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First Quarter - Dabur India Limited

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“<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong> Q1 FY-11 Earnings<br />

Conference Call”<br />

July 27, 2010<br />

<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> Ltd.’s Participants<br />

Mr. Sunil Duggal - Chief Executive Officer<br />

Mr. S. Raghunathan - Chief Financial Officer<br />

Mr. Ashok Jain - GM-Finance & Company Secretary<br />

Mr. Saibal Sengupta - GM-Finance<br />

Ms. Gagan Ahluwalia - GM - Corporate Affairs<br />

Page 1 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of the <strong>Dabur</strong> management, I welcome you all<br />

this conference call for the Q1 results for FY 2010-11. Present here are Mr. Sunil Duggal,<br />

CEO, <strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> Ltd., Mr. S. Raghunathan, CFO, Mr. Ashok Jain, General Manager Finance<br />

& Company Secretary and Mr. Saibal Sengupta, General Manager Finance. I would now<br />

request Mr. Duggal to give a brief introduction after which we will invite your questions, over<br />

to Mr. Duggal.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Thank you Gagan. Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen. I welcome you to the <strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong><br />

Conference call regarding the results for quarter ended June 30, 2010.<br />

Before we discuss the Q1 results, I am pleased you inform you that we have signed an<br />

agreement to acquire the business of Hobi Kozmetik in Turkey for a total consideration of<br />

US$69 million. This would be <strong>Dabur</strong>’s first acquisition in the overseas market and is in line<br />

with the company’s strategy to strengthen its presence in the MENA and adjacent regions.<br />

Hobi Kozmetik is a leading personal care company in Turkey and manufactures market’s hair,<br />

skin, and body care products under the brand name Hobby' and 'New Era'. Hobi Kozmetik had<br />

revenues of US$27 million and EBITDA margins of around 17% during the year ended 31 st<br />

December, 2009. The product range of the company is complementary to us and we see good<br />

potential for these brands across our international businesses as well as in the home market of<br />

Turkey. This acquisition provides us an entry into another attractive emerging market and<br />

provides a good platform to leverage this across the region. The company has significant<br />

distribution footprint Turkey along with a strong backend in terms of integrated manufacturing<br />

facility, captive packaging, research and development and a management team having<br />

experience in MNCs operating in the FMCG space in Turkey.<br />

Coming to the first quarter results, <strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong> has recorded growth of 19.5% in<br />

consolidated sales and 19.4% in profit after tax during the period. This is post consolidation of<br />

the Fem business in both these periods.<br />

The consumer care division, CCD has recorded 18.9% growth, of which 16.8% was through<br />

volumes. Also some price increases have been put into effect during the quarter, although the<br />

quantum of these was not very significant. The division witnessed strong momentum in hair<br />

oils, toothpastes, home care, health supplements, and foods.<br />

Hair oils grew 16.5% during the quarter. <strong>Dabur</strong>’s largest domestic brand <strong>Dabur</strong> Amla Hair Oil<br />

reported growth of 18.9% in spite of high competitive activity. Vatika Hair Oil grew at 22%<br />

during the quarter. The newly launched light hair oil Amla Flower Magic and Vatika enriched<br />

almond hair oil received good consumer response and will be scaled up further during the<br />

fiscal.<br />

Page 2 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

The Shampoo category contracted by 17.1% on account of both slowdown in the category<br />

growth and aggressive promotional activity witnessed. Plans are underway for restaging and<br />

providing new communicational and marketing inputs to Vatika Shampoo brand in the next<br />

few months., With this growth in the brand is expected to revive.<br />

Health supplements recorded growth of 42.8% during the quarter. <strong>Dabur</strong> Chyawanprash grew<br />

by 93.9%, <strong>Dabur</strong> Glucose by 53.6% and <strong>Dabur</strong> Honey by 17.7%, driven by introduction of<br />

new SKUs and sustained marketing activities.<br />

The oral care portfolio recorded exceptional growth of 20.2% during the quarter. This was<br />

driven by strong growth in toothpaste which grew by 28.1%. <strong>Dabur</strong> Red Toothpaste recorded a<br />

growth of 31.2% backed by its differentiated product proposition of being an Ayurvedic<br />

toothpaste. The Babool brand also posted good performance growth of 29.1%. The new gel<br />

variant Babool Mint Fresh continues to receive positive response from consumers. Meswak,<br />

the premium herbal toothpaste recorded growth of 14.4% during the quarter.<br />

The Skin care category posted growth of 12.4% during the quarter. The Gulabari brand<br />

performed well, growing by 22.9%. The Fem portfolio grew by 8%. While Fem bleaches<br />

reported 14% growth, the hair removal creams witnessed lower growth due to intense<br />

competitive activity. Fem liquid soaps are undergoing the change over in formulation which<br />

will be on stream in the next quarter. Uveda brand continues to be in test market phase in<br />

select markets and is planned to be launched in other markets during the year.<br />

The Digestive category grew by 14.7%. The Hajmola brand reported steady growth driven by<br />

new variants and innovative consumer activations.<br />

Home care reported a growth of 31.5% during the quarter. Odonil grew by 68.4%; post its relaunch<br />

last quarter. Electrical air fresheners have been launched under the name Odonil Pluggy<br />

to target this emerging subcategory in the air freshener space. Odomos Oil the, first mosquito<br />

repellant of its kind has been launched to enter the rural markets.<br />

The Foods category reported good growth of 21.2% during the quarter; led by strong<br />

performance by Real and Activ juices portfolio. <strong>Dabur</strong>’s culinary brand Hommade continues<br />

its good performance posting 37% growth.<br />

The Consumer Health Division, CHD witnessed a growth of 10.2% during the quarter led by<br />

ethical portfolio which grew by 14.5%. In OTC, Pudin Hara grew by 12.8%. The Pudin Hara<br />

portfolio has been extended by launching Pudin Hara Lemon Fizz in the acidity segment.<br />

<strong>Dabur</strong>’s international business continues to grow at a fast pace posting a growth of 28.7%<br />

during the quarter. In local currency terms, growth in the businesswas 37%. Egypt, Nigeria, the<br />

Levant and North Africa performed exceedingly well with increasing customer acceptance of<br />

<strong>Dabur</strong> and Vatika brands in these markets.<br />

Page 3 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

The core GCC area also recorded steady performance despite the economic downturn. The<br />

business is showing good momentum and we are deepening presence in existing markets of<br />

Middle East, North and West Africa, and South Asia as well as exploring new markets in these<br />

regions. This expansion will be further strengthened to the acquisition of Hobi.<br />

On the profitability side, <strong>Dabur</strong> saw a growth of 19.4% in profit after tax during the quarter in<br />

spite of increase in tax rate by 230 basis points. The consolidated EBITDA margins remain<br />

stable at around 16% during the quarter. This was despite pressure on gross margins due to<br />

inflation and increased investment in Adpro which went up from 15.9% to 16.3%.<br />

Overall the business has performed well with strong upsurge in volumes in domestic as well<br />

overseas business. Consumer demand appears to be robust and augurs well for the continued<br />

growth in the markets and our segments in particular. The company has announced a bonus<br />

issue of 1:1 to commemorate 125 years of its establishment. With this I now open the Q&A<br />

and invite your questions. Thank you.<br />

Abneesh Roy from Edelweiss Securities<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

Sir, very good set of numbers. On the shampoo front, we see a decline, is it one off because of<br />

higher competitive intensity or do you think that this is a big change which has happened in the<br />

competitive landscape ?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

No I think this change which has happened is only a few months old and we have seen<br />

heightened competitive activity driven both by above the line inputs as well as very substantial<br />

consumer promotion and trade promotion activities on the part of Unilever, etc. and that has<br />

led to some losses in terms of volumes. Also the category doesn’t seem to be doing that well as<br />

a whole; the growth was hardly 8% odd as per Nielsen. So it's a combination of both of these.<br />

Thirdly, we are restaging our shampoo brand by having a completely new packaging which is<br />

supposed to go into the market in this month, so we didn’t want to put a lot of products in the<br />

market of the old packaging, when the new packaging was about to surface. A combination of<br />

these three reasons. I don’t think there is any structural issue here or anything which is gamechanging.<br />

We expect growths to be back on track, probably we will not record the same<br />

growth as we have done in the previous years, but things should be much better in the next<br />

three quarters.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

So will it be fair to assume that we can get back to positive territory in the next quarter?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Well certainly during the year, we should be back in positive territory. It might take longer<br />

than one quarter to do so.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

And any change in the consumer preference in favor of MNCs because we were a company<br />

always having a niche space with Ayurvedic, herbal kind of positioning, so why is the shift<br />

happening back to the MNCs because just ad spends cannot propel that right?<br />

Page 4 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Well it's not just ad spends, it is very substantial lubrication of trade and you know the whole<br />

game is dominated by sachets and the trade margins play a very important role because the end<br />

price is limited to 1 rupee. So if you do a lot of below-the-line activity then I think it's not<br />

difficult to gain share which is short term. But having said that, there is a limit to how much<br />

activity this can support because the shampoo margins at 1 rupee level are shrinking; now they<br />

are in the low 40s and they will be pretty much the same for everybody. So I think these are<br />

basically games to get back loss in share and I don’t think they are sustainable. So this is<br />

disruptive competition, but which perhaps will not last for very long.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

If I compare the three major segments, CHD continues to have slower growth rate. As you<br />

mentioned that you are planning some new initiatives and some new strategy and there are also<br />

some supply issues etc, so if you could elaborate on that part?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

CHD levels had supply dislocations in the fag end of June. We are looking at 15% growth for<br />

the year and I see no reason to change that estimate. So it is a steady growth portfolio, this will<br />

not include some of new introductions which we put into play in the third and fourth quarters,<br />

but the portfolio as it exists should grow at around 15%. So there is nothing structurally an<br />

issue here, it was just little bit of lost sales in the last week of June.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

And what was that problem, can you elaborate that supply chain issue?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

There were some delayed shipments from one of the plants because of some retooling in the<br />

plant, so nothing very significant. It's not a big business, so even 3 or 4 Crores lost sales can<br />

result in some erosion in term of growth.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

And lastly, you have done this acquisition in Turkey, to understand from the Middle East<br />

perspective, it's quite clear. From the <strong>India</strong>n perspective, what kinds of synergy you see in<br />

terms of say product introductions happening in <strong>India</strong>?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

They have product lines which I think are pretty compatible with the modern trade, you know<br />

think like wet wipes, etc., etc., so there is an interesting set of products which we can put into<br />

play. Having said that, we still have to work out the duty structure etc., which will see what<br />

kind of pricing they will command in <strong>India</strong>. So we have not built any <strong>India</strong> numbers into our<br />

valuation model because we do not really have the visibility as to what prices they will have<br />

here.. But I think there is a very interesting prospect of Indo-Turkish FTA coming into play<br />

and that’s something which I wouldn’t say likely to happen but it is certainly possible that will<br />

happen. And if that does happen, then I think it will facilitate free entry of those products into<br />

the <strong>India</strong> market at reduced or free of duties and that should facilitate rapid growth of the Hobi<br />

business in <strong>India</strong>. At the moment we are looking at extending the presence substantially in<br />

Middle Eastern and particularly the North African markets in addition to growing the business<br />

in Turkey.<br />

Page 5 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

And lastly on the ad spend, it's up 40 bps this YoY to 16.3%, slightly on the higher side in the<br />

FMCG pack, so what would be the outlook on that?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think it would be in the region of 15% for the year. It will taper off a little bit, but having said<br />

that it's not impossible that it will hit 16% too, it will lot depend upon again how competitors<br />

react, but 15% is the way I would see it at this point in time.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

Okay sir all the best, thanks for…<br />

Margaret Kalvar from Harding Loevner<br />

Margaret Kalvar<br />

Good afternoon, you mentioned on skin care a 12% growth and I noted in the presentation that<br />

Fem care looks a little bit light at 8%, could you talk about the prospects there and then could<br />

you also discuss of the working capital issues and whether they are structural or whether they<br />

are temporary increases in stocking?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah on the Fem piece, there have been some reductions in sales in this quarter, because we<br />

have completely restaged the bleach offerings as well the depilatory offering. Even though the<br />

bleach volumes are not bad at 14%, it could be much higher had we not done this restaging and<br />

dried up the market of the product. The new products will come into place this month and we<br />

believe that this quarter and the next two quarters would be very good for the Fem portfolio as<br />

whole, bleach in particular. The Gulabari sales really peak in the winter, so they have been<br />

pretty decent during the first quarter but real action begins in the end of quarter two and the<br />

third quarter. I still think that we will be able to grow skin care well ahead of what we have<br />

done in the first quarter. And on the working capital, yes you would see increase of<br />

approximately 90-100 Crores in working capital, the reasons are not structural, they are<br />

entirely strategic. We have bought our full year requirements of mango because we do<br />

anticipate substantial climb up in the prices, so a lot of money has gone into that investment.<br />

We have also bought the substantial quantities of commodities like honey anticipating a<br />

shortfall and taking advantage of the soft prices. Most of this working capital is blocked up<br />

either in loans and advances or in the form of inventory. And this will progressively go down<br />

as we speak and perhaps reach zero or close to that level by the year end.<br />

Margaret Kalvar<br />

What about the increase in loans and advances, is this because our customers are having<br />

difficulty paying promptly?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

No, we typically used to buy just one or two months, not the full year requirements of mango,<br />

just to give you one example, and the people whom we buy from, they don’t have the financial<br />

wherewithal to stock up one year’s requirement, so we have to finance them in a sense, so<br />

that’s really where…<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

There has also been a higher advance payment of tax, so both these factors have gone into the<br />

higher level of loans and advances.<br />

Page 6 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

So once again we don’t believe that this increase in working capital is structural in nature, it's<br />

likely to come down.<br />

Margaret Kalvar<br />

Okay. And then finally again on the skin care, does the intense competition in the whitening<br />

creams with Fair & Lovely and P&G, affecting Fem care or your other skin care lines at all?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

No, fortunately Fem care does not complete head-on with fairness creams, it's a product which<br />

is completely different and our task is really to grow the franchise for bleach in a way which<br />

does not conflict with that of fairness creams. In fact heightened competitive activity in skin<br />

whitening only, enhances the need for differentiated product like ours, so there is no impact<br />

really. I think the task which we have in front of us is to convince people about the efficacy<br />

and superior delivery of bleach vis-à-vis other fairness offerings and we believe we will be<br />

able to do that.<br />

Margaret Kalvar<br />

Okay. What about your other line of skin care offerings?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Well Gulabari is a pretty steady growth, lot of sales come in winters and the rose water is<br />

steady around the year product, but that with moisturizers and the cold creams, you will really<br />

see action in the third quarter. It's too early to say how that will perform. And with that in<br />

Uveda, we are still testing it out, fine tuning the mix so that we have the optimal product<br />

configuration and value proposition and formulation to go to market with a bigger bang<br />

perhaps later in the year early next year.<br />

Margaret Kalvar<br />

Okay great. Thank you so much.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari from CLSA<br />

Vivek Maheshwari<br />

Hi, Good afternoon sir, my first question is on the input cost environment, how is it looking<br />

currently, although you partially mentioned about mangoes etc which you have stocked up, but<br />

what about other inputs in general and any price hike that you would have taken in the first<br />

quarter?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

To answer your second question first; we have taken price increases aggregating to a little over<br />

2% in the first quarter. Most of them were taken towards the latter part of the first quarter, so<br />

the impact was pretty low in the first, full impact will be there in the second quarter. And going<br />

back to your first question, we do see a little bit of a softening of raw material prices in<br />

aggregate terms even though there will be pockets of inflation. The monsoon is likely to be<br />

near normal, so that we will have a salutary effect of inflation softening and therefore lower<br />

material prices. We are firstly, not taking long positions in most commodities; we are doing it<br />

very selectively, so we are going to buy spot as we see prices softening. And secondly, we do<br />

see the margin expansion happening even if we don’t increase prices in the second quarter<br />

consequent to the softening of material cost. It may not be very significant over the second<br />

Page 7 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

quarter, but it's likely to gain momentum as and when inflation weakens to the single digit<br />

which is slated around October or thereabouts.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari<br />

Sure and what would be your guidance or your sense on the full year margin, would it be flat,<br />

can you expand margin on the full year basis in fiscal 11?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think I would prefer to be conservative and say that we hold the EBITDA margin at the last<br />

year levels. I would not rule out the possibility of expansion, but I would not bet on it either.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari<br />

Sure, the second thing is two segments which stood out in the quarter were health supplements<br />

and home care, particularly in the case of supplements, it was pretty broad based, so what had<br />

driven this and what is the outlook for the next few quarters?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

See I always believed, not just for supplements but for health care in general, there seems to be<br />

some kind of inflection point which has been reached, and we do believe that growth of those<br />

would be well ahead of what we have seen in the earlier part of this decade. And it is this<br />

belief that which has led us to invest considerable amounts in health care. In the case of<br />

glucose, specifically it's emerging as being a popular energy booster and many people can't<br />

afford those very high priced energy drinks, so glucose is something which is very popular<br />

with the masses. And also I think we have done pretty intense marketing activities in the form<br />

of launches of variants, distribution expansion etc. And it's really on a fast growth track; we<br />

have got around 25 plus shares. We should end the year with around Rs. 150 Crores in terms of<br />

sales. So it's really one of the bright spots in our portfolio and we are likely to grow it further<br />

as the competitive intensity here is comparatively speaking low as is with all or most health<br />

care categories. In honey, we benefited again by low honey prices after many, many years.The<br />

honey prices have softened because of a ban of <strong>India</strong>n honey in Europe, so the local prices<br />

have collapsed. And we were able to offer more inputs in terms of marketing etc., because the<br />

margin suddenly improved. We had starved this brand of promotional inputs in the last couple<br />

of years because of margin pressures, which we were able to put back into market which grew<br />

this category. The third, Chyawanprash its still early days, I wouldn’t read too much into the<br />

first quarter numbers, but we do hope that the plans which we have in Chyawanprash are very<br />

interesting to share, would enable us to grow this brand also at a very fast clip. So overall, I<br />

think health supplements has come into its own and the whole health care category, has come<br />

into its own after many years of perhaps little sub-par performance and we believe this will<br />

continue.<br />

Regarding home care, it's been more of a phasing issue, a lot of new initiatives came into play<br />

like the electric pluggy, new low price offerings in Odonil which have been extremely popular,<br />

the launch of Odomos variants like the oil for the rural consumer. So it's been innovation<br />

which has driven growth here. This category as you will be aware is very innovation led, and<br />

that’s exactly what we did to grow the category. So again like in health care, we believe that<br />

the future for home care in terms of market expansion and getting new customers is immense.<br />

Page 8 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

For this category we have just scratched the surface and there is a huge amount of headroom.<br />

On the other hand, the personal care categories which are likely to perhaps not grow at the<br />

pace, we have done in the past because they are now off to fairly high base. So things like hair<br />

care, oral care, and even skin care to some extent are now at a fairly high base. I think we have<br />

to see growth from health, home, and food and not just from personal care to drive growth, as<br />

has been the case in the last couple of, that's exactly what the numbers are revealing.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari<br />

Sure, and what was your market share in shampoos in the first quarter?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

It's around 5.5% on value terms.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari Okay. And what would this have been in fourth quarter fiscal 10?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

In fiscal 10 it is around 6% or so.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think we have lost half a percent share in shampoos in this last six months, I don’t think we<br />

need to worry about it too much; we should be able to regain it.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari Sure, and lastly on A&Ps, you mentioned that it could be in the range of around 15% to 16%,<br />

but looking at the numbers, is my understanding correct that for A&Ps, you have made higher<br />

investment in the international business compared to domestic business?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah the A&Ps in international is always higher than domestic and that’s not something which<br />

is new, but even in domestic business we have increased the Adpro. Well actually they have<br />

gone up you are right, they have gone up more in the international business. So the domestic<br />

business has been pretty constant at around 15%.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari<br />

Right, so do you anticipate some pressure in the domestic business in the next three quarters<br />

considering that we were almost flat, do you intend to increase your share of voice or 15% is<br />

broadly the level for domestic business?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Well I think what we did is we held Adpros at around 15% levels in the domestic business. In<br />

the international business we had taken up prices very steeply last year, so we had two options,<br />

one was to drop prices and keep the same Ad Pro support as we did last year, and other one<br />

was to hold the price line but invest more in the brands in term of A&P support which was the<br />

latter option. So we held the price line and so the entire growth is volume driven in<br />

international business, but we were forced to spend more. We don’t mind doing that, because<br />

it's yielded very good results in terms of both sales and profitability. Now going forward<br />

whether international business would go on the same trajectory of high Ad Pros, we will try to<br />

trim that down, but domestic, I think 15% is sort of, par for the course.<br />

Vivek Maheshwari<br />

Alright, thank you very much sir.<br />

Page 9 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Hemant B. Patel from Enam Securities<br />

Hemant B. Patel<br />

Yeah hello Sunil, couple of questions, one on the international businesses, there has been a<br />

tremendous growth in the last couple of years and even this year, the first quarter you have<br />

shown 37% growth on constant currency terms. I just wanted to understand more, is this<br />

growth largely linked to its penetration led growth or is this off take happening in purely the<br />

markets you are present in. Give me some highlight as to how the forecast is going to go ahead<br />

in this year?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Let's put these markets in two buckets, one is the core GCC markets, and I’m talking about the<br />

MENA region only and not not putting South Asia in this bucket.In the MENA region, we<br />

have seen this grow by around 25%, it's steady but not that spectacular. The growth in the rest<br />

of region which is South Africa, Levant, etc. was 45%. The second growth has been led by<br />

increasing penetration in our new geographies etc. The first has been pretty much market share<br />

gains and not too much else. And the third South Asia, which is actually done spectacularly<br />

well with all markets growing in the 40’s. Having said this, both in the case of Pakistan and<br />

Bangladesh, they are off a low base so we expect that growth to continue. Nepal is a pretty<br />

large market, so maybe repeating a 40% growth for the year is hard, but still we are confident<br />

of maintaining a very substantial trajectory in the international business. Another upside as far<br />

the consolidation is concerned that translation losses are expected to come down because the<br />

rupee is now comparatively weak vis-a-vis dollars compared to the first quarter. We may not<br />

see the same humungous translation losses, so you know the top line would look better in<br />

consolidation next quarter, even if there were some lower top line being driven overseas in<br />

constant currency.<br />

Hemant B. Patel<br />

Alright, and on Hobi, could you give us an understanding of what the revenue mix looks like<br />

between hair care and skin care segment and what has been the growth rate in the last two<br />

years? And another question on that would be what the competitive intensity on those markets<br />

is?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

On the Product mix, basically about 50% of the sales are in hair care.<br />

Hemant B. Patel<br />

50, is it?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

Yes, hair care contributes to 50%, skin and body contributes to about 40%, and then there are<br />

few other items like wet wipes, etc.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

So 50 hair, 40 skin and body, and 10 things like wet wipes, alright.<br />

Hemant B. Patel<br />

Alright I got that. In terms of growth rates and competitive intensity, what's been the growth<br />

rate for the last two years?<br />

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Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

Last year on same currency basis the business grew at about 20%, 23% to be exact which is in<br />

2009.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

The competitive intensity in Turkey is reasonably high, at the same time it's not very different<br />

from <strong>India</strong>, I think, but perhaps a little bit less than <strong>India</strong>. You have all the multinationals<br />

there, but it's a modern trade environment much more than <strong>India</strong>, so getting product placement<br />

is not that difficult.<br />

Hemant B. Patel<br />

In your opinion given the fact that you have mentioned that you are looking at expanding into<br />

other geographies and leveraging so called product portfolio of Hobi, what is the kind of<br />

growth rate that you are actually envisaging over the next two or three years?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

You know we still have to put the numbers together and formulate the business plan, but I<br />

think growths in terms of the Hobi portfolio whether including the products which we seed<br />

into the Turkish market should be in excess of 20%.<br />

Hemant B. Patel<br />

Alright, fair enough Sunil thanks a lot and best of luck.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Thanks.<br />

Percy Panthaki from HSBC<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Hi sir, congratulations on a set of good numbers.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Thanks Percy.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Sir my first question is on the monsoon impact, I mean last year when the monsoons failed,<br />

you did not see any adverse impact coming through for <strong>Dabur</strong>, now assuming that the<br />

monsoon this time will be good, would it be fair to say that there will be no sort of overly<br />

positive impact either?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Well it’s hard to say, one is often too wrong, logically if we had a bad monsoon last year with<br />

x% demand growth then with a good monsoon it should be x+, but that may or may not<br />

happen because I think a lot of last year’s monsoon impact was mitigated by the social security<br />

schemes which obviously continue but I think if the monsoon remains on the current trajectory<br />

which is reasonably good, it should by every stretch of logic lead to increased demand. Having<br />

said that in the first few months of this fiscal, we really haven't seen the same upsurge, maybe<br />

there is a lag here which will happen in the third quarter or when the crops are planted and<br />

there is some visibility about output and the harvest and people will be open up the purse<br />

strings. But Nielsen, does not really show any great upsurge in consumer demand in the<br />

current fiscal so far, but it's early days.<br />

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Percy Panthaki<br />

Okay, do you think that the good volume growth that you have seen in the June quarter has got<br />

anything to do with the fact that the volume growth was a bit subdued in the March quarter, is<br />

there sort of a shift, or timing difference, or a shift in demand or a pipeline adjustment which<br />

would cause this effect?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

If I remember Q1 of fiscal 10 was a pretty decent quarter for us.<br />

Percy Panthaki No, not Q1 of fiscal 10; what I am talking about is Q4 of fiscal 10.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I don’t see any pattern there really, but…<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Because I think the volume growth in March quarter 10 was about 12% if I am not mistaken, it<br />

is bit lower than your run rate at that point of time?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

12% this year, this quarter is 16%, now I don’t think we did anything different in fourth<br />

quarter as compared to what we are doing here, so perhaps in case of <strong>Dabur</strong>, it does indicate<br />

that there is higher consumer demand as compared to the fourth quarter which augurs well for<br />

us. But to your earlier question I was looking at more category data and industry data rather<br />

than <strong>Dabur</strong> data. Our first quarter has been, according to me quite spectacular from the volume<br />

point of view, I have never seen such volume growth.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Right, my only question was that is any part of this volume growth a result of pipeline<br />

adjustment between Q1 and Q4?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

The answer to that is no, we did normal sales in March, we didn’t hold back any sales and we<br />

haven't dumped anything in the first quarter, it is pretty much normal.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Okay. On the margins front, one is with 20% sales growth and a similar growth in the gross<br />

profit, we have not seen any operating leverage come through, is it something that is peculiar<br />

to this quarter or do you think that operating leverage will not come through?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Well let me correct you; the operating leverage has been considerable, look at the tax rate, see<br />

the way the tax rate has shot up. It's operating leverage which has come to our rescue to protect<br />

our PAT margins.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

I was talking about the growth in the EBITDA which is around 20% and the sales growth is<br />

also around 20%.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Operating leverage comes below EBITDA. Above EBITDA what is the operating leverage,<br />

there is very little other than sales and distribution cost. So there is no operating leverage,<br />

everything is a variable cost.<br />

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July 27, 2010<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Yes, so I was talking about the addition of your employee cost, advertisement and promotion<br />

and other expenditures.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Okay you have been right on that front.<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

See the employee cost has been around 7.9%, last year it was 8.2%, so there is saving in that.<br />

Then other expenditure is about 13.2% and last year it was 13.4%.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

But I think below EBITDA is really where we have been able to offset, mitigate the impact of<br />

the tax by considerably lower interest and depreciation; so overall the EBITDA margins have<br />

held pretty constant largely on account of the operating leverage.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Okay. And my last question sir, on the input cost, directionally, are you seeing them inflating<br />

or deflating?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Deflating. I’m not talking about indirect cost, because I do see inflation in salaries to be of<br />

much higher order of magnitude than last year.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Yeah I was mainly talking on the overall level, if you can just sort of give a bit more<br />

granularity, what are the main elements which are attributing to this deflation.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

The biggest culprit if you take the first quarter was groundnut oil and the light liquid paraffin<br />

and to some extent dextrose which goes into glucose; these were the three villains. Now on the<br />

first which is groundnut oil, we do see softening of prices, monsoon in Gujarat has been good,<br />

so GNO prices should come down pretty sharply. Dextrose already has come down. And the<br />

third which is little bit more difficult to predict is LLP which goes into hair oils etc. Now that<br />

to some extent is correlated to oil prices, but there is a basic issue in terms of the refining<br />

capacity, so we are not very hopeful of this coming down and otherwise sugar and honey are<br />

our ingredient raw materials which should again come off. So basically a more benign<br />

environment is what we are seeing.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Okay, so there is possibly a deflation on a sequential basis, but on a YoY basis, probably not.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

We look at inflation entirely on YoY basis because the mix has so much impact on the<br />

margins. But on Q on Q basis we should see a lower material cost to sales ratio in the second<br />

quarter than we saw in the first.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Then my question is which comes to the price increases that you have taken in the last one or<br />

two months. What is reason for those price increases when there is no cost pressure per se?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

There was, for example, groundnut oil went through the roof, so we were buying GNO at Rs.<br />

80 a liter, we have never done that in the past. We were buying LLP at Rs. 75 rupees a liter; all<br />

these had a huge impact in terms of margins of say Amla Hair Oil. And we were getting,<br />

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squeezed on that front, so we had no option, but to increase the prices of Amla which was<br />

perhaps the biggest single contributor to price increases. Then we had an opportunity in<br />

glucose because of the huge demand, so we were able to partly mitigate the dextrose prices<br />

through price increase or reduction in consumer promotions in glucose. So wherever there was<br />

an opportunity of or wherever we were really faced with the margin pressure, we took up the<br />

prices. And quite frankly the area we have taken up our prices whether glucose or Amla Hair<br />

Oil have actually performed exceedingly well, so there has been no adverse consumer reaction.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Sir, I am taking a slightly more time than I should, but I am a bit confused on this front. You<br />

are saying that the September quarter, the costs are going to be lower on a Y-o-Year basis, but<br />

in June quarter, you took on price increases because prices are higher, so has the cost taken a<br />

complete turnaround in the last two months or so?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Sitting in May, we didn’t have a huge amount of visibility about the Q2 costs. The monsoon<br />

outlook was very cloudy.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Sir that's my question, have the costs or has your expectation of the cost actually taken a round<br />

about in the last couple of months?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

In the last one month yes, it has taken turn for the better.<br />

Percy Panthaki<br />

Okay. That’s all from my side, sir thanks.<br />

Naveen Trivedi from Pinc Research<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Yeah Good afternoon sir<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Good afternoon<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

My question is on the Turkey acquisition, can I have the asset details for this acquisition?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Anything in particular you would like to…?<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Basically; the gross block and the net current assets<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia The net block is around $12 million and net current assets are about again around $11-$12<br />

million<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Any tax differences on this acquisition, basically the effective tax rate on this?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia Tax rate in Turkey is 23%.<br />

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July 27, 2010<br />

Naveen Trivedi:<br />

My next question is on consolidated numbers, what is the guidance for tax rate for the whole<br />

year, it is 18.7%?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

The current tax rate which is close to like 20% will not be very dissimilar to the full year tax<br />

rate.<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Okay so this rate is sustainable for next couple of quarters.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah I don’t think it will go up because the slice of pie of international business is likely to<br />

grow which will bring down the tax rate, so there would be a ceiling of 20% unless there is a<br />

change in law. It won't be beyond 20% in any circumstances.<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Right, my next question is on IBD, we are regularly expanding our geographies, , IBD is<br />

contributing around 20% of the total sales. Given the same track record, how much would be<br />

the contribution would in the FY12?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

If you just add the Hobi numbers next year it would be in the region of $35 million in that<br />

ballpark. This will add how much to…<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia About 4%.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah so if we have 21% today, we should see a 25% at the very least next year.<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Okay. In FY12, it would be…<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

That I think it would depend upon…<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Because this segment is growing faster<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

So you know you can say it will grow at around 30%-40% ahead of domestic business, so we<br />

would like to do the extrapolation. Having said that, I still believe that the slice of overseas<br />

business would be considerably more, just because the chances of doing any inorganic activity<br />

overseas is more likely than in <strong>India</strong>.<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Right, one more question what are the margins of IBD?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

EBITDA’s are around 17, which are almost same as <strong>India</strong>.<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Not the Turkish acquisition, I am talking of overall IBD business.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

That’s what I am talking about, overall IBD we are close to around 17%, if I remember<br />

correctly last year for the full year was 17.7% and in Q1 was how much, 14-15%, so 15% goes<br />

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July 27, 2010<br />

up to 17%, so that’s a big jump over YoY and therefore if you again do the extrapolation, they<br />

should be higher than what we did last year which was, if I remember 17.7%.<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Okay. 17.7% you are saying was last year.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah Q1 margins in both international and domestic businesses are always lower, because of<br />

the mix.<br />

Naveen Trivedi<br />

Okay. Thank you so much sir.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

You are welcome.<br />

Vijay Chugh from Ambit Capital<br />

Vijay Chugh<br />

Good evening everybody. My first question, Mr. Duggal, was, I just wanted to know from you<br />

as to how has been the performance of some of the launches that we had which were quite<br />

significant last year in terms of Uveda, Burrst and all that actually in the market?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think most of them have operated as per our plans, some of them are taking longer to roll out<br />

nationally, big bang etc., like Uveda, because we still have to do the fine tuning. These are<br />

very expensive launches, so one shouldn’t rush into it. Burrst is not a major initiative, it is<br />

modern trade initiative driven by the fact that modern trade wants a complete suite of beverage<br />

products including drinks, so it is comparatively low key, and there is no advertising behind it.<br />

Distribution of Burrst is limited only to modern trade and is doing pretty well wherever we<br />

have launched it. But I won't call it something which is strategic like perhaps Uveda and the<br />

hair oils have been both doing pretty well, so they are growing at a decent clip. Overall I think<br />

it's been a pretty good track record, some of them are taking longer to get to the next stage, but<br />

overall it's been good.<br />

Vijay Chugh<br />

And any sort of key ones to look forward over the next three to six months time?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think the hair oil should be important, we have little or no presence in light hair oils and it's<br />

very important for us to get into the segment big time, so I would watch the performance of<br />

both the almond as well Amla variants, particularly almond, because that operation is a bigger<br />

space, very carefully. And lot of new introductions which we are planning now in the home<br />

care portfolio which perhaps may not be new brands but new formats to grow the home care<br />

portfolio more aggressively. So I think this year would be more consolidation and getting into<br />

new themes within existing brands. For example, in Real, you will find an array of new<br />

variants being launched, which are very different from what we have today in terms of the<br />

proposition. So these are value added product, so I think the effort is going to be on this<br />

direction rather than to launch, very many, new products.<br />

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Vijay Chugh<br />

Okay. Thank you. My second question was on acquisitions, now that you know we have<br />

completed the acquisition of Hobi, how do your acquisition priorities lie in terms of do you<br />

still remain very aggressive?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yes we do, I think our aggression is in a sense restricted by the financial discipline which we<br />

exercise while prospecting and while doing an acquisition is in terms of both the strategic<br />

nature of the acquisition as well as it's payback in terms of the financial piece. So to meet this<br />

cut, the number of prospects are whetted pretty quickly, so I won't say that we have 50<br />

companies on the plate which we are prospecting, but there are certainly at any point in time,<br />

three or five, three or four companies which look very interesting and we progress the<br />

dialogue. In most cases, the dialogue never gets down to doing the deal because of whatever<br />

issues. But I think once a year, acquisition of the size of or bigger than Hobi is something<br />

which is not just desirable but eminently possible and we probably will do it.<br />

Vijay Chugh<br />

Okay. Thank you so much.<br />

Shirish Pardeshi from Anand Rathi<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Hi Good evening Sunil.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Good evening.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Hi I have few questions, first is in the shampoo category, I heard in your earlier part that the<br />

competitive intensity is gone up. Is that the market is coming down to a 50 paisa and 1 rupees<br />

price point or the have the rigid now vanished?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think the 1 rupee is still the dominant price point, it always has been. There is some thinking<br />

in terms of some companies opening up, reopening up the 50 paisa price point which I think is<br />

pretty aggressive because there is very little margin to be made at 50 paisa and there is the<br />

value in terms of the product which we can offer. But there is, I think because of market share<br />

losses in the part of certain players, great desire to get back to recapture those and that is<br />

leading to very disruptive competition on the ground. Now how sustainable it is, whether<br />

people can sustain the bleed, I suspect that when you take off the oxygen, then you know<br />

pretty the same situation will remerge. It's easy to lubricate trade and gain some points in<br />

market share, but the sustainability of these is very suspect.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

I just wanted to know, do we have the 50 paisa offering?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

We don’t have 50 paisa offering.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Are we planning to compete there?<br />

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Sunil Duggal<br />

No, not really because the only place we can compete that 50 paisa at this point in time is to<br />

change the product formulation and that’s what many companies are doing, but we believe<br />

that’s very short term.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Okay I understand that. The other question I have is on the oral care, would you be able to<br />

share what is the growth in brand Babool, I have seen the number including Fresh Mint, we<br />

have grown 29.1%, but can you tell us what's the growth on Babool brand?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

25% without the gel<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

With the gel<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia With the gel is 29%.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think one of the strongest part of our growth story this quarter has been oral care and it's<br />

been an outperforming category by a factor of three and we have gained share, we have been<br />

far higher in growth than anybody else by a huge margin. I think it shows the strength of our<br />

brands, the soundness of our strategy, and in a very competitive environment, this has really<br />

been standout performance.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Yeah in the presentation I saw the another feature that we have launched introductory offer at<br />

10 rupees for <strong>Dabur</strong> Red, what is this offer and what exactly is going to do this..?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Presently the consumption of red toothpaste is largely urban so we did our analysis and this is<br />

the fact which stared us in the face and when we did some more digging, it was unavailability<br />

of the Rs. 10 price point which was leading to this lack of demand in the rural areas. So I think<br />

it's important for red toothpaste to have a strong footprint in rural and 10 rupees is the route to<br />

that market, so that’s the logic there.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Okay. My next question is on the Consumer Health Division, I have a broader question, how<br />

big is the category if you split ethical and OTC?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Ethical is around 40% of our business.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

What is the total category size in terms of rupees?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

What do you mean by category size?<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

I am saying Consumer Health Division if you look at the OTC plus ethical.<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

You are talking of our categories or …?<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

No in general, the market size<br />

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July 27, 2010<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Ethical is probably Rs. 7000 crores that is the size of the market if you include the prescriptive<br />

part also. So these are huge categories.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

And we have done lot of activities there and we are also planning further inputs, so I just<br />

wanted to understand what is the margin profile and does this really need the A&P spends push<br />

or it is more of driven by the distribution?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think the OTC piece would require spend levels which will not be dissimilar to that of<br />

personal care. The only thing is that the size of the category is small, so the total corpus of<br />

A&P may be high in percentage terms, but it will not aggregate to a big amount. So perhaps in<br />

cough cold fever, let's say brand Honitus, which is a 30 crores brand, we spent something like<br />

5 crores in the A&P which is pretty similar to what we spent in categories like hair oils or<br />

shampoo or certainly hair oils or toothpaste. But it still aggregates to comparatively small<br />

number, but in terms of share of voice, it is not bad, 5 crores in cough cold fever is not a bad<br />

amount, because these categories are obviously much less level of competitive intensity in<br />

terms of A&P spending and personal care and toiletries.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Okay. Which are the top 3 segments in the consumer health division <strong>Dabur</strong> would bet?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Well if you look at the OTC piece we would bet on supplements and wellness. We would bet<br />

on cough cold fever and we would bet on gastrointestinal.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Okay. You said gastrointestinal?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah GI, Pudin Hara is the one brand which we have in that domain.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Okay. Now my next question is on the retail front, would you be able to help us to understand<br />

what's happening on the retail initiative?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah I think a lot of good things are happening on retail. We are opening up a large number of<br />

stores, we are today at 19 stores and we are literally opening up one store a month or<br />

sometimes two stores in a month. We plan to hit 40 stores by the year end and maybe a little<br />

bit more than that. The business model has been fine tuned to where we are getting to store<br />

break even very quickly. We are seeing far more traction in terms of sales velocity and<br />

footfalls. Every parameter is now showing green compared to what it was one year ago. Part of<br />

it is due to economic revival, lot of if it is due to our own learning curve now having been<br />

reached, so the business today is on a far stronger footing than what it was even six months<br />

ago, little on a year ago. And I think there is opportunity for creating value here because of the<br />

FDI window likely to open and there is a lot we can do in terms of further scaling of this<br />

business whether in <strong>Dabur</strong> fold, outside the <strong>Dabur</strong> fold. So we are now far more optimistic<br />

about this business than what we were sometime ago.<br />

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July 27, 2010<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

So maybe what's the growing rate we are expecting per month for FY12, assuming that you<br />

have 40 stores?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

By FY12 we should be more than 40 stores and end of current fiscal, should be at 45 and then<br />

we will take a call when we cast our budget for next year whether we want to follow a very<br />

steep trajectory for opening or whether we want to now reach a certain amount of critical mass<br />

and then perhaps look at options for this business which may not be within <strong>Dabur</strong>.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Sir, it is our own store or it is franchisee format?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

These are own rented stores, and they stock now basically premium toiletries and general<br />

merchandize. So the earlier model which was more omnibus in terms of health care, etc., has<br />

been jettisoned. We fine tuned the model to focus on personal care and toiletries.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

What is the planned CAPEX for these 40 stores for FY11?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

We planned around a CAPEX of around 5 crores here for these stores and there could be<br />

around 30 fresh stores, so you take around 20 Lakhs per store, so around 6 Crores.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Okay lastly, I heard that A&P spends you spoke about is really going to be competitive, if you<br />

can help us to understand this 16.3% Ad to sales ratio. The sector is now inviting lot of<br />

competition also from the domestic player, now which are the categories we think that we want<br />

to remain competitive or how this 16.3% is spent, if you can help us.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think 16.3% is almost the peak, lot of this has been fueled by in the past at least by a fairly<br />

benign environment in terms of raw materials. I think as and when you have inflation which<br />

has already began to catch up, people start feeling that heat then it should level off. So this is<br />

probably the highest which we will see in aggregate terms. Within that there would be<br />

obviously pockets of intense competitive activity like we saw in shampoos this quarter, so that<br />

will happen in bits and pieces when there would be somebody who is wanting to regain share<br />

or to enter to have a market entry, so there would be periods of disruptive competition in<br />

certain pockets. But in aggregate terms, I think this is really where it could end.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Do you see any competitive activity in oral care?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

I think there is some visibility of that with both Smith Kline and Procter, showing interest in<br />

this category, so there is every possibility of heightened competitive activity in this category in<br />

the next couple of quarters, but we are prepared for that.<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

So how much of this 16.3 would be promotion and advertising if you can break up?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

In our case, I am not too sure about the market, but in our case, around 12% is above the line<br />

and something like 5% is below the line.<br />

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<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Shisrish Pardeshi<br />

Yeah thanks a lot Sunil and thanks for taking my question.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Thank you.<br />

Anshhul Mishra from ING Mutual Fund<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Yeah hi sir, I kind of logged in late, I guess you have already shared all these numbers, the<br />

financial numbers sales and all for the recent acquisition, please can you repeat it for me?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

Sales of the company were about $27 million in 2009, year ended 31 st December 2009 and the<br />

EBITDA margins are around 17%. Anything else you want to know?<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

This would be Hobi Kozmetik, right?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

In January to May because they follow the calendar year, the sales are $14 million that's the<br />

latest number which we have got.<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Okay January to May, okay. This would be for Hobi Kozmetik, right?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yes, the others are for those three companies which formed Hobi Kozmetik Group, there is a<br />

manufacturing company, there is a distribution company and there is third packaging company,<br />

but then that’s just nomenclature thing, the outcome which is the…<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

There is a consolidated thing.<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

These are Consolidated financials for the Hobi Group.<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Okay. And also one more thing on the market share front, if you can please share on the oral<br />

care category what's the market share, how it has moved on the hair care also, hair oil front,<br />

you have already shared the shampoo figures, so If you can please?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia In the toothpaste category, our share is 10.6%.<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Okay. What was it say about a year back<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

10.6% in value terms and 14% in volume terms.<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Okay. And what was in year back?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia A year back it was 10.2% in value terms up to March 2010.<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Okay, and in volume terms?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia Volume terms was 13.5.<br />

Page 21 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Okay, and similarly if you can please share for the hair oil segment.<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

Hair oil segment, we are not accessing the AC Nielsen data.<br />

Sunil Duggal The hair oils are growing both the Vatika and the Amla numbers, at 22% and 19%<br />

respectively. I am sure we have gained share. We have stopped taking Nielsen data because it<br />

was completely out of sync with what we were doing, so that’s the only data which we don’t<br />

take, but I am sure the share growth would only by positive because not many brands would<br />

have grown at the pace.<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Right, and also in the food segment, specific to Real, do you have any market share kind of a<br />

thing and if you can please share that?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

For Real again, we have discontinued Nielsen data because of huge inaccuracies, but we get<br />

data from second resources where we at this point in time have 52% share.<br />

Anshul Mishra<br />

Okay sir thanks a lot.<br />

Abhijeet Kundu from Antique<br />

Abhijeet Kundu<br />

Hi, good set of numbers. Sir I want to know this, about the industry as a whole, primarily<br />

personal products portfolio, rather, skin care, oral care and hair care. We have seen good<br />

amount of competition coming in the there in case of hair care where there are primarily in<br />

case of shampoos as well as in case of skin care. When this competition is coming in, we have<br />

seen that there is a slowdown in shampoos where in the same time, the leader who has<br />

heightened the competition, even the leader has not really shown great growth. So primarily<br />

one was, are these categories see a slowdown despite the low penetration level or there is a lot<br />

of marketing activities to really penetrate the rural markets. What's happening there?<br />

Sunil Duggal See based on Nielsen’s, shampoos certainly have shown a slowdown, it's down to around 8%<br />

growth compared to much higher growth which we saw last year, whether that’s because of<br />

fatigue or whether it's just high base, it's really hard to say. I think shampoo growth should<br />

revive and it should get back to at least mid teens where they ought to be, this is probably an<br />

aberration. And you know the problems have been low growth and high competitive intensity,<br />

so it's not been a good quarter for shampoos.<br />

Abhijeet Kundu<br />

Okay. And in case of skin care and oral care what would be the category growth rate?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

The growth rate in toothpaste we can tell, skin care is pretty heterogeneous category, but for<br />

toothpaste what are the rates?<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia In the first quarter i.e. April to June period, it's around 8.3%.<br />

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<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

It's 8.3, <strong>Dabur</strong> as per Nielsen is 18%.Actually they are growing at 28%, but that difference<br />

always is there. So at the very least we have to be 2x of category, we believe we are around 3x.<br />

Abhijeet Kundu<br />

Okay. So in such a case despite the 50% penetration levels in toothpaste, do you think that<br />

there is this kind of growth that we are seeing in toothpaste which should not be, so it should<br />

be in the region of about 13%-15% at least?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yes definitely as is for most other categories logically it should be at this, I mean if you have<br />

the GDP growth of 9, then at least basic categories like toothpaste and hair oil should go at<br />

twice GDP growth, but often that doesn’t happen for reasons which are not very clear.<br />

Abhijeet Kundu<br />

Okay sir thanks.<br />

Abneesh Roy from Edelweiss<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

Sir, retail expansion is as per track, could you also guide on the expected loss numbers for<br />

FY11?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah I think around 10-12 crores is what we will lose this year which is almost exactly the<br />

same as what we did last, but over a much larger store footprint.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

Any sense you are getting on the FDI based on your talks with the regulatory people?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

We do get a sense of it, I don’t think the authorities are being very open about what their intent<br />

is, but the noises which we get to hear indicate an environment which will be facilitative of<br />

FDI entry to the space.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

Sir, regarding Uveda, you said that you will have a very phased and gradual expansion, so any<br />

problem with the timing of the launch or what exactly, is it going as per track?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah let's put it this way, we will go and do a big launch when we are pretty certain that the<br />

mix which we have put into play is what is going to work, because the moment we are going to<br />

a launch, we will be putting considerable amount of money on the table and it doesn’t make<br />

any kind of sense to risk that with the proposition with the marketing mix which is not<br />

absolutely optimal. And it takes a little bit of time to get there because there are so many issues<br />

here in terms of consumer understanding in terms of activation on the ground and till<br />

everything is nailed down, it's pretty imprudent to do something which is very big bang<br />

because you can lose a lot of money and get very little out of it.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

And in FMCG we see that there are lots of failures, lot of success in any new launch, so what<br />

is your timeframe for evaluating a new launch from test phase to the pilot phase to next<br />

national roll out?<br />

Page 23 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

See it depends upon the pace at which you roll out, let's put it this way, you can gauge the<br />

product success or failure once you have backed it with media inputs in a fairly large set of<br />

geography within six months of its launch. You know whether it's going to work or whether<br />

it's not going to work, but this is only when you put all the elements of the marketing mix into<br />

play of the ground.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

So in the last three years have you phased out any new launch?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Yeah I think we have phased out products here and there, you know Vatika soaps was a case<br />

which never really worked, but there is largely on sort of margin pressures we didn’t believe<br />

we will be able to make a strong product story out of it. Then we had a couple of other small<br />

failures which we have had which is again part of the game.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

It's too early, but do you think that the Vatika soaps story can get repeated in the shampoo…<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

No, I don’t think so, shampoos you see the Vatika is a proven success story and it's been in the<br />

market now for over 10 years and it's got a strong presence. One quarter of disappointing<br />

performance I don’t think should, let's put it this way, one year ago everybody thought the<br />

toothpaste story is over for <strong>Dabur</strong> and look where we are today so you have to take these ups<br />

and downs in your stride but the basic proposition which we have for Vatika is very strong.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

You spoke that rural outperformance in terms of growth in Q1 has not been that great, so I<br />

wanted to understand in Q1 what has been the rural growth, what has been the urban growth?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

No, I don’t have the numbers, it's too early, the numbers normally would come around a month<br />

from now, but I suspect the urban rural growth has been pretty similar in the first quarter<br />

unlike last year where the rural growths were ahead of urban growths.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

And lastly, in terms of modern retail in terms of the working capital, in terms of the inventory,<br />

in terms of the shelf space, any big change in the last two years, initially there were lots of<br />

problems in terms of…?<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Actually as and when you fine tune your product offering and you trim your SKUs, the<br />

inventory levels come down dramatically. Today we are operating at pretty lean inventories<br />

compared to say two years ago, when inventories were very bloated because we were keeping<br />

a huge assortment of products not knowing but would sell and what will not. You know retail<br />

everybody has to learn by actually doing the activity, there is no shortcut here and the last two<br />

years have given us huge learning in terms of what works and what doesn’t and obviously then<br />

what inventory to keep and what not to keep.<br />

Abneesh Roy<br />

Okay sir all the best.<br />

Sunil Duggal<br />

Thank you.<br />

Page 24 of 25


<strong>Dabur</strong> <strong>India</strong> <strong>Limited</strong><br />

July 27, 2010<br />

Gagan Ahluwalia<br />

Thank you everyone for participating in this conference call today. For your reference we will<br />

be putting the transcript and archived copy of the web cast of this call on our website. Thank<br />

you once again and have a great evening.<br />

Page 25 of 25

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