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ALCF Science 1 - Argonne National Laboratory

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ASCR LEADERSHIP<br />

COMPUTING CHALLENGE<br />

Earth <strong>Science</strong><br />

A Proposal from the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics <strong>Laboratory</strong> to Perform<br />

Prototype Ultra High-Resolution Climate-Weather Modeling Studies at<br />

<strong>Argonne</strong> <strong>National</strong> <strong>Laboratory</strong><br />

Researchers will explore the frontier of weather predictions and<br />

climate modeling with the newly developed Geophysical Fluid<br />

Dynamics <strong>Laboratory</strong> (GFDL) global cloud-resolving model with bulk<br />

micro-physics. In addition to validating the model with test cases,<br />

they will conduct three types of numerical experiments: (1) global<br />

simulations to validate 5-day hurricane forecasts during one hurricane<br />

season, (2) high-resolution global simulations of selected hurricanes,<br />

and (3) longer-term climate simulations.<br />

ALCC Allocation:<br />

25 Million Hours<br />

The name of the GFDL code they will use is HIRAM. As a preliminary,<br />

they will validate the model’s stability and dynamical formulation by<br />

running the standard Held-Suarez test case.<br />

20<br />

First, the researchers will run a set of hurricane hindcasts. For each<br />

of the 100 days of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season, they will run<br />

a 12km (average grid resolution) global hydrostatic simulation for<br />

5 simulated days to produce a 5-day forecast. They will compare these<br />

to actual weather data for those 5 days. For each run, they will initialize<br />

using actual historical data for the starting day.<br />

Second, the researchers will run ultra-high resolution 4.5 km nonhydrostatic<br />

simulations on five selected storms. They will focus on<br />

accuracy of hurricane track and intensity predictions.<br />

Third, the researchers will run one-year high-resolution 12km<br />

global simulations of the year 2008. This will be an ensemble of five<br />

Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) style runs. They<br />

will document the simulated climate and severe weather events (such<br />

as hurricanes and typhoons) during this period.<br />

Contact Shian-Jiann Lin<br />

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics <strong>Laboratory</strong>, NOAA | Shian-Jiann.Lin@noaa.gov

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