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Trends in global CO2 emissions - edgar - Europa

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THREE<br />

Poland (+6%), Spa<strong>in</strong> (+51%, after a similar decrease <strong>in</strong><br />

2009), Bulgaria (+24%) and Italy (+8%).<br />

3.2 <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> renewable and nuclear<br />

energy sources<br />

Of the Annex I countries, Japan made the largest change<br />

to its fuel mix for electricity production, <strong>in</strong> an attempt to<br />

ensure higher nuclear safety <strong>in</strong> the wake of the<br />

Fukushima accident of 11 March 2011. Before the accident,<br />

Japan was the third largest consumer of nuclear fuel,<br />

follow<strong>in</strong>g the United States and France, with a nuclear<br />

share <strong>in</strong> electricity production averaged for 2010 at about<br />

29%. The 280 TWh <strong>in</strong> 2010 generated by the 54 nuclear<br />

reactors (WEC, 2011) have, s<strong>in</strong>ce May 2012, been reduced<br />

to zero, and subsequently partially compensated by<br />

power cuts and boosted gas-fired power generation. This<br />

implies that <strong>in</strong> 2011 Japan imported 12.2% more liquefied<br />

natural gas than <strong>in</strong> 2010. Moreover, with the shutdown of<br />

the last active nuclear power plant, Japan leaves a<br />

capacity of 44 GWe nuclear electricity generation unused.<br />

In July 2012, the first nuclear facility was brought back<br />

<strong>in</strong>to operation.<br />

Germany also faced a considerable change to its fuel mix<br />

for electricity production <strong>in</strong> 2011, <strong>in</strong> the aftermath of<br />

Fukushima, shutt<strong>in</strong>g down 8 nuclear power plants <strong>in</strong><br />

March 2011 with a comb<strong>in</strong>ed capacity of 8.5 GWe,<br />

reduc<strong>in</strong>g the nuclear share <strong>in</strong> electricity production from<br />

22% before March 2011 to 18% today (Reuters, 2011). This<br />

has s<strong>in</strong>ce been compensated with a ris<strong>in</strong>g share of<br />

renewables <strong>in</strong> the energy mix from 16% <strong>in</strong> 2010 to almost<br />

20% <strong>in</strong> 2011 (BDEW, 2012). Above all, photovoltaic<br />

capacities expanded appreciably <strong>in</strong> 2011, climb<strong>in</strong>g from<br />

17.3 GW to 25.8 GW and contribut<strong>in</strong>g 3% to the power<br />

generation <strong>in</strong> 2011, or 1% more than <strong>in</strong> 2010. The<br />

rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g difference <strong>in</strong> share is taken up by coal-fired<br />

power plants (Kempfert, 2011). At the moment, more than<br />

20 new coal-fired power plants are be<strong>in</strong>g planned or<br />

already under construction <strong>in</strong> Germany; together, these<br />

plants would achieve a total output of 10 gigawatts and<br />

could, <strong>in</strong> terms of power supply, replace the nuclear<br />

power plants that are still operational.<br />

Total renewable sources have grown to supply 16.7% of<br />

<strong>global</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al energy consumption, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g traditional<br />

biofuels, such as fuel wood (UNEP, 2012). Renewables<br />

accounted for almost half of the estimated 208 gigawatts<br />

(GW) of electric capacity added <strong>global</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> 2011. By the<br />

end of 2011, total renewable power capacity worldwide<br />

exceeded 1,360 GW, up 8% over 2010, and supplied an<br />

estimated 20.3% of <strong>global</strong> electricity. At least 118<br />

countries, more than half of which are develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries, had renewable energy targets <strong>in</strong> place by early<br />

2012, up from 96 one year before, although some<br />

slacken<strong>in</strong>g of policy support was seen <strong>in</strong> developed<br />

countries. In the United States, renewables provided<br />

12.7% of total domestic electricity <strong>in</strong> 2011, up from 10.2%<br />

<strong>in</strong> 2010, and accounted for about 11.8% of domestic<br />

primary energy production (a similar amount as nuclear<br />

power). In Germany, renewable sources met 12.2% of<br />

total f<strong>in</strong>al energy consumption and accounted for 20% of<br />

electricity consumption (up from 17.2% <strong>in</strong> 2010) (UNEP,<br />

2012).<br />

Total <strong>global</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d power capacity was 238 GW at the end<br />

of 2011, an <strong>in</strong>crease of more than 20% over 2010, lower<br />

than the average of about 28% over the last 10 years<br />

(GWEC, 2012). In 2011, most w<strong>in</strong>d power capacity was<br />

<strong>in</strong>stalled <strong>in</strong> Asia (52%), ahead of Europe (25%) and North<br />

America (20%). However, Europe still has the largest w<strong>in</strong>d<br />

power capacity <strong>in</strong> the world, with 40% of the total <strong>in</strong> 2011,<br />

but s<strong>in</strong>ce it has been attract<strong>in</strong>g less than a quarter of the<br />

newly <strong>in</strong>stalled capacity, it could be overtaken by Asia <strong>in</strong><br />

2012. Ch<strong>in</strong>a is the world’s largest w<strong>in</strong>d power market, but<br />

new <strong>in</strong>stallations levelled off for the first time <strong>in</strong> 2011.<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a added 17,600 MW of new w<strong>in</strong>d capacity <strong>in</strong> 2011,<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a total of 62.4 GW <strong>in</strong>stalled at the end 2011.<br />

W<strong>in</strong>d represented 1.5% of the total power generated <strong>in</strong><br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a last year. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to GWEC (2012), the grid<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>s the most serious challenge to w<strong>in</strong>d development<br />

<strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a. One of the problems <strong>in</strong> the past was that the<br />

local grid <strong>in</strong>frastructure did not expand quickly enough,<br />

caus<strong>in</strong>g connection delays. India added 3,000 MW of new<br />

capacity to reach a total of 16.1 GW, account<strong>in</strong>g for about<br />

6% of electricity generation, up from 2% <strong>in</strong> 1995. Dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

2011, 9,600 MW of new w<strong>in</strong>d power was <strong>in</strong>stalled <strong>in</strong> the<br />

European Union, the same amount as <strong>in</strong> 2010, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

a total capacity of 93.9 GW. Germany <strong>in</strong>stalled 2,100 MW<br />

of new capacity, the United K<strong>in</strong>gdom 1,300 MW, followed<br />

by Spa<strong>in</strong> (1,000 MW), Italy (950 MW), France (830 MW),<br />

Sweden (763 MW) and Romania (520 MW). The total w<strong>in</strong>d<br />

power capacity <strong>in</strong>stalled <strong>in</strong> the EU by the end of 2011, on<br />

average, will produce 200 TWh of electricity, which is<br />

equivalent to 6.3% of total EU electricity consumption (up<br />

from 5.3% <strong>in</strong> 2010). The United States added 6,800 MW<br />

w<strong>in</strong>d capacity <strong>in</strong> 31 States <strong>in</strong> 2011, a 30% <strong>in</strong>crease from<br />

2010, br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g total w<strong>in</strong>d capacity to 46.9 GW.<br />

Total <strong>global</strong> solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong><br />

2011 by 75% to about 69.2 GW, and could produce, on<br />

average, 85 terawatt hours (TWh) of electricity every year<br />

(EPIA, 2012). PV, after hydropower and w<strong>in</strong>d power,<br />

currently is the third most important renewable energy <strong>in</strong><br />

terms of <strong>global</strong>ly <strong>in</strong>stalled capacity. Europe accounts for<br />

three quarters of the newly <strong>in</strong>stalled capacity (21.9 GW),<br />

add<strong>in</strong>g another 75% to the already <strong>in</strong>stalled PV capacity<br />

<strong>in</strong> the EU. Ch<strong>in</strong>a more than doubled its <strong>in</strong>stalled capacity,<br />

<strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> energy consumption | 21

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