €3.1bn<br />
CR 1 : 115% (without<br />
floods 2011: 95%)<br />
Philippines<br />
Populati<strong>on</strong>: 95m<br />
P-C GWP: €0.6bn<br />
CR 1 : 103%<br />
Singapore hub<br />
Market characteristics: Individual South East<br />
Asian p-c markets are small, highly profitable and<br />
have a limited insurance management talent pool<br />
C<strong>on</strong>cept: Manage these markets through regi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
hub in Singapore – centralised key functi<strong>on</strong>s with<br />
regi<strong>on</strong>al mandate (e.g. regi<strong>on</strong>al CFO)<br />
Advantage Singapore<br />
• Skilled workforce – access to world-class<br />
insurance talent<br />
• Central geographical locati<strong>on</strong> with excellent<br />
infrastructure<br />
Opportunity "ASEAN 2015"<br />
• Single market with free movement of goods,<br />
services, labour and easier flow of capital<br />
• L<strong>on</strong>g-term visi<strong>on</strong>: <strong>on</strong>ce regulati<strong>on</strong> permits local<br />
entities to become branches of a hub risk carrier<br />
Create ec<strong>on</strong>omic and competitive advantage through central steering via a regi<strong>on</strong>al<br />
hub and c<strong>on</strong>sequent introducti<strong>on</strong> of group standards and global best practice<br />
1 CR: Combined ratio (average over last available 4-5 years)<br />
2 LR: Loss ratio 2008-2012. <strong>Re</strong>liable market-wide combined ratio figures are not<br />
available. Source: Vietnamese Insurance Associati<strong>on</strong><br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
63
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
Proof points in property-casualty: HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in India<br />
(separate secti<strong>on</strong>) and GIC in Vietnam<br />
Highlights – GIC Vietnam<br />
• Established in 2006 – Market positi<strong>on</strong> since entry of <strong>ERGO</strong> improved to #8 (in 2012) from #12<br />
• Step-up opti<strong>on</strong> to majority positi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>ce market liberalises – according to WTO expected during next 5 yrs.<br />
• Comprehensive technical support programme<br />
• Development of bancassurance channel (strategic shareholder D<strong>on</strong>gA Bank)<br />
• Leveraging EVN 1 agency network (~7,000 agents) and EVN captive business<br />
• Introducti<strong>on</strong> of GLM 2 -based motor tariffs<br />
• IT, product development, claims management, underwriting, risk management ,etc.<br />
• Target mid-term combined ratio 92%<br />
Gross premiums written<br />
16<br />
17<br />
19<br />
2010 2011 2012<br />
€m Combined ratio %<br />
97.8<br />
102.2<br />
93.0<br />
2010 2011 2012<br />
Shareholding structure<br />
Other<br />
48.1<br />
Vina <strong>Re</strong> 4<br />
4.4<br />
Step-up to 35% shareholding currently under preparati<strong>on</strong> – Pleasing growth and<br />
profitability development in line with business plan, successful PMI<br />
%<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
25.0<br />
EVN 3<br />
22.5<br />
1 EVN: Electricity Corporati<strong>on</strong> of Vietnam. 2 GLM: Generalised linear modelling.<br />
3 State-owned electricity company. 4 State reinsurer.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
64<br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
Proof points in life: New greenfield joint ventures in<br />
China and India<br />
India Life –<br />
Avantha<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
JV agreement<br />
signed in<br />
November 2012<br />
Shareholding structure<br />
Avantha<br />
74%<br />
Step-up rights for <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
in case of market liberalisati<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
26%<br />
Status quo<br />
• Avantha Group: Major Indian<br />
business house with mixed activities,<br />
str<strong>on</strong>g governance and good cultural<br />
fit with <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
• Managed based <strong>on</strong> "equal partnership<br />
principles"<br />
• First policy to be sold in 2014<br />
10-year ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />
• 150 branches<br />
• 34,000 agents<br />
• Premium volume:<br />
~ €800m<br />
China Life –<br />
SSAIH<br />
Operating<br />
licence<br />
obtained in<br />
June 2013<br />
SSAIH<br />
50%<br />
Step-up rights for <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
in case of market liberalisati<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
50%<br />
• SSAIH: Investment vehicle of the<br />
Shand<strong>on</strong>g Provincial Government with<br />
str<strong>on</strong>g access to captive-like business<br />
• Key management recruitment<br />
completed – Management c<strong>on</strong>trol by<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
• First policy to be sold in 2H2013<br />
• 10 provinces<br />
• 12,000 agents<br />
• Premium volume:<br />
~€600m<br />
Executi<strong>on</strong> of Asia Life Strategy in the two prioritised core growth markets <strong>on</strong> track<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
65
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />
Key takeaways and outlook<br />
Why Asia? World regi<strong>on</strong> with highest growth potential and excellent profitability –<br />
Str<strong>on</strong>g network and good access through <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> but increased<br />
regulatory risks<br />
Strategy<br />
Disciplined rollout of group best practice and standards –<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-life: selective M&As via regi<strong>on</strong>al South East Asia hub,<br />
life: market entry via greenfield joint ventures in China and India<br />
Proof points<br />
Successful n<strong>on</strong>-life company HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in India, GIC Vietnam as a<br />
blueprint for further selective acquisiti<strong>on</strong>s, promising life joint ventures in<br />
China and India<br />
Outlook<br />
Go live in China and India with life joint ventures in 2013 and 2014,<br />
pursuing property-casualty hub approach with further market entries –<br />
Value-creating portfolio of ~€2–2.5bn premium volume 1 by 2020<br />
1 GWP (n<strong>on</strong>-life) and total premium (life) at 100% shareholding basis.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
66<br />
Agenda<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
Jochen Messemer<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />
Piotr Sliwicki<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />
Theodoros Kokkalas<br />
Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />
Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />
Andreas Kleiner<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />
Ritesh Kumar<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
67
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
India – Young populati<strong>on</strong> (~50% younger than 25 years<br />
old) to drive insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> and GDP growth<br />
<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1 % Inflati<strong>on</strong> 2 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 3<br />
%<br />
3.9<br />
8.2<br />
9.6<br />
6.7<br />
5.0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
8.3<br />
7.0<br />
10.9<br />
12.0<br />
7.6 7.9<br />
Inflati<strong>on</strong><br />
10-Y yield<br />
9.6 9.7<br />
8.5 8.1<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> p-c market (2011) 1,4 2.8<br />
%<br />
%<br />
India<br />
China<br />
Brazil<br />
Russia<br />
0.7<br />
1.2<br />
1.5<br />
2.3<br />
75.4 74.7 74.9<br />
9.5<br />
Debt<br />
9.0<br />
8.6 8.4<br />
Unemployment<br />
69.4 68.1<br />
8.8<br />
South Africa<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 5 69<br />
1 Source: RBI (<strong>Re</strong>serve Bank of India), Indian financial year (1.4. previous year to 31.3 reported year).<br />
2 Source: IHS Global Insight. 3 Source: Bloomberg. 4 Premiums in % of GDP. 5 Source: Eurostat.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
68<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
Property-casualty market – Historic overview<br />
1973 2000 2001 2007 2012<br />
2013<br />
Nati<strong>on</strong>alisati<strong>on</strong><br />
of propertycasualty<br />
–<br />
107<br />
companies<br />
merged into<br />
four state<br />
companies<br />
Opening up<br />
of industry<br />
to private<br />
players<br />
First<br />
licences<br />
granted<br />
Phased<br />
de-tariffing<br />
initiated and<br />
formati<strong>on</strong> of<br />
motor third<br />
party pool for<br />
commercial<br />
vehicles<br />
Motor third party<br />
pool dismantled<br />
– Total industry<br />
losses of €2bn –<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> HDFC<br />
share at 2% as a<br />
younger<br />
company<br />
27<br />
propertycasualty<br />
players,<br />
<strong>on</strong>e<br />
reinsurer,<br />
~350<br />
brokers<br />
Industry today<br />
• Current size of €9.2bn – CAGR of ~17% INR 1 since 2001<br />
• Private players share at 46% with major global primary insurers present<br />
• Issued ~115 milli<strong>on</strong> policies at an average ticket size of ~€80<br />
• Employing ~100,000 workforce and ~450,000 agents across ~7,000 branches<br />
1 Indian Rupee.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
Property-casualty market – Str<strong>on</strong>g competiti<strong>on</strong> in a highly<br />
fragmented market<br />
P-C primary insurance premiums<br />
5.0<br />
CAGR: ~17%<br />
INR CAGR: ~18.6%<br />
5.7<br />
7.1<br />
8.4<br />
€bn Market shares – Top 5 private companies 1<br />
ICICI Lombard<br />
9.5<br />
9.2<br />
Bajaj Allianz<br />
6.2<br />
IFFCO Tokio<br />
4.0<br />
%<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
3.8<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
• Opened to private sector in 2001<br />
• Separate licence for life and P/C companies<br />
• Minimum capital approx. €15m<br />
• Foreign capital limited to 26%<br />
• Capital requirements as per Solvency I regime<br />
TATA AIG<br />
3.3<br />
• 21 private and 6 state-owned companies<br />
• 54% market share still with state-owned insurers<br />
putting pressure <strong>on</strong> pricing<br />
• HDFC increased market share by 3% points in<br />
the last five years while large competitors lost<br />
~3% points <strong>on</strong> average in this time<br />
• Almost all global players present in market<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> has built up a leading market positi<strong>on</strong> within the last five years –<br />
number 4 in property-casualty, number 2 in the n<strong>on</strong>-motor market in private sector<br />
1 As at 31.12.2012. Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search, IRDA.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
70<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
Significant growth in health and motor business<br />
Motor business – Gross written premium<br />
Motor third party liability (%)<br />
Motor own damage (%)<br />
38<br />
INR CAGR ~21.1%<br />
4,251<br />
3,722<br />
2,071 2,421 2,929<br />
37<br />
62 63<br />
35<br />
41<br />
65 59 57<br />
Motor<br />
type<br />
Private<br />
cars<br />
Two –<br />
wheelers<br />
Penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />
level (%)<br />
~60–65<br />
~30–35<br />
Others ~80–90<br />
Total ~50%<br />
• India is 6 th largest car market in the world<br />
• More than 110 milli<strong>on</strong> vehicles <strong>on</strong> road<br />
• Significant number of uninsured vehicles <strong>on</strong><br />
road (two-wheelers, tractors and cars)<br />
• To be addressed through multi-year policies<br />
and better enforcement<br />
43<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
€m<br />
Health business – Gross written premium<br />
Pers<strong>on</strong>al accident (%) Health (%)<br />
INR CAGR:~22.4%<br />
2.418<br />
2.265<br />
1.980 9<br />
9<br />
9<br />
1.471<br />
1.159 12<br />
12<br />
91<br />
91 91<br />
90<br />
88<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
€m<br />
• Health expenditures ~2.5% of GDP (~€35bn)<br />
– Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>ly ~6–7%<br />
• ~80% of populati<strong>on</strong> not covered by any health<br />
insurance or social security<br />
• In absence of social security, health insurance to<br />
play pivotal role<br />
Increased vehicle ownership and medical inflati<strong>on</strong> to drive insurance demand<br />
Source: IRDA, GI Council.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
71
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
De-tariffing of market and motor third party liability<br />
burdening market for some years<br />
Combined ratio development of private and state-owned companies %<br />
Private Govt Private(w/o Motor Pool) Govt(w/o Motor Pool)<br />
135%<br />
133%<br />
124%<br />
126%<br />
124% 124% 126%<br />
121%<br />
124% 122% 122% 118%<br />
119%<br />
121%<br />
118%<br />
114%<br />
112%<br />
110%<br />
114% 113%<br />
102% 103%<br />
110%<br />
109%<br />
108%<br />
100%<br />
106%<br />
107%<br />
103%<br />
99%<br />
MTPL - Premium and claims development (Base 100 in FY01)<br />
2004 FY05 FY06 2005 FY07 2006 FY08 2007 FY09 2008 FY10 2009 FY11 2010 FY12 2011 FY13(E) 2012e<br />
Motor third party liability –<br />
Issues<br />
• Pricing Inadequacy<br />
Premium increased <strong>on</strong>ly twice<br />
between 2001 and 2011 –<br />
Annual inflati<strong>on</strong> adjustment<br />
missing. Price correcti<strong>on</strong> with<br />
yearly inflati<strong>on</strong> link implemented<br />
in April 2012<br />
• Pool structure<br />
Motor pool allocated losses <strong>on</strong><br />
basis of overall market share –<br />
causing higher losses to<br />
companies with lower motor<br />
share<br />
Pricing correcti<strong>on</strong>, al<strong>on</strong>g with dismantling of motor pool, to gradually reduce losses<br />
from motor third party liability business<br />
Source: IRDA GI Council<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
72<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India – Property-casualty<br />
Property-casualty market – L<strong>on</strong>g-term prospects<br />
outweigh short-term challenges<br />
Macro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
<strong>Re</strong>gulati<strong>on</strong><br />
Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />
Society<br />
Technology<br />
Envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
High activity in terms of c<strong>on</strong>sumer<br />
protecti<strong>on</strong>, distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
Slower growth rate than potential in the<br />
short term but l<strong>on</strong>g-term story intact –<br />
Decreasing car registrati<strong>on</strong> and lower<br />
demand for mortgages<br />
Demographic dividend yet to play out<br />
completely – Str<strong>on</strong>ger need for<br />
customised products<br />
Market characterised by low ticket size<br />
which need tech-led soluti<strong>on</strong>s –<br />
Increasing “research <strong>on</strong>line, purchase<br />
offline" trend<br />
Benign year as regards nat cat<br />
Fierce competiti<strong>on</strong><br />
• Pressure <strong>on</strong> prices in corporate lines and<br />
increasing cost of acquisiti<strong>on</strong> in retail lines<br />
• Margins hit by inadequate motor third party liability<br />
pricing<br />
Micro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />
Competiti<strong>on</strong> All insurers disclosed negative<br />
technical results, however, trend<br />
changing with better profitability in<br />
2013<br />
Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />
Customer<br />
Bancassurance a successful<br />
distributi<strong>on</strong> model – More agents<br />
to increase market share<br />
Low penetrati<strong>on</strong> of insurance<br />
products apart from compulsory<br />
insurance covers (i.e. motor third<br />
party liability) – Low degree of<br />
cross-selling<br />
Changing customer behaviour<br />
• Transparency in products and processes<br />
• Increasing demand for better services<br />
1 Motor third party liability.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
73
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Historic overview<br />
2002 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
2013<br />
Incorporated<br />
as HDFC<br />
Chubb<br />
Chubb exits<br />
the JV<br />
JV with<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong><br />
approved<br />
Status<br />
#8 in private sector with GWP<br />
of €35m and market share of<br />
0.8% (263 employees across<br />
15 branches)<br />
Banc-<br />
Assurance<br />
tie-up<br />
with<br />
HDFC Ltd<br />
Banc-<br />
Assurance<br />
tie-up<br />
with<br />
HDFC Bank<br />
Breakeven<br />
at<br />
combined<br />
ratio level<br />
before pool<br />
Net result:<br />
€26m,<br />
combined<br />
ratio:<br />
91.6%<br />
(before<br />
pool)<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> today<br />
• Pan India operati<strong>on</strong>s with 81 branches,1,400 employees and 3,500 agents/direct sales force<br />
• Issued 3.4 milli<strong>on</strong> policies<br />
• #4 in private sector total: 3.8% market share<br />
• #2 in private sector n<strong>on</strong>-motor: 4.7% market share<br />
• #1 in industry pers<strong>on</strong>al accident: 16% market share<br />
• Built the largest bancassurance business in property-casualty with ~15% market share<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
74<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Key figures<br />
Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1,2<br />
% Net result 1<br />
€m<br />
INR CAGR: ~64%<br />
289<br />
356<br />
Profit before pool<br />
Profit after pool<br />
26.0<br />
22.0<br />
18.8<br />
123.4 121.1<br />
99.5<br />
148<br />
210<br />
4.4<br />
53<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Substantial above-average<br />
market growth driven by<br />
innovative products and<br />
successful distributi<strong>on</strong> via<br />
bancassurance<br />
92.6 91.6<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
Successful steering – am<strong>on</strong>g the<br />
best combined ratios in the<br />
market<br />
Target combined ratio: ≤ 95%<br />
–3.1–4.0<br />
–5.9 –6.1<br />
–12.6<br />
–15.1<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> is accounted for<br />
at equity with 26% share<br />
Solid foundati<strong>on</strong> established for sustainable further growth and risk-commensurate<br />
returns going forward<br />
1 N<strong>on</strong>-calendar FY from April to March.<br />
2 Excluding Indian commercial vehicle third party motor pool.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
75
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Largely meeting strategic targets for<br />
the first five years<br />
Combined ratio<br />
excluding pool<br />
123.0 122.8<br />
125.6<br />
Public<br />
Private<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Industry best<br />
123.4<br />
121.1<br />
114.3 ~113 1<br />
95.6<br />
98.5<br />
99.5<br />
96.2<br />
92.6<br />
92.6<br />
91.6<br />
90.5<br />
<strong>ERGO</strong> HDFC<br />
ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />
Private sector<br />
ranking top-line<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />
<strong>Re</strong>ach overall<br />
industry<br />
averages<br />
<strong>Re</strong>ach overall<br />
private sector<br />
averages<br />
Benchmark with industry best<br />
#8 #5 #5 #4 #4<br />
Ranking of HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in the private sector in 2012: #3 in bottom-line and #2 in<br />
combined ratio<br />
1 Estimate.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
76<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Product mix<br />
Product mix 1<br />
%<br />
Market 2 – 2012 (2008)<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – 2012 (2008)<br />
Other<br />
14%( 17%)<br />
Motor own damage<br />
26% (27%)<br />
Other<br />
21% (13%)<br />
Motor own damage<br />
22% (34%)<br />
Fire/<br />
Engineering<br />
14%(16%)<br />
Fire/<br />
Engineering<br />
15% (22%)<br />
Accident/<br />
Health<br />
26% (24%)<br />
Motor third<br />
party liability<br />
20% (16%)<br />
Accident/<br />
Health<br />
32% (19%)<br />
Motor third<br />
party liability<br />
10% (12%)<br />
• Market dominated by motor and accident/health<br />
• Free pricing except for motor third party<br />
• Wording de-tariffed but for property and motor<br />
• Property share decreased due to de-tariffing<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>tail:corporate mix at 55:45<br />
• Significant change of product mix in last four<br />
years – retail portfolio shifted away from being a<br />
motor m<strong>on</strong>o-liner to the most balanced portfolio<br />
in market<br />
• Ongoing task to move portfolio towards<br />
"high margin/high c<strong>on</strong>trol" business<br />
Product innovati<strong>on</strong> increasing insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> – Health and motor business<br />
will lead the growth for next decade<br />
1 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums. 2 Source : IRDA.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
77
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> product innovati<strong>on</strong> – Example:<br />
microinsurance business<br />
Adapting product strategy to market characteristics – high level of populati<strong>on</strong> in rural areas<br />
• Low insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> the result of vast geographical spread – a challenge for selling and claims<br />
handling<br />
• Significant efforts by company to offer microinsurance products through technology-led processes/<br />
servicing opti<strong>on</strong>s<br />
Weather insurance<br />
• HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> number 3 in the market –<br />
GWP: €40m, market share: 12%<br />
• Product developed and actuarially priced by World Bank<br />
• Operating in 60 districts across 14 states in the country<br />
• Pilot projects in Pakistan guided by HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
• Predefined triggers and daily data <strong>on</strong> weather parameters<br />
making claims servicing transparent and fast – Ranked<br />
best by Indian Government <strong>on</strong> speed of settlements<br />
Cattle and livestock insurance<br />
• Protecti<strong>on</strong> against loss of life of cattle<br />
• RFID (Radio Frequency ID) tags used to<br />
track insured and speed up claims<br />
settlement<br />
• Pilot phase<br />
Innovative products meeting client demand – Efficient processes, state-of-the-art<br />
technology and fast claims handling providing competitive advantage<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
78<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />
Distributi<strong>on</strong> mix 1<br />
%<br />
Market – 2012 HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – 2012 (2008)<br />
Bancassurance<br />
9%<br />
Agency<br />
40%<br />
Bancassurance<br />
via HDFC Group<br />
38% (4%)<br />
Agency<br />
18% (13%)<br />
Brokers<br />
18%<br />
Source : IRDA<br />
Direct<br />
33%<br />
% Agency Banc. Brokers Direct<br />
Corporate 30 0 30 40<br />
<strong>Re</strong>tail 50 15 10 25<br />
• Agency: tied agents – multi-level marketing not<br />
allowed<br />
• Brokers: Growing importance in corporate<br />
• Bancassurance: Growing importance in retail<br />
Brokers<br />
21% (22%)<br />
Direct<br />
23% (61%)<br />
% Agency Banc. Brokers Direct<br />
Corporate 8 3 42 47<br />
<strong>Re</strong>tail 25 64 6 5<br />
• HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> has built the largest partnership in<br />
n<strong>on</strong>-life bancassurance<br />
• Brokers/large agents account for ~50% of<br />
corporate portfolio<br />
Multi-channel approach – realising bancassurance potential of HDFC Group<br />
1 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
79
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Business strategy<br />
Current business strategy<br />
• Str<strong>on</strong>g brand name associated with str<strong>on</strong>g<br />
fundamentals and leverage <strong>on</strong><br />
• Distributi<strong>on</strong>, relati<strong>on</strong>ships, market<br />
understanding and brand of HDFC Group,<br />
which is am<strong>on</strong>g the largest financial services<br />
c<strong>on</strong>glomerates in India<br />
• <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group’s standing, reinsurance and<br />
technical capabilities<br />
• Diversified portfolio across geographies, product<br />
classes and distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />
• "Knowledge“-based approach rather than<br />
"transacti<strong>on</strong>" approach<br />
• Stable stream of annuity business from retail<br />
• Prudent underwriting and risk mitigati<strong>on</strong> through<br />
quality reinsurance<br />
• Invest in people, reach and products<br />
• IT as business enabler<br />
Main value drivers<br />
Largest<br />
bancassurance<br />
tie-up in n<strong>on</strong> life<br />
(GWP)<br />
2 nd largest<br />
n<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />
company in<br />
private sector<br />
(GWP)<br />
HDFC Bank<br />
ICICI Bank<br />
Axis<br />
Indusind<br />
HDFC Ltd<br />
Bank<br />
Citi bank<br />
J&K<br />
Bank<br />
ICICI Lombard<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Bajaj Allianz<br />
TATA AIG<br />
IFFCO Tokio<br />
Star health<br />
<strong>Re</strong>liance<br />
Chola<br />
Future<br />
22<br />
18<br />
17<br />
16<br />
12<br />
236<br />
229<br />
156<br />
140<br />
123<br />
103<br />
79<br />
69<br />
• Largest pers<strong>on</strong>al accident provider in the<br />
industry with 16% market share<br />
• 20% of premiums are multi-year policies:<br />
significant embedded value as expenses are<br />
provided upfr<strong>on</strong>t as per Indian GAAP<br />
• 87% of policies use automated mode<br />
71<br />
€m<br />
128<br />
490<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
80<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Quality and customer focus<br />
Quality and customer focus<br />
Product innovati<strong>on</strong><br />
• Increasing focus <strong>on</strong> motor<br />
add-<strong>on</strong>s<br />
• Developing package products<br />
for small and medium-sized<br />
enterprises<br />
• Developing liability products<br />
for small business<br />
• Multi-year offerings in pers<strong>on</strong>al<br />
accident and package products<br />
Pricing<br />
• <strong>Re</strong>view pricing structure in<br />
motor<br />
• Motor: Improve pricing basis<br />
analytical tools (Emblem)<br />
• C<strong>on</strong>tinuous tracking of claim<br />
trends to segment risks for<br />
intelligent pricing<br />
Initiatives<br />
• Implementati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>Re</strong>sQ<br />
(reserving tool)<br />
• Implementati<strong>on</strong> of automated<br />
fraud detecti<strong>on</strong> and<br />
management tool<br />
• Further enhancement of<br />
investigative capacity for third<br />
party claim management<br />
Customer experience management (CEM) functi<strong>on</strong> to manage all post-sales interacti<strong>on</strong>s with customer –<br />
c<strong>on</strong>stant flow of informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> policies and claims through SMS, email and website<br />
Lowest share of grievances in the private sector – HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> 2.4% vs. 8.3% private<br />
sector market share (2012)<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
81
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />
Key takeaways and outlook<br />
Focus <strong>on</strong> profitable<br />
growth<br />
Maintain growth higher than the market striving, for market<br />
share of 5% by 2018 – be in the top 3 in private sector<br />
(top and bottom-line)<br />
Joint venture structure<br />
<strong>Re</strong>liable partnership, leveraging <strong>on</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> and brand strength of HDFC<br />
Group and technical expertise of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group – Entrepreneurial<br />
freedom to the management team<br />
Product strategy<br />
Alignment of product mix in line with the market – Significant opportunity to<br />
increase motor and health market share, increase spread in rural and<br />
agriculture business<br />
Ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />
Maintain combined ratio ≤ 95% – Cost efficiencies through automati<strong>on</strong> and<br />
high per-employee productivity, improved claims practices by leveraging IT<br />
and in-house claims adjustment<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
82<br />
Backup: Shareholder informati<strong>on</strong><br />
Financial calendar<br />
FINANCIAL CALENDAR<br />
6 August 2013 Interim report as at 30 June 2013<br />
8–10 September 2013 Les <strong>Re</strong>ndez-Vous de Septembre, M<strong>on</strong>te Carlo<br />
18 September 2013 KBW "Financials C<strong>on</strong>ference", L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> (without presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />
23 September 2013<br />
25 September 2013<br />
Berenberg Bank/Goldman Sachs “2nd Annual German Corporate C<strong>on</strong>ference<br />
2013”, <strong>Munich</strong>/Unterschleißheim (no presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />
Bank of America Merrill Lynch "18th Annual Banking & Insurance CEO<br />
C<strong>on</strong>ference", L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong><br />
26 September 2013 Baader Bank “Investment C<strong>on</strong>ference 2013”, <strong>Munich</strong> (no presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />
15 October 2013 SRI Day <strong>on</strong> “Corporate <strong>Re</strong>sp<strong>on</strong>sibility in (re-)insurance business”, <strong>Munich</strong><br />
7 November 2013 Interim report as at 30 September 2013<br />
5 December 2013 Société Générale “Premium <strong>Re</strong>view C<strong>on</strong>ference”, Paris (no presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
83
<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />
Backup: Shareholder informati<strong>on</strong><br />
For informati<strong>on</strong>, please c<strong>on</strong>tact<br />
INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM<br />
Christian Becker-Huss<strong>on</strong>g<br />
Head of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> & Rating Agency <strong>Re</strong>lati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3910<br />
E-mail: cbecker-huss<strong>on</strong>g@munichre.com<br />
Christine Franziszi<br />
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3875<br />
E-mail: cfranziszi@munichre.com<br />
Ralf Kleinschroth<br />
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-4559<br />
E-mail: rkleinschroth@munichre.com<br />
Britta Hamberger<br />
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3504<br />
E-mail: bhamberger@munichre.com<br />
Thorsten Dzuba<br />
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-8030<br />
E-mail: tdzuba@munichre.com<br />
Andreas Silberhorn<br />
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3366<br />
E-mail: asilberhorn@munichre.com<br />
Dr. Alexander Becker<br />
Head of External Communicati<strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong><br />
Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1510<br />
E-mail: alexander.becker@ergo.de<br />
Andreas Hoffmann<br />
Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1573<br />
E-mail: andreas.hoffmann@ergo.de<br />
Ingrid Grunwald<br />
Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3517<br />
E-mail: igrunwald@munichre.com<br />
Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft | <str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> & Rating Agency <strong>Re</strong>lati<strong>on</strong>s | Königinstraße 107 | 80802 München, Germany<br />
Fax: +49 (89) 3891-9888 | E-mail: IR@munichre.com | Internet: www.munichre.com<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
84<br />
Disclaimer<br />
This presentati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tains forward-looking statements that are based <strong>on</strong> current assumpti<strong>on</strong>s<br />
and forecasts of the management of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties and<br />
other factors could lead to material differences between the forward-looking statements given<br />
here and the actual development, in particular the results, financial situati<strong>on</strong> and performance<br />
of our Company. The Company assumes no liability to update these forward-looking<br />
statements or to c<strong>on</strong>form them to future events or developments.<br />
Figures up to 2010 are shown <strong>on</strong> a partly c<strong>on</strong>solidated basis.<br />
"Partly c<strong>on</strong>solidated" means before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of intra-Group transacti<strong>on</strong>s across segments.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />
85