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ALPINE MEADOWS AND SIERRA NEVADA<br />

BIGHORN SHEEP: WILL CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

IMPACT RECOVERY?<br />

Tom Stephenson, Lacey Greene, Mike Dodd,<br />

Lora Konde, <strong>and</strong> John Wehausen


Original Distribution of Sierra Nevada Bighorn Sheep


Current Distribution of Sierra Nevada Bighorn Sheep<br />

A. Lawrence


Kern<br />

Central<br />

Southern<br />

Northern<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Current Estimate Goal<br />

Number of adult ew


Kern<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Current Estimate Goal<br />

Central<br />

Southern<br />

Northern<br />

Number of herd un


160<br />

0<br />

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005<br />

EWES<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Baxter, Bubbs,<br />

& Sawmill<br />

Total<br />

Williamson<br />

Langley<br />

Wheeler<br />

listing<br />

Mono Basin


Threats to Recovery<br />

• Small Population Size<br />

– Demographic concerns (e.g., Allee effect)<br />

– Genetic concerns (e.g., inbreeding<br />

depression)<br />

• Climate<br />

• Habitat/Forest Succession<br />

• Predation<br />

• Disease


Climate Change Predictions<br />

• Decline in <strong>alpine</strong><br />

meadow communities<br />

• Tree-line is expected<br />

to rise in elevation<br />

Lenihan et al. 2003. Ecol. Appl.


Shrinking Glaciers <strong>and</strong> Snowfields<br />

km2<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1900 2004<br />

• Basigic documented a<br />

decline in the<br />

coverage of glaciers<br />

in the Sierra Nevada<br />

of almost 50% during<br />

the past century<br />

Basagic 2008. MS Thesis


Diet Quality among regions<br />

1.5<br />

Diet Quality (ln% fecal N)<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

N AK N BC AB SN, CA WM, CA<br />

0<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Date


Availability of Meadows within Herd<br />

Units<br />

Mt. Warren<br />

Mt. Gibbs<br />

Wheeler<br />

Ridge<br />

Mt. Langley<br />

2%<br />

0.8%<br />

0.9%<br />

0.3%


Mt. Gibbs


Delineation of Meadows


Plot of Bighorn Locations


Use by larger populations<br />

• Greater selection<br />

during autumn<br />

• If <strong>meadows</strong> senesce<br />

early, nutrient<br />

availability will decline<br />

during pre-winter<br />

foraging that is<br />

important for fat<br />

deposition


Use by smaller populations<br />

• Gibbs exhibited<br />

strong selection<br />

– Meadows are at the<br />

core of their range<br />

• At Warren, apparent<br />

avoidance may be a<br />

function of low<br />

availability in the core<br />

of the range


Conclusions<br />

• Sierra <strong>bighorn</strong> populations are small<br />

relative to historic levels.<br />

• We hypothesize that as populations grow<br />

<strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong>,<strong>meadows</strong> will become more<br />

essential for supporting larger populations.<br />

• Meadows on the periphery of some ranges<br />

may have yet to be discovered.<br />

• Importance of <strong>meadows</strong> may vary among<br />

granitic <strong>and</strong> metamorphic ranges.


12,000’<br />

5,000’


Prescribed Fire


Bighorn Use of Burns


Acknowledgements<br />

• CDFG<br />

• USFWS<br />

• BLM<br />

• Kathleen Knox<br />

• Dave German

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