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two regression methods. The nonlinear regression yields typically a smaller confidence<br />

region. This means that a better estimation <strong>of</strong> shelf-life prediction and simulation is<br />

possible (Cohen and Saguy, 1985; Haralampu et al., 1985).<br />

Table 8 Effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regression method on <strong>the</strong> Arrhenius parameters derived for<br />

nonenzymatic browning (zero-order) and thiamin retention (first - order reaction)<br />

Regression df (a) k x <strong>10</strong>0 (b) E A /R kref (c) Ao (d) Aoavr (e)<br />

method 25 °C 35°C 45°C 55°C 25 °C 35°C 45°C 55°C<br />

Nonenzymatic Browning<br />

Simulated values 15000 13.5 0.<strong>10</strong>0<br />

Two steps 1 9.1 41.6 270.2 1157.9 16067 11.7 0.<strong>10</strong>0 0.<strong>10</strong>5 0.095 0.098 0.098<br />

Non-linear 19 - - - - 15796 12.2 - - - - 0.099<br />

Thiamin retention<br />

Simulated values 13000 0.178 <strong>10</strong>0.0<br />

Two steps 2 0.133 0.580 2.065 7.588 13125 0.175 99.7 <strong>10</strong>0.4 99.2 <strong>10</strong>1.5 <strong>10</strong>0.2<br />

Non-linear 16 - - - - 12985 0.182 - - - - 99.8<br />

(a)<br />

(b)<br />

(c)<br />

(d)<br />

(e)<br />

Degrees <strong>of</strong> freedom<br />

Reaction rate constant: OD/g/day or day -1 for a zero and first order reaction, respectively<br />

Units <strong>of</strong> kref at 300 K as in b above<br />

Derived initial concentration: OD/g or mg/g thiamin for a zero and first order reaction respectively<br />

Average <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> derived initial concentration. Units as in d above<br />

Figure 11.<br />

Joint confidence contour (90%) for E A /R and kref derived by<br />

one-step nonlinear least squares method, for nonenzymatic<br />

browning.<br />

58

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