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Investor Briefing on ERGO International - Munich Re

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INVESTOR BRIEFING<br />

ON <strong>ERGO</strong> INTERNATIONAL<br />

10 July 2013


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Agenda<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al Jochen Messemer CEO of <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al 2<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland Piotr Sliwicki CEO of <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland 17<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey Theodoros Kokkalas CEO of <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey 29<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong> CFO of DAS UK 46<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia Andreas Kleiner Member of the <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al Board 57<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> India Ritesh Kumar CEO of HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in India 67<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

2<br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – Integral part of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group …<br />

<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group – Premium split 1<br />

€bn<br />

Primary insurance – Premium split 1<br />

€bn<br />

Primary insurance<br />

17.1 (33%)<br />

<strong>Re</strong>insurance<br />

28.2 (54%)<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

3.7 (22%)<br />

Germany<br />

13.2 (77%)<br />

<strong>Munich</strong> Health<br />

6.7 (13%)<br />

TOTAL<br />

€52bn<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al improving risk profile of<br />

<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> through geographical and product<br />

diversificati<strong>on</strong> in primary insurance business<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al Health<br />

0.2 (1%)<br />

TOTAL<br />

€17.1bn<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – Premium split 1<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

2.3 (61%)<br />

TOTAL<br />

€3.7bn<br />

€bn<br />

Life<br />

1.4 (39%)<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al growth strategy c<strong>on</strong>centrating <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life business – focus area of this<br />

presentati<strong>on</strong><br />

1 As at 31.12.2012.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

3


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

… with increasing importance in terms of top- and<br />

bottom-line growth<br />

Gross written premiums 1,2<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Int. Health<br />

Germany<br />

17.0 17.1<br />

3.2 3.7<br />

0.8 0.2<br />

13.0 13.2<br />

€bn<br />

CAGR<br />

+3.7%<br />

+0.4%<br />

Gross written premiums n<strong>on</strong>-life 1 €m<br />

5,105<br />

5,554<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

39%<br />

41%<br />

Germany<br />

61% 59%<br />

2008 2012<br />

• Mature German market …<br />

• … complemented by expansi<strong>on</strong> of<br />

internati<strong>on</strong>al business largely driven by<br />

organic growth, in particular in Poland …<br />

• … partly offset by divestments in Portugal and<br />

South Korea as well as stringent bottom-line<br />

focus influencing growth<br />

• In 2012 more than 50% of <strong>ERGO</strong>‘s n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

new business generated by internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

2008 2012<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

2,288<br />

2,003<br />

413<br />

483<br />

626<br />

482<br />

429<br />

438<br />

600<br />

820<br />

2008 2012<br />

€m<br />

Other<br />

Legal<br />

Turkey/Greece<br />

Poland<br />

1 As at 31.12.2012. 2 Internati<strong>on</strong>al health business 2008 including DKV business sold to <strong>Munich</strong> Health in<br />

2011, 2012 including Europäische <strong>Re</strong>iseversicherung.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

4<br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Benefitting from being part of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group<br />

Synergies between <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> and <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Know-how exchange<br />

• Exchange of market knowledge<br />

• Product development<br />

(e.g. life product China)<br />

• Support when entering new<br />

markets (e.g. India)<br />

<strong>Re</strong>insurance/fr<strong>on</strong>ting<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>insurance soluti<strong>on</strong>s for<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

• Utilisati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al companies for<br />

fr<strong>on</strong>ting business<br />

Joint organisati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Integrated risk management<br />

• Group human resources<br />

• Joint asset management<br />

(MEAG)<br />

• CFO organisati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Centres of competence<br />

(e.g. M&A)<br />

Examples of cooperati<strong>on</strong><br />

China<br />

Actuarial support, product development, support for reinsurance c<strong>on</strong>tracts<br />

India Life Support of market entry of <strong>ERGO</strong> India Life, including company set-up plans, product pricing, etc.<br />

Italy<br />

Optimisati<strong>on</strong> of processes in managing large losses<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

5


Mature Market High growth<br />

<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Business portfolio – Further improving geographic<br />

diversificati<strong>on</strong> …<br />

China<br />

ILLUSTRATIVE<br />

India<br />

Turkey<br />

SEA<br />

Vietnam<br />

Baltics<br />

Poland<br />

DAS<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Greece<br />

DAS Netherlands<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> writing business in 2012<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> not writing business in 2012<br />

Austria<br />

Italy<br />

Belgium<br />

Low Profitability of <strong>ERGO</strong> unit High<br />

Striking the balance between well-established profitable units and business<br />

expansi<strong>on</strong> in markets with above-average growth rates<br />

Profitability referring to IFRS profit in 2012, market growth reflecting real growth rate (CAGR 2012-2020).<br />

Bubble size reflecting gross written premiums as at 31.12.2012.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

6<br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

… with clear focus <strong>on</strong> organic growth<br />

Strategic building block 1 –<br />

Organic growth – Clear focus<br />

• Expand large companies<br />

• Broadening sales approach<br />

• Transfer successful products/de-risking<br />

c<strong>on</strong>cepts and technical skills<br />

• Develop smaller and medium-sized<br />

companies by expanding lines of business<br />

• Expanding legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance to “Legal<br />

Powerhouse” by extending existing product<br />

range and services<br />

Strategic building block 2 –<br />

Greenfield and selective M&A<br />

• Broadening India with set-up of life company<br />

• Market entry in China via greenfield in life<br />

• Increasing shares in existing joint ventures<br />

• Screening well-performing medium-sized<br />

companies in South East Asia (SEA)<br />

• Clear focus <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

• Hub approach to screening markets in SEA<br />

• Ultimate goal is to achieve a top 5 – 10<br />

positi<strong>on</strong> within the markets of SEA<br />

• Expanding legal protecti<strong>on</strong> with greenfield and<br />

M&A approach in selected markets<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

7


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Geographic focus <strong>on</strong> CEE and Asia – <strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>s with the<br />

highest expected primary insurance premium growth<br />

Strategic focus regi<strong>on</strong>s – Why CEE and Asia?<br />

CEE<br />

• Markets with high growth<br />

path and low insurance<br />

penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g base with entities in<br />

Poland and Baltic States,<br />

footprints in SEE through<br />

hub in Austria<br />

Market positi<strong>on</strong> am<strong>on</strong>g top 5 in either life or n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

Asia<br />

Market presence<br />

• Underdeveloped<br />

insurance markets and<br />

high growth expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Hub in Singapore for<br />

further expansi<strong>on</strong> in<br />

South East Asia<br />

• General focus <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-life: <strong>Re</strong>al CAGR 2013 – 2020 1 % Life: <strong>Re</strong>al CAGR 2013 – 2020 1<br />

%<br />

Emerging Asia<br />

CEE<br />

Latin America<br />

MENA<br />

Mature Asia/Pacific<br />

North America<br />

Western Europe<br />

6.3<br />

5.7<br />

4.7<br />

2.8<br />

2.6<br />

1.3<br />

10.2<br />

Emerging Asia<br />

Latin America<br />

CEE<br />

MENA<br />

Mature Asia/Pacific<br />

North America<br />

Western Europe<br />

2.2<br />

2.0<br />

1.8<br />

8.6<br />

7.5<br />

13.9<br />

11.9<br />

1 Expectati<strong>on</strong>. Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

8<br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Structured built up of the group’s expertise as basis for<br />

profitable growth strategy<br />

Property-casualty Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> Life<br />

Examples<br />

• Expertise in pricing with fullfledged<br />

GLM tariffs 1 based <strong>on</strong><br />

predictive modelling (rolled out<br />

e.g. Turkey, Greece)<br />

• Advanced central actuarial<br />

reserving methodologies<br />

• Exchange of best practice in<br />

claims management and roll<br />

out of special fraud tool<br />

• Distinct profile as legal<br />

protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance (LPI)<br />

specialist<br />

• Expert know-how offering legal<br />

services bey<strong>on</strong>d LPI (e.g. debt<br />

collecti<strong>on</strong> in the Netherlands)<br />

• Greenfield expertise<br />

(e.g. Austria, Canada) and joint<br />

venture experience (e.g. Italy)<br />

• Central profitability steering for<br />

new business<br />

• Systematic knowledge<br />

exchange <strong>on</strong> life products<br />

through Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Competence Centre Life<br />

• Central development of new<br />

product types, taking account<br />

of special local requirements<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />

• High know-how in agency distributi<strong>on</strong><br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g bancassurance player and experienced in building l<strong>on</strong>g-term partnerships<br />

Strengthen skills (incl. integrated risk management) and support units – Central<br />

units support internati<strong>on</strong>al entities while centres of competence bundling knowledge<br />

1 GLM: Generalised linear model. Statistical toolbox to design predictive models used for insurance tariffs.<br />

GLM-based pricing processes aim to improve risk selecti<strong>on</strong>, design more effective portfolio segmentati<strong>on</strong>,<br />

optimise pricing against market benchmarks, and utilise predictive models for customer behaviour.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

9


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al life<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al life – affected by low-yield envir<strong>on</strong>ment but<br />

still solid ec<strong>on</strong>omic financials<br />

Total premiums<br />

CAGR 8.4%<br />

1,832<br />

381<br />

1,326<br />

316<br />

281<br />

440 528<br />

279<br />

607<br />

326<br />

2008 2012<br />

€m MCEV<br />

Others<br />

Italy<br />

Belgium<br />

Austria<br />

1,483 1,365<br />

1,082<br />

761<br />

€m<br />

1,229<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

VNB<br />

€m<br />

63<br />

58 59<br />

51<br />

26<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of Bank Austria<br />

Insurance in 2009 fostering<br />

growth, currently tax benefit<br />

related challenges in Austria<br />

• Belgium with str<strong>on</strong>g growth as a<br />

niche player<br />

• Life business in China and India<br />

in build-up phase<br />

• Improved MCEV despite still<br />

difficult capital market situati<strong>on</strong><br />

• 2012: Positive c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> from<br />

narrowing credit spreads<br />

• Positive impact due to profit<br />

sharing mechanism<br />

• VNB <strong>on</strong> a c<strong>on</strong>stantly high<br />

level and leading to high new<br />

business margin 1 of 4.5% in<br />

2012<br />

• Belgium and Austria are drivers<br />

of positive VNB<br />

• Development of new products<br />

with focus <strong>on</strong> reduced capital<br />

market risk<br />

1 New business margin = VNB / present value of new business premiums.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

10<br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al life<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al life with significant differences to German<br />

life business<br />

Products Profit sharing Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />

• High share of unit-linked, hybrid<br />

and risk products<br />

• Flexibility in adjusting<br />

guarantee levels (e.g. Belgium)<br />

• Technical profits remain with<br />

shareholder due to favourable<br />

profit sharing regulati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• High profit margins of new<br />

business<br />

Example Belgium<br />

• Belgium: No profit sharing<br />

regulati<strong>on</strong>s exist – profit sharing<br />

arrangements due to market<br />

forces<br />

• Austria: 85% of profit to be<br />

distributed, but positive and<br />

negative sources of profit can<br />

be balanced out<br />

• Italy: Profit sharing <strong>on</strong>ly relates<br />

to profit from investment<br />

income<br />

• High share of hybrid products with significant unit-linked part (~40%)<br />

driving value of new business (VNB)<br />

• Increasing share of very flexible "universal life" products offering eightyear<br />

guarantees and allowing m<strong>on</strong>thly reviews of guarantee levels<br />

• Current new business guarantees for universal life products between<br />

1.4 – 2.25% (depending <strong>on</strong> sales channel)<br />

• Universal life products with low risk capital c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g bancassurance<br />

partnerships for life business<br />

with potential for further growth<br />

• <strong>ERGO</strong> as preferred partner for<br />

bancassurance with successful<br />

cooperati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Belgium growing faster than<br />

total life market due to niche<br />

approach in sales (brokers and<br />

structured networks)<br />

• Agency approach in China and<br />

India<br />

€m<br />

VNB Belgium<br />

16<br />

31 28<br />

39 38<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

11


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

Technical improvements in recent years as a result of<br />

portfolio management measures<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life – Combined ratio 1<br />

%<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life – GWP per line of business 2<br />

96.7<br />

102.5<br />

107.8<br />

104.5<br />

99.8<br />

Other<br />

382 (17%)<br />

Pers<strong>on</strong>al<br />

accident<br />

79 (3%)<br />

TOTAL<br />

€2,288m<br />

Motor<br />

1,027 (45%)<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Portfolio management measures<br />

Fire/Property<br />

174 (8%)<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong><br />

626 (27%)<br />

Divestment<br />

Turnaround<br />

Good<br />

performance<br />

• Portugal: No core market, subcritical company size and unstable ec<strong>on</strong>omic situati<strong>on</strong><br />

• South Korea: Highly competitive motor market with strict regulati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Turkey: Good progress after significant reducti<strong>on</strong> of MTPL portfolio and improved pricing<br />

• United Kingdom: Quick recovery of the legal protecti<strong>on</strong> business after increasing labour<br />

law claims caused by the financial crisis<br />

• Poland: Delivering sustainably good results – 2010 excepti<strong>on</strong>ally high nat cat losses<br />

• Greece: Technically sound despite ec<strong>on</strong>omic crisis<br />

1 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012 c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of all<br />

Intra-Group business. 2 As at 31.12.2012.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

12<br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

Less<strong>on</strong>s learned from mistakes made in the past<br />

Leverage<br />

Group’s skills/<br />

technical issues<br />

Shortcomings<br />

• Only limited leveraging of existing skills<br />

• Limited exchange of internati<strong>on</strong>al knowledge<br />

• Insufficient use of actuarial expertise within<br />

<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group regarding tariff calculati<strong>on</strong><br />

and reserving<br />

Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />

• Systematic use of existing skills in the Group<br />

(e.g. pricing, reserving, risk management)<br />

• Instituti<strong>on</strong>alised internati<strong>on</strong>al knowledge<br />

exchange with centres of competence for<br />

crucial areas (e.g. claims, underwriting)<br />

Post-merger<br />

integrati<strong>on</strong><br />

(PMI)<br />

Support local<br />

operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Insufficient PMI especially in Turkey and<br />

partly Austria<br />

• Inadequate support of internati<strong>on</strong>al entities<br />

in the development of a competitive positi<strong>on</strong><br />

in their local markets<br />

• Improved PMI process implementing group<br />

know-how/standards quickly (e.g. Vietnam)<br />

• Improved processes for critical issues and<br />

close PMI m<strong>on</strong>itoring<br />

• Driving and supporting new product<br />

initiatives through central units<br />

• Providing know-how for developing new and<br />

improving existing sales channels driven by<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong>’s internati<strong>on</strong>al centres of competence<br />

Goodwill<br />

impairment and<br />

management<br />

talent<br />

• Investments with from today‘s perspective, rather high purchase prices made before the financial<br />

crisis (mainly Turkey, Austria) – High goodwill depreciati<strong>on</strong>s as a result affected <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al’s profits in the years 2006 to 2011<br />

• Lack of management talent had to be addressed and resolved in important markets<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

13


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al total – Capital management<br />

Capital and asset-liability management at <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al ensuring efficient allocati<strong>on</strong> of capital<br />

Capital management<br />

• Central liquidity steering at <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> and<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> to ensure efficient capital allocati<strong>on</strong> while<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sidering sufficient regulatory capitalisati<strong>on</strong><br />

(Solvency I and II)<br />

• Measures always coordinated and discussed<br />

with local supervisi<strong>on</strong> to ensure compliance with<br />

local regulati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Usage of trigger system to ensure and manage<br />

sufficient capital endowment of subsidiaries<br />

Local solvency ratio 1 :<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

Buffer 20%<br />

Threshold 20%<br />

Limit = 100%<br />

ILLUSTRATIVE<br />

1 Green = green trigger, yellow = yellow trigger.<br />

2 Fair values as at 31.3.2013. Split fixed income portfolio: Government b<strong>on</strong>ds 53%, covered b<strong>on</strong>ds 26%,<br />

corporate b<strong>on</strong>ds 4%, bank b<strong>on</strong>ds 7%, Cash/other 10%.<br />

Asset-liability management<br />

• <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>’s Group-wide ALM guidelines<br />

require investments to be aligned to the liability<br />

structure …<br />

• … with strictly limited risk budget with minimum<br />

deviati<strong>on</strong>s as regards currency and durati<strong>on</strong><br />

mismatch as well as market and credit risk<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al investment portfolio 2 %<br />

<strong>Re</strong>al estate<br />

and other<br />

1.3<br />

Equity and<br />

participati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

3.1<br />

TOTAL<br />

€16.8bn<br />

Investments by major currencies (€bn)<br />

Fixed income<br />

95.6<br />

EUR: 14.8 PLN: 1.0 TRY: 0.3 GBP: 0.2<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

14<br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

After challenging years financial results point in the<br />

right directi<strong>on</strong><br />

Net income <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al total 1<br />

150<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-life 16<br />

Life<br />

134<br />

10<br />

–38<br />

–50<br />

–139<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• 2010: In additi<strong>on</strong> to an unfavourable underlying<br />

development, net result reflecting goodwill write-down<br />

<strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey and flood claims in Poland<br />

• 2011: Improved operating performance, positive<br />

impact of swapti<strong>on</strong>s in life business significantly<br />

overcompensated by goodwill write-down <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Daum and depreciati<strong>on</strong> of Greek government b<strong>on</strong>ds<br />

• 2012: High net result affected by n<strong>on</strong>-recurrent items<br />

distorting the normalised financial performance in<br />

both lines of business<br />

• Life: Earnings benefit from extraordinarily high<br />

investment income (swapti<strong>on</strong> effect, disposal gains)<br />

• N<strong>on</strong>-life: <strong>Re</strong>sult mainly burdened by negative<br />

earnings of <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey and dec<strong>on</strong>solidati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />

€m<br />

Turnaround of <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al gaining momentum<br />

1 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012 c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

all intra-Group business.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

15


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

General overview – <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Outlook: C<strong>on</strong>tributing reliable earnings to <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Group’s financial results<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al financial targets<br />

Gross written premiums<br />

€bn Combined ratio<br />

%<br />

Net result<br />

€m<br />

3.7<br />

~4.3<br />

99.8


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

Poland – Ec<strong>on</strong>omically healthy country with a welldeveloped<br />

insurance market<br />

<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1<br />

%<br />

Inflati<strong>on</strong> 1 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 2<br />

%<br />

5.1<br />

4.5<br />

3.9<br />

1.6<br />

1.9<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

5.4<br />

4.3<br />

3.8<br />

10-Y yield<br />

Inflati<strong>on</strong><br />

6.3 6.1 5.9<br />

2.7<br />

4.2<br />

3.7<br />

3.7<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> in p-c market (2012) 1,3 % Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 4 %<br />

Poland<br />

Czech <strong>Re</strong>public<br />

1.9<br />

1.8<br />

Debt<br />

Unemployment<br />

9.7 9.7<br />

10.1<br />

Slovakia<br />

Hungary<br />

Russia<br />

1.2<br />

1.1<br />

1.5<br />

7.1<br />

47.1<br />

8.1<br />

50.9<br />

54.8 56.2 55.6<br />

Turkey<br />

1.0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

1 Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search, IHS Global Insight. 2 Bloomberg.<br />

3 Premiums in % of GDP. 4 Source: Eurostat.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

18<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

Property-casualty market – Highly c<strong>on</strong>centrated and<br />

dominated by motor business<br />

P-C insurance market – Premiums<br />

Other<br />

16.1<br />

Liability<br />

6.9<br />

Property<br />

20.7<br />

4.9 5.0<br />

CAGR +6.6%<br />

Split by line of business<br />

5.4<br />

TOTAL<br />

€6.3bn<br />

6.0<br />

6.3<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

€bn<br />

%<br />

Motor liability<br />

34.7<br />

Motor damage<br />

21.6<br />

P-C insurance market – Market shares<br />

PZU<br />

Talanx<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

VIG<br />

Allianz<br />

15<br />

16<br />

13<br />

11<br />

10<br />

8<br />

7<br />

8<br />

32<br />

40<br />

• Property-casualty market with 49 players,<br />

dominated by PZU which lost some market<br />

share in the recent years<br />

2012<br />

2008<br />

• High market c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> – Market share of top<br />

5 insurers: 76% (83% in 2008)<br />

• M&A activity – Takeover of Warta and Europa by<br />

Talanx and PTU by Gothaer<br />

%<br />

Property-casualty market dominated by five key players<br />

Source: Polish Financial Supervisi<strong>on</strong> Authority.<br />

Local GAAP. Currency exchange ratio as at the end of 2012<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

19


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

Property-casualty market – Short-term outlook rather<br />

cloudy while l<strong>on</strong>g-term prospects remain attractive<br />

Macro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

<strong>Re</strong>gulati<strong>on</strong><br />

Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />

Society<br />

Technology<br />

• High activity in terms of c<strong>on</strong>sumer<br />

protecti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Increasing unemployment rate, but<br />

optimistic GDP forecast<br />

• Decreasing car registrati<strong>on</strong>s and lower<br />

demand for mortgages<br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>ger need for customised products<br />

• Smart shopping – price comparis<strong>on</strong> is<br />

a “must have”<br />

• Increasing “research <strong>on</strong>line, purchase<br />

offline” trend (ROPO)<br />

• C<strong>on</strong>tinued increase of mobile<br />

penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />

Envir<strong>on</strong>ment • 2012: Benign year as regards nat cat<br />

2013: Flood, str<strong>on</strong>g hailstorms and<br />

windstorms in June<br />

Fierce competiti<strong>on</strong><br />

• <strong>Re</strong>gular price wars and increasing cost of acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Weaker margins and as a result MTPL price increase<br />

• Insurers with agile business models will succeed<br />

Micro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

Competiti<strong>on</strong> 61% of insurers disclosed negative<br />

technical results, despite a very<br />

good 2012 for the top 3 market<br />

players – Larger players focus <strong>on</strong><br />

profitability while smaller players<br />

care for market share<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />

Customer<br />

Increasing multi-agent market<br />

share – Dominant positi<strong>on</strong> of large<br />

nati<strong>on</strong>al-agent structures<br />

• Less developed insurance<br />

culture with high potential<br />

• MTPL 1 : Pers<strong>on</strong>al claims share<br />

still very low compared to EU –<br />

Low penetrati<strong>on</strong> of insurance<br />

products apart from MTPL<br />

Changing customer behaviour<br />

• Transparency in products and processes<br />

• Modular product offering<br />

• Empowerment of the customer<br />

1 Motor third party liability.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

20<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Historical overview<br />

1991 1994 1997 2000 2002<br />

2009 2010<br />

Licence for<br />

STU Hestia<br />

Insurance<br />

Alte<br />

Leipziger-<br />

Shareholder<br />

of Hestia<br />

Insurance<br />

Hestia Life<br />

Insurance<br />

foundati<strong>on</strong><br />

Joined<br />

<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

MTU<br />

foundati<strong>on</strong><br />

Direct<br />

launch<br />

<strong>Re</strong>branding<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland today<br />

• 3,000 employees<br />

• Headquarters in Sopot, 37 retail and 8 corporate regi<strong>on</strong>al offices nati<strong>on</strong>wide<br />

• 3 milli<strong>on</strong> customers<br />

• In partnership with 4,000 agents, 500 dealers, almost 1,000 brokers and 20 banks<br />

• MTU brand offering mainly motor third party liability covers for price-sensitive customers<br />

• Direct brand (You Can Drive) focused <strong>on</strong> motor insurance for young people<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

21


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Key figures<br />

Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />

% Net result 1<br />

792 820<br />

36<br />

710<br />

107.7<br />

600 594<br />

21<br />

99.9<br />

97.3<br />

95.1<br />

91.4<br />

23<br />

44<br />

€m<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Growing faster than the market<br />

due to balanced portfolio and<br />

diversified distributi<strong>on</strong> mix as well<br />

as investment in technology<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

2010: Excepti<strong>on</strong>ally high large nat<br />

cat losses – Improvement in 2012<br />

due to disciplined underwriting and<br />

benign claims development<br />

Target combined ratio:


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Well-positi<strong>on</strong>ed to resp<strong>on</strong>d to short-term<br />

challenges and participate in attractive market l<strong>on</strong>g-term<br />

Business model – Main focus areas<br />

Product simplicity Sales effectiveness Premium quality at low expense<br />

1 Balanced product portfolio<br />

• Multi-brand strategy<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>tail and corporate business<br />

units<br />

• Modular product architecture<br />

and transparency<br />

• Dynamic market-based<br />

pricing<br />

2 Diversified distributi<strong>on</strong> mix<br />

• Cross-channel customer<br />

acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g agent and broker<br />

network<br />

• Direct channel for young<br />

customer segment<br />

• Own sales branch network<br />

across Poland<br />

3 Operati<strong>on</strong>al excellence<br />

• Organic growth<br />

• Best in class claims<br />

operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Above-market cost efficiency<br />

• High customer satisfacti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Good market standing<br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g, recognisable brand<br />

Well-diversified business model<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

24<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

Balanced product portfolio<br />

1<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – GWP per lines of business 1<br />

% <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Loss ratio 1<br />

%<br />

Other 2<br />

14.5<br />

Motor liability<br />

37.7<br />

85.5<br />

Liability<br />

5.9<br />

TOTAL<br />

€820m<br />

61.8<br />

53.4<br />

61.5<br />

Property/Fire<br />

22.0<br />

Motor damage<br />

19.8<br />

34.4<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Hestia<br />

48%<br />

52%<br />

MTU<br />

Motor<br />

94%<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />

6%<br />

• Highest proporti<strong>on</strong> of n<strong>on</strong>-motor in <strong>ERGO</strong> Hestia<br />

compared to key players, with high share of<br />

motor damage within motor insurance<br />

• MTU is niche, low-cost insurance company,<br />

specialising in motor insurance for retail clients<br />

Motor<br />

liability<br />

Motor<br />

damage<br />

Property<br />

and fire<br />

Liability<br />

Other<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>serve strengthening for pers<strong>on</strong>al injury in<br />

motor third party liability<br />

• Lower total loss ratio in <strong>ERGO</strong> than the average<br />

market<br />

2<br />

1 As at 31.12.2012 without legal protecti<strong>on</strong>. 2 Assistance, accident and health, financial, legal protecti<strong>on</strong> and<br />

damage (railway, aircraft, property, etc.).<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

25


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

2 Distributi<strong>on</strong> mix<br />

Market – Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels FY 2012 1 % <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels FY 2012 1<br />

Other<br />

2.7<br />

Insurance agents<br />

64.4<br />

Other<br />

8.8<br />

%<br />

Insurance agents<br />

60.2<br />

Direct sales<br />

15.9<br />

Direct sales<br />

7.1<br />

Brokers<br />

16.9<br />

• Dynamic growth of multi-agent share of the<br />

market – more than half of insurance agents in<br />

Poland work with Ergo Poland<br />

• Growth slowdown in bancassurance sector<br />

• Decreasing car sales impact significance of car<br />

dealers channel<br />

Brokers<br />

23.9<br />

• Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels in <strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />

dominated by multi-agents and brokers<br />

• Currently less significant but already rapidly<br />

growing direct sales distributi<strong>on</strong> channel<br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g, loyal agent and broker network built up<br />

over 20 years<br />

Diversified distributi<strong>on</strong> channels with leading multi-agent structures<br />

1 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

26<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

3<br />

Operati<strong>on</strong>al excellence facilitating participati<strong>on</strong> in<br />

growing insurance market<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland well-positi<strong>on</strong>ed<br />

92<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

HESTIA<br />

70<br />

Peer 1 74<br />

Peer 2<br />

86<br />

Peer 3<br />

89<br />

Peer 4<br />

High customer satisfacti<strong>on</strong> 1<br />

Best in class claims handling –<br />

Lowest complaint ratio in Poland 1<br />

Above-market cost efficiency<br />

11.3 11.2<br />

10.0<br />

5.8 5.5 5.2 5.1<br />

9.3 9.3<br />

4.7<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

%<br />

Market<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Low administrati<strong>on</strong> expense ratio<br />

– driven by advanced technologies<br />

Innovati<strong>on</strong><br />

Ongoing product and technology<br />

innovati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Example:<br />

Ergo 7<br />

• Promotes customers with<br />

higher premium – by buying<br />

more insurance cover<br />

customers enjoy price benefits<br />

• Seamless cross-selling<br />

platform – Ergo 7 has doubled<br />

average premium for retail<br />

products<br />

Achieved level of cost effectiveness and excellence in claims handling allowing<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> to focus <strong>on</strong> profitable growth<br />

1 Source: Quarterly Message of the Polish Chamber of Insurance and Financial Middlemen (after 2012).<br />

Complaint ratio: complaints related to the market share. Peers: Allianz, Compensa (VIG), Inter Risk, PZU.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

27


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland – Property-casualty<br />

Key takeaways and outlook<br />

Market<br />

Expectati<strong>on</strong> of two difficult years to come – a market challenge. However, in<br />

the l<strong>on</strong>g run, attractive market due to demographic and ec<strong>on</strong>omic prospects<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />

Well-positi<strong>on</strong>ed to benefit from attractive market prospects –<br />

Balanced business portfolio and distributi<strong>on</strong> mix in additi<strong>on</strong> to promising<br />

product and technology innovati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Strategy<br />

Maintaining leadership in operati<strong>on</strong>al excellence – High customer<br />

satisfacti<strong>on</strong> and above-market cost efficiency<br />

Ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />

C<strong>on</strong>tinue organic growth path at a combined ratio < 96%<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

28<br />

Agenda<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Jochen Messemer<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />

Piotr Sliwicki<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />

Theodoros Kokkalas<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />

Andreas Kleiner<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />

Ritesh Kumar<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

29


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />

Turkish ec<strong>on</strong>omy heading for a soft landing despite euro<br />

crisis – Low insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> promises high growth<br />

<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1<br />

% Inflati<strong>on</strong> 1 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 2<br />

%<br />

10.4<br />

9.0 8.8<br />

9.8<br />

8.6<br />

9.0<br />

2.2<br />

0.7<br />

8.4<br />

6.3<br />

6.5 6.6<br />

10-Y yield<br />

–4.8<br />

Inflati<strong>on</strong><br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> p-c market (2012) 1,3 % Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 4 %<br />

Debt Unemployment<br />

Poland<br />

1.9<br />

12.5<br />

10.7<br />

9.7<br />

Czech <strong>Re</strong>public<br />

1.8<br />

8.8 8.1<br />

Slovakia<br />

1.5<br />

50.9<br />

Hungary<br />

1.2<br />

44.1<br />

36.6<br />

36.9<br />

39.9<br />

Russia<br />

1.1<br />

Turkey<br />

1.0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

1 Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search. 2 Source: Bloomberg. 3 Premiums in % of GDP. 4 Source: Eurostat.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

30<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – History<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Historic overview<br />

1988 1995 2006 2008<br />

2010<br />

2011–2012<br />

2013<br />

Foundati<strong>on</strong><br />

Isvicre<br />

Sigorta<br />

A.Ş.<br />

Foundati<strong>on</strong><br />

İsviçre Life<br />

A.Ş. to<br />

serve in<br />

health & life<br />

lines of<br />

businesses<br />

Acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />

of majority<br />

of shares<br />

by <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

• Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of<br />

remaining<br />

shares by<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

• Pensi<strong>on</strong><br />

licence<br />

granted<br />

Commencement<br />

of structured<br />

turnaround p-c<br />

programme<br />

Change of<br />

executive<br />

management<br />

and Group<br />

structure<br />

<strong>Re</strong>structuring<br />

and change<br />

in life &<br />

pensi<strong>on</strong><br />

strategy<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey today<br />

• Operates both n<strong>on</strong>-life and life and pensi<strong>on</strong><br />

with focus <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

• Head office in Istanbul<br />

• More than 500 employees<br />

• Demographics: 56.5% female, 43.5% male,<br />

average seniority 5.5 years<br />

• Over 1,500 agents and brokers<br />

• 8 regi<strong>on</strong>s and 3 sales offices<br />

• 93% of geographical coverage by cities in<br />

Turkey<br />

• Operates in 7 main business lines in n<strong>on</strong>-life:<br />

fire, motor, n<strong>on</strong>-motor, engineering, marine,<br />

agriculture and health<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

31


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-life market – Growth<br />

Market development (GWP) 1 €bn Market share 1<br />

%<br />

4.3 4.4<br />

+13.8%<br />

5.1<br />

6.1<br />

7.3<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• High growth rate: The n<strong>on</strong>-life insurance market<br />

in Turkey grew at low double digits over the last<br />

five years<br />

• Turkey is <strong>on</strong>e of the fastest growing n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

markets globally<br />

Axa<br />

Anadolu<br />

Allianz<br />

Ak<br />

Yapi Kredi<br />

Gunes<br />

Mapfre<br />

Groupama<br />

Eureko<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

8.4<br />

8.9<br />

7.6<br />

8.1<br />

7.2<br />

6.2<br />

5.4<br />

7.0<br />

5.2<br />

4.5<br />

4.8<br />

5.1<br />

4.0<br />

4.7<br />

4.0<br />

7.1<br />

• Market is still fairly c<strong>on</strong>centrated with five<br />

players comprising 50% of the market<br />

13.9<br />

12.6<br />

13.1<br />

11.4<br />

2012<br />

2008<br />

• <strong>ERGO</strong> deliberately gave up market share as a<br />

result of giving priority to restoring profitability<br />

over growth<br />

1 GWP = Gross written premium. Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey, Turkish GAAP.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

32<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />

Product mix<br />

Product mix<br />

%<br />

Market – FY 2012 1,2 <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – FY 2012 2<br />

Other<br />

27<br />

Motor own<br />

damage 26<br />

Other 3<br />

22 (15)<br />

Motor own damage<br />

35 (36)<br />

Health<br />

13<br />

Health<br />

9 (5)<br />

Fire<br />

11<br />

Motor third<br />

party liability 23<br />

Fire<br />

11 (13)<br />

Motor third<br />

party liability 23 (31)<br />

Outer ring = 2012 (inner ring = 2007)<br />

• <strong>ERGO</strong> has c<strong>on</strong>sciously reduced its motor third party liability exposure due to the l<strong>on</strong>g-tail character and<br />

adverse loss development of this line of business<br />

• Focus <strong>on</strong> short-tail motor own damage business with improving profitability<br />

Motor third party liability exposure in-line with market average<br />

1 Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey, 2 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />

3 Other including accident, sea and air vehicles, marine, engineering, compulsory earthquake, financial<br />

losses, legal protecti<strong>on</strong>, fidelity guarantee.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

33


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />

Market – FY 2012 1,2 <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – FY 2012 2<br />

Bancassurance<br />

14<br />

Agent<br />

68<br />

Broker<br />

16 (12)<br />

%<br />

Agent<br />

80 (86)<br />

Broker<br />

12<br />

Direct (HQ)<br />

4 (2)<br />

Direct (HQ)<br />

6<br />

Outer ring = 2012 (inner ring = 2007)<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> has no exclusive bankassurance partnership since all large and medium-sized banks in Turkey<br />

already either own insurance companies or have exclusive bancassurance agreements<br />

Agent dominated multi-channel market, <strong>ERGO</strong> with a str<strong>on</strong>g footprint am<strong>on</strong>g agents<br />

1 Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey.<br />

2 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

34<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-life market – Profitability<br />

Market combined ratio – Aggregate and by line of business 1 %<br />

104.3<br />

109.2 108.6<br />

106.9<br />

110.4<br />

Motor<br />

Motor third party liability<br />

Motor own damage<br />

128<br />

130<br />

120<br />

105<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

117<br />

121<br />

111 113<br />

141<br />

107<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />

2<br />

Health Fire<br />

117<br />

107<br />

109<br />

132<br />

106<br />

105<br />

97<br />

88 86<br />

78<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Profitability is still a problem – Mainly burdened by motor business<br />

1 Source: Associati<strong>on</strong> of Insurance Companies of Turkey, Turkish GAAP<br />

2 Excluding compulsory earthquake<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

35


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Insurance market<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-life market – Highly competitive and subject to<br />

dynamic changes<br />

Macro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

<strong>Re</strong>gulati<strong>on</strong><br />

Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />

Society<br />

Technology<br />

High activity in health, motor and<br />

reserving<br />

Making a soft landing despite euro<br />

crisis – Increasing trend in private<br />

c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong><br />

Low level of insurance awareness<br />

No indicati<strong>on</strong> of increase in <strong>on</strong>line<br />

purchasing, increasing focus <strong>on</strong> CRM<br />

and very high level of mobile penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />

Envir<strong>on</strong>ment No significant nat cat events in 2012<br />

Micro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

Competiti<strong>on</strong> Fragmented market and two<br />

market leaders disclosed negative<br />

technical results – Some of the<br />

larger players focus <strong>on</strong> market<br />

share while smaller players focus<br />

<strong>on</strong> profitability<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />

Customer<br />

Dominant positi<strong>on</strong> of multi-agents<br />

– Increasing market share of<br />

bancassurance<br />

Low penetrati<strong>on</strong> of insurance<br />

products apart from compulsory<br />

insurance products (i.e. motor<br />

third party liability) – Low degree<br />

of cross-selling<br />

Fierce competiti<strong>on</strong><br />

• <strong>Re</strong>gular price wars and increasing cost of acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Expected transiti<strong>on</strong> from cash-flow underwriting to<br />

risk-adequate pricing to take place in following years<br />

Changing customer behaviour<br />

• Increasing demand for better service<br />

• Growing clients’ need for pricing<br />

transparency<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

36<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />

After difficult years in a challenging market<br />

key performance driver being identified…<br />

Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />

Check data quality<br />

• Avoid over relying <strong>on</strong> quality<br />

of existing data to assess the<br />

state of or steer the business<br />

• C<strong>on</strong>sider the limited predictability<br />

of highly dynamic<br />

regulatory envir<strong>on</strong>ments <strong>on</strong><br />

l<strong>on</strong>g-tail business<br />

Have realistic expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Transformati<strong>on</strong> of ex-family<br />

owned businesses is a more<br />

challenging and l<strong>on</strong>ger-lasting<br />

process; need to invest early<strong>on</strong><br />

in changing the culture<br />

C<strong>on</strong>sider market dynamics<br />

• Markets’ resilience to shift<br />

from cash-flow underwriting to<br />

risk-adequate pricing can<br />

distort competiti<strong>on</strong> practices<br />

• War for talent is fierce in high<br />

growth markets; proactiveness<br />

makes a difference<br />

Less<strong>on</strong>s learned were incorporated by the new management team into a new strategy<br />

aiming at profitable growth to become a leading player in the Turkish insurance market<br />

Transformati<strong>on</strong> strategy – Focus <strong>on</strong> people, skills and effective processes<br />

Superior service level Sophisticated risk selecti<strong>on</strong> Efficiency and effectiveness<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

37


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy<br />

… while new management team defined strategic<br />

acti<strong>on</strong> plan<br />

A<br />

Phase 1<br />

Stop the remaining<br />

"bleeding"<br />

B<br />

C<strong>on</strong>sistent c<strong>on</strong>tinuati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

2010 turnaround<br />

programme - immediate<br />

acti<strong>on</strong>s to stop remaining<br />

under performance<br />

Phase 2<br />

<strong>Re</strong>build the organisati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

processes and<br />

infrastructure<br />

<strong>Re</strong>store<br />

profitability<br />

Profitable<br />

growth<br />

Phase 3<br />

<strong>Re</strong>claim market share<br />

Kick-start growth<br />

strategy by focusing <strong>on</strong><br />

sales and marketing<br />

based <strong>on</strong> clear<br />

competitive<br />

differentiators<br />

C<br />

<strong>Re</strong>visit and modify key<br />

processes<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 <strong>on</strong>wards …<br />

Current status<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

38<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 1<br />

A Take immediate acti<strong>on</strong> – Stringent implementati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

risk adequate pricing in motor business<br />

Average premium € Number of motor policies ths Ultimate loss ratio by AY 1 %<br />

MoD 3<br />

MTPL<br />

2<br />

422<br />

380 407 424<br />

2<br />

2<br />

MTPL<br />

MTPL<br />

MoD<br />

3<br />

MoD<br />

3<br />

519<br />

1,143<br />

122 117<br />

1,082 104<br />

107<br />

95<br />

695<br />

77 73 85 78 104<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Increase of average premium per<br />

customer in motor business by<br />

risk-adequate pricing (based <strong>on</strong><br />

full-fledged predictive modelling/<br />

GLM tariffs) and selective<br />

underwriting ...<br />

554<br />

449<br />

219 227 238 231 197<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

... as a c<strong>on</strong>sequence the number<br />

of policies decreased reducing<br />

the exposure ...<br />

78<br />

94 92 86<br />

... ultimately improving the<br />

accident-year loss ratios<br />

73<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Despite improving new business, adverse impact of l<strong>on</strong>g-tail legacy MTPL portfolio still obvious –<br />

~TL 200m reserve strengthening from 2010 to 2012 due to negative prior-year run-off<br />

1 AY: Accident year, gross IFRS. 2 MTPL: Motor third party liability. 3 MoD: Motor own damage.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

39


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – <strong>Re</strong>serve situati<strong>on</strong><br />

A<br />

Take immediate acti<strong>on</strong> – Improving reserve situati<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>Re</strong>serve/premium development 1<br />

Actual vs. expected of last year<br />

Actual payments<br />

53%<br />

63%<br />

72%<br />

Total<br />

Motor TPL<br />

Other LoBs<br />

Motor own damage<br />

2010 2011 2012<br />

<strong>Re</strong>cent developments<br />

General TPL<br />

Expected payments<br />

Green Actuals below expectati<strong>on</strong> Solid line Actuals equal expectati<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>Re</strong>d Actuals above expectati<strong>on</strong> Dotted line Actuals are 50% above / below expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• After reserve strengthening in the past the reserve situati<strong>on</strong> has improved, reflected in total actual<br />

payments being largely in line with the expectati<strong>on</strong> embedded in our current reserving levels<br />

• 2012: <strong>Re</strong>serve strengthening due to high uncertainty of future costs for court cases in motor and<br />

general TPL lines of business<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>serves are closely m<strong>on</strong>itored by local and central actuarial team with updated calculati<strong>on</strong>s every<br />

quarter in order to react to any (e.g. regulatory) changes immediately<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>serve/Premium ratio of <strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey is higher compared to market (<strong>on</strong>ly local GAAP figures<br />

available for other market players)<br />

1 Held reserve divided by gross earned premium. 2 MTPL: Motor third party liability.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

40<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 2<br />

B <strong>Re</strong>build organisati<strong>on</strong> – General restructuring measures<br />

General restructuring measure<br />

Management organisati<strong>on</strong><br />

Descripti<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>Re</strong>ducing the complexity of the company’s organisati<strong>on</strong><br />

structure<br />

<strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>al structure<br />

Merging n<strong>on</strong>-life and life as well as pensi<strong>on</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>s – <strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

offices to fully focus <strong>on</strong> sales <strong>on</strong>ly<br />

Creati<strong>on</strong> of a service centre<br />

Centralisati<strong>on</strong> of all underwriting and policy administrati<strong>on</strong><br />

activities – Professi<strong>on</strong>alisati<strong>on</strong> of service to sales partners<br />

Staff<br />

Achieve sizing efficiency<br />

Implementati<strong>on</strong> of life and<br />

pensi<strong>on</strong> business case<br />

Implementati<strong>on</strong> of restructuring activities in line with the new life<br />

and pensi<strong>on</strong> strategy<br />

Impact: <strong>Re</strong>duced cost for employees and infrastructure since May 2013<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

41


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 2<br />

B<br />

<strong>Re</strong>build organisati<strong>on</strong> – <strong>Re</strong>visi<strong>on</strong> of life and pensi<strong>on</strong><br />

strategy<br />

New pensi<strong>on</strong> regulati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Direct government subsidies<br />

and incentives are expected to<br />

lead to significant growth<br />

• Adjusted caps to chargeable<br />

fees reduce the profitability of<br />

the pensi<strong>on</strong> business<br />

Market envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

• Top 10 players are either<br />

subsidiaries of banks or have<br />

exclusive bancassurance deals<br />

• Agent sales models with high<br />

current commissi<strong>on</strong> schemes<br />

(more than 20%)<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> life and pensi<strong>on</strong> operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• No exclusive bancassurance<br />

channel – Agent-dominated<br />

channel structure<br />

• Costly direct sales force<br />

Outcome<br />

Main success drivers in this<br />

envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

• Building a critical mass<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>as<strong>on</strong>able acquisiti<strong>on</strong> costs,<br />

e.g. in bancassurance channel<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>tenti<strong>on</strong> (protecti<strong>on</strong>) of the inforce<br />

portfolio<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong>’s new strategy<br />

Defer growth aspirati<strong>on</strong>s of the portfolio (hibernati<strong>on</strong>) …<br />

Dissolving direct sales force and limiting sales and operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

<strong>on</strong>ly to support the current customers and agents<br />

… while maintaining a keen watch <strong>on</strong> the pensi<strong>on</strong> market<br />

<strong>Re</strong>maining interested in its development and opportunities that<br />

may arise<br />

Changes in Turkish pensi<strong>on</strong> regulati<strong>on</strong>s – a paradigm shift for the entire pensi<strong>on</strong><br />

savings market necessitating a revisi<strong>on</strong> of <strong>ERGO</strong>’s life and pensi<strong>on</strong> strategy<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

42<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 2<br />

B Key figures – First signs of improvement, turnaround<br />

programme starting to bear fruit<br />

Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />

% Net result 1<br />

366<br />

347<br />

312 299<br />

16<br />

293<br />

130.2 131.5<br />

118.3<br />

122.3<br />

–34<br />

–64<br />

–27<br />

€m<br />

99.6<br />

–190<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Implementing turnaround<br />

measures since 2010 by<br />

increasing selectivity of<br />

underwriting risks at the expense<br />

of decreasing premium income<br />

over time ...<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

… while profitability has improved<br />

– Trend of lower combined ratio<br />

expected to c<strong>on</strong>tinue<br />

Target combined ratio:<br />


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey – Strategy – Phase 3<br />

C Next steps – Further pursuing turnaround programme<br />

to reclaim market share<br />

Already d<strong>on</strong>e<br />

<strong>Re</strong>organisati<strong>on</strong> of group structure<br />

• Changing the management team<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>ducti<strong>on</strong> of labour and administrati<strong>on</strong> cost<br />

<strong>Re</strong>-underwriting of the portfolio after the<br />

introducti<strong>on</strong> of new underwriting guidelines and<br />

methods<br />

Introducti<strong>on</strong> of sophisticated GLM 1 pricing tools<br />

and methods instead of competiti<strong>on</strong>-based<br />

pricing<br />

<strong>Re</strong>design of health strategy<br />

Implementati<strong>on</strong> of urgent IT improvements<br />

Enhancing reserving and claims handling<br />

processes<br />

<strong>Re</strong>definiti<strong>on</strong> of life and pensi<strong>on</strong> strategy<br />

Upcoming acti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>designing sales network management and<br />

upgrading effectiveness of sales operati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Rollout of pricing methods improvements to<br />

other business lines<br />

• Further organisati<strong>on</strong>al restructuring<br />

• Centralisati<strong>on</strong> and service-excellence<br />

orientati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Streamlining<br />

• Process improvements<br />

• Rollout of further IT improvements <strong>on</strong> critical<br />

functi<strong>on</strong>s as well as user interfaces<br />

Achieving customer centricity, technical excellence and increasing effectiveness<br />

and efficiency<br />

1 GLM: Generalised linear model.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

44<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />

Key takeaways and outlook<br />

Profitability<br />

Top priority: <strong>Re</strong>storing sustainable profitability by way of reduced loss ratios<br />

and improved cost base through stringent focus <strong>on</strong> technical underwriting<br />

and enhancing all operati<strong>on</strong>al processes – Target combined ratio


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Agenda<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Jochen Messemer<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />

Piotr Sliwicki<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />

Theodoros Kokkalas<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />

Andreas Kleiner<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />

Ritesh Kumar<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

46<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS the worldwide market leader<br />

operating in 18 countries<br />

Global legal protecti<strong>on</strong> market<br />

€bn<br />

Premium split DAS Internati<strong>on</strong>al 2012<br />

€m<br />

6.9 7.1<br />

7.6 7.9<br />

Others<br />

88<br />

Netherlands<br />

210<br />

Austria<br />

60<br />

TOTAL<br />

€626m<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Market shares 2011<br />

DAS <strong>ERGO</strong> 1<br />

14<br />

ARAG<br />

9<br />

Allianz<br />

8<br />

AXA 4<br />

Generali 4<br />

%<br />

Belgium<br />

70<br />

United Kingdom<br />

198<br />

• DAS has growing expertise in legal services,<br />

generating n<strong>on</strong>-premium income<br />

• Good track record in building up greenfields<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>liable partner for other p-c insurers<br />

(e.g. Generali, Zurich)<br />

Source: CEA, GDV, Annual <strong>Re</strong>ports, DI research<br />

Data: GWP 2011, no comprehensive data for 2012 available<br />

1 Gross written premium DAS Germany €421m, DAS Internati<strong>on</strong>al €587m.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

47


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – Organic growth delivering<br />

sustainable profits<br />

Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />

% Underwriting result 1,2<br />

€m<br />

482<br />

514<br />

548<br />

587<br />

626<br />

101.6<br />

97.4<br />

95.0<br />

19<br />

14<br />

31<br />

37<br />

96.8<br />

94.6<br />

–6<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• Organic growth and greenfields<br />

• Business model changes from<br />

pure insurer to legal service<br />

provider, especially in<br />

Netherlands and UK<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• 2009: Negative impact from<br />

significant increase in workrelated<br />

claims<br />

• Since 2009: Steadily<br />

decreasing combined ratio due<br />

to low loss ratio<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> delivering<br />

relatively stable results<br />

• 2009: Underwriting result<br />

burdened by ec<strong>on</strong>omic crisis<br />

• Sustained improvement in<br />

results in recent years<br />

1 IFRS figures without legal protecti<strong>on</strong>. 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012<br />

c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of all Intra-Group business. 2 Technical result without technical interest.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

48<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Proven skills in expansi<strong>on</strong> of legal services as basis for<br />

an internati<strong>on</strong>al legal powerhouse strategy<br />

Legal powerhouse<br />

Pillar 1:<br />

Extending product range<br />

into legal services<br />

Pillar 2:<br />

Developing new<br />

business lines<br />

Pillar 3:<br />

Cooperati<strong>on</strong> and<br />

partnering<br />

Pillar 4:<br />

Expansi<strong>on</strong> in new<br />

markets<br />

DAS Netherlands – Debt collecti<strong>on</strong> 1 €m<br />

• Successful change from "pure" insurer to legal service provider with debt<br />

collecti<strong>on</strong> now a highly profitable business field<br />

• Debt collecti<strong>on</strong> offers growth potential in a mature market envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

• Debt collecti<strong>on</strong> now produces almost 25% of DAS Netherland’s total<br />

revenues<br />

• C<strong>on</strong>stant product and legal service innovati<strong>on</strong>s e.g. high value after-theevent<br />

loss recovery insurance<br />

• Legal website offers legal advice and access to legal services<br />

• Own law firm allows DAS UK to participate in the whole value chain<br />

• Synergies between legal insurance and legal services creating positive profit<br />

development<br />

Debt collecti<strong>on</strong><br />

Original business<br />

65<br />

14<br />

172 210<br />

2008 2012<br />

DAS UK – Legal services 1 €m<br />

Other (technical) income<br />

Original business<br />

23<br />

13<br />

131<br />

198<br />

2008 2012<br />

1 Gross written premiums.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

49


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

UK ec<strong>on</strong>omy – Large and well-developed insurance<br />

market, but facing significant ec<strong>on</strong>omic headwinds<br />

<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1 % Inflati<strong>on</strong> 1 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 2<br />

%<br />

1.8<br />

4.2<br />

4.5<br />

1.0<br />

3.6<br />

3.6<br />

2.8<br />

–0.1<br />

–1.0<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

2.2<br />

2.1 1.9<br />

–4.0<br />

Inflati<strong>on</strong> 10-Y yield<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> p-c market (2011) 1,3 %<br />

United Kingdom<br />

4.0<br />

79.4<br />

85.5 90.0<br />

France<br />

2.8<br />

67.8<br />

Switzerland<br />

2.7<br />

52.7<br />

7.6 7.8 8.0 7.9<br />

Spain<br />

2.4<br />

Germany<br />

2.2<br />

5.6<br />

Debt Unemployment<br />

Italy<br />

2.2<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 4 51<br />

1 Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search, Eurostat, Bank of England.<br />

2 Bloomberg. 3 Premiums in % of GDP. 4 Source: Eurostat.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

50<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Development of DAS UK<br />

1975 2000 2011 2012 2013<br />

DAS UK<br />

established –<br />

Initial focus <strong>on</strong><br />

BTE insurance<br />

• Before-the-event<br />

("BTE") legal protecti<strong>on</strong><br />

insurance provides<br />

cover against potential<br />

legal costs arising from<br />

a future event<br />

• BTE is generally sold<br />

as part of a home,<br />

motor or commercial<br />

insurance package<br />

("add-<strong>on</strong> basis")<br />

Start to write<br />

ATE<br />

insurance<br />

• After-the-event ("ATE")<br />

legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance is<br />

taken out by a claimant who<br />

has a "no win, no fee"<br />

agreement with their lawyer<br />

in respect of a legal claim<br />

• It protects the claimant<br />

against costs not covered<br />

by the agreement if the<br />

case is lost<br />

Acquire<br />

Law <strong>on</strong><br />

the Web<br />

Apply for<br />

licence<br />

to own<br />

law firm<br />

ATE<br />

market<br />

changes<br />

• www.law<strong>on</strong>theweb.co.uk provides <strong>on</strong>line<br />

legal informati<strong>on</strong> and access to legal<br />

services<br />

• Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of a law firm by n<strong>on</strong>-lawyers<br />

permitted since 2012 – DAS UK<br />

acquired CW Law Solicitors (received<br />

licence in March 2013); now DAS Law<br />

• Legal Aid, Sentencing and Punishment<br />

of Offenders Act 2012 ("LASPO") and<br />

related changes implemented in April<br />

2013 – major impact <strong>on</strong> the ATE market<br />

Changes in the rules and operating methods of the legal system may threaten<br />

existing business models but create new opportunities<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

DAS UK – Market positi<strong>on</strong> and business profile<br />

UK legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance – Market shares 2011<br />

%<br />

DAS UK<br />

Direct Line<br />

AmTrust<br />

Brit<br />

Allianz<br />

9<br />

9<br />

10<br />

16<br />

16<br />

• DAS is market leader – expertise and reputati<strong>on</strong> as a<br />

specialist legal protecti<strong>on</strong> insurer<br />

• DAS portfolio includes substantial proporti<strong>on</strong> of wholesale<br />

business<br />

• Different competitors in each market segment – few<br />

competitors operate in both BTE and ATE markets<br />

• Many market participants operate as MGAs or claims<br />

management companies<br />

DAS UK – Business Profile<br />

• 700 employees<br />

• Headquarters in Bristol, claims centre in Caerphilly, four sales offices in UK and ROI<br />

• 11.7 milli<strong>on</strong> policyholders<br />

• 2,500 business partners and agents, including banks, insurance companies, intermediaries and lawyers<br />

DAS UK market leader taking opportunities created by changes in the legal regime<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

52<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

DAS UK – Product portfolio<br />

DAS UK – Product portfolio<br />

Other<br />

4<br />

BTE<br />

54<br />

%<br />

Legal services<br />

4<br />

GWP<br />

€198m<br />

Insured assistance<br />

11<br />

ATE<br />

27<br />

BTE<br />

• Leading market positi<strong>on</strong>,<br />

working with major business<br />

partners including Lloyds<br />

Banking Group, Aviva, Zurich,<br />

esure, NFU Mutual, Nati<strong>on</strong>wide,<br />

Marsh, Towergate<br />

ATE<br />

• Business developed over last<br />

decade – now a substantial part<br />

of the portfolio<br />

• ATE market being reshaped<br />

post-LASPO – expected to<br />

become smaller, but still<br />

significant<br />

Legal services (and DAS Law)<br />

• Business currently small but<br />

growing rapidly – extensive<br />

growth opportunities<br />

• Margins much higher than<br />

insurance margins<br />

DAS UK operating in both BTE and ATE markets, with growing legal services<br />

business<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

53


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

DAS UK – Key figures<br />

Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1<br />

% Net result 1<br />

€m<br />

131 129<br />

149<br />

170<br />

198<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Excellent premium growth,<br />

reflecting both volume and<br />

premium rate increases<br />

104.1<br />

123,4<br />

104,7<br />

100,4<br />

95,7<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Str<strong>on</strong>g recovery from technical<br />

losses in 2008 and 2009,<br />

caused by recessi<strong>on</strong><br />

Target combined ratio: 95%<br />

5<br />

0<br />

–8<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

9<br />

12<br />

Net result largely driven by<br />

technical performance – limited<br />

investment risk<br />

Substantial increase in claims volumes during the deep recessi<strong>on</strong> in 2008/2009 –<br />

decisive acti<strong>on</strong> taken to restore underwriting margins<br />

1 IFRS figures without legal protecti<strong>on</strong>. 2008-2010 before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of business with <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>, 2011-2012<br />

c<strong>on</strong>solidated, after eliminati<strong>on</strong> of all Intra-Group business.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

54<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

DAS UK – Strategic directi<strong>on</strong><br />

Key elements of the strategy<br />

BTE market<br />

Maintain leading positi<strong>on</strong><br />

Business model<br />

Adjust for changes in the legal<br />

framework<br />

Legal services<br />

Develop legal services to become a<br />

significant part of the business<br />

New products<br />

Introduce new products that<br />

complement legal protecti<strong>on</strong><br />

insurance<br />

M&A<br />

Opportunistic acquisiti<strong>on</strong><br />

strategy<br />

Objectives and benefits<br />

• Core portfolio of profitable business<br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g relati<strong>on</strong>ships with key market participants<br />

• Foundati<strong>on</strong> for development of new products and markets<br />

• Secure profits from ATE business written<br />

• Identify and exploit ATE and BTE market opportunities in the<br />

new legal envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

• Expand DAS Law as efficient provider of a growing volume and<br />

range of commoditised legal services<br />

• Develop legal services marketing through Law On The Web and<br />

from existing portfolio, building <strong>on</strong> legal services procurement skills<br />

• Examples of new products: high-value ATE, loss recovery<br />

insurance, pre-paid legal fees, c<strong>on</strong>sumer claims handling<br />

• C<strong>on</strong>sider acquisiti<strong>on</strong> opportunities that would expand or<br />

complement the Group’s business<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

55


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Key takeaways and outlook<br />

Growth L<strong>on</strong>g-term growth building <strong>on</strong> the core business of BTE –<br />

including a growing legal services business, innovative insurance products<br />

and expansi<strong>on</strong> in new markets<br />

Profit<br />

After return to profitability in 2011, further growth and sustainable profits<br />

based <strong>on</strong> good operating ratios; growth in higher margin legal services –<br />

Target combined ratio: 95%<br />

Processes<br />

Steady improvement of processes to secure operati<strong>on</strong>al efficiency, highest<br />

customer service quality embedded in a comprehensive risk management<br />

envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

Outlook<br />

Further development of DAS UK’s positi<strong>on</strong> as market leader in legal<br />

protecti<strong>on</strong> insurance and expanding to a "Legal Powerhouse" provider in<br />

various legal-protecti<strong>on</strong>-related business fields<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

56<br />

Agenda<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Jochen Messemer<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />

Piotr Sliwicki<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />

Theodoros Kokkalas<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />

Andreas Kleiner<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />

Ritesh Kumar<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

57


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

Strategic rati<strong>on</strong>ale – Increasing share of global GDP<br />

coming from Asia …<br />

Gross nati<strong>on</strong>al income per capita (`000 PPP 1 )<br />

Ranking by total size of GDP (PPP 1 )<br />

15.6<br />

7.6<br />

6.4 6.7 7.1<br />

4.2<br />

3.0 3.3 2.8<br />

1.2 1.31.9<br />

2.2<br />

Source: Munch <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search<br />

1990 2000 2010 2020e<br />

14.2<br />

10.9<br />

19.1<br />

8.2<br />

5.3 5.8 5.1<br />

4.0 4.2<br />

2.83.0<br />

3.1<br />

1.7<br />

1.0<br />

• History of fast income-per-capita growth in Asia<br />

• China is expected to more than double its per<br />

capita income between 2010 and 2020<br />

• Increasingly affluent middle-class populati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

with favourable demographics<br />

1 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) - A rate of exchange that accounts for price differences across countries<br />

allowing for internati<strong>on</strong>al comparis<strong>on</strong>s of income and prosperity levels. PPP US$ 1 has the same<br />

purchasing power in the domestic ec<strong>on</strong>omy as US$ 1 has in the United States.<br />

11.4<br />

China India Ind<strong>on</strong>esia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

6<br />

...<br />

... ... ... ...<br />

1990 2005 2010 2015e 2020e<br />

Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search<br />

• Ec<strong>on</strong>omic forecast of “Emerging Asia” shows<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tinued str<strong>on</strong>g mid- to l<strong>on</strong>g-term ec<strong>on</strong>omic<br />

growth despite worldwide financial crises …<br />

• … leading to a significant increase in the<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omic importance of Asia in the world<br />

"The Asian Century" has already begun providing also str<strong>on</strong>g opportunities for<br />

insurance business<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

58<br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

… and Asian insurance markets have highest growth<br />

prospects but typical emerging market (regulatory) risks<br />

P-C: <strong>Re</strong>al GWP growth 2012 to 2020 % Life: <strong>Re</strong>al GWP growth 2012 to 2020<br />

India<br />

China<br />

Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />

Russia<br />

Turkey<br />

Brazil<br />

Chile<br />

Mexico<br />

Singapore<br />

Colombia<br />

Ukraine<br />

Malaysia<br />

Thailand<br />

Poland<br />

7.0<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.2<br />

6.1<br />

6.1<br />

5.7<br />

11.7<br />

10.5<br />

9.9<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> presence<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> p-c<br />

target market<br />

China<br />

Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />

Brazil<br />

UAE<br />

Thailand<br />

India<br />

Colombia<br />

Poland<br />

Czech <strong>Re</strong>p.<br />

Mexico<br />

Philippines<br />

Malaysia<br />

Chile<br />

Norway<br />

9.5<br />

7.7<br />

10.3<br />

%<br />

15.7<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> presence<br />

• P-C: Globally more than €680bn additi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

premiums expected by 2020<br />

• Of which more than 35% will come from Asia –<br />

then c<strong>on</strong>tributing 25% of global p-c insurance<br />

premiums (2012: 22%)<br />

• Life: Globally more than €1.4tn additi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

premiums expected by 2020<br />

• Of which more than 50% will come from Asia –<br />

then c<strong>on</strong>tributing 46% of global life insurance<br />

premiums (2012: 39%)<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> strives to participate in the "Asian Century" and intends to build a sizeable<br />

footprint in defined Asian target markets over the next 10 years<br />

Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search – Growth rates for the 40 largest markets globally.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

59


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong>'s Asia strategy – Value creati<strong>on</strong> in attractive<br />

target markets through rollout of global best practice<br />

Pillar 1 – P-C: <strong>Re</strong>gi<strong>on</strong>al insurer<br />

• Technical hub Singapore<br />

• India • Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />

• Philippines • Singapore<br />

• Vietnam<br />

Pillar 2 – Life: Greenfield joint ventures<br />

• China<br />

• India<br />

• Malaysia<br />

• Thailand<br />

Strategic rati<strong>on</strong>ale<br />

• Growth markets with superior profitability<br />

• Very selective M&A – High price expectati<strong>on</strong>s (often<br />

brownfields and exclusive transacti<strong>on</strong>s via <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

network)<br />

• Hub c<strong>on</strong>cept to create ec<strong>on</strong>omic and competitive advantage<br />

Strategic rati<strong>on</strong>ale<br />

• No M&A – Poor alignment of many Asian life portfolios with<br />

Group risk management framework<br />

• Greenfields <strong>on</strong>ly – In young growth markets with low<br />

financial opti<strong>on</strong>s and guarantees exposure – build business<br />

models in line with Group risk appetite<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> value<br />

propositi<strong>on</strong><br />

• Actuarial (pricing/modeling, reserving), p-c underwriting, product development –<br />

compulsory "plug and play" rollout of Group standards and expertise<br />

• <strong>ERGO</strong> ICCs 1 (bancassurance, agency, direct sales, life, p-c claims)<br />

• Risk management<br />

• Superior market knowledge through <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> presence<br />

Value-creating portfolio of ~€2.0–2.5bn premium volume 2 by 2020<br />

1 ICC = Internati<strong>on</strong>al Centre of Competence.<br />

2 GWP (n<strong>on</strong>-life) and total premium (life) at 100% shareholding basis.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

60<br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

Executing strategy: Succeeding via life greenfields and<br />

selective n<strong>on</strong>-life M&As<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> presence in Asia – Operati<strong>on</strong>s at a glance<br />

South Korea<br />

P–C: Direct motor insurer<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum Direct –<br />

sold in 2012<br />

China<br />

Life: Greenfield joint venture<br />

with SSAIH – operating licence<br />

obtained in June 2013<br />

India<br />

P–C: Joint Venture HDFC<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> since 2008 – c<strong>on</strong>tinuous<br />

outperformance of the market<br />

Life: Greenfield joint venture<br />

with Avantha Group signed in<br />

2012 – operati<strong>on</strong>al in 2014<br />

Market<br />

presence<br />

Market positi<strong>on</strong><br />

am<strong>on</strong>g top 5 in either<br />

life or n<strong>on</strong>-life<br />

Vietnam<br />

P–C: Acquisiti<strong>on</strong> of 25% stake<br />

in GIC in 2011 – profitable insurer<br />

Singapore<br />

Service company since 2008 –<br />

steering of existing entities and<br />

preparing entries into defined<br />

South East Asian target markets<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> has set the foundati<strong>on</strong>s to become a notable insurance company in the<br />

defined target markets<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

61


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

South Korea: Sale of <strong>ERGO</strong> Daum Direct a reacti<strong>on</strong> to<br />

adverse market developments<br />

Dec. 2007 Sep. 2008 Sep. 2009 2008 – 2010 Nov. 2010 May 2012<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> acquires<br />

Daum Direct –<br />

<strong>Re</strong>gulatory<br />

closing in March<br />

2008<br />

Global financial<br />

crisis affects<br />

Korea heavily –<br />

Motor growth<br />

collapsed from<br />

13% in 2007 to<br />

almost 0% in<br />

2008/2009<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />

Direct is granted<br />

six n<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />

licences to<br />

enable<br />

diversificati<strong>on</strong><br />

bey<strong>on</strong>d motor<br />

business<br />

Deteriorati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

market motor<br />

loss ratio >10%<br />

– Increasing<br />

regulatory<br />

interference by<br />

FSS 1 in motor<br />

pricing<br />

Decisi<strong>on</strong> to exit<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />

Direct –<br />

Initiati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

sales process<br />

Disposal of<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Daum<br />

Direct –<br />

<strong>Re</strong>gulatory<br />

closing in<br />

September 2012<br />

Business model<br />

• Development of direct motor<br />

market share within five<br />

years from nil to 13% (2007)<br />

<strong>on</strong> the back of inefficient<br />

traditi<strong>on</strong>al sales channels<br />

• Investment in promising,<br />

young business field –<br />

implementing best-practice<br />

direct-sales c<strong>on</strong>cepts from<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Direkt (Germany)<br />

1 FSS: Financial Supervisory Service – Korean insurance regulator.<br />

2 CRM: Customer relati<strong>on</strong>ship management.<br />

3 GLM: Generalised linear models.<br />

Rati<strong>on</strong>ale for exit<br />

• Increasing motor pricing<br />

restricti<strong>on</strong>s – competitive<br />

advantage in CRM 2 and<br />

GLM 3 pricing curtailed<br />

• Expansi<strong>on</strong> bey<strong>on</strong>d motor<br />

with direct-sales model<br />

negligible<br />

• Poor performance, lacking<br />

critical mass and negative<br />

market outlook<br />

Less<strong>on</strong>s learned<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>gulatory interventi<strong>on</strong> – here: "<strong>on</strong><br />

paper" liberalised market became<br />

increasingly restrictive<br />

• Sustainability assessment of business<br />

model<br />

• Feasibility of best practice and group<br />

standards rollout<br />

• Scarce local management talent with<br />

multi-nati<strong>on</strong>al company working<br />

experience<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

62<br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

Seeking profitable growth through property-casualty hub<br />

approach in Singapore<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong>’s South East Asian target markets<br />

Malaysia<br />

Populati<strong>on</strong>: 29m<br />

P-C GWP: €2.9bn<br />

CR 1 : 94%<br />

Singapore<br />

Populati<strong>on</strong>: 5m<br />

P-C GWP: €3.4bn<br />

CR1: 92%<br />

Ind<strong>on</strong>esia<br />

Populati<strong>on</strong>: 242m<br />

P-C GWP: €2.8bn<br />

CR 1 : 94%<br />

Vietnam<br />

Populati<strong>on</strong>: 88m<br />

P-C GWP: €0.7bn<br />

LR 2 : 39%<br />

Thailand<br />

Populati<strong>on</strong>: 70m<br />

P-C GWP: €3.1bn<br />

CR 1 : 115% (without<br />

floods 2011: 95%)<br />

Philippines<br />

Populati<strong>on</strong>: 95m<br />

P-C GWP: €0.6bn<br />

CR 1 : 103%<br />

Singapore hub<br />

Market characteristics: Individual South East<br />

Asian p-c markets are small, highly profitable and<br />

have a limited insurance management talent pool<br />

C<strong>on</strong>cept: Manage these markets through regi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

hub in Singapore – centralised key functi<strong>on</strong>s with<br />

regi<strong>on</strong>al mandate (e.g. regi<strong>on</strong>al CFO)<br />

Advantage Singapore<br />

• Skilled workforce – access to world-class<br />

insurance talent<br />

• Central geographical locati<strong>on</strong> with excellent<br />

infrastructure<br />

Opportunity "ASEAN 2015"<br />

• Single market with free movement of goods,<br />

services, labour and easier flow of capital<br />

• L<strong>on</strong>g-term visi<strong>on</strong>: <strong>on</strong>ce regulati<strong>on</strong> permits local<br />

entities to become branches of a hub risk carrier<br />

Create ec<strong>on</strong>omic and competitive advantage through central steering via a regi<strong>on</strong>al<br />

hub and c<strong>on</strong>sequent introducti<strong>on</strong> of group standards and global best practice<br />

1 CR: Combined ratio (average over last available 4-5 years)<br />

2 LR: Loss ratio 2008-2012. <strong>Re</strong>liable market-wide combined ratio figures are not<br />

available. Source: Vietnamese Insurance Associati<strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

63


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

Proof points in property-casualty: HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in India<br />

(separate secti<strong>on</strong>) and GIC in Vietnam<br />

Highlights – GIC Vietnam<br />

• Established in 2006 – Market positi<strong>on</strong> since entry of <strong>ERGO</strong> improved to #8 (in 2012) from #12<br />

• Step-up opti<strong>on</strong> to majority positi<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>ce market liberalises – according to WTO expected during next 5 yrs.<br />

• Comprehensive technical support programme<br />

• Development of bancassurance channel (strategic shareholder D<strong>on</strong>gA Bank)<br />

• Leveraging EVN 1 agency network (~7,000 agents) and EVN captive business<br />

• Introducti<strong>on</strong> of GLM 2 -based motor tariffs<br />

• IT, product development, claims management, underwriting, risk management ,etc.<br />

• Target mid-term combined ratio 92%<br />

Gross premiums written<br />

16<br />

17<br />

19<br />

2010 2011 2012<br />

€m Combined ratio %<br />

97.8<br />

102.2<br />

93.0<br />

2010 2011 2012<br />

Shareholding structure<br />

Other<br />

48.1<br />

Vina <strong>Re</strong> 4<br />

4.4<br />

Step-up to 35% shareholding currently under preparati<strong>on</strong> – Pleasing growth and<br />

profitability development in line with business plan, successful PMI<br />

%<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

25.0<br />

EVN 3<br />

22.5<br />

1 EVN: Electricity Corporati<strong>on</strong> of Vietnam. 2 GLM: Generalised linear modelling.<br />

3 State-owned electricity company. 4 State reinsurer.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

64<br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

Proof points in life: New greenfield joint ventures in<br />

China and India<br />

India Life –<br />

Avantha<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

JV agreement<br />

signed in<br />

November 2012<br />

Shareholding structure<br />

Avantha<br />

74%<br />

Step-up rights for <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

in case of market liberalisati<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

26%<br />

Status quo<br />

• Avantha Group: Major Indian<br />

business house with mixed activities,<br />

str<strong>on</strong>g governance and good cultural<br />

fit with <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

• Managed based <strong>on</strong> "equal partnership<br />

principles"<br />

• First policy to be sold in 2014<br />

10-year ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />

• 150 branches<br />

• 34,000 agents<br />

• Premium volume:<br />

~ €800m<br />

China Life –<br />

SSAIH<br />

Operating<br />

licence<br />

obtained in<br />

June 2013<br />

SSAIH<br />

50%<br />

Step-up rights for <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

in case of market liberalisati<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

50%<br />

• SSAIH: Investment vehicle of the<br />

Shand<strong>on</strong>g Provincial Government with<br />

str<strong>on</strong>g access to captive-like business<br />

• Key management recruitment<br />

completed – Management c<strong>on</strong>trol by<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

• First policy to be sold in 2H2013<br />

• 10 provinces<br />

• 12,000 agents<br />

• Premium volume:<br />

~€600m<br />

Executi<strong>on</strong> of Asia Life Strategy in the two prioritised core growth markets <strong>on</strong> track<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

65


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> Asia<br />

Key takeaways and outlook<br />

Why Asia? World regi<strong>on</strong> with highest growth potential and excellent profitability –<br />

Str<strong>on</strong>g network and good access through <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> but increased<br />

regulatory risks<br />

Strategy<br />

Disciplined rollout of group best practice and standards –<br />

N<strong>on</strong>-life: selective M&As via regi<strong>on</strong>al South East Asia hub,<br />

life: market entry via greenfield joint ventures in China and India<br />

Proof points<br />

Successful n<strong>on</strong>-life company HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in India, GIC Vietnam as a<br />

blueprint for further selective acquisiti<strong>on</strong>s, promising life joint ventures in<br />

China and India<br />

Outlook<br />

Go live in China and India with life joint ventures in 2013 and 2014,<br />

pursuing property-casualty hub approach with further market entries –<br />

Value-creating portfolio of ~€2–2.5bn premium volume 1 by 2020<br />

1 GWP (n<strong>on</strong>-life) and total premium (life) at 100% shareholding basis.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

66<br />

Agenda<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Jochen Messemer<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Poland<br />

Piotr Sliwicki<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> Turkey<br />

Theodoros Kokkalas<br />

Legal protecti<strong>on</strong> – DAS UK<br />

Paul Gibs<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> in Asia<br />

Andreas Kleiner<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> India<br />

Ritesh Kumar<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

67


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

India – Young populati<strong>on</strong> (~50% younger than 25 years<br />

old) to drive insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> and GDP growth<br />

<strong>Re</strong>al GDP growth 1 % Inflati<strong>on</strong> 2 vs. 10-year b<strong>on</strong>d yield 3<br />

%<br />

3.9<br />

8.2<br />

9.6<br />

6.7<br />

5.0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

8.3<br />

7.0<br />

10.9<br />

12.0<br />

7.6 7.9<br />

Inflati<strong>on</strong><br />

10-Y yield<br />

9.6 9.7<br />

8.5 8.1<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> p-c market (2011) 1,4 2.8<br />

%<br />

%<br />

India<br />

China<br />

Brazil<br />

Russia<br />

0.7<br />

1.2<br />

1.5<br />

2.3<br />

75.4 74.7 74.9<br />

9.5<br />

Debt<br />

9.0<br />

8.6 8.4<br />

Unemployment<br />

69.4 68.1<br />

8.8<br />

South Africa<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Gross government debt 1 and unemployment 5 69<br />

1 Source: RBI (<strong>Re</strong>serve Bank of India), Indian financial year (1.4. previous year to 31.3 reported year).<br />

2 Source: IHS Global Insight. 3 Source: Bloomberg. 4 Premiums in % of GDP. 5 Source: Eurostat.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

68<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

Property-casualty market – Historic overview<br />

1973 2000 2001 2007 2012<br />

2013<br />

Nati<strong>on</strong>alisati<strong>on</strong><br />

of propertycasualty<br />

–<br />

107<br />

companies<br />

merged into<br />

four state<br />

companies<br />

Opening up<br />

of industry<br />

to private<br />

players<br />

First<br />

licences<br />

granted<br />

Phased<br />

de-tariffing<br />

initiated and<br />

formati<strong>on</strong> of<br />

motor third<br />

party pool for<br />

commercial<br />

vehicles<br />

Motor third party<br />

pool dismantled<br />

– Total industry<br />

losses of €2bn –<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> HDFC<br />

share at 2% as a<br />

younger<br />

company<br />

27<br />

propertycasualty<br />

players,<br />

<strong>on</strong>e<br />

reinsurer,<br />

~350<br />

brokers<br />

Industry today<br />

• Current size of €9.2bn – CAGR of ~17% INR 1 since 2001<br />

• Private players share at 46% with major global primary insurers present<br />

• Issued ~115 milli<strong>on</strong> policies at an average ticket size of ~€80<br />

• Employing ~100,000 workforce and ~450,000 agents across ~7,000 branches<br />

1 Indian Rupee.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

Property-casualty market – Str<strong>on</strong>g competiti<strong>on</strong> in a highly<br />

fragmented market<br />

P-C primary insurance premiums<br />

5.0<br />

CAGR: ~17%<br />

INR CAGR: ~18.6%<br />

5.7<br />

7.1<br />

8.4<br />

€bn Market shares – Top 5 private companies 1<br />

ICICI Lombard<br />

9.5<br />

9.2<br />

Bajaj Allianz<br />

6.2<br />

IFFCO Tokio<br />

4.0<br />

%<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

3.8<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

• Opened to private sector in 2001<br />

• Separate licence for life and P/C companies<br />

• Minimum capital approx. €15m<br />

• Foreign capital limited to 26%<br />

• Capital requirements as per Solvency I regime<br />

TATA AIG<br />

3.3<br />

• 21 private and 6 state-owned companies<br />

• 54% market share still with state-owned insurers<br />

putting pressure <strong>on</strong> pricing<br />

• HDFC increased market share by 3% points in<br />

the last five years while large competitors lost<br />

~3% points <strong>on</strong> average in this time<br />

• Almost all global players present in market<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> has built up a leading market positi<strong>on</strong> within the last five years –<br />

number 4 in property-casualty, number 2 in the n<strong>on</strong>-motor market in private sector<br />

1 As at 31.12.2012. Source: <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>Re</strong>search, IRDA.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

70<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

Significant growth in health and motor business<br />

Motor business – Gross written premium<br />

Motor third party liability (%)<br />

Motor own damage (%)<br />

38<br />

INR CAGR ~21.1%<br />

4,251<br />

3,722<br />

2,071 2,421 2,929<br />

37<br />

62 63<br />

35<br />

41<br />

65 59 57<br />

Motor<br />

type<br />

Private<br />

cars<br />

Two –<br />

wheelers<br />

Penetrati<strong>on</strong><br />

level (%)<br />

~60–65<br />

~30–35<br />

Others ~80–90<br />

Total ~50%<br />

• India is 6 th largest car market in the world<br />

• More than 110 milli<strong>on</strong> vehicles <strong>on</strong> road<br />

• Significant number of uninsured vehicles <strong>on</strong><br />

road (two-wheelers, tractors and cars)<br />

• To be addressed through multi-year policies<br />

and better enforcement<br />

43<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

€m<br />

Health business – Gross written premium<br />

Pers<strong>on</strong>al accident (%) Health (%)<br />

INR CAGR:~22.4%<br />

2.418<br />

2.265<br />

1.980 9<br />

9<br />

9<br />

1.471<br />

1.159 12<br />

12<br />

91<br />

91 91<br />

90<br />

88<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

€m<br />

• Health expenditures ~2.5% of GDP (~€35bn)<br />

– Insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>ly ~6–7%<br />

• ~80% of populati<strong>on</strong> not covered by any health<br />

insurance or social security<br />

• In absence of social security, health insurance to<br />

play pivotal role<br />

Increased vehicle ownership and medical inflati<strong>on</strong> to drive insurance demand<br />

Source: IRDA, GI Council.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

71


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

De-tariffing of market and motor third party liability<br />

burdening market for some years<br />

Combined ratio development of private and state-owned companies %<br />

Private Govt Private(w/o Motor Pool) Govt(w/o Motor Pool)<br />

135%<br />

133%<br />

124%<br />

126%<br />

124% 124% 126%<br />

121%<br />

124% 122% 122% 118%<br />

119%<br />

121%<br />

118%<br />

114%<br />

112%<br />

110%<br />

114% 113%<br />

102% 103%<br />

110%<br />

109%<br />

108%<br />

100%<br />

106%<br />

107%<br />

103%<br />

99%<br />

MTPL - Premium and claims development (Base 100 in FY01)<br />

2004 FY05 FY06 2005 FY07 2006 FY08 2007 FY09 2008 FY10 2009 FY11 2010 FY12 2011 FY13(E) 2012e<br />

Motor third party liability –<br />

Issues<br />

• Pricing Inadequacy<br />

Premium increased <strong>on</strong>ly twice<br />

between 2001 and 2011 –<br />

Annual inflati<strong>on</strong> adjustment<br />

missing. Price correcti<strong>on</strong> with<br />

yearly inflati<strong>on</strong> link implemented<br />

in April 2012<br />

• Pool structure<br />

Motor pool allocated losses <strong>on</strong><br />

basis of overall market share –<br />

causing higher losses to<br />

companies with lower motor<br />

share<br />

Pricing correcti<strong>on</strong>, al<strong>on</strong>g with dismantling of motor pool, to gradually reduce losses<br />

from motor third party liability business<br />

Source: IRDA GI Council<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

72<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India – Property-casualty<br />

Property-casualty market – L<strong>on</strong>g-term prospects<br />

outweigh short-term challenges<br />

Macro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

<strong>Re</strong>gulati<strong>on</strong><br />

Ec<strong>on</strong>omy<br />

Society<br />

Technology<br />

Envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

High activity in terms of c<strong>on</strong>sumer<br />

protecti<strong>on</strong>, distributi<strong>on</strong><br />

Slower growth rate than potential in the<br />

short term but l<strong>on</strong>g-term story intact –<br />

Decreasing car registrati<strong>on</strong> and lower<br />

demand for mortgages<br />

Demographic dividend yet to play out<br />

completely – Str<strong>on</strong>ger need for<br />

customised products<br />

Market characterised by low ticket size<br />

which need tech-led soluti<strong>on</strong>s –<br />

Increasing “research <strong>on</strong>line, purchase<br />

offline" trend<br />

Benign year as regards nat cat<br />

Fierce competiti<strong>on</strong><br />

• Pressure <strong>on</strong> prices in corporate lines and<br />

increasing cost of acquisiti<strong>on</strong> in retail lines<br />

• Margins hit by inadequate motor third party liability<br />

pricing<br />

Micro envir<strong>on</strong>ment<br />

Competiti<strong>on</strong> All insurers disclosed negative<br />

technical results, however, trend<br />

changing with better profitability in<br />

2013<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong><br />

Customer<br />

Bancassurance a successful<br />

distributi<strong>on</strong> model – More agents<br />

to increase market share<br />

Low penetrati<strong>on</strong> of insurance<br />

products apart from compulsory<br />

insurance covers (i.e. motor third<br />

party liability) – Low degree of<br />

cross-selling<br />

Changing customer behaviour<br />

• Transparency in products and processes<br />

• Increasing demand for better services<br />

1 Motor third party liability.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

73


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Historic overview<br />

2002 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

2013<br />

Incorporated<br />

as HDFC<br />

Chubb<br />

Chubb exits<br />

the JV<br />

JV with<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong><br />

approved<br />

Status<br />

#8 in private sector with GWP<br />

of €35m and market share of<br />

0.8% (263 employees across<br />

15 branches)<br />

Banc-<br />

Assurance<br />

tie-up<br />

with<br />

HDFC Ltd<br />

Banc-<br />

Assurance<br />

tie-up<br />

with<br />

HDFC Bank<br />

Breakeven<br />

at<br />

combined<br />

ratio level<br />

before pool<br />

Net result:<br />

€26m,<br />

combined<br />

ratio:<br />

91.6%<br />

(before<br />

pool)<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> today<br />

• Pan India operati<strong>on</strong>s with 81 branches,1,400 employees and 3,500 agents/direct sales force<br />

• Issued 3.4 milli<strong>on</strong> policies<br />

• #4 in private sector total: 3.8% market share<br />

• #2 in private sector n<strong>on</strong>-motor: 4.7% market share<br />

• #1 in industry pers<strong>on</strong>al accident: 16% market share<br />

• Built the largest bancassurance business in property-casualty with ~15% market share<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

74<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Key figures<br />

Gross written premium 1 €m Combined ratio 1,2<br />

% Net result 1<br />

€m<br />

INR CAGR: ~64%<br />

289<br />

356<br />

Profit before pool<br />

Profit after pool<br />

26.0<br />

22.0<br />

18.8<br />

123.4 121.1<br />

99.5<br />

148<br />

210<br />

4.4<br />

53<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Substantial above-average<br />

market growth driven by<br />

innovative products and<br />

successful distributi<strong>on</strong> via<br />

bancassurance<br />

92.6 91.6<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Successful steering – am<strong>on</strong>g the<br />

best combined ratios in the<br />

market<br />

Target combined ratio: ≤ 95%<br />

–3.1–4.0<br />

–5.9 –6.1<br />

–12.6<br />

–15.1<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> is accounted for<br />

at equity with 26% share<br />

Solid foundati<strong>on</strong> established for sustainable further growth and risk-commensurate<br />

returns going forward<br />

1 N<strong>on</strong>-calendar FY from April to March.<br />

2 Excluding Indian commercial vehicle third party motor pool.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

75


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Largely meeting strategic targets for<br />

the first five years<br />

Combined ratio<br />

excluding pool<br />

123.0 122.8<br />

125.6<br />

Public<br />

Private<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Industry best<br />

123.4<br />

121.1<br />

114.3 ~113 1<br />

95.6<br />

98.5<br />

99.5<br />

96.2<br />

92.6<br />

92.6<br />

91.6<br />

90.5<br />

<strong>ERGO</strong> HDFC<br />

ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />

Private sector<br />

ranking top-line<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

<strong>Re</strong>ach overall<br />

industry<br />

averages<br />

<strong>Re</strong>ach overall<br />

private sector<br />

averages<br />

Benchmark with industry best<br />

#8 #5 #5 #4 #4<br />

Ranking of HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> in the private sector in 2012: #3 in bottom-line and #2 in<br />

combined ratio<br />

1 Estimate.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

76<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Product mix<br />

Product mix 1<br />

%<br />

Market 2 – 2012 (2008)<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – 2012 (2008)<br />

Other<br />

14%( 17%)<br />

Motor own damage<br />

26% (27%)<br />

Other<br />

21% (13%)<br />

Motor own damage<br />

22% (34%)<br />

Fire/<br />

Engineering<br />

14%(16%)<br />

Fire/<br />

Engineering<br />

15% (22%)<br />

Accident/<br />

Health<br />

26% (24%)<br />

Motor third<br />

party liability<br />

20% (16%)<br />

Accident/<br />

Health<br />

32% (19%)<br />

Motor third<br />

party liability<br />

10% (12%)<br />

• Market dominated by motor and accident/health<br />

• Free pricing except for motor third party<br />

• Wording de-tariffed but for property and motor<br />

• Property share decreased due to de-tariffing<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>tail:corporate mix at 55:45<br />

• Significant change of product mix in last four<br />

years – retail portfolio shifted away from being a<br />

motor m<strong>on</strong>o-liner to the most balanced portfolio<br />

in market<br />

• Ongoing task to move portfolio towards<br />

"high margin/high c<strong>on</strong>trol" business<br />

Product innovati<strong>on</strong> increasing insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> – Health and motor business<br />

will lead the growth for next decade<br />

1 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums. 2 Source : IRDA.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

77


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> product innovati<strong>on</strong> – Example:<br />

microinsurance business<br />

Adapting product strategy to market characteristics – high level of populati<strong>on</strong> in rural areas<br />

• Low insurance penetrati<strong>on</strong> the result of vast geographical spread – a challenge for selling and claims<br />

handling<br />

• Significant efforts by company to offer microinsurance products through technology-led processes/<br />

servicing opti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Weather insurance<br />

• HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> number 3 in the market –<br />

GWP: €40m, market share: 12%<br />

• Product developed and actuarially priced by World Bank<br />

• Operating in 60 districts across 14 states in the country<br />

• Pilot projects in Pakistan guided by HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

• Predefined triggers and daily data <strong>on</strong> weather parameters<br />

making claims servicing transparent and fast – Ranked<br />

best by Indian Government <strong>on</strong> speed of settlements<br />

Cattle and livestock insurance<br />

• Protecti<strong>on</strong> against loss of life of cattle<br />

• RFID (Radio Frequency ID) tags used to<br />

track insured and speed up claims<br />

settlement<br />

• Pilot phase<br />

Innovative products meeting client demand – Efficient processes, state-of-the-art<br />

technology and fast claims handling providing competitive advantage<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

78<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />

Distributi<strong>on</strong> mix 1<br />

%<br />

Market – 2012 HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – 2012 (2008)<br />

Bancassurance<br />

9%<br />

Agency<br />

40%<br />

Bancassurance<br />

via HDFC Group<br />

38% (4%)<br />

Agency<br />

18% (13%)<br />

Brokers<br />

18%<br />

Source : IRDA<br />

Direct<br />

33%<br />

% Agency Banc. Brokers Direct<br />

Corporate 30 0 30 40<br />

<strong>Re</strong>tail 50 15 10 25<br />

• Agency: tied agents – multi-level marketing not<br />

allowed<br />

• Brokers: Growing importance in corporate<br />

• Bancassurance: Growing importance in retail<br />

Brokers<br />

21% (22%)<br />

Direct<br />

23% (61%)<br />

% Agency Banc. Brokers Direct<br />

Corporate 8 3 42 47<br />

<strong>Re</strong>tail 25 64 6 5<br />

• HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> has built the largest partnership in<br />

n<strong>on</strong>-life bancassurance<br />

• Brokers/large agents account for ~50% of<br />

corporate portfolio<br />

Multi-channel approach – realising bancassurance potential of HDFC Group<br />

1 Based <strong>on</strong> gross written premiums.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

79


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Business strategy<br />

Current business strategy<br />

• Str<strong>on</strong>g brand name associated with str<strong>on</strong>g<br />

fundamentals and leverage <strong>on</strong><br />

• Distributi<strong>on</strong>, relati<strong>on</strong>ships, market<br />

understanding and brand of HDFC Group,<br />

which is am<strong>on</strong>g the largest financial services<br />

c<strong>on</strong>glomerates in India<br />

• <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group’s standing, reinsurance and<br />

technical capabilities<br />

• Diversified portfolio across geographies, product<br />

classes and distributi<strong>on</strong> channels<br />

• "Knowledge“-based approach rather than<br />

"transacti<strong>on</strong>" approach<br />

• Stable stream of annuity business from retail<br />

• Prudent underwriting and risk mitigati<strong>on</strong> through<br />

quality reinsurance<br />

• Invest in people, reach and products<br />

• IT as business enabler<br />

Main value drivers<br />

Largest<br />

bancassurance<br />

tie-up in n<strong>on</strong> life<br />

(GWP)<br />

2 nd largest<br />

n<strong>on</strong>-motor<br />

company in<br />

private sector<br />

(GWP)<br />

HDFC Bank<br />

ICICI Bank<br />

Axis<br />

Indusind<br />

HDFC Ltd<br />

Bank<br />

Citi bank<br />

J&K<br />

Bank<br />

ICICI Lombard<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Bajaj Allianz<br />

TATA AIG<br />

IFFCO Tokio<br />

Star health<br />

<strong>Re</strong>liance<br />

Chola<br />

Future<br />

22<br />

18<br />

17<br />

16<br />

12<br />

236<br />

229<br />

156<br />

140<br />

123<br />

103<br />

79<br />

69<br />

• Largest pers<strong>on</strong>al accident provider in the<br />

industry with 16% market share<br />

• 20% of premiums are multi-year policies:<br />

significant embedded value as expenses are<br />

provided upfr<strong>on</strong>t as per Indian GAAP<br />

• 87% of policies use automated mode<br />

71<br />

€m<br />

128<br />

490<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

80<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – Quality and customer focus<br />

Quality and customer focus<br />

Product innovati<strong>on</strong><br />

• Increasing focus <strong>on</strong> motor<br />

add-<strong>on</strong>s<br />

• Developing package products<br />

for small and medium-sized<br />

enterprises<br />

• Developing liability products<br />

for small business<br />

• Multi-year offerings in pers<strong>on</strong>al<br />

accident and package products<br />

Pricing<br />

• <strong>Re</strong>view pricing structure in<br />

motor<br />

• Motor: Improve pricing basis<br />

analytical tools (Emblem)<br />

• C<strong>on</strong>tinuous tracking of claim<br />

trends to segment risks for<br />

intelligent pricing<br />

Initiatives<br />

• Implementati<strong>on</strong> of <strong>Re</strong>sQ<br />

(reserving tool)<br />

• Implementati<strong>on</strong> of automated<br />

fraud detecti<strong>on</strong> and<br />

management tool<br />

• Further enhancement of<br />

investigative capacity for third<br />

party claim management<br />

Customer experience management (CEM) functi<strong>on</strong> to manage all post-sales interacti<strong>on</strong>s with customer –<br />

c<strong>on</strong>stant flow of informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> policies and claims through SMS, email and website<br />

Lowest share of grievances in the private sector – HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> 2.4% vs. 8.3% private<br />

sector market share (2012)<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

81


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

HDFC <strong>ERGO</strong> – India<br />

Key takeaways and outlook<br />

Focus <strong>on</strong> profitable<br />

growth<br />

Maintain growth higher than the market striving, for market<br />

share of 5% by 2018 – be in the top 3 in private sector<br />

(top and bottom-line)<br />

Joint venture structure<br />

<strong>Re</strong>liable partnership, leveraging <strong>on</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> and brand strength of HDFC<br />

Group and technical expertise of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong> Group – Entrepreneurial<br />

freedom to the management team<br />

Product strategy<br />

Alignment of product mix in line with the market – Significant opportunity to<br />

increase motor and health market share, increase spread in rural and<br />

agriculture business<br />

Ambiti<strong>on</strong><br />

Maintain combined ratio ≤ 95% – Cost efficiencies through automati<strong>on</strong> and<br />

high per-employee productivity, improved claims practices by leveraging IT<br />

and in-house claims adjustment<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

82<br />

Backup: Shareholder informati<strong>on</strong><br />

Financial calendar<br />

FINANCIAL CALENDAR<br />

6 August 2013 Interim report as at 30 June 2013<br />

8–10 September 2013 Les <strong>Re</strong>ndez-Vous de Septembre, M<strong>on</strong>te Carlo<br />

18 September 2013 KBW "Financials C<strong>on</strong>ference", L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> (without presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />

23 September 2013<br />

25 September 2013<br />

Berenberg Bank/Goldman Sachs “2nd Annual German Corporate C<strong>on</strong>ference<br />

2013”, <strong>Munich</strong>/Unterschleißheim (no presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />

Bank of America Merrill Lynch "18th Annual Banking & Insurance CEO<br />

C<strong>on</strong>ference", L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong><br />

26 September 2013 Baader Bank “Investment C<strong>on</strong>ference 2013”, <strong>Munich</strong> (no presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />

15 October 2013 SRI Day <strong>on</strong> “Corporate <strong>Re</strong>sp<strong>on</strong>sibility in (re-)insurance business”, <strong>Munich</strong><br />

7 November 2013 Interim report as at 30 September 2013<br />

5 December 2013 Société Générale “Premium <strong>Re</strong>view C<strong>on</strong>ference”, Paris (no presentati<strong>on</strong>)<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

83


<strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong><br />

Backup: Shareholder informati<strong>on</strong><br />

For informati<strong>on</strong>, please c<strong>on</strong>tact<br />

INVESTOR RELATIONS TEAM<br />

Christian Becker-Huss<strong>on</strong>g<br />

Head of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> & Rating Agency <strong>Re</strong>lati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3910<br />

E-mail: cbecker-huss<strong>on</strong>g@munichre.com<br />

Christine Franziszi<br />

Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3875<br />

E-mail: cfranziszi@munichre.com<br />

Ralf Kleinschroth<br />

Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-4559<br />

E-mail: rkleinschroth@munichre.com<br />

Britta Hamberger<br />

Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3504<br />

E-mail: bhamberger@munichre.com<br />

Thorsten Dzuba<br />

Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-8030<br />

E-mail: tdzuba@munichre.com<br />

Andreas Silberhorn<br />

Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3366<br />

E-mail: asilberhorn@munichre.com<br />

Dr. Alexander Becker<br />

Head of External Communicati<strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong><br />

Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1510<br />

E-mail: alexander.becker@ergo.de<br />

Andreas Hoffmann<br />

Tel.: +49 (211) 4937-1573<br />

E-mail: andreas.hoffmann@ergo.de<br />

Ingrid Grunwald<br />

Tel.: +49 (89) 3891-3517<br />

E-mail: igrunwald@munichre.com<br />

Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft | <str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> & Rating Agency <strong>Re</strong>lati<strong>on</strong>s | Königinstraße 107 | 80802 München, Germany<br />

Fax: +49 (89) 3891-9888 | E-mail: IR@munichre.com | Internet: www.munichre.com<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

84<br />

Disclaimer<br />

This presentati<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>tains forward-looking statements that are based <strong>on</strong> current assumpti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

and forecasts of the management of <strong>Munich</strong> <strong>Re</strong>. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties and<br />

other factors could lead to material differences between the forward-looking statements given<br />

here and the actual development, in particular the results, financial situati<strong>on</strong> and performance<br />

of our Company. The Company assumes no liability to update these forward-looking<br />

statements or to c<strong>on</strong>form them to future events or developments.<br />

Figures up to 2010 are shown <strong>on</strong> a partly c<strong>on</strong>solidated basis.<br />

"Partly c<strong>on</strong>solidated" means before eliminati<strong>on</strong> of intra-Group transacti<strong>on</strong>s across segments.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Investor</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Briefing</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>ERGO</strong> Internati<strong>on</strong>al – 10 July 2013<br />

85

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