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Motor Vehicle Crashes in New Zealand 2011 - Ministry of Transport

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NEW ZEALAND INJURY PREVENTION STRATEGY SERIOUS INJURY OUTCOME INDICATORS 167<br />

NOTES<br />

1. The <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong> Injury Prevention Strategy (NZIPS)<br />

The NZIPS is an expression <strong>of</strong> the government’s<br />

commitment to work<strong>in</strong>g with organisations and groups<br />

<strong>in</strong> the wider community to improve the country’s <strong>in</strong>jury<br />

prevention performance. The Strategy’s vision is “a safe<br />

<strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong>, becom<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>jury free”. (For further details<br />

see www.nzips.govt.nz.)<br />

‘<strong>Motor</strong> vehicle traffic crashes’ is one <strong>of</strong> the six priority<br />

areas identified <strong>in</strong> the strategy.<br />

2. NZIPS serious <strong>in</strong>jury <strong>in</strong>dicators<br />

Official serious <strong>in</strong>jury outcome <strong>in</strong>dicators have been<br />

developed for each <strong>of</strong> the six priority areas as the ma<strong>in</strong><br />

means <strong>of</strong> measur<strong>in</strong>g performance <strong>in</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>jury.<br />

Chart books with the full set <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators can be found<br />

by visit<strong>in</strong>g the Statistics NZ website:<br />

www.statistics.govt.nz and search<strong>in</strong>g for NZIPS serious<br />

<strong>in</strong>jury <strong>in</strong>dicators<br />

Several <strong>of</strong> the <strong>of</strong>ficial NZIPS <strong>in</strong>dicators for motor vehicle<br />

traffic crashes are presented <strong>in</strong> this section.<br />

3. What is a serious <strong>in</strong>jury?<br />

The def<strong>in</strong>ition <strong>of</strong> serious <strong>in</strong>jury adopted for the <strong>of</strong>ficial<br />

NZIPS <strong>in</strong>dicators is: serious <strong>in</strong>juries are those that result<br />

<strong>in</strong> death or an admission to hospital that is associated<br />

with at least a 6 percent chance <strong>of</strong> death. The methods<br />

by which cases <strong>of</strong> fatal and serious non-fatal <strong>in</strong>jury are<br />

identified are described briefly <strong>in</strong> The <strong>New</strong> <strong>Zealand</strong><br />

Injury Prevention Strategy Injury Indicators: Technical<br />

Report. The technical report can be found on the<br />

Statistics NZ website.<br />

4. The graphs<br />

Time period<br />

Where possible, the period presented for serious<br />

non-fatal <strong>in</strong>juries is 1994 to 2010. For fatal <strong>in</strong>juries, the<br />

period presented is 1994 to 2008. Because many cases<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>jury-related death are required to be reviewed by a<br />

Coroner, there is a time delay <strong>in</strong> the record<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the<br />

cause <strong>of</strong> fatal <strong>in</strong>jury. Hence, 2008 is the most recent year<br />

available for the mortality data.<br />

the number <strong>of</strong> deaths and hospitalisations attributable to<br />

<strong>in</strong>jury. Readers should exercise caution if comment<strong>in</strong>g<br />

on trends that <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>in</strong>dicator values based on both<br />

ICD-9 and ICD-10 coded data. For this reason, the bars<br />

on the graphs have been shaded differently to highlight<br />

the change. Intermediate shad<strong>in</strong>g has been used for the<br />

bars for 1999 for <strong>in</strong>dicators based on hospitalisation<br />

data, because 1999 was a transitional year when both<br />

ICD-9 and ICD-10 cod<strong>in</strong>g systems were used.<br />

Basel<strong>in</strong>e<br />

The ‘basel<strong>in</strong>e’ provides a po<strong>in</strong>t from which to compare<br />

the frequencies and rates <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>juries. It is the average<br />

count or rate <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>jury for the three years lead<strong>in</strong>g up to<br />

the launch <strong>of</strong> NZIPS (2001-2003).<br />

Confidence <strong>in</strong>tervals<br />

Each bar on each chart has confidence <strong>in</strong>tervals shown<br />

as vertical l<strong>in</strong>es. These give an <strong>in</strong>dication <strong>of</strong> the amount<br />

<strong>of</strong> random variation associated with a s<strong>in</strong>gle year’s<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicator value. Where wide confidence <strong>in</strong>tervals are<br />

displayed, little weight should be given to the variation<br />

from one year to the next — it could be due to chance<br />

alone. When consider<strong>in</strong>g trends, observ<strong>in</strong>g the degree<br />

<strong>of</strong> overlap <strong>of</strong> confidence <strong>in</strong>tervals for <strong>in</strong>dividual bars<br />

(years) is helpful as an aid to <strong>in</strong>terpretation <strong>of</strong> trends. If<br />

confidence <strong>in</strong>tervals do not overlap the basel<strong>in</strong>e, this is<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> a change from basel<strong>in</strong>e that is unlikely to be<br />

due to chance alone.<br />

5. Age standardised rates<br />

Age standardised rates provide an estimate <strong>of</strong> an<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual’s average annual risk <strong>of</strong> be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>jured. Age<br />

standardisation is a process <strong>of</strong> adjust<strong>in</strong>g the rates <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>jury to account for changes <strong>in</strong> the age structure <strong>of</strong> a<br />

population over time. It allows comparison <strong>of</strong> the rates<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>jury from one year to another, tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account<br />

the age<strong>in</strong>g population.<br />

Bar shad<strong>in</strong>g<br />

The cod<strong>in</strong>g scheme used for the diagnosis <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>jury is<br />

the World Health Organization (WHO) International<br />

Classification <strong>of</strong> Diseases (ICD)4. Dur<strong>in</strong>g the period<br />

considered <strong>in</strong> these charts, the ICD was substantially<br />

revised, and a new version <strong>of</strong> the cod<strong>in</strong>g scheme was<br />

<strong>in</strong>troduced (from ICD-9 to ICD-10, refer Technical<br />

Report). This change has resulted <strong>in</strong> some differences <strong>in</strong>

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